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Drillship aspirations Cruise survey results WINTER 2012

t om ily s a s.c Da ate pnew d hi up nos si w. ww

US trade realities

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Righting the ship Exclusive interview with Cosco’s Ma Zehua

Transport priorities under Xi Jinping ASEAN links “The Chinese shipping industry is facing an extremely severe test” — Zhang Shouguo, CSA


CONTENTS ■ ■ ■

■ ■ ■ Regulars 3 Editor’s Comment 4 Economy 6 Lines

The shipbuilding market won’t have a significant recovery in the next three years

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— Hu Wenming, China State Shipbuilding Corp

9 Yards 10 Offshore

I think the dry bulk market has already reached the bottom

13 Finance 15 Commodities 16 Logistics 17 Cruise

■ ■ ■ Profiles 19 Ma Zehua 21 Xin Jianmin 22 Zhang Shouguo 23 Wang Kunxiu

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— Ma Zehua, Cosco Group

We are focused on providing a door-to-door service to out-do our competitors — Xin Jianmin, Shanghai Ansheng Automotive Shipping

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■ ■ ■ Features

The Chinese shipping industry is facing an extremely severe test

24 Insurance 26 Propulsion 30 Ports

■ ■ ■ Hubs 32 Shanghai 33 Taipei 34 Hong Kong

■ ■ ■ Reviews

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There’s a dearth of high-end chemical shipping capacity in China — Wang Kunxiu, Dalian Port & Shipping Fund

35 Books

■ ■ ■ Opinions 36 Max Hong 37 Bei Hong 38 Andrew Craig Bennett

— Zhang Shouguo, China Shipowners’ Association

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Efficiency will be the key for port companies to cope with the winter of the industry — Chang Dechuan, Qingdao Port Group SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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UP FRONT ■ ■ ■

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An ASM publication EDITORIAL DIRECTOR Sam Chambers sam@asiashippingmedia.com CHIEF CORRESPONDENT Katherine Si katherine@asiashippingmedia.com CORRESPONDENT Jason Jiang jason@asiashippingmedia.com BEIJING Li Deng Bai SHANGHAI Engen Tham HONG KONG Alfred Romann DALIAN Mark Downing GUANGZHOU Wang Fanglei TAIPEI Joshua Samuel Brown CONTRIBUTORS Bei Hong, Charles De Trenck, Matthew Flynn, Paul French, Max Hong, Li Dong, Manish Singh, Andrew Craig Bennett PHOTOGRAPHERS André Eichman, Basil Pao, Cover: UBM All editorial material should be sent to sam@asiashippingmedia.com or mailed to Office 701, 9 Renmin Lu, Zhongshan District, Dalian, China 116001 COMMERCIAL DIRECTOR Grant Rowles grant@asiashippingmedia.com CHINA SALES DIRECTOR Tom Wu sales@asiashippingmedia.com SinoShip advertising agents are also based in Japan, Korea and Scandinavia — to contact a local agent email grant@asiashippingmedia.com for details. MEDIA KITS ARE AVAILABLE TO DOWNLOAD AT:

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Copyright © Asia Shipping Media Pte Ltd (ASM), 2012 www.asiashippingmedia.com Although every effort has been made to ensure that the information contained in this review is correct, the publishers accept no liability for any inaccuracies or omissions that may occur. All rights reserved. No part of the publication may be reproduced, stored in retrieval systems or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written permission of the copyright owner. For reprints of specific articles contact grant@asiashippingmedia.com. Twitter: @sinoship Linked In: SinoShip China Shipping Network

Eco stands for economics, not ecology WITHOUT WISHING TO sound like a broken record, for the second time in a row on this particular page of our magazine I am writing about obsolescence. For me the arrival of the so-called eco-ships and the potential demise of a huge swathe of the merchant fleet has become one of the biggest stories of the year. In October we hosted an Eco-Dollars Business Breakfast at the Fullerton Hotel in Singapore. Sponsored by Ideocean and Lloyd’s Register, the event created plenty of debate. Shaj Thayil, a vice president at Singapore’s Neptune Orient Lines, got the ball rolling, noting: “Certain segments have to scrap or change – that is inevitable, it is simple maths. Fuel prices have increased 153% since January 2009 and there is no indication of change. Older ships are no longer competitive and will have to move from the trading place.” Manish Singh, group managing director of Ideocean Holdings, pointed to a recent Lloyd’s Register industry survey that saw around 75% of respondents say VLCCs would be scrapped at 15 years or younger. “The supply situation will dictate matters,” he said, adding: “There will also be a faster rate of technological obsolescence.” “The market will dictate a lot of these things because if there is a shortage of tonnage then the eco debate is less relevant where as if the overcapacity remains then ships will have to be scrapped,” said Iain Wilson, regional marine manager for Lloyd’s Register Asia. Noël Jelsma from Eniram, a firm specialising in providing tools for ships to reduce fuel bills, commented: “The sectors that have seen the most rapid uptake of eco technology are those ones in the public eye, the cruise sector and the container industry, and those that are lagging behind are the tanker and bulker sectors as they are a bit more isolated from that scrutiny but also there is a bigger disconnect between investment and financial benefit.”

Finland’s Eniram’s biggest client base is the cruise sector “The challenge for us now,” said Jelsma, “is how to put more pressure into the tanker and bulker sectors to increase the uptake there. It will be driven by economics. We use the term green and we use the term eco all the time but I think in this sense eco is for economics and not ecology. It is the money that drives all this.” LR’s Wilson maintained slow take up was down to the regulatory environment, with owners not investing until they had to. “People will not invest in something that does not pay back and the majority of shipowners will hang back until they have to thanks to the regulatory environment,” he said. Watch out for plenty more topical business breakfasts across the region next year.

Sam Chambers Editor sam@asiashippingmedia.com SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ ECONOMY

FRIEND OR FOEAmerica’s trade relationship is vastly different than how politicians play it up at election time

The panda’s here to buy, not to steal The US election once again had a surfeit of China sabre rattling. Paul French smotes most of these falsehoods

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2010 China was the number two market for American agricultural products after Canada. So, China is shaping up as a very important market for America – one that does supply some consumer goods but also buys rather a lot in the form of goods, food and services. Slowly many parts of the US government do seem to be realising this – for instance, Homeland Security is now issuing a lot more visas a lot faster to high spending Chinese tourists who’ve done so much to boost retail sales of luxury goods in Hong Kong, Singapore Growth of US exports to top 10 markets, 2000-2011 600 500 Growth in exports %

the world during that period) is not heard often unfortunately. Third, while in general economic terms some US states are clearly doing better economically than others, in terms of exporting to China everyone’s got a finger in the pie. According to the US-China Business Council, 48 of America’s 50 states registered at least tripledigit export growth to China since 2000, with 20 states experiencing quadruple-digit growth. Fourth, it is true that American manufacturing jobs have been lost through relocation to China (and Mexico, Turkey, Vietnam, Mauritius, Bangladesh and a couple of dozen other places) but America’s farmers have found a new market. In both agriculture and services the US runs a trade surplus with China: from 20002010, US exports of services (education, copyrights, training etc) to China increased by 290% and China’s agricultural imports from the US rose by an average annual rate of 31%. By

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AMONG THE MANY hot potatoes tossed around by America’s two presidential candidates in this year’s fiercely fought campaign was China and the jobs drain across the Pacific. Much of the rhetoric just did not add up as this look at the US-China trade relationship makes clear. First, let’s get some perspective - not everything in America is made in China. Just 2.7% of US personal consumption expenditure on goods and services in 2010 was on madein-China goods and services. Second, let’s knock on the head the idea that it’s all a oneway traffic and China buys nothing from America. China is America’s fastestgrowing export market and the country’s third-largest buyer of US goods and services after Canada and Mexico (obviously neighbours). With all the talk about China as a “demon exporter” the stat that between 2000-2011, US exports to China rose 542% (compared to export growth of just 81% to the rest of

Source: US-China Business Council

and Western Europe of late. Now let’s turn our attention to that other regular source of political outrage in America with China – the convertibility or otherwise of the RMB and accusations of currency manipulation. China is still accused of protecting its currency. True, it is not convertible internationally and so is protected somewhat. However, it does fluctuate and the RMB has appreciated significantly since Beijing broke its currency peg in 2005. According to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), between January 2005 and August 2012, the RMB appreciated 31% on a real basis and 25% on a nominal basis. The politicians can still argue about this but the (supposedly) impartial US Treasury stated back in May this year that: “China’s exchange rate has appreciated and is up about 13% against the US dollar when accounting for differences in inflation since June 2010, and 40% since 2005.” More confrontational was Mitt Romney’s assertion that China is a currency manipulator. Is it? Well, Beijing does manipulate its currency in the sense of pegging it to the dollar. Actually, about 60 nations and states (including the Hong Kong dollar) globally do this and this does not violate WTO or IMF rules. For the policy wonks in Washington China will remain a key campaign issue four years from now but perhaps not so much with the ordinary voter in America more concerned about day-to-day issues as ever. Invariably in presidential campaigns there’s a lot of hot air about China, and Romney’s pledge to list China as a “currency manipulator” probably falls into this category. As we’ve seen time and again, once whoever takes their seat in the Oval Office they tend to calm down, face the realpolitik and make nice to Beijing.


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■ ■ ■ LINES

order up to 80 tankers worth billions of dollars by 2020. Cosco Dalian got the ball rolling with a ten-ship order.

In what SinoShip understands is the first part of a greater joining of forces Cosco and China Shipping announced in October they will collaborate on some domestic container trade routes for the first time. “This move is just the start of an intensive cooperation in domestic container shipping between CSCL and COSCO,” China Shipping Container Lines said in a statement. Sources in Beijing tell SinoShip that both shipping giants have come under pressure from government to work together before any further capital is handed to them

In arguably the shipping news story of the year SinoShip broke details in August of a mammoth VLCC pool that will see Cosco, China Shipping and China Merchants club together to

A joint venture between China’s energy major CNPC and Venezuela’s PDVSA have joined forces ordering two plus two VLCCs at Bohai Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Company (BSIC). China Venezuela Shipping Co (CVSC), or Zhongwei Shipping, is headquartered in Singapore.

Mid-sized bulker operator Ningbo Marine’s protracted takeover by local utility firm Zhejiang Provincial Energy finally went through in October, taking three months longer than initially planned.

Cosco boss Wei Jiafu said he is keen to diversify away from pure shipping and would like to get into offshore like Maersk. Cosco’s flagship listed vehicle, China Cosco Holdings, has lost a whopping $841m in the first nine months of the year.

October and will focus on domestic chemical tanker operations having acquired Shanghai Sanhan Shipping. The aim is to build up a fleet of 20 ships within three years.

The world’s largest container manufacturer has become a shipowner in a move to help ease the funding crunch facing one of the world’s top containerlines. China International Marine Containers (CIMC) is building ten 9,200 teu boxships in Dalian to go on charter to France’s CMA CGM.

Court cases continued to rack up against Taiwanese shipping tycoon Nobu Su. The owner of TMT has seen a number of his ships arrested and newbuild orders cancelled in Korea as the downturn has found the former high-flyer struggle.

There’s a new local government-backed owner in the northeast. Dalian Hezhong Shipping was established in

Evergreen said it will delay plans to build up to 60 more medium-small sized boxships until the expansion of Panama Canal is completed in 2015.

Hong Kong’s Pacific Basin has bagged a bargain Japanesebuilt handysize in the past quarter, it revealed in a trading update. The Hong Kong bulker major’s acquisition is the first since October 2011, but is likely to be followed by a number of other purchases. “We are actively looking at more ship buying opportunities to expand our core fleet at attractive prices,” the company said in a statement.

Intermodal rail survey FPSO buildup Haichang’s changing fleet Summer 2012

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Features in Issue 1 next year include repair, breakbulk and a shippers special. Contact grant@asiashippingmedia.com for advertising details


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YARDS ■ ■ ■

FUTURE SHIPEurope leads the world in forward thinking designs

Technology pursuit Guangzhou correspondent Wang Fenglei studies Chinese intentions on European design houses SHIPBUILDING’S WINTER IS likely to be an Ice Age with the most pessimistic analysts saying that yard doldrums could persist all the way through to 2020. New ship orders for the Chinese have plummeted by 50% year-on-year so far with over one third of yards failing to receive a single order in 2012. Orders in hand at Chinese yards have also dropped by 30%. Shiyards are folding fast. It has even got to the point where the boss of giant staterun China State Shipbuilding Corporation, Hu Wenming, has got excited about constructing fishing vessels to fill the gap. “I think the shipbuilding market won’t have a significant recovery in the next three years,” Hu said, on the sidelines of the 18th Party Congress Conference in Beijing this November.

However, as with all crises opportunities present themselves. For the Chinese, especially those backed by the state, the quiet times give them chances to vault up the technology ladder at the expense of others. CSSC’s Hu realises this, telling reporters of the urgency for the Chinese to gain access to new technology.

and oil & gas division, said that Chinese yards should consider buying or teaming up with European yards to strengthen their competitiveness. Stronger ship design competence would help Chinese yards tackle the challenges posed by growing levels of environmental regulation being imposed

Chinese yards must tackle the challenges posed by growing levels of environmental regulation A glance across the world’s most futuristic and talked about ship designs shows a heavy preponderance to Europe, and it has here that the Chinese have set their sights on acquisitions. In a recent interview with China Daily Remi Eriksen, chief executive officer of Det Norske Veritas’s maritime

on the global industry, Eriksen maintained. Some Chinese companies have already started making moves. Aviation Industry Corp of China (AVIC), one of the largest state-owned aerospace companies, for instance, recently acquired Deltamarin, a Finlandbased ship design company.

