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Continued from ➠ back page
The analysts at Cornwall said they expect the price of electricity will drop to 29 55p per unit from the start of July from 33 2p today with Government support Gas prices will fall from 10 3p today – including Government support – to 7 55p from the start of July It will mean that the average household pays around £2,063 per year for their gas and electricity, though this will vary based on how much energy they use The price cap will be changed again in October to bring the average bill to around £2,098, before hitting approximately £2,163 next January The current Government support means that average bills are around £2,500
Dr Craig Lowrey, a principal consultant at Cornwall Insight, said energy suppliers might start offering more deals that lock customers into a fixed price for a year or more These deals could give customers certainty over the price of their energy bills, and protect them if energy bills start to rise However it is a gamble for
households because, if they lock in a price and energy costs fall further, they could be left out of pocket “As the wholesale energy market has levelled out in recent weeks, our predictions for the price cap have followed suit,” Dr Lowrey said
“Some energy suppliers will potentially look to leverage this opportunity to bring back fixed tariffs on or around the price cap, with stable projections lowering concerns they will lose out over the fixed term “This potential re-emergence of competitive tariff propositions
presents an opportunity for households to finally get a grip on their energy bills, having been hit hard by the energy crisis “While this seems positive, fixing energy tariffs is a gamble – the market may go down as well as up, and households run the risk of getting locked into bills higher than the price cap
Fixing energy tariffs is a gamble - the market may go down as well as up, and households run the risk of getting locked into bills higher than the price cap - Dr Craig Lowrey, Cornwall Insight “We are faced with several
uncertainties as we look beyond the July price cap, with ongoing consultations on the cap modelling and other legislative changes that could potentially bring significant changes “This leaves our predictions for the end of this year and beyond potentially vulnerable to change ”'What we do know is, while energy bills may begin to stabilise, they are still far from returning to pre-2020 levels “While consumers may feel more secure, we must not under-estimate the fact that these bills remain unaffordable for many households ”
Continued from ➠ Back page gas from the oil- and gas-rich country are “mind-boggling”, and an “infuriating” problem that should be easy to fix, experts have told the Guardian The data produced by Kayrros for the Guardian found that the western fossil fuel field in Turkmenistan, on the Caspian coast, leaked 2 6m tonnes of methane in 2022 The eastern field emitted 1 8m tonnes Together, the two fields released emissions equivalent to 366m tonnes of CO2, more than the UK’s annual emissions, which are the 17thbiggest in the world Methane emissions have surged alarmingly since 2007 and this acceleration may be the biggest threat to keeping below 1 5C of global heating, according to scientists It also seriously risks triggering catastrophic climate tipping points, researchers say The Guardian recently revealed that Turkmenistan was the worst in the world for methane “super emitting” leaks Separate research suggests a switch from the flaring of methane to venting may be behind some of these vast outpourings
Flaring is used to burn unwanted gas, putting CO2 into the atmosphere, but is easy to detect and has been increasingly frowned upon in recent years Venting simply releases the invisible methane into the air unburned, which, until recent developments in satellite technology, had been hard to detect Methane traps 80 times more heat than CO2 over 20 years, making venting far worse for the climate Experts told the Guardian that the Cop28 UN climate summit being hosted in the United Arab Emirates in December was an opportunity to drive methane-cutting action in Turkmenistan
The two petrostates have close ties and there is pressure on the UAE to dispel doubts that a big oil and gas producer can deliver strong outcomes from the summit Tackling leaks from fossil fuel sites is the fastest and cheapest way to slash methane emissions, and therefore global heating Action to stem leaks often pays for itself, as the gas captured can be sold But the maintenance of infrastructure in Turkmenistan is very poor, according to experts
‘Out of control’
“Methane is responsible for almost half of short-term [climate] warming and has absolutely not been managed up to now
