business@tribunemedia.net
TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 5, 2019
$3.99 Governor: Target ‘minimum’ 2% for GDP growth By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Central Bank’s governor yesterday said The Bahamas needs to target a “minimum” of two percent annual GDP growth as he called for “stronger inroads” into double-digit unemployment. John Rolle argued that consistently achieving such economic expansion would ensure a “more favourable” long-term outcome for this nation, while warning that the benefits from essential structural reforms were unlikely to materialise within 18-24 months of implementation. Speaking at the Central Bank’s first-ever quarterly press conference on the economy, Mr Rolle added that 2019’s projected 2.1 percent GDP growth rate remained within reach given that the $4.2bn Baha Mar development is now in its first full year of being totally operational. “The prospect is still there for healthy growth by Bahamian standards in 2019, even with a lot of the downside risks which we continue to acknowledge,” the governor said, adding that this nation was still enjoying “transitional growth” as a result of Baha Mar’s move into the operational phase. However, International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts show The Bahamas returning to its long-run average 1.5 percent GDP growth rate from 2020 onwards. Should that occur, this nation will be nowhere near to meeting the 5.5 percent growth that the IMF said was necessary to cut existing unemployment by 50 percent, as well as absorb all new workforce entrants, between 2013 to 2018. “On a potential basis, the economy needs to transition above two percent,” Mr Rolle said. “I would say not to target above three percent, but a two percent minimum would start to make things evolve a bit more favourably over the long-term.” He added that there was “nothing very complimentary” about The Bahamas’ medium to longterm growth as projected by the IMF, and said: “We need to look at reforms to the economy to generate the higher growth potential we need long-term”. Describing these as “structural reforms”, the Central Bank governor
SEE PAGE 5
$4.05
$4.20
$4.05
Chamber: Bahamas Ferries threatening ‘boating capital’
Central Bank: $100m sell-off to bar ‘excess’ credit boom
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net
T
HE Abaco Chamber of Commerce yesterday urged the environment minister to intervene amid fears Bahamas Ferries’ new service is endangering the island’s “boating capital” status. Ken Hutton, its president, told Tribune Business that the inter-island transportation provider was placing Abaco’s boatingreliant tourism economy “in jeopardy” by stirring up tremendous amounts of silt and mud when it arrives and departs Marsh Harbour to serve the Baker’s Bay project. He spoke out as Tribune Business obtained an e-mailed letter sent by the Abaco chamber requesting “immediate assistance” from Romauld Ferreira, minister of the environment, in addressing the “absolute ruin” to Marsh Harbour’s “pristine waters” just three days after Bahamas Ferries began operations from the town’s public dock. “We are very concerned with the initiation of a new ferry service being provided
• Environment minister urged to intervene • Abaco body: ‘Pristine waters’ now ‘soup’ • ‘Hub of tourism area’ facing ‘havoc’
VIEW of a Bahamas Ferries vessel docking in Abaco. by Bahamas Ferries to carry the staff and sub-contractors to the Baker’s Bay job site from Marsh Harbour to Guana Cay,” Mr Hutton wrote in an e-mail dated February 4, 2019. “As the boating capital of The Bahamas and host to hundreds of sailing vessels transiting through Marsh Harbour, we are shocked and appalled that in three short days the pristine waters of our harbour have been absolutely ruined by vessels that are clearly too
large to operate in this shallow area.” He added: “I’ve attached pictures taken this morning for your reference. Be advised that this happens up to 13 times per day. It is affecting the boats at anchor in the harbour, the four marinas that are located in the harbour, and the traffic and parking in and around the public dock being used. As a chamber we are requesting your immediate attention to the matter, as the longer it goes on,
the more permanent the damage becomes.” Tribune Business has seen both photos and videos that confirm a significant amount of silt is being stirred up from the harbour bottom whenever Bahamas Ferries’ vessels depart for, and arrive from, the multimillion dollar investment project on Great Guana Cay. Mr Hutton, in an interview with this newspaper, confirmed that the Abaco chamber had sent an e-mailed letter to Mr Ferreira requesting his intervention. “Our primary concern is the fact that, several times a day, these vessels are coming in and stirring up the harbour,” he said. “It’s turned Marsh Harbour into a soup. You could see the bottom, and when these things come in it silts up the entire harbour. They’re coming in 13 times a day. We’ve got a harbour
SEE PAGE 4
Carnival cruise port to create 1,000 jobs By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE relocated Carnival cruise port will create up to 1,000 jobs and become the company’s largest such facility in the world, the prime minister said last night. Dr Hubert Minnis, addressing a Freeport town meeting to unveil the development, said the economic benefits produced by Carnival’s investment “will reverberate throughout” The Bahamas by bringing “millions more tourists” to this nation every year. Billing it as “a significant catalyst for economic growth in Grand Bahama”, the prime minister said: “The new port will create hundreds of jobs in the short-term, and has the potential to provide more than 1,000 direct and indirect permanent positions within the next few years as we anticipate the bulk of the on-island construction work will be done by Bahamian