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Percentage decline year-on-year in orders at Chinese yards in the first ten months

AVIC has expanded steadily into shipbuilding in recent years, and currently controls several shipyards in China. AVIC now wants to acquire niche yards – and not just in China but across the world. Meanwhile, China State Industry Corp, the northern state-run umbrella of shipyards, is also in the market for ship and offshore design firms to aid concept designs across its stable of builders, top management has indicated. It recently lost out in a bidding war for rig designer GustoMSC, a subsidiary of Dutch SBM Offshore, which has just been sold to private equity firm Parcom Capital for $185m. Expect plenty of Chinese buyers for European design houses in 2013. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ OFFSHORE

Top of the pile Katherine Si on China’s drillship ambitions DRILLSHIPS REPRESENT THE absolute cream of the crop when it comes to shipyard orders, with contracts consistently north of half a billion dollars a pop. The rarified sector has been the preserve of the biggest names in Korean shipbuilding, but the Chinese have made plain it is yet another slice of business they are keen to swipe. This autumn, Dalian Shipbuilding Industry Co (DSIC) signed with Norway’s Norshore for one plus three options of small-sized multipurpose drillships, which can work in waters as deep as 3,000 m while the drilling depth could reach 10,000 m. DSIC beat out 12 yards from around the world for the prestigious order. The ship is designed for riserless top-hole drilling and well intervention operations in the North Sea. DSIC has developed its own design, not too dissimilar to the ones that Norshore had built in Indonesia a couple of years ago. DSIC’s news comes hot on the heels of Shanghai Shipyard’s impressive debut in the sector. At the beginning of June Shanghai Shipyard started construction of China’s first designed drillship. The 45,000 gt drillship, 170 m in length and 32 m in breadth, was ordered by Singapore’s Opus Offshore in September 2011 and is a two plus two option order. The fist ship is set to deliver in the first quarter of 2014. The socalled Tiger series can operate in water depths of up to 1,500 m and are capable of drilling up to 10,000 m.

First of many? “The technology competitiveness, project contract ability and the cost increase will not slow the development of the offshore industry in China,” 10

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says Xu Li, director of the technology department at China Classification Society. Quite so, agrees Chen Jun, deputy general manager of Shanghai Waigaoqiao Shipbuilding (SWS). He notes: “The nation has decided to strengthen the exploration of the ocean, and the domestic demand for energy is great. Meanwhile, there are some new emerging markets in Africa, such as Nigeria, all of these will bring lots of opportunities for the drilling industry.”

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SWS has put plenty of resources into developing its own drillship designs, as has Cosco Dalian and SinoShip understands that Nantong Cosco KHI Ship Engineering (NACKS) also has started marketing its drillship credentials. Separately, STX Dalian has built and delivered two units of

Huisman’s design Globetrotter drillships for Noble, now currently working for Shell. The hull and marine systems were commissioned in China. The Globetrotter then sailed, on its own power, to the Netherlands, where its drilling systems were installed at Huisman’s yard. Nevertheless, SWS’s Chen is honest when he says, “Constructing drilling platforms is difficult. Most of the supporting facilities are imported, plus the technology requirements are higher now, especially after the oil leak accident in the Gulf of Mexico.” This is something picked up on by Zhang Guanghao, business development manager, offshore China, for Germanischer Lloyd. “For the China drilling industry, I think the biggest difficulty is that China cannot complete the whole construction plus the follow up works such as installation and maintenance independently. Much of the equipment, material and the parts China must import from other countries, the supporting services in China are not strong and big enough.” In addition, Zhang points out that European designs still dominate the scene. The problem of importing so much material is one that

government has acknowledged and has set about ensuring China becomes a serious offshore equipment manufacturer in the coming decade. By common consent Chinese yards are not too experienced in detailed engineering and project management. This includes installation of the drilling equipment and related equipment onboard the vessels as per internationally recognised standards. It is early days for China’s drillship aspirations but many feel that like so many other strands of the shipbuilding industry it is only a matter of time till the country gets on top of this technically demanding ship type. “I think that once Chinese yards are given the opportunity to build a series of same design vessels, plus they have a strict owner dictating proper fabrication, quality and safety processes, we should see Chinese yards being preferred due to lower costs in labour and steel,” says a Singaporean source working at a private Chinese yard. “When the China state oil majors start to build drillships in China, then the confidence and track record will follow,” concludes a Norwegian source.


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FINANCE ■ ■ ■

Belaboured libor Engen Tham looks at the PRC reaction to one of Britain’s biggest banking scandals THE LONDON INTERBANK Offered Rate, known as Libor, has been engulfed in a scandal of gargantuan proportions, since it came to light in June this year that Barclays, a bank that submitted rates to determine Libor, had been reporting false numbers from as early as 2005. The bank admitted attempting to manipulate Libor for its own benefit in June. Tremors from the admission have spread and compounded as Barclays’ chief executive resigned, other international banks — including Lloyds, RBS and Deutsche Bank — admitted rigging rates, and US, Canadian and Swiss authorities gear up to question other banks allegedly involved in the mire. Libor covers a set of benchmark rates, published daily and which, prior to the scandal, was managed by the British Bankers’ Association (BBA). Each rate is supposed to reflect the cost to a group of banks of borrowing unsecured funds for a certain currency for a specific loan period. Every day, each one of a group of leading banks submits rates for each currency for each length of loan. The highest and lowest quartiles are rejected and an average figure is calculated from the remaining submissions. The benchmark reportedly underpins $300trn worth of financial instruments. Following the uncovering of Barclays’ actions, the British government instigated a review of Libor. Many expected the review, published in September, to sing the swansong of the disgraced benchmark. Instead, it recommended a number of revisions to the way Libor is calculated and new checks and balances to prevent future manipulation.

STILL STANDING The City of London is putting the fixing disgrace behind it

The China angle Chinese banks that enter into ship finance documents with an international element will often be governed by English law. Under these agreements, Libor is often inserted as a reference figure for the purpose of calculating the interest to be received. Despite the rate having little direct bearing on the actual cost to a Chinese bank of funding the loan, Libor is drafted into English law governed ship finance

documents as it is an internationally recognised pricing benchmark. The use of Libor, in part, standardises a finance document and makes it easier, in certain circumstances, for a Chinese bank to court foreign participation in its loan and international borrowers. Since Libor is to be reformed rather than replaced, it is likely that few amendments will need to be made to existing ship finance agreements. Minor amendments

It is unlikely that there will be a major shift away from the use of the benchmark by Chinese banks

may have to be made to provisions which refer to the BBA since it stepped down as the rate administrator. More significant amendments would have to be made if Chinese banks and borrowers decide to replace Libor entirely. However, despite Libor’s fall from grace, it is unlikely that there will be a major shift away from the use of the benchmark by Chinese banks. “I don’t anticipate in the near future at least, Chinese banks dropping Libor as a reference. Generally, everybody is adopting a wait and see attitude – watching to see what other leading banks do whilst following closely the British government’s attempts to try and clean up the computation of Libor,” says Sharon Ho, a senior associate specialising in ship and aircraft finance at Berwin Leighton Paisner LLP. It may be that the most significant impact the Libor scandal has on Chinese ship finance is the erosion of Chinese trust in the British financial regulatory system. On the other hand, given the lack of true alternatives, the scandal may be remembered only as a refining force on an antiquated system that once worked when only a handful of banks and people were involved. It may become a footnote to a wave of activity that increased the accountability of benchmarks across the globe. “People have been sitting up and asking that the various banking associations around the world that have their own versions of Libor make sure that their benchmarks accurately reflect the market position and are not subject to nor open to manipulation by a couple of banks,” says Ho. Only time will tell. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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COMMODITIES ■ ■ ■

Inevitable increase Dalian correspondent Mark Downing provides a lowdown on the nation’s growing use of ethylene OIL IS SECOND only to coal as a lifeblood for China, the world’s largest energy consumer. Most is processed into diesel for trucks, tractors and electrical generators, or gasoline for its expanding fleet of cars, but a largely overlooked portion — more than one out of every eight barrels of oil — is converted into naphtha destined for the cracking feedstocks that principally produce ethylene. As one of the most commercially important building blocks of the petrochemical industry, produced by more than 100 companies across a quarter of the world’s countries, ethylene is widely used in such major industries as textiles, automotives and construction. Globally, its production exceeds that of any other organic compound to the extent that it is often viewed as a barometer of the state of the petrochemical industry, with production costs nearly tied lockstep to crude oil prices. China will consume 10m barrels of oil a day in 2013, forecasts the International Energy Agency. Despite its own substantial reserves, China is increasingly dependent on

foreign oil, now importing 57% of its annual consumption, according to China’s State Council Information Office. China has also become a net importer of naphtha, with some estimates of about 2.4m tonnes to be imported this year, trending downwards as more local crude production capacity is being added.

year to 3.8% this year to reach 33m tonnes, said Shu Zhaoxia, chief analyst for chemicals at Sinopec, at a recent conference in Singapore. To make up for this domestic shortfall, China is undergoing a national push to increase production, potentially reaching an ethylene production capacity of 17m tonnes by next

China’s annual capacity of 15m tonnes is expected to hit 26m tonnes by 2015 China’s annual ethylene production capacity is about half of the US, the world’s largest, and slightly less than that of Saudi Arabia. At roughly 1% of worldwide capacity, China’s annual capacity of 15m tonnes is expected to grow between 5 to 7% per year to reach nearly 26m tonnes by the conclusion of its latest five-year plan in 2015, according to Zhang Fuqin, a senior engineer at the China Petroleum and Petrochemical Engineering Institute. Domestic demand for ethylene is also growing, but owing to the economic slowdown has dropped pace from 5% last

year. Both of the major producers Sinopec and China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) are planning two new ethylene plants, with many existing plants being earmarked for upgrades. Reducing China’s dependence on importing foreign technology, CNPC just powered up the country’s first ethylene plant based on domestically developed technology at Daqing Petrochemical, initially slated to produce 600,000 tonnes per year. Remarkably, such expansion projects are increasingly susceptible to public pressure, such as the recent protest at

one of China’s largest refineries in Ningbo. There, residents appear to have coerced the local authorities to halt the planned $8.9bn expansion for fears of worsened air pollution from an increase in Sinopec plant’s oilrefining capacity and ethylene production. Despite the economic slowdown, demand for naphtha will continue to grow over the next three years even while its dominance in the feedstock mix may slip from 70% to 65%, forecasts Shu. Chinese producers are choosing cheaper alternatives such as synthetic coal gas, coalto-liquid and may eventually tap shale gas. China may become second in the world, after North America, to exploit shale gas reserves as a low-cost feedstock, according to Balaji Singh, president of consultancy Chemical Market Resources. With the first North American shale gasrelated crackers expected to be operational no earlier than 2016, Chinese development is likely much later. Many doubt the practicality, considering both China’s dwindling water resources available for fracking coupled with the sizeable infrastructure investment to reach its most studied shale gas fields in the northwest — costly to bring to market despite the political drive for such inland development. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ LOGISTICS

MUDDY BEGINNINGSMany jungle roads are being built linking Southeast Asia

Southern links Jason Jiang identifies growing transport infrastructure between China and ASEAN THE CHINA-ASEAN FREE Trade Area (ACFTA) came into effect on January 1, 2010. It is the third largest free trade area in terms of population and nominal GDP, and the vibrant development of ACFTA has been pushing economic integration in the region. Bilateral trade volumes between China and the southeast Asian cluster of nations have been growing at more than 20% a year of late, achieving a record $362.9bn in 2011. China is now ASEAN’s biggest trade partner, and ASEAN is China’s third largest. China is now keen to lower tariffs within the free trade area. By 2015, the policy of zero-tariff rates for 90% of traded goods is expected to include four new ASEAN members, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam. As trade growth escalates, integrated logistics cooperation is seen as essential. China hopes to speed up the development in the logistics sector, and has participated in and provided supporting funds to construct key infrastructure to improve the connectivity between ASEAN member states. 16

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Ports As a main gateway to ASEAN, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region has firmly positioned itself as an important logistics hub to the region. In June this year, the governments of China and Malaysia launched the China-Malaysia Industrial Park in the fast emerging port city of Qinzhou in Guangxi with a strong focus to boost trade between the two countries. The park is located beside the port economic development zone and port bonded area, the nation’s only bonded area in the western coastal region and the near-

signed agreements to build a new shipbuilding base in Qinzhou costing up to RMB10bn. It will end the history of no modern shipbuilding enterprises along the coastal areas of Guangxi upon completion. “Currently trade between China and ASEAN countries has been growing rapidly. The Beibu Gulf region is facing big opportunities,” said Hu Wenming, CSSC’s president. Large infrastructure development projects are planned for Guangxi ‘s ports at Fangchenggang, Qinzhou and Beihai.

Roads Currently 65% of the trade volume between China and ASEAN is done by ship. Land transportation is relatively lagging behind due to inadequate transport infrastructure and low levels of trade facilitation. However, China is determined to make efforts to

The China-ASEAN Free Trade Area is the third largest in the world in terms of population and GDP est to the ASEAN region. Not long after the park launched, the contract for a second joint Sino-Malaysian industrial park was signed. The park will be based in Kuantan, the largest city on Malaysia’s eastern coast. In September, China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC)

improve the sector. At the recent China-ASEAN Business and Investment Summit, China’s heir apparent Xi Jinping elaborated on a few suggestions to improve land connectivity. “The integration and facilitation of China - ASEAN land transportation systems is a complex

process,” reports a local Guangxi official, adding: “It requires a general consideration of both overall interest of the region and the separate interests of the countries involved. Governments and enterprises in the region should strengthen communication and coordination to develop a complete plan for the common interest. We are willing to build a common investment and financing platform to strengthen the development of land transportation with ASEAN.” In August, the NanningHanoi international road transportation route commenced operation, which established a preliminary network for the long planned NanningSingapore Economic Corridor connecting China, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore with about 3,500 km of modern road and rail links, and cross-border economic initiatives. Extensive new roads linking Yunnan province with Vietnam, Myanmar and Laos have been built in the past decade.

Air Yunnan province is developing a so-called ‘air economic corridor’ with a special focus on ASEAN. The province has announced plans to build and upgrade four airports in the next three years and double the number of international flights in and out of the province over the same period. Changshui International Airport in provincial capital, Kunming, started operations in June this year becoming the fourth largest airport in China with a designed cargo capacity of 950,000 tonnes annually. Further plans will see capacity expand to 2.3m tonnes annually by 2040. The airport plans to raise the number of international routes from the current 18 to 40, with most servicing ASEAN destinations. Transport links between these two vibrant economic areas are clearly set to become properly intertwined.