it was completely out of control,” said Antoine Rostand, the president of Kayrros “We know where the super emitters are and who is doing it,” he said “We just need the policymakers and investors to do their job, which is to crack down on methane emissions There is no comparable action in terms of [reducing] short-term climate impacts ”
Super-emissions from oil and gas installations were readily ended, Rostand said, by fixing valves or pipes
or, at the very least, relighting flares: “It’s very simple to do, it has no cost for the citizen, and for the producers, the cost is completely marginal ”
The satellite data used by Kayrros to detect methane has been collected since the start of 2019 and Turkmenistan’s overall emissions show a level trend since then Satellites have also detected 840 super-emitting events, ie leaks from single wells, tanks or pipes at a rate of a few tonnes an hour or more, the most from any nation
Most of the facilities leaking the methane were owned by Turkmenoil, the national oil company, Kayrros said Further undetected methane emissions will be coming from Turkmenistan’s offshore oil and gas installations in the Caspian Sea, but the ability of satellites to measure methane leaks over water is still being developed
Kayrros also did some high-resolution monitoring of the North Bugdayly field in western Turkmenistan The number of super-emitter events there doubled to almost 60 between 2021 and 2022, with one recent super-emitter pouring out methane for almost six weeks Turkmenistan is China’s biggest supplier of gas and is planning to double its exports to the country Until 2018, Turkmen citizens had received free gas and electricity However, the country is also very vulnerable to the impacts of the climate crisis, with the likelihood of severe drought projected to increase “very significantly” over the 21st century and yields of major crops expected to fall
Speaking freely about the repressive and authoritarian state is difficult but sources told the Guardian it was a “very depressing” situation, with Turkmenistan probably the worst country in the world in dealing with methane leaks They said preventing or fixing the leaks represented a “huge opportunity” but that the lack of action was “infuriating” Turkmenistan could stop the leaks from ageing Soviet-era equipment and practices, they said, and the country could be the “world’s biggest methane reducer” But the huge gas resources on tap meant “they never cared if it leaked” It was also not a priority for the president, Serdar Berdimuhamedov, they said, without whose approval little happens
This is despite Berdimuhamedov, then deputy chair of the cabinet of ministers, telling the UN climate summit Cop26 in Glasgow in 2021 that Turkmenistan was reducing greenhouse gas emissions “by introducing modern technologies in all spheres of the state’s economy”, with “special attention” to the reduction of methane emissions Berdimuhamedov also welcomed the Global Methane Pledge (GMP) to cut emissions, but Turkmenistan has failed to join the 150 nations now signed Neither are Turkmenoil and Turkengas, the state companies, members of a voluntary UN initiative to cut leaks, the Oil and Gas Methane Partnership 2 0 (OGMP2), which covers about 40% of global oil and gas production “The president hasn’t followed up,” said a
Recent scientific research, published in the journal Environmental Science and Technology, found that the west coast of Turkmenistan was “one of the largest methane hotspots in the world” Detailed analysis of satellite data revealed 29 different super-emitter events between 2017 and 2020, although older satellite data showed that “this type of emission has been occurring for decades” The researchers said 24 of the 29 superemitter events came from flare stacks that had been extinguished and were then venting methane directly into the air, and that all were managed by state companies The other five were linked to pipeline leaks. The scientists said that “the more frequent emitters would conflict with Turkmen law, which bans continuous gas flaring and venting” “Flaring is very easy to identify from the flame itself,” said Itziar Irakulis-Loitxate, of the Universitat Politècnica de València in Spain, who led the study “But venting was something that you could not identify easily until two years ago ” The switch to venting, a far worse environmental practice, was “mindboggling”, according to another expert The scientists said the prevalence of venting “points to the risks of penalising flaring without effective measures to control venting” The
World Bank founded a global initiative to end flaring in 2015