• PM touts company’s ‘largest port’ for GB • Says it will be among ‘most advanced’ • Relocating from east GB to Sharp Rock contractors, and the bulk of the retail and restaurants will be owned and operated by Bahamians. “This major project holds the promise of a myriad of opportunities for local businesses and entrepreneurs to fulfill their own visions of success and prosperity. Grand Bahamians should prepare themselves for the potential benefits from the additional cruise passengers, including for shops, tour drivers, taxis, musicians, businesses and restaurants, hair braiders, arts and craft artisans and stores, souvenir producers and stores, and other enterprises.” Dr Minnis called on Bahamians to develop heritage and cultural-based tours and other products to cater to Carnival’s cruise
passengers, and added: “This cruise port, which will be the largest Carnival cruise port in the world, seeks to make Grand Bahama and The Bahamas one of the best cruise destinations in the Caribbean. “I am advised that this project promises to be one of the most technologicallyadvanced cruise ports in this region with a stateof-the-art, point of sale cashless system.” The Carnival cruise port is a project that has been on the drawing board for more than a decade, covering both Christie administrations and the last Ingraham administration. It was originally set to be located at Williams Town before the last Christie administration signed an agreement with the cruise line to move it to
eastern Grand Bahama. The latest version moves it into the Port area at a site near the University of The Bahamas at Sharp Rock. “The development of the Carnival cruise port has been a long time in the making. It has been discussed by successive governments, and has gone through various changes to arrive at this impressive model,” Dr Minnis conceded last night. He also “refuted emphatically” claims made in a widely-circulated video that The Bahamas is the most unsafe cruise destination in the world, adding: “We take the issue of visitor safety very seriously. Bahamians are known worldwide for our generosity, kindness and welcoming disposition.”
By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Central Bank yesterday said it had “sold well over $100m” of its government debt holdings to prevent surplus bank liquidity from fuelling an “excessive” consumer credit boom. John Rolle, its governor, confirmed that regularly “scheduled” secondary market sales of these debt securities would continue during 2019 as a way to “satisfy” investor demand in addition to mopping up $1.5bn-plus in excess commercial bank liquidity. Speaking at the Central Bank’s first-ever quarterly press conference on the economy, Mr Rolle said the listing and trading of government debt securities via the Bahamas International Securities Exchange (BISX) would “definitely” be completed by mid-year 2019. While all parties had initially targeted November/December 2018 for the government debt market’s transfer from the Central Bank to BISX, Mr Rolle said they were still “fine tuning” the system to ensure it operates smoothly for the benefit of all market participants. The Central Bank has long identified the buildup in commercial banking system liquidity, aided by the government’s use of part of the proceeds from its $750m foreign currency borrowing in late 2017 to pay down Bahamian dollar debt, as a potential medium-term risk if it ends up financing an unsustainable expansion in consumer borrowing. This surplus liquidity, which represents assets available for lending, has remained at elevated levels for several years because the banks can find no suitably qualified borrowers, although it declined by $265.52m - some 14.8 percent - during 2018 to close the year at $1.533bn. However, the Central Bank’s monthly economic report for December 2018, released yesterday, confirmed that these excess assets could pose a “medium-term” threat to the external reserves that support the Bahamian dollar’s one:one peg with its US counterpart unless action was taken to reduce them in a gradual manner
SEE PAGE 5
Digital B$ pilot to ‘crystallise’ in ‘19 By NEIL HARTNELL Tribune Business Editor nhartnell@tribunemedia.net THE Central Bank is aiming to “crystallise” its strategy for a digital Bahamian dollar test project before year-end 2019, its governor revealed yesterday. John Rolle, speaking at the regulator’s first quarterly media briefing on economic and monetary developments, said it was “making good progress” on developing a digital currency and planned to identify communities where it could be trialled. Confirming that further details on the proposed digital Bahamian dollar will likely be unveiled before the 2019 first quarter ends, Mr Rolle said its creation would help modernise the country’s payment system and enhance its efficiency
• ‘Good progress’ on electronic currency • Credit Bureau to go live in early 2021 • Short-term pain ‘outweighed’ long-term
GOVERNOR JOHN ROLLE by reducing reliance on cash. He added that it also stood to boost financial inclusion, especially for “far flung” communities in the Family Islands, in terms of giving them access to a full range of financial services
and products despite the commercial bank pullout from many such destinations. Mr Rolle added that The Bahamas’ first-ever credit bureau is set to begin operations in early 2021, which is when it will start producing its first reports on borrower creditworthiness for multiple lending institutions such as the commercial banks. The preferred operator, Italian-headquartered CRIF SpA, is expected to have completed the licensing process “well before the end of 2019”, according to the Central Bank governor, who added that it was currently liaising with the regulator to ensure it meets
all requirements. Mr Rolle said any short-term pain caused by Bahamian borrowers having to get their house in order before the credit bureau’s arrival will be “outweighed” by improved lending decisions and credit allocation over the medium to long-term. Besides keeping up with loan repayments, and ensuring they are made in full and on time, he also warned Bahamians to avoid taking on excessive debts that would raise a potential red flag for lenders due to concerns over their ability to meet due obligations
SEE PAGE 4