CRUISE ■ ■ ■

Plenty still to do Have international cruiselines properly catered for

Have international cruiselines properly catered for More than 400 people the Have international cruiselines properly catered for Haveunique international cruiselines properly catered for tastes, demands and cultures ofcultures Chinese the unique tastes, demands and of Chinese thetastes, unique tastes, demands and cultures of Chinese the unique thusdemands far? holidaymakers thusand far?cultures of Chinese responded to our online holidaymakers holidaymakers holidaymakers thus far? thus far? poll on the potential of 21.7% 21.7% YES YES 21.7% 21.7% cruise shipping in China 78.3% YES YES 78.3%

NO NO

NO NO

78.3%

Which cityWhich in China the best facilities? cityhas in China hascruise the best cruise facilities? cityhas in China hascruise the best cruise facilities? Which cityWhich in China the best facilities? Shanghai Shanghai 29.4% Shanghai 29.4% 3.9% Tianjin Tianjin 3.9% 9.8% Xiamen Xiamen 9.8% 7.8% Sanya Sanya KongSanya 7.8% Hong 47.1% Hong Kong Kong Hong KongHong 47.1% Dalian 2.0% Dalian Dalian Dalian 2.0%

Shanghai ShanghaiShanghai Tianjin Shanghai Xiamen Tianjin Hong Kong HongShanghai Kong Xiamen Hong Kong Hong Kong Sanya

78.3%

SINOSHIP’S FIRST EV ER online poll generated both a lot of response and fascinatSo far international cruise liners haveliners opted to opted to So far international cruise have So international far international cruise liners have opted to So farininternational cruise liners have opted to apply bring their concept and apply it to ing results. What became bring in their international concept and it to bring in their international concept and apply it to bring in their international concept and apply it to Chinese tourists. It works but probably it makes sense to come Chinese tourists. It works but probably it makes sense to come clear via the poll is that Chinese tourists. Chinese tourists. It probably works butitprobably itthe makes sense to come It works but makes sense to come up with new models that focus more on Chinese upbusiness with new business models that focus more on the Chinese upneeds, with new business models that focus more on is the Chinese both the Chinese and interup with new business models focus more on the Chinese consumer`s especially as local Chinese competition consumer`s needs, that especially as local Chinese competition is needs, especially as local Chinese competition is consumer`s needs, especially as Chinese competition and consumer`s working onworking China focused concepts. national cruiselines have rising rising and onlocal China focused concepts. is andon working on China focused concepts. rising and rising working China focused concepts. many hurdles if they are to nurture the industry in the to cater forto the ships that region. cater fordeployed the shipsto deployed to that region. cater fordeployed the ships to deployed to that region. to cater fortothe ships that region. People’s Republic. “Despite the clear enormous potential for the Are Chinese agents capable reaching Aretravel Chinese travel agentsofcapable of the reaching the Are travel Chinese travel agents of capable of reaching the Are Chinese agents capable reaching themoment? Chinese cruise market, whatChinese consumer market properly the moment? Chinese consumer marketat properly at the Chinese consumer market at properly at the moment? Chinese consumer market properly the moment? our survey shows is that 39.1% 39.1% 39.1% 39.1% there is still much to do 60.9% 60.9% NO YES NO YES 60.9% 60.9% NOYES YES NO whether it is on infrastructure, regulations, expertise or human resources,” commented SinoShip’s editor Sam Much moreMuch mustmore be done enhance interestthe interest musttobe done tothe enhance Chambers. Much more mustin doneItto the interest Much more must be done tobe enhance interest of potential tourists China. isthe aenhance matter of ofcruise potential cruise tourists in China. It is a matter of Hong Kong beat out time/mentality ofcruise potential cruise tourists It isofa matter of oftime/mentality potential tourists in China. Itin isChina. a matter to get used cruise holidays. toto get used to cruise holidays. time/mentality to get used to cruise holidays. time/mentality to get used to cruise holidays. Shanghai to win the crown of may have distribution channels and methods, They certain may have certain distribution channels and methods, best cruise facilities in They They may have certain in distribution channels and methods, Theynot may have certain distribution channels methods, but the skills and the cruise product, but not the expertise skills and expertise inand the cruisethe product, the but not the skills and expertise in the cruise product, the China. Xiamen and Sanya brands but notorthe skills and expertise in the cruise product, the the destinations - a big gap-in market brands or the destinations a big gap knowledge in market knowledge brands or the destinations a big gap in market knowledge brands or the destinations a big gap in market knowledge is required, were in third and fourth exists and training exists and training isquickly. required, quickly. and required, quickly. exists and exists training is training required,isquickly. position.

29.4% 29.4% 3.9% 3.9% 9.8% 9.8% 7.8% 7.8% 47.1% 47.1% 2.0% 2.0%

Hong KongHong is theKong best cruise of the above is the destination best cruise destination of the above Kong is the best destination of the above Hong KongHong isnecessarily the best cruise destination of the above list, it doesn’t have thecruise best cruise facilities list, it doesn’t necessarily have the best cruise facilities list, it doesn’t necessarily have the best cruise facilities list, it doesn’t necessarily have the best cruise facilities today but astoday a destination it is great foritaisone dayfor visit. It has but as a destination great a one daymany visit. It has many today but as atodestination itais great forvisit. a one daymany visit. It has many today but a destination itcater is great one day It has sights andas experiences forfor all tastes. All cities sights and experiences to cater for allthe tastes. Alllisted the cities listed sights and experiences to cater forAll allrequirements tastes. All theincities listed sights and experiences to cater forfacilities all tastes. the cities above will have cruise facilities well above their above will have cruise well above theirlisted requirements in above will cruise facilities well above requirements in above will have cruise facilities well above in to make the coming years, buthave will thebut local authorities adapttheir to make the coming years, will the their localrequirements authorities adapt the coming years, but will the local authorities adapt to make the coming years, but will the local authorities adapt to make visits in their cities stress free? visits inenjoyable their citiesand enjoyable and stress free? visits in enjoyable their citiesand enjoyable and stress free? visits in their cities stress free? The four major cruise homeports - Shanghai,- Shanghai, Hong Kong, The four major cruise homeports Hong Kong, The four major cruise homeports - Shanghai, Hong Kong, The four major cruise homeports - Shanghai, Hong Kong, This is an indication here the facilities are best. are best. This is an that indication that here the facilities This is an indication thatfacilities here theare facilities This is an indication that here the best. are best.

Are Chinese doing enough promote Aredestinations Chinese destinations doingtoenough to promote Aredestinations Chinese doing enough to promote Are Chinese doing enough to promote western consumers todestinations cruise in orinlines toor visit western consumers toChina cruise China lines to visit western consumers toChina cruiseor in lines Chinatoorvisit lines to visit western destinations? consumers to cruise in Chinese Chinese destinations? Chinese destinations? Chinese destinations?

YES YES

NO NO

YES YES

6.5% 6.5% 93.5% 93.5%

6.5% 6.5% 93.5% 93.5%

NO NO

While Chinese have beenhave doing a doing a Whiledestinations Chinese destinations been While Chinese destinations have been doing a While Chinese destinations have been doing lot, probably more clear and relaxed regulatory lot,aprobably a more clear and relaxeda regulatory lot, aincrease more clear and relaxed regulatory lot, probably aprobably more be clear and relaxed regulatory environment would be needed to success. environment would needed to increase success. environment would be increase success. environment would be needed toneeded increasetosuccess. The destinations are behindare thebehind curve inthe both developing the The destinations curve in both developing the destinations are behind the curve in both developing the The destinations are behind the curve in both developing the cruise portThe product and then promoting this internationally. cruise port product and then promoting this internationally. port product and then promoting this internationally. cruise portcruise product and then promoting this internationally.

For full details of the online poll contact sam@asiashippingmedia.com

Launching at Cruise Shipping Miami

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PROFILE ■ ■ ■

Rational thinker An exclusive interview with Ma Zehua, the president of Cosco

A

man for straitened times; Ma Zehua cuts a very different dash to the showman who has come to define the Cosco Group for the past two decades. When he was appointed president of China’s most powerful maritime conglomerate in August 2011 Ma was well known in Chinese shipping circles, a polar opposite to the man he was taking over from, Wei Jiafu. Parachuted onto a stormy deck, Ma’s initial role was — and continues to be — to right the ship of the state-run giant which has been hemorrhaging billions of renminbi in the downturn; what his eventual mission may be is the source of much conjecture — with plenty of speculation of merger between Cosco and the nation’s number two line, China Shipping. Were a merger of any kind to be on the cards — the rumour mill posits that for either company to get more cash out of Beijing the mandarins are calling for closer cooperation — then Ma is the perfect man for the job. A graduate from Shanghai Maritime University, Ma joined Cosco in 1977 and, like Wei, held many senior positions at home and overseas before a five-year recent stint at China Shipping. In the middle of October this year there was a historic announcement: Cosco and China Shipping would collaborate on some domestic container trade routes for the

first time. China Shipping Container Lines (CSCL) and Cosco Container Lines will jointly operate trade routes from northeast China to Fujian and Guangdong. “This move is just the start of an intensive cooperation in domestic container shipping between CSCL and Cosco,” CSCL said in a statement. Ma, however, would not be drawn on merger speculation between China’s two largest maritime conglomerates. Speaking at the UBM-organised TPM Asia conference in Shenzhen, Ma said: “The leadership in recent years for these two companies has had much interaction. There is much speculation on what we will do together. I cannot tell you whether we will merge; I will have to let you guess.” Ma did say, however, that the two companies would strengthen cooperation in the coming years, and not just in container shipping.

Righting the ship Ma’s top priority, as already stated, is to get the conglomerate back in the black. “My main goal as the president of the company,” Ma tells SinoShip in an exclusive interview, “is to help the company to get through the current difficulties.” The red ink does continue to flow, albeit less than in previous quarters. Cosco’s flagship, Hong Kong-listed China Cosco Holdings, posted a third quarter net

loss of RMB1.53bn ($245m), an improvement on the RMB2.07bn loss a year earlier. The bulker/containership operator has racked up a whopping RMB5.25bn ($841m) loss for the first nine months of the year. “We will be a money-losing company for the whole of 2012 due to overcapacity in the shipping industry and the slumping freight price of dry bulk cargoes,” the company’s financial statement noted. It is dry bulk that has really hurt Cosco this downturn, but Ma is hopeful that the darkest days are over. “I think the dry bulk market has already reached the bottom,” he tells SinoShip, maintaining: “It won’t get worse.” Overall, Ma reckons China might need another two or three years to reach a balance in supply and demand for the shipping market. On the container front that equilibrium is a long way off, he admitted in a keynote speech at this year’s well-attended TPM Asia conference. “Next year the market will still have to handle the overcapacity problems,” he said, adding: “Longstanding structural problems cannot be solved overnight.” He slammed the container shipping industry as a whole for focusing for too long on chasing market share, while also bemoaning the fact that some carriers are taking advantage of low newbuild prices at the moment to order further prolonging the box downturn. “Excessive capacity will take a long time to digest,” Ma said. “Ship orders should be placed on actual demand, not forecast demand.” “We need to change our pattern of development,” Ma said, saying the industry needed to “think more rationally” about further ship orders. Thinking more rationally is very much the Ma way.

NEED TO KNOW NEED TO KNOW

COSCO FOUNDED IN 1961 China Ocean Shipping (Group) Company (Cosco) is the world’s second largest shipping company with more than 800 ships. Diverse holdings include boxships, tankers, bulkers, shipyards, logistics operations and terminals. State-owned, but with many subsidiaries listed at Asian bourses.

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Dual language 12 correspondents across six cities Distributed to 300 Chinese shipbuilders

Unique access, exclusive intelligence Guaranteed circulation to all China, HK and Taiwan owners At all the top events both in China and worldwide

“SinoShip gives me insights into my industry that I cannot get anywhere else” –Yang Xianxiang, ceo, SITC International Holdings

“SinoShip is relevant, topical and well written” –Tim Huxley, ceo, Wah Kwong Maritime Transport Holdings

Have you got your Chinese marketing in place for 2013?


PROFILE ■ ■ ■

Insulated from the downturn SinoShip catches up with Xin Jianmin, president of roro outfit Ansheng, to hear how he has succeeded in driving a course resistant to the shipping slump and his plans for the future

L

ike glimpsing a bird of paradise, Shanghai Ansheng Automotive Shipping is that rarefied thing - a shipowner unaffected by the omnipresent pathos of economic gloom. At 18 years of age, the company boasts several firsts. It was the first automobile shipping company in China and the first with a fleet that could command both river and sea waters. Steering a fleet of 12 car carriers, Xin Jianmin, Ansheng’s president plans to expand by an additional three vessels by the end of this year. “By the end of this year, the capacity will reach 11,000 units. We are purchasing one second-hand vessel from Japan and two vessels constructed by Jiang Dong,” says the president. The specialised nature of the fleet has inoculated the owner against the economic ills suffered by others. “The industry we are in has just taken off in China. This

year, car production in the country has reached 20m units. 70% of these units are passenger vehicles – and we transport mostly these,” Xin explains. Demand for automotive vessels will continue to grow, Xin believes, as car manufacturers switch from truck transport to ship. Currently, 80% of vehicles are transported by road, with the other 20% divided equally between rail and ship. However, Xin contends that at least 85% of the trucks that are transporting autos are doing so illegally. Chinese regulations state that the length of a truck can be up to 16.5 m in length, but most trucks in service are more than 25 m. The government is now increasing its supervision of this regulation. “If this illegal activity can be controlled, then transportation of cars by ship will increase. Even if there is a 12 to 13% increase in manufacturers choosing to use ships – we can all eat our fill,” Xin says.

