Office Market Trends - 2Q14

Page 1

St Louis, Missouri

2nd Quarter 2014

OFFICE

Market Trends

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION 2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved


Table of Contents/Methodology of Tracked Set

Table of Contents/Methodology of Tracked Set

2

St Louis Market Maps

3

Q2 2014 Overview

4

Overview by Submarket/ Property Type

5

Vacancy & Lease Rates

6-7

Biggest Absorption Changes

8

Available Space

9

Notable Transactions

10

Vacancy & Absorption

11-12

Xceligent St Louis Contact

13

The St Louis tracked set consists of an inventory of buildings considered to be competitive within the brokerage community. All buildings within the competitive tracked set have been reviewed and verified by members of the Advisory Boards for each market area. Inventory

The total square feet of all existing single and multi tenant office buildings greater than 15,000 SF, excluding owner occupied and medical buildings.

Total Available SF

All of the available leasable space within a building, whether it is occupied or vacant, for direct lease or sublease space. Space can be available but not vacant, for example, if the landlord, or his agent, is marketing space that will be coming available at a future date because a tenant is planning to move.

Total Vacant SF

The total of all of the vacant square footage within a building, including both direct and sublease space.

Direct Vacant SF

The total of the vacant square footage in a building that is being marketed by an agent representing the landlord.

Sublease SF

Space that is offered for lease by a current tenant, or his agent, within a property. Whether the tenant is paying rent or not, the space is considered vacant only if it is unoccupied.

Net Absorption

The net change in physically occupied space from quarter to quarter, expressed in square feet.

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

2


St Louis Office Markets

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

3


Q2 2014 Overview

Slow and steady positive movement is having significant impact.

Positive absorption in the past four quarters totals +818,635 square feet, an average of +204,659 square feet per quarter.

The total vacancy rate currently stands at 7.5 million square feet. This is a reduction of 9.8% in one calendar year.

With vacancy rates at 15.3% there is still product available to support continued growth. The gap between rental rates and replacement costs needs to be reduced prior to speculative construction.

500,000

17.5%

400,000

17.0% 16.5%

300,000

16.0% 200,000 15.5% 100,000

15.0%

0

14.5%

-100,000

14.0%

2013 Q2

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

Vacancy Rate (%)

Net Absorption (SF)

Historical Vacancy & Net Absorption

2014 Q2

Q2 2014 Market Overview by Property Type

# of Bldgs

Inventory (SF)

Total Total Vacant Available (SF) (SF)

Total Direct Direct Vacant Vacancy Vacancy (SF) Rate (%) Rate (%)

Available Qtrly Net YTD Net Sublease Absorption Absorption (SF) (SF) (SF)

A

136

20,515,113

3,943,494

2,737,544

13.3%

2,670,144

13.0% 244,092

-79,223

12,451

B

359

22,577,279

4,784,809

3,920,152

17.4%

3,885,191

17.2%

94,703

175,254

118,288

C

88

5,428,051

841,571

787,709

14.5%

787,709

14.5%

0

57,791

47,979

Grand Total

583

48,520,443

9,569,874

7,445,405

15.3%

7,343,044

15.1% 338,795

153,822

178,718

2Q 2014 Market Trends © 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

4


Overview by Submarket/ Building Class

# of Bldgs

Mid St Louis County

Inventory (SF)

Total Total Total Direct Available Vacancy Vacant (SF) Vacant (SF) (SF) Rate (%)

Direct Vacancy Rate (%)

Qtrly Net YTD Net Available Absorption Absorption Sublease (SF) (SF) (SF)