The UN climate summit in December represented an opportunity for change, sources said, as it is being hosted by the UAE, which has strong links with Turkmenistan and expertise in oil and gas production The most recent visit by Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed, the UAE’s deputy prime minister, to Turkmenistan was in February. He met Berdimuhamedov and discussed with him bilateral cooperation “in vital sectors such as oil and gas”
The UAE is a member of the Global Methane Pledge and the state oil company, Adnoc, is a member of the OGMP2 Adnoc recently announced a partnership to develop a “supergiant gas field” called Galkynysh and other energy projects in Turkmenistan
However, Adnoc did not respond to a request for information on how the company would help limit methane emissions in the country The Guardian understands diplomatic efforts are being made to urge Turkmenistan to cut its methane emissions “We are really hoping Cop28 is a forcing mechanism,” a source said The Guardian contacted Turkmenoil, Turkmengaz, the Turkmenistan ministry of foreign affairs and the Turkmen embassy in the UK for comment, but none responded
Continued frome ➠ Back pag London 12 May : A BBC cameraman was reportedly thrown out of Coronation rehearsals - and banned from covering the main event - after King Charles thought he was secretly trying to film a walkthrough for a key moment The King spotted the BBC employee out of the corner of his eye and was apparently concerned he was covertly attempting to film when he shouldn't have been And top-level sources have said that Charles told officials: "He's not filming my Coronation " The veteran cameraman was then escorted out of Westminster Abbey by security Senior sources have said that the journalist had left his officially assigned post near the entrance and was spotted attempting to view the sacred anointing run-through They say the cameraman had his mobile phone out, and was lingering near the screens
The 'senior' cameraman was then escorted out of the
Continued frome ➠ Back pag film days after its release The film follows the story of four women from Kerala who converted to Islam and joined the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) Its teaser trailer caused a stir last year, as it made the controversial claim that 32,000 girls were “converted” into Islamic terrorists While the film is captioned as being based on a real-life incident and the makers of the film state it is based on years of research, The Kerala Story has been criticized for its lack of statistical evidence
This has triggered a political controversy in Kerala, as congress party leader VD Satheesan called it a "clear case of misinformation" and claimed that the film was made to "tarnish the image of Kerala"
Lawmaker of Kerala's governing Communist Party of India (Marxist) John Brittas even wrote a letter to
Abbey by security in front of puzzled dignitaries
The cameraman's filming accreditation was reportedly torn up by a BBC boss on the steps of the Abbey He was suspended with immediate effect and banned from working for the national broadcaster over the Coronation weekend The man's "pattern of behaviour" had alarmed witnesses according to insiders, who also reportedly feared he was attempting to shoot unauthorised footage of Charles on his phone A source told The Sun: "This was a humiliation for the BBC and left everyone involved in deep shock
King Charles III and Queen Camilla have made a surprise appearance on American Idol following the historic Coronation held last weekend The royals were welcomed onto the show by Katy Perry and Lionel Richie - who both performed at Sunday's Coronation concert "Charles spotted the cameraman trying to film him during the run-through for the most sensitive part of the ceremony The BBC guy was looking shifty as he lurked in view of the screens holding his mobile phone "He had no business being there whatsoever He had an
accredited spot in the Abbey It is highly irregular for any journalist to leave their set position in such circumstances "And it's deeply concerning to think he would be trying to film precious moments deliberately hidden from public view "
The rehearsal had included going over the most important act of the religious ceremony, when the King was anointed with holy oil This section of the coronation was always going to be hidden from both spectators in the Abbey and those watching on television at home Another source said: "It is a horrendous suggestion that the King's privacy would be invaded in this way "The rehearsal was a stressful, anxious time for everyone concerned The BBC senior cameraman was a disgrace and rightly given his marching orders " This comes as pressure mounts on the BBC after being criticised for its "anti-competitive" restriction of access to Coronation coverage It is believed it backed down prior to it starting The man's removal from the Abbey was not commented on by Buckingham Palace The BBC has said it will not comment on individual employees