We are focused on providing a door-to-door service to out-do our competitors

Another insulating factor is Ansheng’s function within the wider corporate group. Anji Logistics, of which Xin is the vice president, is Ansheng’s parent company, which handles more than 5m cars annually. Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation is the parent of Anji, and is the largest auto corporation in China, of which Shanghai General Motor and Shanghai Volkswagon, among others, are subsidiaries. Ansheng handles all the shipping needs of its parent companies. The crux is that it need not go out scouting for clients to use its vessels – they already have one ready made in the form of their parent. “China has five-year plans and we have our own five-year plan,” Xin explains. By 2015 Ansheng plans to increase its capacity, but maintain vessel numbers by substituting smaller vessels for larger ones. It aims to replace the vessels that only have a 250- to 350-unit capacity for ones that can transport more than 1,000. Xin considers integration to be key. Ansheng will be seeking to collaborate on a more efficient basis with other companies in the group to provide a door-todoor logistics service for their customers. Although it will not be expanding into other areas of transport, it will be focused on developing its IT and KPI systems to better provide a cohesive service for manufacturers. “We are a pure car carrier roro company. This is what we specialize in. There is no way for us to compete with China Shipping or Cosco just on shipping, as they are much larger. But the question is: How do we utilise our advantages? We are focused on providing a door-to-door service to out-do our competitors,” Xin maintains. “It’s not just about the line, it’s about the logistics.”

NEED TO KNOW NEED TO KNOW

ANSHENG SHANGHAI ANSHENG A  utomotive Shipping is a state-owned company founded in 1994. It is a subsidiary of Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation, the country’s largest car manufacturer. Network covers all domestic coastal ports and all Yangtze river ports. Also provides transportation services for Toyota, Nissan, BMW and Porsche among others.

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■ ■ ■ PROFILE

We suggest strong shipping companies should purchase foreign companies, and take that technology, brand or marketing service network to be used back home

Shipowners’ champion Want to know where Chinese shipping is headed? Zhang Shouguo, general secretary of the China Shipowners’ Association, provides insights

T

he role of a shipowners’ association is, unsurprisingly, to reflect and champion the interests of its members. For Zhang Shouguo, general secretary of the China Shipowners’ Association, this is no small task, given the rapid rise in both size and global recognition of Chinese owners in the past five years and the current malaise hitting most of his membership. A decade ago the CSA was a low profile organization, these days its statements are reported across the world, as befits

NEED TO KNOW NEED TO KNOW

CSA FOUNDED IN 1993, the China Shipowners’ Association (CSA) is composed of owners, operators and managers registered in the People’s Republic of China. Currently it has 208 members operating a fleet of more than 60m dwt, which accounts for about 80% of the country’s total carrying capacity.

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China’s maritime rise. For instance, no other body has weighed on so heavily against Brazilian miner Vale’s move to become a shipowner. At present, CSA has much to do to shield its membership from the worst financial period since the organisation was formed close to 20 years ago. The nine biggest Chinese shipping enterprises reported an aggregate loss of nearly RMB8bn in the first half of the year, according to a report by the Securities Daily. “The Chinese shipping industry is facing an extremely severe test,” admits Zhang. “Even the well-known big names in the Chinese shipping industry are all in the red. Many smaller sized companies’ ships have nothing to do at the moment.” The five-star flagged fleet ranks number nine in size in the world and Chinese ships carry just over one fifth of all the nation’s imports and exports, according to CSA. However, when it comes to equipment, operational management and fleet structures Zhang concedes the Chinese have a long way to catch up with more developed nations. How then to get out of the red inkstained mess that Chinese shipping finds itself in? Zhang urges local shipowners to

develop more rationally. “They should not build ships blindly,” he says. Also, shipping is essentially a game of survival of the fittest, Zhang reckons, and banks should distance themselves from those shipowners who are clearly in dire financial straits. Older ships, especially those that use more fuel and emit more pollution, need to be scrapped in greater numbers as soon as possible, he says, noting that currently China is the country with the highest number of old ships in the world. In terms of financing Zhang suggests his members take advantage of the ship industry fund and the various financial leasing platforms. Leaseback deals remain relatively untapped and could be important going forward. “They can be very useful to make an inventory of the company’s fixed assets and improve the utilization of the funds,” Zhang says. Zhang is also keen for government to step in and provide a series of policies and measures to promote sustainable development and improve local owners’ international competiveness. Government should also “explore” shipping tax reforms, Zhang says, by looking at how other countries have tackled this levy conundrum. Zhang applauds the government’s keenness to see mergers and acquisitions within the local shipping community, something that has been promoted since 2008. Likewise, the rise of pools in Chinese shipping is something to be encouraged, he says. Now, though, is the time for overseas acquisitions to help local expertise grow, argues the CSA boss. “We suggest strong shipping companies should purchase foreign companies, and take that technology, brand or marketing service network to be used back home and then they can also find suitable targets in China for acquisition,” Zhang recommends. Watch this space: what CSA recommends often becomes reality.


PROFILE ■ ■ ■

Northern capital Dalian has its first shipping fund, headed by experienced financier Wang Kunxiu. Jason Jiang finds out more

D

alian is a place that lives and breathes shipping – as any visitor to the Liaoning coastal city will attest with its myriad shipbuilding cranes and multiple berths. To the north of Dalian, Changxing island is being developed as a major petrochemical and shipbuilding base. Now to add to the maritime mix, the Russian-founded metropolis can boast northeast China’s first shipping fund. Dalian Port & Shipping Fund (PFS) was established in June this year. The RMB5bn fund focuses on logistics, shipping and port investments. In October, a chemical tanker firm, Dalian Hezhong Shipping, was formed by PFS. Hezhong acquired Shanghai Sanhan Shipping when it was established and will continue Sanhan’s liquid chemical focus. In Wang Kunxiu, PFS has got the ideal person to navigate shipping investments. Her background includes stints as a senior manager at Shanghai State-owned Assets Management Co and deputy general manager at China Ship Fund Management. She has been involved in a number of major

asset restructuring deals, surely something that will continue in the coming years as the shipping downturn continues to bite. “Hezhong Shipping will play an important role in the relevant chemical logistics chain and support the ongoing development of Dalian as an international shipping centre,” Wang tells SinoShip. PFS has already invested in a number of port and logistics infrastructure projects, and Wang reveals her company is currently studying a big petrochemical terminal project on Changxing island. With the big exception of state-run Cosco Dalian, the tanker arm of China’s largest maritime conglomerate, the petrochemical shipping industry is “relatively underdeveloped” in Liaoning, claims Wang, hence Hezhong’s establishment to meet “growing demand”. Compared to bulk shipping, the chemical segment is relatively stable, says Wang, who points out that Hezhong is focused on the high-end of the market which in China is small in quantity and much higher value, thanks in part to its far stricter vessel requirements. This niche segment accounts

There’s a dearth of high-end chemical shipping capacity in China

for less than 10% of the whole chemical shipping capacity in China, Wang says. “The domestic shipping market is strictly regulated, and the government has very strict rules on approving new chemical shipping capacities due to safety concerns,” says Wang, who observes that new capacity is coming onstream much slower than demand. “While there is probably overcapacity in low-end chemical shipping, there’s a dearth of high-end chemical shipping capacity in China,” she maintains. “That’s the main reason we invested in Hezhong Shipping.” Hezhong Shipping aims to build a fleet of 20 chemical tankers through newbuilds and second-hand purchases. The company has already placed an order for four chemical tankers with CSSC-affiliated Chongqing Chuandong Shipbuilding for delivery by 2014. Up to 60% of the financing will come from banks and rest will come from PFS. Hezhong will also charter some vessels. PFS is also planning an offshore fund, China Ports & Shipping Fund (CPSF), with interests in bulk shipping and the offshore engineering sector. CPSF, which is about to go live, will be organized as a BVI-exempted limited partnership, the first round funding will be up to $150m and the partnership term will be 10 years. “Although currently the bulk shipping market is at its bottom affected by the sluggish global economy, in the long term, bulk cargoes like iron ore, grain, oil are the milestones of China’s national economy, there is a rigid demand. We see it as a periodic industry, I think it will gain growth slowly in the next five years,” Wang argues.

NEED TO KNOW NEED TO KNOW DALIAN PORT & SHIPPING FUND DALIAN PORT & Shipping Fund (PFS) was established in June as the first government-led (49% government-controlled) industrial fund in northeast China. The fund focuses on logistics, shipping and port investments. RMB5bn has been allocated to the fund. In October, Dalian Hezhong Shipping, a chemical tanker shipping company, was established by PFS.

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■ ■ ■ FEATURE

Tricky claims face closer scrutiny Engen Tham takes the pulse of the insurance market in the current shipping downturn

M

arine insurance has proved itself a life jacket to many ships whose paths have not been clear. Just as the stormy economic climate is changing the course of shipowners, it is altering the market for marine insurers. Although opinions differ among insurers as to current trends, there is widespread disquiet that owners will lean more heavily on their insurance as a resort in trying times. Insurers are also harbouring a growing sentiment that they will have to evolve to survive. A trend that many insurers have seen is a depreciation in insured values, which is unsurprising, given the fall in vessel

prices. In 2012, the insured values on renewed vessels fell 7.3%, according to figures released by the International Union of Marine Insurance (IUMI) in September. A greater fall than the preceding year, when insured values fell 3.2% from 2010. However, insured values are not decreasing across the board and remain stable for certain types of vessel. “For offshore supply and cruising vessels, demand is ongoing and the sums insured are unchanged,” says Dr Volker Bergeest, chief underwriting officer at Marine Hull, a division of Allianz Global Corporate and Specialty. Shipowners, when experiencing financial difficulties, are more likely to breach

When the market is doing poorly and there are more claims, we go to final court judgment wording 24

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INSURANCE ■ ■ ■

NEED TO KNOW SINOSURE

NEED TO KNOW

CLOSER LOOKInsurance claims in a downturn face greater investigation

SINOSURE IS A policy-directed, wholly state-owned insurance company, which was founded to promote China’s international trade in 2001. The government has mandated the company to promote Chinese exports and investment in goods and services. It is underwritten by the state and operates on a break-even basis. The insurance company covers ship financiers, yards and lessors against payment risks. These parties may often request the provision of a policy as a condition to entering into agreement with the other party. Two forms of short term insurance can be purchased. Buyer’s default insurance, which insures a shipyard for the pre-delivery construction period of up to three years against a buyer’s default under the shipbuilding contract and specific contract insurance, which insures a shipyard post-delivery against a buyer’s default under the shipbuilding contract. The two forms of medium- to long-term insurance that are commonly purchased are first, buyer’s credit insurance, which insures a bank for up to 12 years pre- and post-delivery against a borrower’s payment default under the loan agreement. And secondly, overseas leasing insurance, which insures a lessor for up to 12 years against a lessee’s payment default under a lease agreement. In 2011, 45% of mid- to long-term Sinosure policies covered agreements connected to containerships, with 31% covering bulker vessels and 14% covering tankers.

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■ ■ ■ FEATURE

As underwriters are squeezed there is a tendency to be more circumspect with claims warranties under their war risks, hull & machinery or P&I policies. It is natural, therefore, to expect claims under mortgagees interest insurance (MII) to have increased, as it is taken out by financiers to cover, among other things, the risk of marine insurances being declined or declared void as a result of an owner’s breach of warranty. Peter Mellett, managing director of Bankserve, a firm that specialises in providing MII to banks, says claims have indeed gone up, but the price of MII has not risen. “Costs of MII, if anything, have been coming down slightly over the last few years, but potential claim activity has gone up. Claims take a long time to come to fruition and don’t hit insurers’ books for over a year, maybe two years, whilst they’re being negotiated and discussed. It may go up, but everything depends on whether the claims come in or not,” Mellett says.

The wording of MII policies is also dependent upon the throes of the economy. “When the market is doing well and MII performs well, the wordings get wider and wider. When the market is doing poorly and there are more claims, we go to final court judgment wording, whereby it’s only available following a court judgment. Some of the wording out there currently is incredibly wide, in that an MII claim on a single vessel will lead to a payment across a fleet which is madness, but that was the state of the market at the time,” says Matt Cannock, underwriting manager at Markel. As operators’ margins are squeezed, they are more likely to reduce spending on maintenance. In this situation, it might be expected that insurers will deny claims on the basis of ‘unseaworthiness’. However, this assumption does not hold true, as unseaworthiness is difficult to prove.

The cost of Costa Concordia Industry still reeling from largest disaster since Exxon Valdez THE COSTA CONCORDIA cruise liner ran aground near Italy’s coast on January 13 this year. The insured loss could reach $1bn, making it the largest in maritime history since the Exxon Valdez incident in 1989, without adjustments for inflation. Reverberations have been felt throughout the marine insurance industry. The army of insurers involved include Generali, Allianz, RSA and XL. An estimate for the removal of wreckage places the cost as high as $200m. Protection and indemnity (P&I) costs produce a total reserve of $350m, while the $500m total hull loss leads to an estimated total loss of $850m. Many wait with baited breath for the P&I renewals that will take place in February next year. It is likely that there will be a significant increase to the international groups’ cover rates. As we went to press the average increase for next year from those that had announced 2013 intentions stood at 7.5%.

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850

Estimated total losses in millions of dollars from Concordia’s demise

“It’s difficult for us not to pay a claim based on the fact that a vessel was poorly maintained because you have to show causation, so we just end up paying more claims,” says Cannock. Insurers are also reporting higher levels of illegal and, or, high-risk trade from owners, as they battle to maintain their margins. Insurers are consequently including sanctions clauses in their policies to ensure that they do not have to pay a claim that involves the breach of a sanction. This is of particular concern, given the sanctions imposed by the US and the EU against Iran earlier this year. As underwriters are squeezed there is a tendency to be more circumspect with claims and investigate ones received more thoroughly. “You’re never going to get a perfect claim, you’ll always find some hole in a claim somewhere, if you look through the manager or owner’s office, there will be something that isn’t quite right,” says Mellett. The popularity of loss of earnings or loss of hire insurance has declined. When owners are prospering, they want to protect their income stream, so are willing to pay to guarantee it. When they are making less, the threat to their business of losing hire or earnings is reduced, so they become loathe to spend on these expensive policies. Global marine premiums increased by 7% from 2010 to 2011, totalling $31.9bn in 2011, according to IUMI. Some underwriters SinoShip spoke to, however, feel it is not a profitable business to be in. They maintain there is excess capacity in the market, which is putting downward pressure on rates. Rumblings can be heard of a period of consolidation. “There are a lot of companies who are currently writing business who will not be writing business next year. Not because they are not financially able to, but because management decisions will be made to pull out,” predicts Cannock. However, despite the downturn, Allianz’s Bergeest remains bullish about the marine insurance market believing that there are areas which are ripe for evolution. He thinks the demand for natural catastrophe insurance will follow in step with the world’s increasing need for offshore supply vessels, which operate in remote or exposed areas. Marine insurers undoubtedly face greater exposure in this listless economic climate. However, those keeping abreast of the evolving needs of owners and financiers will be the ones that survive.


