AZ Statewide Likely Voter Survey Conducted: December 7-10, 2019 Number of Respondents: 600 MoE: +/- 4.00% Q) What is your gender? (Observe by voice, do not ask) Male Female Total
282 318 600
47.0% 53.0% 100.0%
Q) These non-discrimination laws are also being used to redefine biological sex to mean gender identity or adding gender identity as a protected class in existing or new laws. These laws are having the effect of creating an unfair playing field for female athletes who are being forced to compete against biological males who identify as female. In many cases, these males are winning awards and scholarships that would have gone to the biological female athletes. Would you support or oppose passing a law to preserve sports equity and opportunities for women in Arizona by prohibiting biological males from competing in female sporting leagues and events? Support Strongly Support Somewhat Support Oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Neutral Undecided Don’t Understand Refused Total
1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480
366 294 72 169 53 116 16 36 6 6 600
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Phoenix, AZ 85016
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info@theresolute.group
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602.402.1238
61.0% 49.0% 12.0% 28.2% 8.9% 19.3% 2.7% 6.1% 0.9% 1.0% 100.0%
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www.theresolute.group
DEMOGRAPHICS AGE 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over
96 90 90 120 204
16.0% 15.0% 15.0% 20.0% 34.0%
ETHNICITY White Hispanic African American Asian/Pacific Islander Other
444 102 24 12 18
74.0% 17.0% 4.0% 2.0% 3.0%
PARTY Republican Democrat Independent/Unaffiliated Other Refused
237 195 156 12 0
39.5% 32.5% 26.0% 2.0% 0.0%
POLITICAL IDEOLOGY Conservative Strong Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Progressive Somewhat Progressive Strong Progressive Undecided Refused
212 137 75 273 90 46 44 24 2
35.3% 22.8% 12.5% 45.5% 15.0% 7.6% 7.4% 4.0% 0.3%
1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480
|
Phoenix, AZ 85016
|
info@theresolute.group
|
602.402.1238
|
www.theresolute.group
EDUCATION Less than a high school diploma High school degree or equivalent Some college, no degree Associate’s degree Bachelor’s degree Master’s degree Professional degree Doctorate degree Refused
14 91 160 73 152 76 12 19 4
2.3% 15.2% 26.6% 12.1% 25.3% 12.6% 2.0% 3.2% 0.6%
REGION: North Maricopa Pima South
73 368 100 59
12.2% 61.3% 16.7% 9.8%
LAST FOUR GENERAL ELECTIONS 0 1 2 3 4
30 40 112 128 290
5.0% 6.7% 18.7% 21.3% 48.4%
1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480
|
Phoenix, AZ 85016
|
info@theresolute.group
|
602.402.1238
|
www.theresolute.group
Methodology and Transparency Sponsor(s)
Center for Arizona Policy Action
Target Population
Likely Voters in Arizona
Sampling Frame & Methodology
Frame: The sample frame includes registered voters with landline and cell phone telephones. Methodology: Live survey; 60% landline telephone and 40% cellphone telephone. Contacted voters were selected randomly from a list of registered voters in the State of Arizona purchased from i360. Of the voters surveyed, 88.3% have voted in between two and four of the last four general elections, 6.7% have voted in one of the last four general elections, and 5% have voted in none of the last four general elections. Voters without a valid landline or cellular telephone number were not contacted. Selected voters were contacted from December 7-10, 2019 using an all live survey presented in English.
Weighting
The sample was weighted for gender, age, race and party affiliation and geographic region to mirror the likely General Election voter population. Election data was sourced from i360 and the Arizona Secretary of State.
Total Number of Respondents
600
Margin of Error
Âą 4.00% (95% confidence interval) Margin of error does not take into consideration design effect.
1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480
|
Phoenix, AZ 85016
|
info@theresolute.group
|
602.402.1238
|
www.theresolute.group