Ariz. likely voter survey (Dec. 2019)

AZ Statewide Likely Voter Survey Conducted: December 7-10, 2019 Number of Respondents: 600 MoE: +/- 4.00% Q) What is your gender? (Observe by voice, do not ask) Male Female Total

282 318 600

47.0% 53.0% 100.0%

Q) These non-discrimination laws are also being used to redefine biological sex to mean gender identity or adding gender identity as a protected class in existing or new laws. These laws are having the effect of creating an unfair playing field for female athletes who are being forced to compete against biological males who identify as female.

In many cases, these males are winning awards and scholarships that would have gone to the biological female athletes. Would you support or oppose passing a law to preserve sports equity and opportunities for women in Arizona by prohibiting biological males from competing in female sporting leagues and events?

Support Strongly Support Somewhat Support Oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Neutral Undecided Don’t Understand Refused Total

1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480

366 294 72 169 53 116 16 36 6 6 600

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Phoenix, AZ 85016

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info@theresolute.group

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602.402.1238

61.0% 49.0% 12.0% 28.2% 8.9% 19.3% 2.7% 6.1% 0.9% 1.0% 100.0%

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www.theresolute.group

DEMOGRAPHICS AGE 18 to 34 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and over

96 90 90 120 204

16.0% 15.0% 15.0% 20.0% 34.0%

ETHNICITY White Hispanic African American Asian/Pacific Islander Other

444 102 24 12 18

74.0% 17.0% 4.0% 2.0% 3.0%

PARTY Republican Democrat Independent/Unaffiliated Other Refused

237 195 156 12 0

39.5% 32.5% 26.0% 2.0% 0.0%

POLITICAL IDEOLOGY Conservative Strong Conservative Somewhat Conservative Moderate Progressive Somewhat Progressive Strong Progressive Undecided Refused

212 137 75 273 90 46 44 24 2

35.3% 22.8% 12.5% 45.5% 15.0% 7.6% 7.4% 4.0% 0.3%

1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480

|

Phoenix, AZ 85016

|

info@theresolute.group

|

602.402.1238

|

www.theresolute.group

EDUCATION Less than a high school diploma High school degree or equivalent Some college, no degree Associate’s degree Bachelor’s degree Master’s degree Professional degree Doctorate degree Refused

14 91 160 73 152 76 12 19 4

2.3% 15.2% 26.6% 12.1% 25.3% 12.6% 2.0% 3.2% 0.6%

REGION: North Maricopa Pima South

73 368 100 59

12.2% 61.3% 16.7% 9.8%

LAST FOUR GENERAL ELECTIONS 0 1 2 3 4

30 40 112 128 290

5.0% 6.7% 18.7% 21.3% 48.4%

1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480

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Phoenix, AZ 85016

|

info@theresolute.group

|

602.402.1238

|

www.theresolute.group

Methodology and Transparency Sponsor(s)

Center for Arizona Policy Action

Target Population

Likely Voters in Arizona

Sampling Frame & Methodology

Frame: The sample frame includes registered voters with landline and cell phone telephones.

Methodology: Live survey; 60% landline telephone and 40% cellphone telephone.

Contacted voters were selected randomly from a list of registered voters in the State of Arizona purchased from i360. Of the voters surveyed, 88.3% have voted in between two and four of the last four general elections, 6.7% have voted in one of the last four general elections, and 5% have voted in none of the last four general elections. Voters without a valid landline or cellular telephone number were not contacted.

Selected voters were contacted from December 7-10, 2019 using an all live survey presented in English.

Weighting

The sample was weighted for gender, age, race and party affiliation and geographic region to mirror the likely General Election voter population. Election data was sourced from i360 and the Arizona Secretary of State.

Total Number of Respondents

600

Margin of Error

Âą 4.00% (95% confidence interval) Margin of error does not take into consideration design effect.

1616 E. Indian School Rd., Ste. 480

|

Phoenix, AZ 85016

|

info@theresolute.group

|

602.402.1238

|

www.theresolute.group