Propulsion ■ ■ ■

Full astern China’s engine scene has changed drastically in the downturn, but authorities are still determined to make the nation a leader in the field, reports Katherine Si

T

he evolution of marine engine production in China is arguably symbiotic with the fortunes of the global shipbuilding industry over the past seven years. During the great freight rally in the previous decade one of the greatest impediments to fleet growth was in limited engine manufacturing capability. As every

shipowner clamoured for urgent ship deliveries, a period where quantity overrode quality, there simply were not enough engines to go around. Fast-forward to the present day and the situation is reversed. Beijing placed ship equipment manufacturing as a key tenet of two consecutive five-year plans and encouraged foreign firms to set up shop.

Engine factories sprung up everywhere. However, ship orders suddenly abated as the global financial crisis kicked in. All of a sudden the situation was dramatically different – from feast to famine. Grand, shiny new factories are not operating at anywhere full capacity and have had to retool machines to churn out different non-marine products. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ FEATURE

“No one could have seen quite how bad things were going to get,” one leading European executive at a Chinese joint venture marine engine manufacturer says. “We have had to turn our attention to other products to keep things ticking over. This includes bus engines and even machinery not related to engines at all. The real concern is that the overcapacity in the sector is likely to remain for years to come.” “Since last year, the lag effects of the complicated economic situation to the shipbuilding industry have fully emerged,” says Zou Zhiming, president of local engine make Rong An Power. “The market demands have decreased and the industry players are in a bad period. This year, main engine orders of Rong An are 30% less than last year’s.” The company’s chairman Deng Hui reckons the depression will last a while and the appreciation of the renminbi is not helping. “There are lots of delivery delays, payment delays and so on,” says Deng. “The operational cost pressures for domestic main engine manufacturers have become heavier.” Rien Hoogerbrugge, ceo of joint venture Qingdao Qiyao Wärtsilä MHI Linshan Marine Diesel (QMD), is adamant that there is an overcapacity of domestic suppliers. Depending on the recovery of the global shipbuilding industry and the share which China will keep he reckons it is unlikely that there will be a demand and supply balance soon. “Similar to what is expected for the shipbuilding industry itself it is likely that also in the propulsion area there will be either consolidation or even some builders withdrawing from the market either forced by bankruptcy or voluntarily but there are no signs of that yet. Until then the competition will remain fierce,” says the engine boss. Mass lay offs or consolidation would indeed normally be on the cards in a situation like this, but this is China and Beijing has ambitious goals, regardless of economic circumstances. According to the targets of the twelfth five-year plan of the China shipbuilding industry not only are there goals set to be the number one

shipbuilder but also to reach a point by 2015 where the nation is producing 20m hp of marine low speed diesel production capacity and importantly 85% of all vessels built in China will have Chinesemade engines. In terms of areas of optimism Ole Groene, senior vice president at MAN Diesel & Turbo, points to the growth in riverine traffic in China. “China has a huge domestic water transport market, where significant tonnage is in need of updating,” he says.

There will be either consolidation or even some builders withdrawing from the market. Until then the competition will remain fierce 28

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MAN is expanding its low speed engine portfolio with smaller models, so that replacement tonnage can be equipped with modern emission friendly machinery, just like its ocean going counterparts. Yao Yedong, ABB’s China vice president, is confident that offshore construction will continue to grow strongly in the People’s Republic. Conventional mechanical propulsion remains the major propulsion method in China, Yao notes. “However, with higher oil price and strict environmental regulations, more and more owners are looking at new methods to lower operational costs and environmental emissions. This will definitely open up larger markets for the electrical propulsion systems,” says Yao.


Propulsion ■ ■ ■

LNG as a marine fuel debated

S

inoShip’s parent Asia Shipping Media hosted an Eco-Dollars Business Breakfast (pictured), sponsored by Ideocean and Lloyd’s Register, at the Fullerton Hotel in Singapore in October. LNG as a marine fuel took up much of the debate. LNG remains a long way from gaining global acceptance as a marine fuel, panelists at the event concurred. Iain Wilson, regional marine manager for Lloyd’s Register Asia, said: “It is driven by the price of bunker gas. The problem is there is no global mechanism to monitor pricing so there are too many unknowns at the moment. It is down to economics.” Wilson said gas acceptance would be driven by regulations and the emission control areas (ECAs), but it will not be a single solution to the green conundrums facing the industry.  Shaj Thayil, vice president at Singapore’s Neptune Orient Lines, said his company was looking at dual fuel technologies at the moment. “It is a huge investment but one we are reviewing at present,” he revealed.  Manish Singh, group managing director, Ideocean Holdings, questioned how long it

would take to get the supply chain aspects of LNG into place. “Predictable supply of LNG will be an issue,” he noted. LR’s Wilson was more optimistic about the supply chain issue, pointing out: “70% of bunkering is done today in 10 ports worldwide so the infrastructure can be done relatively simply.” What concerned Wilson more was the lack of global standards and regulations for LNG as a fuel, be it for ship-to-ship transfers, or defining exclusion zones. “There are a lot of procedural things that need to be done as well as the training qualifications,” he said, musing: “Will you need a gas-qualified engineer onboard?” Another big problem, Ideocean’s Singh pointed out was the practical implications of bunker gas storage onboard. “Gas will take three or four times conventional fuel holds.” NOL’s Thayil agreed noting that LNG pricing was likely to be 15% more expensive than bunker oil, which added with the loss of cargo space because of the larger fuel tanks needed means it will take a long time for the industry as a whole to accept gas a fuel. In a report published by LR at the end of August, the British classification society said

global acceptance of LNG as a marine fuel will depend on pricing. The study found that the establishment of LNG bunkering infrastructure capable of supporting most of the world’s consumers will be highly sensitive to the price of LNG relative to alternative fuels. The study’s base-case scenario predicted there could be 653 deepsea, LNG-fuelled ships in service by 2025, consuming 24m tonnes of LNG annually. These ships would most likely be boxships, oil tankers or cruise vessels. When the study modelled relatively cheap LNG— for example, 25% lower than current market prices — the projected number of LNG-fuelled ships rose to approximately 1,960 units in 2025. If the cost of LNG increased 25% against current prices, the model found that hardly any new LNG-powered tonnage would hit the water.

SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ FEATURE

Hard-hit ports go to Plan B Katherine Si and Sam Chambers detail how ports are handling a rare period of slowing growth

I

t is tough times for ports across the globe; even mighty China is experiencing a rare slowdown in growth. Ports on the mainland, now increasingly listed entities, have had to get savvy with how to garner extra revenues as cargo volumes dwindle. Ports are also beginning to mirror their shipping counterparts in accessing capital in novel ways. Bank of Communications, for instance, has implemented an innovative berths lease structure; using berths, which are already operated by port companies, as well as hydraulic structures as leased property similar to a basic sale and lease back deal used for ships. For example, the berths are sold to a leasing company. The funds go to the port and are used for cash flow and development of the port. The berths are then leased back to the port for their use and the lease payments are covered by the ships berthing in the port. Pingan Securities, in a recent report, points to an explosion of shipping

exchanges at ports up and down the coastline, handling commodity trading as another vital booster to depleted coffers. Nevertheless, profits are down in the first three quarters for China’s listed port companies by around 5% year-on-year, according to Qilu Securities, with southern Chinese ports the hardest hit, thanks to their higher fraction of containers to overall port volumes. BOC International, meanwhile, projects

launched. The port prosperity index stood at 97.42 points, a decline of 20.72 points from six months earlier. Below 100 points means there is no confidence among port operators. Berth utilization rates and ease of securing finance both showed big drops in the poll. The survey showed greater pessimism among the nation’s larger ports – the growth story of smaller, second and third tier cities does remain exciting. As the year has progressed this disparity has

Efficiency will be the key for port companies to cope with the winter of the industry the cargo throughput of coastal ports in 2012 and 2013 to be around 9% and 8.6% respectively, with box throughput declining to 6%. The third quarter shipping prosperity report released by the Shanghai International Shipping Institute shows that ports face genuinely downcast times for the first time since the survey was

grown with most major ports reporting slowing growth in the third quarter, while smaller entities continued to post robust results. Pessimism for 2013 is palpable. “Efficiency will be the key for port companies to cope with the winter of the industry,” urges Chang Dechuan, chairman of Qingdao Port Group.

SMALLER BOXPORTS THRIVE HONG KONG, UNTIL 2005 the busiest boxport in the world, is likely to relinquish third spot to Shenzhen this year based on numbers recently released from French analysts Alphaliner. Also of note is the rapid rise of Yingkou, which on the basis of the first nine months of this year, has crept into the top 25. The world’s 25 largest ports handled a total of 238m teu in the first nine months of the year, representing a year-on-year growth rate of 4.5%, nearly half the growth rate of 8.7% achieved in the same period in 2011. Hong Kong volumes dropped 3.9% in the first nine months, making it the worst performer on the list, while nearby Shenzhen has seen growth of 3.1%. Shanghai is still beating Singapore for top spot – by some half a million boxes in the first three quarters – 24.2m teu versus 23.7m. Chinese ports account for 11 of the top 25 ports with Dalian the strongest grower, clocking a whopping 26.2% growth to jump to number 17 in the rankings.

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BOWING DOWNHong Kong’s box figures are the worst among the major ports this year The port of Yingkou in Liaoning province joined the top 25 list for the first time, as it overtook the ports of Tokyo, Valencia, Nhava Sheva, Port Said and Colombo to jump from number 30 to 25 in the league table. Yingkou’s container volumes reached 3.6m teu for a growth of 16.5% in the year-to-date to September.


Ports ■ ■ ■

What’s on the cards under the new leadership?

T

he co-founder and partner of China consultancy Navisino Advisors (Beijing) Tom BehrensSorensen gave attendees of October’s TPM Asia conference in Shenzhen a flavour of what to expect in terms of transport changes under the new leadership of Xi Jinping. Formerly with Maersk for 30 years Behrens-Sorensen is one of the most respected shipping consultants in China. If Deng Xiaopeng’s Southern Tour paved the way for the development of Shenzhen port and Jiang Zemin’s time in charge can be associated with Shanghai’s port development, while departing Hu and Wen were champions on Tianjin’s New Binhai port project, then Xi’s strong

links to Fujian province could well usher in big capital spends on Xiamen and Fuzhou ports and greater cross-strait shipping initiatives with Taiwan. Behrens-Sorensen also believes there is a “strong possibility” that the antiquated Ministry of Railways will be absorbed into the Ministry of Transport, which must be deemed a good development for intermodal development. “It will become a much more powerful government agency and will have the opportunity to build efficiencies,” the Dane said. Estimates suggest just one in ten boxes arriving or exiting China’s shores is moved on rail, as opposed to 40% in the US. Looking at future port developments,

FIFTH GENERATIONXi Jinping will continue China’s trade-led focus Behrens-Sorensen reckons there will be a quick buildup of new feeder container ports.

Shanghai port maps next 30 years You can never doubt Shanghai’s willpower to get infrastructure projects done

C

ity authorities have mapped out the future 30 years development of the world’s largest port, and with an eye on limited draft availability in the vicinity, the area of Hengshaqiantan has

been earmarked for extensive dredging. The area, which is to the east of the city centre (see map), will house berths capable of handling VLOCs and VLCCs and even ULCCs up to 500,000 dwt. Hengshaqiantan is a series of tidal flats

in the East China Sea just to the east of Baoshan. Authorities reckon the new port area could double the capacity of Shanghai port. Authorities report that many berths in Shanghai are already operating beyond their design capability. “While this looks a tough engineering ask, given its exposed position out to sea, you can never doubt Shanghai’s willpower to get infrastructure projects done,” one ports consultant tells SinoShip. It was seven years ago that Shanghai opened up its ambitious Yangshan deepwater port, situated some 32km southeast from the city centre, to relieve the pressure from the more cramped berths at Waigaoqiao. Now Hengshaqiantan will mark the future development of the city’s port ambitions. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ HUBS: SHANGHAI

Gradual graduation Engen Tham looks at the city’s maritime education scene HE THAT RULES by mind is like the north star, steady in his seat, whilst the stars all bend to him,” said Confucius of the rewards of an education. The ascendance of China’s maritime industry since the 1980s has thrown into sharp relief the importance of shipping professionals. To develop nascent talent into those that can “rule by mind” the government has invested in maritime education. While there are maritime schools across China in shipping cities, such as Dalian and Qingdao; the aptly named “Upon-the-Sea” or in Chinese “Shang Hai”, was where it all began. The higher echelons of maritime education began in 1909 when the Shanghai Industrial College conceived of a shipping section under the direction of the Ministry of Post and Communications. Shanghai Maritime University (SMU) today comprises 14 colleges, including Wosong Merchant Marine College, which was set up in 1928 and the Shanghai Maritime Institute, set up under 32

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the auspices of the Ministry of Transport in 1959. From 2000, the Shanghai municipality and the Ministry of Transport have run the university. There are a multitude of courses available, all with a shipping bend ranging from navigation technology to maritime law. Around 20,000 fulltime students attend, herded by 1,000 full-time teaching staff. Although the university is of Qing dynasty stock, the country’s apartheid from the rest of the world stagnated the development of maritime schooling. The university is aware that it is playing catch up. Releasing a paper last year titled ‘Internationalization of Maritime Education through Institutional Collaborations: A Case Study of Shanghai Maritime University’ the university acknowledged the importance of internationalising the programs it provides, and analysing the university’s progress towards global standards. Many international shipping lines and marine equipment

needs of a diversifying sector. SMU has also recently launched a two-year MBA in cruise management. The focus is on cruise ship construction, trade, operation and management. As the world’s shipping industry pivots towards China and as Shanghai’s educational and research institutions continue to bolster their international repute; the city that birthed maritime education in the mainland could be set to become an epicentre for future generations of maritime students from around the globe.