federal home minister Amit Shah, asking him to take stringent action against the filmmakers In response to the allegations, the co-writer / producer, Vipul Amrutlal Shah stated that "nothing we say will be without evidence" and that the co-writer / director Sudipto Sen had conducted four years of research for the film
Nevertheless, critics have called it out for promoting the Islamophobic Love Jihad (or Romeo Jihad) conspiracy theory, which purports that Muslim men target Hindu women for conversion to Islam by means of seduction and marriage, and said that The Kerala Story has the potential to incite violence Now, the Chief Minister of West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee announced a ban on the movie, preventing theatres in the state from screening the film Banerjee later said that the decision was taken to maintain peace in the state and prevent any incidents of violence or hate crime
An association of multiplex owners in Tamil Nadu state have also said that
they would stop screening the filmciting law and order issues and poor public response In reaction to the screening ban, Shah stated that "if state governments won't listen to us, we will take legal action ” Politician Jitendra Awhad, member of the Nationalist Congress Party, stated that The Kerala Story is not based on facts, is right to be banned from screens, and went as far as to say that the producer should be "hanged in public "
A shocking assertion (and the death of irony), considering that the film is being accused of inciting hatred and violence The Kerala High Court previously refused to stay the release and said the trailer does not contain anything offensive to any particular community as a whole It also noted that the Central Board of Film Certification (CBFC) had examined the movie and found it suitable for public exhibition
Politicians from the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP - the ruling political party in India under Prime Minister
Narendra Modi) have criticised the move, choosing to back the film Two state governments - Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh, both governed by the BJP – have announced that they have made the film tax-free Prime Minister Modi recently praised the film during an election rally in Karnataka state on Friday 5 May, stating that it tried to "expose the consequences of terrorism in a society" "Such a beautiful state of the country, where people are hardworking and talented," said Modi
"The Kerala Story film brings out terror conspiracies happening in that state '' Writer-producer Shah said the film has become of national importance now ''Our honourable PM has spoken about this film,” said Shah “Other important political parties have talked about the film and have presented this subject as something of national importance There are some people who have supported and some have opposed Now no one can ignore it on the national level, which is a huge achievement for us ”
Continued from ➠ back page video, an officer says: ‘I’m not going to get into a conversation about that –they are under arrest, end of this ’
Hundreds of people have gathered to protest against the King’s coronation in Trafalgar Square Demonstrators waved placards including one with a picture of the Duchess of Sussex with the words ‘The People’s Princess’ and ‘Not my King’ Human Rights Watch said the coronation arrests were ‘something you would expect to see
in Moscow not London’ Its UK director Yasmine Ahmed said in a statement: ‘The reports of people being arrested for peacefully protesting the coronation are incredibly alarming This is something you would expect to see in Moscow, not London
‘Peaceful protests allow individuals to hold those in power to account, something the UK government seems increasingly averse to ’ And human rights campaigner Peter Tatchell, who
was with the anti-monarchy protesters, said on Twitter: ‘Police arrest peaceful anti-monarchy protesters & have erected giant barriers to obscure pro-republic banners Right to freely protest was suppressed Shame!’ On Wednesday, the Metropolitan Police announced they would have an ‘extremely low threshold’ for protests during the coronation celebrations, and that demonstrators could expect ‘swift action’
After the apparent arrests, Republic
activist Luke Whiting, 26, told the PA news agency: ‘Six Republic members have been arrested including the CEO as the demonstration was starting at the edge of Trafalgar Square ‘It is unclear why, potentially it is because one of them was carrying a megaphone ‘It is unclear exactly whether the police are using these new powers and whether they are misusing them to stop protests happening ’ The policing operation is set to see 11,500 police officers on duty on Saturday for the Coronation.
