Xceligent - 3Q14 Office Market Trends

Page 1

St Louis, Missouri 3rd Quarter 2014

OFFICE

Market Trends

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION 3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved


Table of Contents/Methodology of Tracked Set

Table of Contents/Methodology of Tracked Set

2

St Louis Market Maps

3

Q3 2014 Overview

4

Overview by Submarket/ Property Type

5

Vacancy & Lease Rates

6-7

Biggest Absorption Changes

8

Available Space

9

Notable Transactions

10

Vacancy & Absorption

11-12

Xceligent St Louis Contact

13

The St Louis tracked set consists of an inventory of buildings considered to be competitive within the brokerage community. All buildings within the competitive tracked set have been reviewed and verified by members of the Advisory Boards for each market area. Inventory

The total square feet of all existing single and multi tenant office buildings greater than 15,000 SF, excluding owner occupied and medical buildings.

Total Available SF

All of the available leasable space within a building, whether it is occupied or vacant, for direct lease or sublease space. Space can be available but not vacant, for example, if the landlord, or his agent, is marketing space that will be coming available at a future date because a tenant is planning to move.

Total Vacant SF

The total of all of the vacant square footage within a building, including both direct and sublease space.

Direct Vacant SF

The total of the vacant square footage in a building that is being marketed by an agent representing the landlord.

Sublease SF

Space that is offered for lease by a current tenant, or his agent, within a property. Whether the tenant is paying rent or not, the space is considered vacant only if it is unoccupied.

Net Absorption

The net change in physically occupied space from quarter to quarter, expressed in square feet.

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

2


St Louis Office Markets

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

3


Q3 2014 Overview

With overall office vacancy rates at 15.4%, product is available to support continued growth for the foreseeable future.

Large blocks of space are anticipated to be taken down throughout the 4th quarter and into the new year.

The supply of sublease space continues to remain a non factor, accounting for less than 1% of the total market.

Class B space continues to struggle to attract new tenants as there is a general move up to higher Class A product that offers better parking and more amenities for the office user.

450,000

18.0%

400,000

17.0%

350,000

16.0%

300,000

15.0%

250,000

14.0%

200,000

13.0%

150,000 100,000

12.0%

50,000

11.0%

0

10.0%

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

2014 Q2

Vacancy Rate (%)

Net Absorption (SF)

Historical Vacancy & Net Absorption

2014 Q3

Q3 2014 Market Overview by Property Type # of Bldgs

Inventory (SF)

Total Available (SF)

Total Vacant (SF)

Total Direct Vacant Vacancy (SF) Rate (%)

Direct Vacancy Rate (%)

Available Sublease (SF)

Qtrly Net YTD Net Absorption Absorption (SF) (SF)

A

138 20,805,725 4,207,186 2,706,277 13.0% 2,635,823

12.7% 233,064

96,993

159,090

B

345 21,483,752 4,181,636 3,755,247 17.5% 3,705,792

17.2% 96,245 -40,132

148,475

C Grand Total

88

5,426,014

997,829

892,792 16.5%

892,792

16.5%

0

-1,176

-8,057

571 47,715,491 9,386,651 7,354,316 15.4% 7,234,407 15.2% 329,309

55,685

299,508

3Q 2014 Market Trends © 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

4


Overview by Submarket/ Building Class

# of Inventory (SF) Bldgs

Saint Louis City

130 15,075,721

Total Available (SF)

Total Vacant (SF)

Total Vacancy Rate (%)

Direct Vacant (SF)

Direct Vacancy Rate (%)

Available Sublease (SF)

Qtrly Net Absorption (SF)

YTD Net Absorption (SF)