manufacturers have also come to sponsor SMU in recent years. As the university steps onto the world stage, it has increasingly sought integration with non-domestic educational institutes. In September, the university signed an agreement with the University of New Haven to cooperate on an undergraduate program. This follows projects with other overseas colleges, including Massachusetts Maritime Academy and Copenhagen Marine Engineer College. THE SHANGHAI INTERNATIONAL Despite financial supShipping Institute (SISI), established port from local governin 2008, is a collaboration between ment organisations and SMU, the government of Hongkou disshipping companies, the trict and others. Cosponsored by big 2011 report cites lack of local shipping companies, the institute funding as an obstacle to conducts international and domestic further internationalisamarket analysis reports on certain tion, due to the expense types of vessels. It is also an authority of studying in western on analysis of government shipping countries. edicts relating to Shanghai. The instiThe university is tute also publishes the reputed China familiar with the pulse Shipping Prosperity Index, which is of the shipping industry considered a reliable measure of the and is quick to introduce industry’s health. programs that cater to the

NEED TO KNOW

NEED TO KNOW SISI


HUBS: TAIPEI ■ ■ ■

A PSA in the making? For the first time in more than ten years the authorities are making genuine progress for sustainable port development. Joshua Samuel Brown reports Kaohsiung’s mixed decade 12

10

Throughput (m teu)

IT’S BEEN MORE than a decade since the words ‘momentum’ and ‘Taiwan ports’ could be used in a single sentence together. However, developments over the past couple of months would suggest the island’s port intentions are both vigorous and achievable. Moreover, with the rise to power of Xi Jinping in Beijing the timing is ideal. Xi’s background in Fujian province could lead to ever-greater trade possibilities between China and Taiwan. Premier Sean Chen told the Ministry of Transportation and Communications (MOTC) at the start of October to work alongside the Taiwan International Ports Corporation (TIPC) to implement a five-year plan to revitalize the island’s ports and maximize cross-strait shipping possibilities. Chen said Taiwanese ports should look at advanced overseas ports for ideas about how to grow. The aim is to have a combined box throughput across the island of 18m teu and increase overall revenue to more than NT$30bn by 2016. TIPC has earmarked US$2.2bn to achieve its 2016 targets. In 2011 the island handled around 11.5m teu in total.  TIPC, the newly consecrated body overseeing all ports in Taiwan, wants to extend the economic hinterland of the island’s ports and

8

6

4

2

0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source: Clarkson Research Services Ltd.

UNTETHERED The reorganised ports industry in Taiwan has been given free rein to boost volumes build Taiwan’s harbours into full-service value-added logistics ports that achieve the twin targets of adding value and increasing volume. Local enterprises have backed the initiatives with strong capital pledges. In the middle of November TIPC announced that 18 Taiwanese companies, including bluechips such as Evergreen

Investment in Kaohsiung is vital to fend off steep competition for transhipment cargoes

and CPC, have pledged a total of $1.89bn to support port developments. “The new ventures cover a wide range of sectors, including logistics equipment and services, energy, food processing and petrochemicals,” a TIPC official told local media. There’s also plenty of outlay for cruise and passenger facilities. China Petrochemical Development is planning to invest more than NT$35bn, the largest single investment, to build artificial fibre and plastics production facilities

in a petrochemical park in the Port of Taichung in central Taiwan. CPC, meanwhile, will spend NT$10bn on a methyl methacrylate (MMA) plant in Taichung. Evergreen is pouring an undisclosed amount of capital into developing terminal and logistics facilities at Kaohsiung. Kaohsiung, once the world’s third largest boxport, has slumped to twelfth in the global rankings. Investment there is vital to fend off steep competition for transhipment cargoes from the likes of Shanghai, Ningbo, Busan and Hong Kong. With the island’s terminals revitalized with investment and a firm blueprint for growth the authorities are not stopping there. The eventual aim, according to Yeh KuangShih, deputy minister of the MOTC, is to make TIPC into something akin to Singapore’s PSA, namely investing overseas as well as at home. TIPC has already made plain its initial overseas goals, looking at small third tier cities in south China for investments. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ HUBS: HONG KONG

ADVANCED PREVIEW Th  e new museum held a special early opening in late October

Star attraction Hong Kong correspondent Alfred Romann previews the soon-to-reopen Maritime Museum WHEN IT FINALLY reopens early next year, the embattled Hong Kong Maritime Museum will finally have a place to call home. From temporary digs at Murray House, in Stanley, the museum will drop anchor at Central Ferry Pier 8, right on the waterfront of the city’s iconic central business district and alongside one of the busiest harbours in the world.

We are reminding the city of why it has flourished The museum, closed since June for the move, will reopen to the public in February with 16 new galleries, all aboard the remodeled hull of supertanker Jahre Viking/Seawise Giant, which was once the largest ship in the world. The ship was bought in Gujarat, India, and brought to Hong Kong (with 34

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funding from an anonymous donor), where it was refurbished. The opening of the museum will cap a saga of years. Despite the importance of shipping and maritime activities to the development of Hong Kong, there was very little will to fund the museum. Eventually the government stepped up with $15m to fund the project and a number of shipping companies chipped in. It will cost about $1.5m per year to run the new facility. “It is probably eight times the size of the old museum,” says Richard Wesley, the museum director. “Hong Kong came into existence because of trade and shipping. And we are reminding the city of why it has flourished. That is our raison d’être.” No other museum in the city has a similar offering or such a pragmatic focus that is so fitting to one of the largest shipping hubs in the world. Ironically, it is only recently that the museum has received

enough support to raise its status up from something like an afterthought. The museum first opened in Stanley in 2005 with just two galleries at Murray House. Relatively few people knew it was actually there. A number of local companies such as Wallem Group, IMC Group, Goldstar Shipping and Island

Navigation all pushed the project forward over the years. Since 2005, some 287,000 people visited the museum, less than 1,000 per week. Smaller Macau has had a maritime museum for more than two decades. The new location will drastically change both the size and, likely, the allure of the museum. Not only will it be in Central, at the heart of the city’s business district and close to myriad other tourist attractions, but its size will allow it to accommodate many more visitors. Also, the new location will hold a number of permanent exhibitions exploring a range of areas from China’s maritime heritage, the foundation of modern Hong Kong and the evolution of Hong Kong’s port. The new museum is targeting some 200,000 visitors per year. The aim of the museum is to document how China, Asia and the West have developed boats, ships, maritime exploration, trade and naval welfare while exploring trends and the importance of shipping to the Hong Kong economy. The move of the Maritime Museum is part of a much larger redevelopment of the Hong Kong waterfront, which faces onto one of the busiest ports in the world. An official opening for the new museum is slated for February 25.

WAH KWONG’S 60TH GAINING A SNEAK PREVIEW of part of the new museum on October 30 were more than 200 of the top echelon of Hong Kong’s shipping community who tuned out in force to celebrate the 60th anniversary of Wah Kwong (pictured). The bulker and tanker firm, run by the Chao family, had commissioned one of Hong Kong’s most famous photographers, Basil Pao, to create a stunning – and huge – coffeetable book showing the movement of iron ore and the building of ships. Pao’s book will be sent to all schools in Hong Kong. The photographer is part of the SinoShip team and one of his many sensational Wah Kwong images can be seen on the centre pages of this magazine.


BOOKS ■ ■ ■

HOT TOPICBelatedly publishers are cashing in on Somali piracy, just as the number of incidents abates

Big trouble, small shelf WALK AROUND A bookshop pretty much anywhere in the world and you’ll find a shelf of books on Afghanistan, probably more on Iraq, a bunch on Iran, a few new ones on Libya and Syria, a book or two on North Korea perhaps, but hardly anything on Somalia. This is perhaps surprising as books on ‘trouble spots’ and ‘rogue states’ sell quite well. The problem is that these countries are rarely well known or oft-visited, they’ve invariably been off the journalistic map before they suddenly erupt into front page news and then access to them is problematic. No country in the world has been more trouble for the global shipping community than Somalia, yet try finding a book that explains the place, the roots of the crisis and how we ended up having ships escorted along the coast of the impoverished, underdeveloped country guarded by multiple naval vessels fearing violent armed kidnappings, RPGs, massive ransoms and tragic crew deaths. So anything that sheds light on Somalia might be helpful. Mary Harper is the Africa Editor at the BBC World Service and

author of the new book Getting Somalia Wrong? Faith, War and Hope in a Shattered State (Zed Books). Harper is well-travelled, having visited Somalia regularly as well as having reported from other African conflict zones including Algeria, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Liberia, Sierra Leone and Sudan. In Getting Somalia Wrong?, Harper presents the most comprehensive account of the chaos into which the country has descended and the United States’ renewed involvement there. In doing so, Harper argues that viewing Somalia through the prism of al-Qaeda risks further destabilising the country and the entire Horn of Africa, while also showing that though the country may be a failed state, it is far from being a failed society. In reality, alternative forms of business, justice, education and local politics have survived and even flourished. Harper’s is the best and most up-to-date of the few Somalia books available, but a couple of others deserve a mention. Somalia’s recent history has been one of upheavals, factions and clans and these are laid out in such a way so we can grasp just

how modern Somalia became so fractured in Ioan Lewis’s Understanding Somalia and Somaliland: Culture, History and Society (Hurst & Co Publishers). Lewis is a professor of anthropology at the London School of Economics and so his insights into Somali culture and how it has adopted piracy as an economic survival strategy are useful background. Also interesting on how to understand Somalia’s clan-based society is Somali academic Afyare Abdi Elmi’s book Understanding the Somalia Conflagration: Identity, Political Islam and Peacebuilding [Pluto Press]. What of those who’ve experienced the sharp end of Somali piracy? There’s a growing shelf of memoirs of hostages and those who’ve been tasked with fighting piracy. Jay Bahadur’s Deadly

Somali pirate attacks 200 150

Number of attacks

Paul French on a sudden swarm of Somalia manuscripts

100 50 0

2009

2010

2011

2012*

* Up until October 30

Source: EU Naval Force Somalia

Waters: Inside the Hidden World of Somalia’s Pirates (Profile Books) is probably the best all round guide to the shadowy and secretive pirates of the Somali coast and Puntland. Max Hardberger tells his story of being a ship’s captain who suffered both kidnapping and also seizing back his own ship under the noses of the pirates. Seized! A Sea Captain’s Adventures Battling Pirates and Recovering Stolen Ships in the World’s Most Troubled Waters (Nicholas Brealey Publishing) is like reading a great thriller but with a host of useful facts too on the underbelly of ocean shipping. And then there’s the really unlucky – Colin Freeman (a somewhat ironic but true name) in Kidnapped! (Monday Books) who recalls his nightmarish 40 days in the hands of Somali pirates awaiting a ransom payment. Paul and Rachel Chandler were taken from their yacht close to the Seychelles and held captive for a year. Hostage: A Year at Gunpoint with Somali Gangsters (Mainstream Publishing) tells their story and how they built relationships with their captors. And, probably the best of the hostage narratives, Australian Nigel Brennan’s account of his 15 months in captivity in the Horn of Africa, The Price of Life (Penguin). The shelf on Somalia may still be small, but it’s growing fast. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ OPINION

Cash is king We are living in a world today where a credit-worthy deal is an oxymoron, suggests Max Hong YOUR EXPERIENCED OWNER, with years of deals and many shipping cycles already surfed and survived, has an innate sense of what is going to work. Investment decisions in shipping have almost always been counter intuitive by the real leaders and trendsetters. This frequently meant that those who saw that the best time to invest was usually when the returns from the sector were at their worst. People of vision could get support from one or more of their trusted bankers and get the financial support to allow them to leverage their equity and take action. Those were the ‘good old days’. Today, it is a whole different story. That friendly bank has now become allergic to risk in any form. The new project, which will be so valuable when it delivers in two-and-a-half years time, will only get bank finance based on the project having a ‘good time charter’, but committing your new dream baby out now at the bottom of the market cycle chains you into a low rate and locks you out of the upside that all the experts, market reports and fleet age and replacement profiles clearly illustrate are coming. And that is the good case scenario.

because you cannot get finance. That is also the best news possible for the market. The vertical drop in the rate

The consecration of cash turns good ideas and sound strategies into the reality of new ships In some sectors, the longterm charter rates are so low that they do not even cover the contract price for the new venture, becoming unbankable. So that is the bad news, your perfect genius idea will not happen 36

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of newbuilding contracts is now creating a true birth dearth, becoming more acute with each new credit-starved day. All this means even richer rewards for the guys who have the cash and do not need the banks.

Now what do you if you do if you have major market share (read CMA CGM and Evergreen) and in a strategic sector (read containers) and you cannot defer the ‘keep up with the pack’ capacity increases demanded by the market and your banks are nervous and in any event have already exhausted their credit quota for French container carriers or you just want the whole “X” billion dollars of new and bigger carriers off your evergreen balance sheet? You find someone with deep pockets, who believes in you in spite of your present predicaments and who

is willing to live with the risk, which they actually perceive as a business opportunity (compared to the rapidly decreasing pool of shipping bankers whose innovative response to risk management is to only lend umbrellas on sunny days). For Evergreen, the path taken was to go west, young man, all the way to London/Athens where they found the deep pockets of NS Lemos, a shipowner whose family motto is buy high, sell low meaning, buy when everyone says you paid too much and sell when everyone says you can get more. This philosophy guided the family to sell out most of their fleet into the high heat of the boom, including the $42m dollar capesize resold for $140m. In exchange for a 12-year charter to Evergreen, Lemos has bankrolled $1.2bn worth of contracts for 10 units of 13,800 teu at Hyundai. In a follow-on case of opposites attracting Marseille’s CMA CGM went east, and found Chinese container manufacturer CIMC willing to spend $825m on 10 units of 9,200 teu ships, which the French line will take on long term charter. Sorry boys, you ain’t gonna get in on credit. Like Charlie Parker wrote in his 1944 classic song, “Romance without finance don’t make no sense”, today it is the consecration of cash that turns good ideas and sound strategies into the reality of new ships. With newbuilding prices hovering at the bottom of the cycle and the best yards hungry for business, the buyer who kept his powder dry and now has money to spend is spoilt for choice and confident of his rewards. Welcome to the brave new world where cash is king.