95

8,496,650

1,153,750

964,614

11.4%

935,445

11.0%

142,373

11,381

33,903

A

22

4,221,048

556,755

452,641

10.7%

430,537

10.2%

88,518

-35,106

-9,456

B

48

2,932,901

456,306

389,636

13.3%

382,571

13.0%

53,855

48,434

35,134

C

25

1,342,701

140,689

122,337

9.1%

122,337

9.1%

0

-1,947

8,225

90

7,332,097

1,685,782

1,176,006

16.0%

1,158,525

15.8%

17,481

122,279

91,360

A

19

2,839,298

633,487

266,606

9.4%

252,450

8.9%

14,156

18,406

13,422

B

51

3,409,417

768,062

656,271

19.2%

652,946

19.2%

3,325

14,873

-11,062

C

20

1,083,382

284,233

253,129

23.4%

253,129

23.4%

0

89,000

89,000

42

2,533,680

561,829

278,393

11.0%

278,393

11.0%

81,125

-22,009

-6,453

A

10

1,035,274

229,225

79,628

7.7%

79,628

7.7%

81,125

-14,012

-14,012

B

30

1,419,093

332,604

198,765

14.0%

198,765

14.0%

0

-7,997

7,559

C

2

79,313

0

0

0.0%

0

0.0%

0

0

0

Saint Louis City

145

16,073,150

3,640,372

3,037,837

18.9%

3,022,305

18.8%

28,800

36,870

46,644

A

18

5,768,067

1,416,385

1,198,144

20.8%

1,182,612

20.5%

28,800

-39,540

-17,656

B

103

8,024,263

1,880,362

1,496,068

18.6%

1,496,068

18.6%

0

107,797

92,475

C

24

2,280,820

343,625

343,625

15.1%

343,625

15.1%

0

-31,387

-28,175

42

2,366,074

374,227

347,180

14.7%

347,180

14.7%

0

-13,360

-13,339

A

9

712,138

136,470

140,873

19.8%

140,873

19.8%

0

-22,258

-21,448

B

24

1,332,111

213,258

185,648

13.9%

185,648

13.9%

0

-604

-1,583

C

9

321,825

24,499

20,659

6.4%

20,659

6.4%

0

9,502

9,692

169

11,718,792

2,153,914

1,641,375

14.0%

1,601,196

13.7%

69,016

18,661

26,603

A

58

5,939,288

971,172

599,652

10.1%

584,044

9.8%

31,493

13,287

61,601

B

103

5,459,494

1,134,217

993,764

18.2%

969,193

17.8%

37,523

12,751

-4,235

C

8

320,010

48,525

47,959

15.0%

47,959

15.0%

0

-7,377

-30,763

583

48,520,443

9,569,874

7,445,405

15.3%

7,343,044

15.1%

338,795

153,822

178,718

North St Louis County

Saint Charles County

South St Louis County

West St Louis County

Grand Total

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

5


Vacancy & Lease Rates

Total Vacancy Rate % 2013 Q2 Mid St Louis County

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

Asking Wtd Direct Lease Rate (FSG)

2014 Q1

2014 Q2

2013 Q2

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

2014 Q2

13.6%

12.4%

11.8%

11.5%

11.4%

$22.67

$23.01

$22.90

$22.66

$22.59

A

15.6%

13.6%

12.3%

11.2%

10.7%

$26.14

$26.31

$25.75

$25.72

$25.30

B

12.8%

11.9%

12.1%

12.8%

13.3%

$20.32

$20.58

$21.25

$21.18

$21.55

C

10.0%

10.4%

9.6%

9.0%

9.1%

$16.58

$16.70

$16.53

$16.50

$16.72

North St Louis County

20.1%

19.0%

17.3%

17.7%

16.0%

$18.31

$18.27

$18.03

$17.62

$18.99

A

10.0%

10.8%

10.3%

9.5%

9.4%

$20.62

$20.78

$21.02

$20.97

$20.97

B

25.5%

22.6%

18.2%

19.8%

19.2%

$17.43

$17.27

$17.05

$17.58

$18.01

C

30.2%

29.6%

31.0%

29.9%

23.4%

$16.87

$17.35

$16.44

$14.13

$17.02

11.2%

11.2%

10.7%

10.1%

11.0%

$14.56

$14.53

$14.51

$14.45

$14.08

A

6.5%

6.5%

6.5%

6.5%

7.7%

$19.15

$19.16

$19.15

$19.31

$18.78

B

15.2%

15.3%

14.5%

13.4%

14.0%

$13.17

$13.01

$12.97

$12.79

$12.76

C

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

$0.00

19.6%

19.8%

19.6%

19.1%

18.9%

$16.13

$16.46

$16.22

$16.48

$17.13

A

20.1%

20.6%

19.6%

20.6%

20.8%

$18.57

$18.82

$18.80

$18.40

$18.87

B

20.7%

20.8%

21.0%

19.6%

18.6%

$14.96

$15.19

$15.24

$15.28

$16.15

C

14.2%

13.9%

14.2%

13.7%

15.1%

$13.22

$13.26

$13.27

$13.25

$13.14

South St Louis County

17.5%

15.6%

13.9%

14.1%

14.7%

$18.85

$19.80

$20.10

$19.89

$20.47

A

21.8%

18.1%

16.8%

16.7%

19.8%

$22.84

$22.71

$22.49

$22.35

$22.46

B

16.6%

15.6%

15.2%

15.7%

13.9%

$18.28

$18.14

$18.89

$18.79

$19.35

C

10.3%

9.4%

6.4%

6.3%

6.4%

$17.15

$17.39

$17.38

$17.38

$16.37

15.7%

15.0%

14.1%

13.9%

14.0%

$20.79

$20.59

$20.51

$20.38

$21.17

A

13.8%

13.2%

12.6%

10.3%

10.1%

$23.93

$23.81

$23.64

$23.71

$24.54

B

18.7%

17.8%

15.9%

15.4%

18.2%

$17.62

$17.76

$17.81

$17.81

$17.70

C

6.2%

6.8%

13.5%

19.9%

15.0%

$19.10

$17.41

$20.37

$19.70

$17.33

Grand Total

17.2%

16.6%

15.8%

15.6%

15.3%

$18.69

$18.87

$18.83

$18.70

$19.25

Saint Charles County

Saint Louis City

West St Louis County

Vacancy & Lease Rates continues to next page... 2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