3,219,763 2,829,440

18.8% 2,813,908 18.7%

28,800

100,226

299,919

A

18

5,768,067

1,423,229 1,126,984

19.5% 1,111,452 19.3%

28,800

81,616

83,723

B

88

7,026,834

1,424,323 1,337,568

19.0% 1,337,568 19.0%

0

15,803

219,854

C

24

2,280,820

372,211

364,888

16.0%

364,888 16.0%

0

2,807

-3,658

95

8,514,662

1,149,145

938,175

11.0%

911,018 10.7% 119,215

33,195

70,339

A

23

4,418,359

665,905

526,878

11.9%

501,320 11.3%

70,826

14,195

1,643

B

47

2,753,602

354,134

299,774

10.9%

298,175 10.8%

48,389

12,729

51,232

C

25

1,342,701

129,106

111,523

8.3%

8.3%

0

6,271

17,464

90

7,329,207

17.8% 1,284,189 17.5%

33,000

-36,126

-40,420

A

19

2,839,298

844,264

282,219

9.9%

9.4%

24,802

-15,613

-2,191

B

51

3,408,564

767,311

682,262

20.0%

674,064 19.8%

8,198

-14,979

-40,195

C

20

1,081,345

384,316

342,062

31.6%

342,062 31.6%

0

-5,534

1,966

42

2,366,074

388,971

318,880

13.5%

318,880 13.5%

0

15,007

11,979

A

9

712,138

123,055

123,055

17.3%

123,055 17.3%

0

16,702

-3,630

B

24

1,332,111

206,789

174,009

13.1%

174,009 13.1%

0

-538

7,074

C

9

321,825

59,127

21,816

6.8%

6.8%

0

-1,157

8,535

13.5% 1,533,058 13.1%

67,169

26,833

47,594

9.2%

27,511

-2,610

90,854

Mid St Louis County

North St Louis County

South St Louis County

West St Louis 170 11,740,846 County

1,995,891 1,306,543

1,976,091 1,587,924

111,523

268,063

21,816

A

58

5,939,288

912,700

558,705

9.4%

B

104

5,481,548

1,010,322

976,716

17.8%

937,058 17.1%

39,658

33,006

-10,896

C

8

320,010

53,069

52,503

16.4%

52,503 16.4%

0

-3,563

-32,364

44

2,688,981

656,790

373,354

13.9%

373,354 13.9%

81,125

-83,450

-89,903

A

11

1,128,575

238,033

88,436

7.8%

7.8%

81,125

2,703

-11,309

B

31

1,481,093

418,757

284,918

19.2%

284,918 19.2%

0

-86,153

-78,594

C

2

79,313

0

0

0.0%

0

0

0

0

9,386,651 7,354,316 15.4% 7,234,407 15.2% 329,309

55,685

299,508

Saint Charles County

Grand Total

571 47,715,491

543,497

88,436

0.0%

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

5


Vacancy & Lease Rates

Direct Vacancy Rate %

Asking Direct Lease Rate (FSG)

2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2014 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3

2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2014 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3

Saint Louis City

20.5%

20.3%

19.1%

18.8%

18.7%

$14.70

$14.55

$15.06

$15.23

$14.98

A

21.2%

20.2%

19.8%

20.1%

19.3%

$19.17

$17.08

$19.17

$19.64

$19.64

B

21.4%

21.6%

19.6%

18.7%

19.0%

$14.17

$14.13

$14.32

$14.43

$14.24

C

15.9%

16.4%

15.7%

16.1%

16.0%

$11.49

$13.14

$13.14

$13.05

$12.68

Mid St Louis County

12.2%

11.5%

11.2%

11.1%

10.7%

$21.97

$21.87

$21.63

$21.55

$21.73

A

11.0%

9.9%

9.3%

10.2%

11.3%

$26.75

$26.68

$26.68

$26.60

$26.99

B

15.0%

14.7%

15.0%

13.4%

10.8%

$20.60

$20.52

$20.51

$20.39

$20.22

C

9.9%

9.6%

8.6%

8.8%

8.3%

$17.41

$17.24

$17.15

$17.24

$17.15

North St Louis County

19.2%

17.3%

17.7%

17.1%

17.5%

$17.32

$17.34

$17.26

$17.06

$17.36

A

10.4%

9.4%

9.5%

8.9%

9.4%

$20.50

$20.44

$20.33

$19.93

$20.18

B

22.7%

19.5%

19.9%

19.5%

19.8%

$17.31

$17.15

$17.30

$17.35

$17.31

C

31.3%

31.8%

31.8%

31.1%

31.6%

$13.74

$14.72

$13.77

$13.05

$13.77

West St Louis County

14.0%

13.6%

13.4%

13.4%

13.1%

$19.83

$19.87

$20.00

$19.82

$20.16

A

11.3%

10.7%

9.7%

9.1%

9.2%

$23.54

$23.47

$23.44

$23.54

$23.57

B

17.4%

17.3%

17.3%

18.0%

17.1%

$17.38

$17.47

$17.87

$17.50

$18.03

C

6.3%

6.3%

13.0%

15.3%

16.4%

$17.38

$17.13

$17.50

$17.60

$17.60

South St Louis County

15.5%

13.8%

13.8%

14.1%

13.5%

$19.05

$18.58

$19.24

$18.59

$19.34

A

20.5%

16.8%

16.7%

19.6%

17.3%

$22.99

$22.83

$22.83

$22.70

$22.87

B

14.3%

13.2%

13.4%

13.0%

13.1%

$18.33

$17.36

$18.44

$17.51

$18.60

C

9.4%

9.4%

9.4%

6.4%

6.8%

$16.58

$16.58

$16.58

$16.50

$16.50

10.9%

10.5%

9.9%

10.7%

13.9%

$16.35

$16.21

$15.42

$14.61

$16.55

A

6.5%

6.3%

6.3%

7.7%

7.8%

$19.67

$19.67

$19.78

$15.18

$20.70

B

14.6%

13.9%

12.9%

13.4%

19.2%

$15.16

$14.98

$13.87

$14.40

$14.32

C

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

16.5%

15.8%

15.3%

15.2%

15.2%

$18.61

$18.52

$18.63

$18.48

$18.78

Saint Charles County

Grand Total

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

6


Vacancy & Lease Rates [continued]