OPINION ■ ■ ■

Still open for business However many shipyards are being shuttered, it is not enough to correct the supplydemand imbalance, argues Bei Hong BEING A MAN, I am a hoarder. I cannot throw anything away — you never know when it might come in useful. This drives Mrs B mad — women are generally much more organised and logical — but every now and then, there is method in my madness. One such instance came up recently when having been instructed to get rid of a pile of old magazines, I did what any sensible chap would do, which is sit down and read them all. Leafing through a shipping magazine from a few years back, when SinoShip was no more than a twinkle in the publisher’s eye, I came across a piece I had written about the ambitions of a fictitious ‘greenfield’ shipbuilder, and how if he was not able to sell the ships he planned to build, he would set up a shipping company and become a “one-stop logistics provider”. I never expected that tongue-in-cheek piece to turn out to be a painfully accurate forecast of the state of so many Chinese shipyards just a few years later. As my 2013 diary

looks increasingly blank compared to previous years in terms of invitations to ship launchings, the Chinese newbuilding bubble looks to have well and truly burst. But the fact that more than 70% of Chinese shipyards have reportedly not received an order all year doesn’t mean that the end of chronic oversupply in the bulker

the ‘self-correcting’ process, which is needed to bring any oversupplied market back into balance. A frightening comment was made recently about a shipyard which was going to have to start accepting ‘realistic’ (read ‘a new low’) price for some of the cancelled ships tied up alongside its building docks. This was because they had so

With the advent of eco-designs, resale ships may be young in age, but they are already old in terms of design and tanker markets is about to be redressed. Tumbleweed might be blowing amongst rusting half built structures in some yards. Moreover, a recent trip to China’s shipbuilding heartland revealed the bricked-up entrance to a former greenfield yard, opened with much dragon dancing a few years ago, and now abandoned. But there are still plenty of new ships to be delivered before we start going through

many more ships about to come down the slipway and quite simply needed the space to outfit and subsequently park these new additions. Those that had been cancelled, either through being a bit late on account of an overambitious delivery date set by an inexperienced builder or simply abandoned when either the balance of the equity or the bank loan (or both) didn’t come through, now had to be sold at whatever the yard can get.

So are these abandoned ships good value for the buyers who are fuelling an increasingly active market for resale tonnage? With the advent of eco-designs, these ships may be young in age, but they are already old in terms of design. The original owner probably knew he was in trouble long before the order was cancelled or abandoned, so probably cut back on the supervision, and with the need to finish the ship at the minimum cost possible once they became owned by the builder, the final outfitting was probably not to a top standard. Combine that with the fact that the new buyer is going to have to subsidise his acquisition for a couple of years in a chartering market which won’t even cover the distressed acquisition price, and suddenly placing an order for a new ship looks more attractive. Oh dear, here we go again. So expect to see plenty of new shipping companies, with a shipyard at the helm, springing up. It will provide plenty of new clients for shipbrokers, and indeed for shipmanagers who may find themselves jumping ship and managing ships for a builder having previously done battle with them supervising it for the original owner. Now that really is being a ‘full service provider’. SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

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■ ■ ■ OPINION

Fuel bill realities New columnist Andrew Craig Bennett looks at bunkers, engines and ship design HEAVY FUEL OIL has been costing an awful lot of money for some time. No doubt this makes bunker brokers very happy, but ship operators have to decide what to do about it. The first step is to try to predict the future – is this state of affairs going to continue? Most people will say that, whilst there may be big variations in the fuel price, the secular trend is ‘upwards’, so it makes sense to design ships on the assumption that fuel is going to be scarce and expensive, and we can be very sure indeed that emissions control is here to stay. If an owning company is building a ship to appeal to time charterers, that company can reasonably assume that, if their ship burns two tons a day less than a ship which is similar in most other respects, they will be able to share the saving with the time charterer because the charterer will agree a higher rate, so long as the charterer thinks the owner 38

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is telling the truth. The rub is in the ‘similar in most other respects’ – if a ship is simply underpowered, or built to scantlings that are too light, the saving is only going to exist virtually, not in the real world. So it is really a question of putting a demonstrably more efficient propulsion and service system into essentially the same hull.

which will make a port state control inspector happy about the ship energy efficiency management plan, even if it does little else. The disappointment stems from two things – first, the lack of a Big Idea. Everyone is tinkering round the edges of the problem, trying to save a bit here, a bit there, but nobody is offering something that will make a real difference – a radically new main engine, for example, perhaps one that uses ceramics to operate at consistently higher temperatures.

There is a serious lack of joined-up thinking in the industry This is where things get disappointing. It is safe to assume that the engine designers will make their new products available to everyone, so that part of the ‘playing field’ is ‘level’. Beyond that, there are a range of well-known gadgets, some dating back to the last oil price hike, such as wake ducts, which will offer some benefit. To these we may add clever fuel consumption monitoring software,

The second cause of disappointment is that no manufacturers seem interested in really making a difference in the theoretically very large retrofit market. Suppose we have a containership designed for 24 knots with 30% sea margin – there are an awful lot of these – and we want to cut the fuel bill by 50% whilst running at 18 knots – will it pay to re-engine, or to rebuild the

existing engine, and change the prop? This looks like a huge gap in the market, given the long life expectancy of a boxship, so why are the propulsion system designers not rushing to fill it? I suspect that one reason is that this sort of rebuild of an existing ship, or fleet of ships, is actually harder to finance than a newbuilding. There is a serious lack of joined-up thinking in the industry about the problem; it is surely obvious to everyone that the proper way to look at a ship’s fuel consumption and her emissions is to consider the ship’s power demand as a whole, at every stage of a voyage. It is no good building a bulk carrier or a tanker, let alone a containership, which is wonderfully efficient at 90% maximum continuous rating and at no other point. What we need is plenty of reserve power, combined with high efficiency at lower levels of power demand. The maths and physics of this probably are ‘rocket science’ – but people are pretty good at rockets, now. The verdict on the industry response to fuel prices must be, ‘Could do better’.


■ ■ ■ PHOTO FINISH

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PHOTO FINISH ■ ■ ■ WHIRRING INTO ACTION A  new Wah Kwong ship is put through its paces 一艘新的华光船舶完成试航

© Basil Pao

SINOSHIP   WINTER 2012

41


Launching at Cruise Shipping Miami Covering the world’s fastest growing cruise market Distributed free to cruise firms, top travel agents, ports, shipyards in China plus the top 20 cruise shipping companies globally

Dual language

“China will be the largest cruise market in the future” Huang Weijian, China’s first cruiseship owner


钻井船宏愿 邮轮调查结果 2012年冬季刊

om 日 在 s.c 每 更新 new 文 hip 中 inos s w. ww

美国贸易事实

www.sinoshipnews.com

调整航向 中远马泽华独家采访

习近平领导下的运输业重点 东盟连接 “中国的航运业正面临着严 峻的考验” —张守国,中国船东协会 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

I


ClassNK 伴随海事产业而成长 不断进取,积极应对 随着全球经济发展与结构转变,当今的海事产业正面临各种前所未有的挑战。 日本海事协会(简称ClassNK)注册船舶总吨约占世界商船总吨的20%,是全球 知名的船级社。我们充分理解海事产业的需求,并根据海事产业对安全航运的需 要,积极开展全新的服务与技术研发。在ClassNK主页上,您可以了解到更多我 们为保障各种船舶安全、防止海洋环境污染所作出的努力。www.classnk.or.jp


目录

■ ■ ■ 定期报道 3 编者语 4 经济 6 班轮 9 船厂 10 离岸 13 金融 15 商品 16 物流 17 邮轮

■ ■ ■ 人物专访 19 马泽华 21 忻坚敏 22 张守国 23 王坤秀

■■■

我认为,造船市场在未来三年 内很难有所起色

9

—胡问鸣, 中国船舶工业集团

我认为干散货市场已经触底

19

—马泽华,中远集团

我们专注于为客户提供门到 门服务,因而比竞争对手做得 更好 —忻坚敏,上海安盛汽车船务有限公司

21

■ ■ ■ 专题 4 保险 2 27 动力 30 港口

■ ■ ■ 枢纽 32 上海 33 台北 34 香港

中国航运业正面临极端严峻的 考验

22

—张守国,中国船东协会

中国仍缺乏高端化学品船 运力

■ ■ ■ 评论

—王坤秀, 大连港航基金

35 书籍

23

■ ■ ■ 意见 36 Max Hong 37 Bei Hong 38 Andrew Craig Bennett

效率将成为港口企业能否抵御 行业寒冬的关键

30

—常德传 青岛港集团 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

1


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与众不同的要求造就了突破常规的思维。 BBC产业化的全球运输能力为客户端提供了合适人才,技能, 以及当地的专业技术和硬件提高了运输货物以及相关服务的可靠性, 安全性,确保质量和生产效率.

www.bbc-chartering.com


编者语

■■■

中 国 航 运 的 国 际 平 台 www.sinoshipnews.com ASM刊物 编辑主管 Sam Chambers sam@asiashippingmedia.com 首席通讯记者 司湘

katherine@asiashippingmedia.com 通讯记者 姜浩

jason@asiashippingmedia.com 北京 上海 香港 大连 广州 台北

Li Deng Bai Engen Tham Alfred Romann Mark Downing Wang Fanglei Joshua Samuel Brown

供稿人

Bei Hong, Charles De Trenck, Matthew Flynn, Paul French, Max Hong, Li Dong, Manish Singh 摄影

André Eichman, Basil Pao, 封面: NHST Events 所有编辑资料请发送至sam@asiashippingmedia. com 或邮寄到中国大连中山区人民路9号701办公 室,邮编116001 商务主管 Grant Rowles grant@asiashippingmedia.com 中国销售主管 Tom Wu

sales@asiashippingmedia.com SinoShip同时也在东京、首尔和奥斯陆设有广告 代理机构。欲获取当地代理联系信息请发送邮件 到grant@asiashippingmedia.com。 媒体信息可在www.asiashippingmedia.com下 载。 所 有 商 务 资 料 请 发 送 至 grant@ asiashippingmedia.com 或邮寄到 Asia Shipping Media, 20 Cecil Street, #14-01 Equity Plaza, Singapore 049705。 设计 Lamma Studio Design 印刷 香港雅联印刷有限公司 订阅 总部设在中国的所有海运公司都可以免费获 取 S i n o S h i p 期 刊 。对 于 所 有 其 他 公 司 ,订 阅 SinoShip2012年 4期需要收费100美元。订阅每月发 行两次的PDF格式的SinoShip电子新闻(包含 独家新 闻、数 据和分析)需收费50 0美元。订阅咨询请发 送邮 件到subs@asiashippingmedia.com。 版权 © Asia Shipping Media Pte Ltd (ASM), 2012 为确保 本刊物所包含信息的准确性,尽管作出了所有努 力,但出版社 对可能出现的任何错误或疏忽不承担任何 责任。版权所有。未事先获得版权拥有人的书面批准,不 得对本刊物的任何部分进行复制、储存于检索系统或以 任何形式或方式传输。

Eco代表经济, 而非生态 尽管不 想 让人听起来觉得是老生常谈, 但这已经是我在我们杂志的这个特定页面 上连续第二次撰写有关报废的内容。对我 而言,所谓的生态船舶的到来和大量商船 队可能消亡的问题已成为本年度报道的热 点之一。 10 月份,我们在新加坡浮尔顿 (Fullerton) 酒店举办了一次 Eco-Dollars 商务早餐会。 该活动由 Ideocean 和劳氏船级社 (Lloyd’s Register) 赞助,引发了大量反响。 新加坡东方海皇集团 (Neptune Orient Lines) 的副总裁 ShajThayil 致开幕词。他指 出: “某些部分必须废弃或改变,这不可避 免,是个简单的数学问题。2009 年 1 月以 来,燃油价格上涨了 153%,而且没有改变 的迹象。老旧船舶不再有竞争力,行将淡 出交易场所。” Ideocean Holdings 集团的董事总经理 Manish Singh 指出,劳氏船级社最近开展 的行业调查表明,约 75% 的受访者认为超 大油轮 (VLCC) 将在 15 年后或更早的时间 内报废。 “供应情况将决定相关事宜,”他 表示, “技术报废的速度也将变得更快。” “市场决 定一切。因为如果存在吨位 短缺,那么生态争论的相关性就比较低; 反之,如果生产能力过剩,则船舶必须报 废,”劳氏船级社亚洲区的船务部经理 Iain Wilson 表示。 来自致力于降低燃油成本的专业船舶 工具提供商 Eniram 公司的 No.l Jelsma 评 论说: “见证生态技术最快发展的行业是 公众眼中的那些行业,如邮轮业和集装箱 行业;那些落后的行业是油轮和散货船行 业,因为它们有点远离审查,但投资和财务 收益方面存在更大的脱节。” 芬兰 Eniram 的最大客户基础是邮轮业 “现在我们面临的挑战,”Jelsma 表 示, “是 如 何 对 油轮 和 散 货船 业 施 加更 大 压 力,加快 其发 展。这 主 要 受 经济 驱

动。我们一直在使用术语‘绿色’,使用术 语‘eco’,但我认为这里的‘eco’代表经 济,而不是生态。这一切都受到了经济利益 的驱动。” 劳氏船级社的 Wilson 坚持认为,对于监 管环境的适应非常缓慢,除非迫不得已, 船东不会进行投资。 “人们不会投资于没有 回报的东西,而且除非监管环境使然,大多 数船东都会摇摆不定,”他表示。 请密切关注明年该地区的大量主题商 务早餐会。

SamChambers Editor sam@asiashippingmedia.com SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

3


■ ■ ■ 经济

美国的贸易关系与政客们大选期间 鼓吹的情况大相径庭

公平买卖,并非窃取 美国大选对中国问题的鼓吹再次甚嚣尘上。Paul French对其中绝大多数谎言 都进行了抨击 在 今 年竞 争激烈的美国总统 大选中,两位总统候选人抛出 的棘手难题层出不穷,尤其是 中国问题和美国工作机会流失 到太平洋国家的问题。其中许 多说辞并无说服力,这一点我 们审视美中贸易关系就能清晰 看出。 首先,我们应该知道,美国 的所 有 商品 并 非 都 是 中国 制 造。 2010 年,在美国商品和服 务方面的个人消费支出中,花 在中国制造的商品和服务的部 分仅占 2.7%。