6


Vacancy & Lease Rates [continued]

Asking Lease Rate Range by Class $35.00 $33.00 $30.00

Asking Lease Rate (FSG)

$28.00 $25.00

$25.00 $23.07

$20.00 $17.57 $15.00

$15.78

$15.00

$10.00

$10.50

$10.00

$5.00

$0.00 A

B

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

C

7


Biggest Absorption Changes

Property Name

SF Occupied or Vacated

Company Name

Market

Building Class

West St Louis County

A

St Louis City

B

Westport

B

CityPlace 4

29,885 Climate Corp.

Millennium Center

23,625

12000 Building

16,562 YOH Services LLC

US Bank Plaza

14,302 MVP Law

St Louis City

B

Union Square Plaza

11,381 YMCA

St Louis City

B

West St Louis County

A

Mid St Louis County

A

St Charles County

A

Bel Aire V

Gore Perry Reporting & Video, Claim St Louis, Swan Corporation

8,127 Mississippi Sand

Old Town Executive Office

(11,565) NISA

5301 Veterans Memorial Pkwy

(11,805) Gallagher Bassett

Corporate Hill I

(12,679) Hesse Martone

West St Louis County

A

St Louis Place

(27,598) Fleishman-Hillard

St Louis City

A

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

8


Available Space

Largest Blocks of Available Space 40

35

30

25

20

15

10

5

0

Mid St Louis County

West St Louis County

Saint Louis City

50-100K

South St Louis County

25-50K

Saint Charles County

North St Louis County

10-25K

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

9


Notable Transactions

SF Leased

Sanford Brown Building

17,553

Union Square Plaza

11,381 YMCA

CityPlace 6

14,221 Stonegate Mortgage

West St Louis Creve Coeur County

A

CityPlace 4

13,585 Climate Corp

West St Louis Creve Coeur County

A

Maryland Place

16,600 Risk Consulting Partners

Mid St Louis County

Clayton

A

Gold Tower-Office Space

14,487 Metal Exchange

North St Louis County

Westport

B

Market

Submarket

Bldg Class

Property Name

SF Sold

Company Name

Lindenwood University (Expansion)

Company Name

143,649 Bamboo Woodcrest LLC Woodcrest Executive 36,895

Eagle Bank and Trust Company Of Mo

Submarket

Illinois North

Saint Louis City

Woodcrest Center,

4100 Lindell Blvd

Market

Bldg Class

Property Name

B

Midtown

West St Louis Creve Coeur County Saint Louis City

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

Central West End

B

B

B

10


Vacancy & Absorption

Net Absorption by Class

Vacancy Rate by Class

200,000

20.0%

16.0%

14.5%

13.3%

12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0%

4.0%

Net Absorption (SF)

Vacancy Rate (%)

18.0% 14.0%

175,254

17.4%

150,000 100,000 57,791

50,000 0 -50,000

2.0% 0.0%

A

B

C

A

16.5% 15.8%

16.0%

15.6% 15.3%

15.5% 15.0% 14.5%

14.0%

Net Absorption (SF)

Vacancy Rate (%)

420,560

16.6%

400,000

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

277,006

300,000 200,000

153,822

100,000 15,096

0 -100,000

2013 Q2

C

500,000

17.2%

17.0%

B

Net Absorption by Quarter

Vacancy Rate by Quarter 17.5%

-79,223

-100,000

-34,883

2014 Q2

2013 Q2

2013 Q3

2013 Q4

2014 Q1

2014 Q2

Vacancy & Absorption continues to next page... 2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

11


Vacancy & Absorption [continued]

Vacancy Rate by Class 25.0%

Vacancy Rate (%)

20.8%

18.6%

20.0%

16.7% 15.1% 14.1%

15.0% 10.4% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% A

B

St. Louis City

C

Suburban

Net Absorption (SF)

Net Absorption by Class 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 (20,000) (40,000) (60,000)

107,797

89,178 67,457

(39,540)

(31,387) (39,683) A

St. Louis City

B

C

Suburban

2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

12


Xceligent St Louis Contact This information has been obtained from sources believed reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to independently confirm its accuracy.

For additional information about this report or to discuss membership in Xceligent please contact

Bonnie Devine (314) 452-3059 bdevine@xceligent.com

Kevin Talbot (847) 910-7155 ktalbot@xceligent.com Steig Seaward

(303) 888-3177 sseaward@xceligent.com

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE INFORMATION 2Q 2014 Market Trends Š 2014 by Xceligent, Inc. All Rights Reserved

13


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