Asking Lease Rate Range by Class (FSG) $35.00 $32.00 $30.00 $28.00

Asking Lease Rate (FSG)

$25.00 $23.03

$22.00

$20.00 $17.21

$16.00

$15.00

$15.32

$10.00 $6.50

$6.50

$5.00

$0.00 A

B

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

C

7


Biggest Absorption Changes

SF Occupied or Vacated

Company Name

Market

Building Class

45,165

Ameren Schlichter, Bogard and Denton Polsinelli

St Louis City

A

NewGround Building

31,333

Hochschild, Bloom and Company, LLC TCF Equipment Finance Live to Retire LLC Aerial Bouquets Crossroads Hospice of St Louis

West St Louis County

B

Creve Coeur Corporate

20,900

CMS Inteliteach

West St Louis County

A

CityPlace 6

16,721

Stonegate Mortgage Envision LLC (expansion)

West St Louis County

A

The Sumit at Creve Couer

14,000

The Louis Clinical Trials

West St Louis County

A

Clarkson Executive Center

(9,000)

TCF

West St Louis County

B

Forty Pointe

(12,952)

Suburban Journals

West St Louis County

B

1850 Borman Ct

(20,695)

CMS Intelliteach

North St Louis County

B

7574-7888 Veterans Memorial Pkwy

(36,000)

Sanford-Brown College

St Charles County

B

4178 N Service Rd

(62,000)

US Army Reserve

St Charles County

B

Property Name

Deloitte Building

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

8


Available Space

Largest Blocks of Available Space 18 16 14 12 10

8 6 4 2 0 Saint Louis City

Mid St Louis County

North St Louis County

100K+

South St Louis County

50-100K

West St Louis County

Saint Charles County

25-50K

Historical blocks of space Quarter

100K+

50-100K

25-50K

2013 Q3

11

27

46

2013 Q4

13

31

39

2014 Q1

14

26

64

2014 Q2

15

25

49

2014 Q3

15

18

55

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

9


Notable Transactions

Top Transactions Property Name

SF Leased or Sold

Company Name

Market

Laclede Gas Building

442,515

Brian Hayden

Saint Louis City

B

Sale

1900-1902 Pine St

73,119

Station Plaza Limited Partnership

St Louis City

B

Sale

Woodsmill Commons II

70,936

Centene Corporation

West St Louis County

B

Lease

500 N Broadway

60,000

Federal Reserve

St Louis City

A

Lease

Equitable Building

39,278

HOK

St Louis City

A

Lease

Riverport Tower

30,142

Sun Edison

Riverport

A

Lease

Rider Trail

29,160

IDX Corp

North St Louis County

B

Lease

Riverport Tower

27,723

Boeing

North St Louis County

A

Lease

600 Washington

18,000

Lewis, Rice & Fingersh

St Louis City

A

Lease

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

Building Lease/ Class Sale

10


Vacancy & Absorption

Net Absorption by Class

Vacancy Rate by Class

120,000

20.0% 17.5%

Net Absorption (SF)

Vacancy Rate (%)

15.0%

13.0%

10.0%

5.0%

96,993

100,000

16.5%

80,000 60,000

40,000 20,000 0 -1,176

-20,000 -40,000

0.0%

A

B

C

A

B

C

Net Absorption by Quarter

Vacancy Rate by Quarter

500,000

20%

16.8%

422,092

16.0% 15.5% 15.4% 15.4%

15%

400,000

Net Absorption (SF)

Vacancy Rate (%)

-40,132

-60,000

10%

5%

343,611

300,000

198,338

200,000 100,000

53,930 55,685

0

0%

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

2014 Q2

2014 Q3

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

2014 Q2

2014 Q3

Vacancy & Absorption continues to next page... 3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

11


Vacancy & Absorption [continued]

Vacancy Rate by Class 19.5%

20.0%

19.0% 16.7%

18.0%

16.0%

16.8%

Vacancy Rate (%)

16.0%

14.0%

10.5%

12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0%

0.0% A

B

CBD

C

Suburban

Net Absorption by Class 100,000

81,616

Net Absorption (SF)

80,000 60,000 40,000

15,377

15,803 2,807

20,000 A

B

C

(3,983)

(20,000) (40,000)

(55,935)

(60,000)

CBD

Suburban

3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

12


Xceligent St Louis Contact This information has been obtained from sources believed reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to independently confirm its accuracy.

For additional information about this report or to discuss membership in Xceligent please contact

Bonnie Devine (314) 452-3059 bdevine@xceligent.com Seth Brown (816) 914-9855 sbrown@xceligent.com James Cook (602) 363-6691 jcook@xceligent.com

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION 3Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

13


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