Continued from ➠ back page the G7 countries, they're doing this so that it does not cause an oil crisis and it does not cause further inflation "So the G7 countries are keeping the oil flowing through the world, but trying to reduce the revenue that Russia gets for its economy "
A new weapons system threatens to change the course of the war in Ukraine, according to experts Russian fighter jets are employing so-called "glide bombs", which are equipped with wings to give them an extended range and can fly below radarcontrolled air defences Their range varies drastically but more are fired over a distance of approximately 30 to 45 miles The bombs came under the spotlight after one was accidentally dropped on the Russian city of Belgorod, injuring at least three people and damaging several buildings
Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) have also taken measures in recent months to regulate the flow of the oil - albeit with the intention to stabilise the prices, Professor Dani said He said: "OPEC countries have reduced the supply of oil into the market because they saw that the prices were going down So the OPEC
countries have reduced about 3 6 billion barrels a day in terms of what they produce to stabilise the prices, and that has pushed up in recent time the price of crude oil in the open market from $80 a barrel to $85 a barrel "
Speaking of a "whole worldwide balance" being carefully handled by influential nations around the world, the professor continued: "The US and G7 countries have kept the supply of oil from Russia, because they know that if this oil stops, it will cause an immediate crash in the market, it will cause inflation rising, it will cause issues even worse than those we have
seen happening in the West in recent months, such as the cost of living crisis and the cost of living goods "While the UK only buys a small percentage of Russian oil exports, the nation would also be hit by the crash
He said: "The UK has to rely on the open market prices and it would get affected in that way, in terms of the oil " Over the past months, as several rounds of sanctions have been enforced against Russia, commentators have argued over the efficacy of these measures The cap enforced by the G7 nations, Professor Dani believes, has so far been
"successful" However, at the same time, it has helped countries including China and India, who haven't condemned the invasion of Ukraine launched by Moscow, enjoy "cheap oil" and absorb a major chunk of the exports previously directed at the EU While these Asian markets are good news for Russia as it continues to be able to sell its oil despite its aggression against Kyiv, Professor Dani noted they are not enough to make up for the loss of clients in the West He said: "The revenues are down in terms of the Russian oil exports, but the oil is flowing " Last month, figures shared with the Independent by commodities tracking firm Kpler showed that, despite the sanctions, Russian crude oil exports were back above levels seen before the attack on Ukraine India and China, the study showed, have been accounting in recent months for 90 percent of Russia seaborne crude oil exports However, given the discounted rates at which they are buying, Russia's oil revenues in March were 43 percent down year-on-year when compared to figures from 2022, the report showed, in line with Professor Dani's analysis
London 12 May : Methane leaks alone from Turkmenistan’s two main fossil fuel fields caused more global heating in 2022 than the entire carbon emissions of the UK, satellite data has revealed Emissions of the potent greenhouse Page ❚◗ 21
London 12 May : Indian Hindi-language film The Kerala Story is continuing to court controversy, with India's West Bengal state banning Sudipto Sen’s Page ❚◗ 22
London 12 May : Energy bills are expected to drop significantly from the start of July, according to a new analysis released on Tuesday Energy industry consultancy Cornwall Insight said it thinks the price cap on energy bills will fall by more than £1,200 for the average household when it is next updated However, because the Government bill support, which has artificially lowered bills, will fall away, households will only be around £437 better off per year on average
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London 12 May : The head of an antimonarchy protest group has been arrested ahead of the King’s coronation It has been reported that six people – including Graham Smith, chief executive of Republic –were arrested this morning The footage showed Mr Smith being apprehended by officers in St
Martin’s Lane, Westminster Pictures appeared to show demonstrators in yellow ‘Not My King’ T-shirts, including Mr Smith, having their details taken by officers The Met Police has said Mr Smith along with at least three others – were arrested for carrying ‘lock on devices’ In one Page ❚◗ 23
London 12 May : Moscow was hit in its oil exports by sanctions following President Vladimir Putin's decision to invade neighbouring Ukraine in February 2022 But Russian oil still needs to flow, albeit in much-reduced quantity, to avoid a disastrous crash in the market, an expert said Samir Dani, author and professor at Keele University, explained why G7 countries have decided to put a cap on the cost of Russian oil per barrel rather than completely ban it from the market He told Express co uk: "It is
not a complete ban on the Russian export of oil, but the cap aims at reducing the revenues that Russia gets through the sale of the oil "In terms of Page ❚◗ 23