大 家 纷 纷 把中国 形 容 成“ 恶 意出口国”(demon exporter), 但 2000-2011 年间的统计数 据表明,美国对华出口额狂涨 5 4 2 %(同期美国对 世界上其 他国家 / 地区的出口增长率仅 为 81%)。很遗憾,这一事实 却鲜有人提起。 第三点,从通常的经济情况 来看,美国有些州在经济方面 显 然比 其 他一 些 州做 得好 得 多,不过一谈到对华出口问题 所有人都要指指点点。 根 据 美中贸易 全国委员 会的数据统计,自 2000 年以

自2000年以来,美国50个州中有48 个州的对华出口增长都达到了三位数

国的农民由此也找到了新的市 场。 无论是农业还是服务业,美 国都保持着对华的贸易顺差: 从 2000 年至 2010 年,美国对 华服 务出口(教育、版权和 培 训等)增长了 290%,中国从美 国的农业进口的年均增幅也达 到 31%。到 2010 年,中国已成 为美国农产品的第 2 大市场, 仅次于加拿大。 因此,中国已成长为美国非 常重要的市场,不仅为美国提 供消费品,而且还从美国购买 数量相当可观的商品、食品与 服务。美国政府的许多机构似 2000-2011年间美国前10大出口市场的增长情况 600

4

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400 300 200

国 荷 加 兰 拿 大 法 国 韩 国 墨 西 哥 英 国 台 湾 日 本

0

100

来,美国 50 个州中有 48 个州 的对 华出口增 长都达 到了三 位数,其中 20 个州的增长更 是高达 4 位数。 第四点,美国制 造 业 的工 作 岗 位 的 确 在 流 失,转 移 到 中国(和墨西哥、土耳 其、越 南、毛里求斯、孟加拉国和其 他 多 个国家 / 地 区),不过 美

其 次,所 谓中 美 贸 易 是 单 行 线 ,中 国 根 本 不 进 口 美 国 产品的 这 种 说 法 绝 对是 不 攻 自破。 中国是 美国 增速 最 快 的出 口 市 场,也 是 美 国 商 品 和 服 务 的 第 三 大 购 买 国,仅 次 于 加 拿 大 和 墨 西 哥(这 两 个 国 家显然是美国的邻国)。虽然

增长率 (%)

500

资料来源:美中贸易全国委员会(US-China Business Council)

乎正慢慢开始认识到这一点。 例如,美国国土安全 部目前正 将 越 来 越 多的 签证 发 放 给高 消费的中国游客,而且大量提 速。这些中国游客一向出手阔 绰,增加了香港、新加坡和西 欧等地奢饰品的零售额。 让 我 们 接 下来 看 一下令 美 国 对 华 政 治 愤 慨 的其 他 经常 性理由,例如人民币不能完全 自由兑换或其他问题,以及指 控中国政府操纵货币。中国目 前仍 被 指 控 保 护 本 国 货 币。 诚然,目前人民币在国际上不 能自由兑换,因而在一定程度 上得 到 了中国 政 府 的 保 护。 不过,人民币的确顺应了市场 潮流,有涨有落,自从 北京 在 2005 年取消人民币与美元挂 钩政策以来,人民币已大幅升 值。根据国际结算银行 (Bank for International Settlements, BIS) 的数据统计,2005 年 1 月 至 2012 年 8 月期间,人民币 实际升值了 31%,名义升值了 25%。 政 客们可能 对此仍 有争 议,不过(可能)相 对公正 的 美国财政部在今年 5 月份曾 表 示, “中国的汇率已大幅升 值,如 果 将 通 胀 差 异 因 素 考 虑 在 内,人 民币 对 美 元 汇 率 自 2010 年 6 月至今已升值约 13%,从 2005 年算起更是升 值达 40%。” 更具挑衅性的是,米特·罗 姆尼 (Mitt Romney) 坚称中国 是货币操纵国。果真如此?从 人民币与美 元挂钩来看,中国 政府确有操纵人民币之嫌。但 事实上,全球有大约 60 个国 家 或地区(包括港币)都是 这 样做的,而且这种做法并不违 反世界贸易组织 (WTO) 或国 际货币基金组织 (IMF) 的有关 规定。 对于 华 盛 顿的政 策智囊 来 说,从现在起往后的四年间中 国都 会是 关键的竞选话题, 不过,这对于那些更关注日常 生活问题的美国普 通 选民 来 说可能关系不大。美国总统大 选期间总要不 可避 免 地大肆 鼓吹中国问题,罗姆尼誓将中 国列为“货币操纵国”的做法 似乎 也 属 此 类。正 如 我们 屡 次 看 到的 那 样,无 论 是 哪 位 总 统候 选 人 最 终入 主白宫, 他们的态度 都 会 趋于温和, 直面 现实政 治问题并对中国 示好。


■ ■ ■ 班轮

将在 2020 年前联手订购多 达 80 艘油轮,总价值达数十 亿美元。大连远洋运输公司 (Cosco Dalian) 已率先签下 10 艘油轮的订单。

SinoShip 了解到的是各方深入 合作计划第一阶段的情况。 中远和中海 已于 10 月份宣 布,双方将在某些国内集装箱 贸易航线上进行首次合作。 中海集装箱运输股份有限公 司 (China Shipping Container Lines, CSCL) 在一份声明中表 示:“该举措仅为 中海集运 和中远在国内集装箱运输业务 方面进行广泛合作的开端。” SinoShip 从北京的消息源了解 到,这两家航运巨头都面临着 中央政府要求其紧密合作的压 力,否则将不会对其进行更多 资金投入。

在堪称本年度的航运新闻大 事中,SinoShip 曾在 8 月份报 道了超大油轮联营体 (VLCC pool) 的详细进展,中国远洋 运输集团 (Cosco)、中国海运 集团 (China Shipping) 和中国 招商局集团 (China Merchants)

由中国能源巨头中国石油 天然气集团公司 (CNPC) 和委内瑞拉国家石油公司 (PDVSA) 组建的合资企业已 从渤海船舶重工有限责任公 司 (Bohai Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Company, BSIC) 订 购 2+2 艘超大型油轮。中委 航运公司有限公司(CVSC) 或称中委航运,总部位于新 加坡。

本地公用事业公司浙江省能 源集团 (Zhejiang Provincial Energy) 对中型散货船运营 商宁波海运股份有限公司 (Ningbo Marine) 的收购在一再 拖延之后,终于在 10 月份正 式敲定,比原计划延迟了 3 个 月时间。

中远集团当家人魏家福表示, 他渴望摆脱单一的航运业务 模式,走业务多元化之路, 希望能像马士基公司那样试 水离岸业务。中远的旗舰上 市企业中国远洋控股有限公

司在本年度的前 9 个月巨亏 8.41 亿美元。

而在另一项举措中,全球最 大的集装箱制造企业已成为 船东,旨在缓解全球顶尖集 装箱运输公司所面临的资金 压力。中国国际海运集装箱 (集团)股份有限公司 (China International Marine Containers, CIMC) 正在大连建造10 艘运力 为 9,200 标准箱的集装箱船, 这些船舶将租给法国的 CMA CGM 开展经营。

法庭诉讼继续向着不利于台湾 海运大亨苏信吉 (Nobu Su) 的 方向发展。经济低迷令原先雄 心万丈的 TMT 深陷困境,这 家企业的所有者发现自己有大 量船只被扣押,韩国的新造船 订单也纷纷被取消。

中国东北有一家得到当地政府 支持的新兴船东。大连合众

船务有限公司 (Dalian Hezhong Shipping) 成立于 10 月份,在 收购上海三瀚海运有限公司 (Shanghai Sanhan Shipping) 后 将专注于国内化学品运输船业 务。公司的目标是在三年内 打造一支由 20 艘船舶组成的 船队。

长荣 (Evergreen) 表示,将推 迟建造 60 艘中小型集装箱运 输船的计划,直到巴拿马运 河的扩建工程于 2015 年竣工 为止。

香港的太平洋航运 (Pacific Basin) 在最新交易资讯中披露 表示,上一季度已达成购入日 本建造的灵便型散货船的协 议。这是该香港散货船巨头自 2011 年 10 月至今进行的首次 采购,不过接下来有可能会进 行多次采购。该公司在一份声 明中表示:“我们正在积极寻 求更多的船只购买机遇,力争 以极具吸引力的价格扩充我们 核心船队的规模。”

铁路多式联运调查 FPSO蓄力增长 海昌的船队调整 2012年夏季刊

www.sinoship.org

接触正确客户群体的机会

拆船专题 中国船员 梁振英领导下的 香港海事业

大中华区每一家主要船东和造船厂都在读这本杂志 邮轮大亨

独家采访中国首位邮轮巨头

6

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船厂

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欧洲引领全球前瞻性设计

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技术追求 广州记者Wang Fenglei关注中资收购欧洲船舶设计公司意向

些对造船业前景 陷入空前悲观的 分 析 师 表 示,造 船厂的萧条期可 能会一直持续到2020年,因而 深处业务寒冬的造船业很有可 能进入冰河时代。 从年初到现在,中国造船厂 接到的新订单数量比同年同期 锐减50%,其中有超过三分之一 的造船厂甚至在2012年未有任 何斩获。即便是有订单在手的 中国造船厂,订单数量也下滑了 30%。造船业市场迅速萎缩。 中国国有大型企业中国船舶 工业集团公司(CSSC)董事长胡 问鸣可谓一语中的,他对通过 建造渔船来填补市场空白的想 法非常感兴趣。 在今年11月参加在北京召开 的中国共产党第十八次全国代 表大会期间,胡董事长表示: “ 我认为,造船市场在未来三年

内很难有所起色。” 不过,机遇往往与危机相伴 相生。对于中国企业,特别是有 国企背景的企业来说,他们正 好可以趁这段市场低潮期来提 升技术水平。 中船集团的胡董事长已经认

的首席执 行官 Rem i  E r i k s en 日 前 在 接 受《 中 国 日 报 》 (China  Daily)采访时表示,中国 造船厂应考虑通过收购欧洲同 行或与他们联手的方式来增强 自身的竞争力。 E r i k s e n 特 别 指 出 ,增

中国造船厂必须有效应对日益严 格的环保法规所带来的挑战 识到这一点,记者从他那里了解 到,中国企业获取新技术已经 成为当务之急。 放眼全 球 最前 沿的造船技 术,再探讨一下船舶设计,不难 发现欧洲在这方面优势明显, 中国企业也将收购目标锁定在 了这一市场。 挪 威 船 级社 ( D e t   N o r s k e Veritas)航运与油气业务部门

强 船 舶 设 计 竞 争力能 帮 助中国造船厂有效应对 日益 严格的环 保法 规 给 全 球造 船业带来的挑战。 其 中 一 些 中国 企 业已开 始 采 取 行 动 。以中 国 航 空 工业 集 团(AV IC)为例,作为中国最大 的 航 空 工业 公 司 之一,其 最 近 收 购了 芬兰 船 舶 设 计公司 D elt a m a r i n。近年来,中国航

今年前十个月,中国造 船厂的订单数量比去 年同期减少 50%

空工业 集 团 在 造 船 业 稳 步 扩 张,目前已经控制了中国的几 家 造 船 厂。目前,它 还 希望 收 购小众 造船厂,范围不限于中 国,而是放眼整个世界。 与此同时,位于中国北方的 国 有造 船 企 业 集 团中国 船 舶 重工集团(China  Shipbuilding Industry  Corp.)的高层也表示, 集团目前正在市场中寻求收购 船舶和海洋工程设计公司,以 便为其造船厂的概念设计提供 大力支持。该集团最近在对钻 井平台设计公司Gusto  MSC的 竞标大战中败北。Gusto  MSC 是荷兰SBM  O f fshore的子 公 司 ,已 由 私 募 股 权 公 司 Parcom  Capital以1.85亿美元的 价格成功竞购。 预计2013年将有更多中国企 业竞购欧洲船舶设计公司。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

9


■ ■ ■ 离岸

重中之重 Katherine Si关注中国的钻井船雄心 就造船厂订单而言,钻井船绝 对是最受青睐的,合约金额始 终能稳稳占到五亿美元以上。 这个行业一直是韩国造船业大 牌企业的天下,但中国已明确显 露出希望从该业务中分一杯羹 的决心。 今年秋天,大连船舶重工集 团 (DSIC) 与挪威的 Norshore 签 署了小型多用途钻井船的 1+3 选择权协议。该钻井船可在深 达 3,000 米的水下工作,钻探 深度达到 10,000 米。大船重工 是在击败了全球 12 家造船厂 后,才赢得这一重要订单的。该 船舶专为在北海进行无立管上 部井眼钻井和油井干预作业而 设 计。大船重工采用了自有设 计,与 Norshore 几年前在印度 尼西亚建造的钻井船没有太大 不同。 继 钻 井 船在 上海 船厂船 舶 有限公司 (Shanghai Shipyard) 完 成 令人 瞩目的 业 内 首 次 亮 相后,大船重工又成为新闻头 条。六月初,上海船厂开始建造 中国首次设计的钻井船。新加 坡的 Opus Offshore 于 2011 年 9 月订购了这艘 45,000 总吨、 长 170 米、宽 32 米的钻井船, 是一个 2+2 选择权订单。第一 艘钻井船定于 2014 年第一季 度交付。Tiger 系列钻井船可在 深达 1,500 米的水下作业,钻探 深度达 10,000 米。

南通中远 川崎 船 舶 工 程 公 司 (Nantong Cosco KHI Ship Engineering, NACKS) 也开始推

在全球作业的钻井船 150

力拔头筹? “技术竞争力、项目合同能力 和成 本 增 加 不 会 延 缓中国 海 工行业的发 展,”中国船 级社 (China Classification Society) 技 术处处长徐立表示。 上海 外高桥 造 船有限 公司 (SWS) 副总经理陈军也认同这 一观点,并指出: “国家决定加 强海洋勘探,国内的能源需求 日益增加。与此同时,非洲也 有尼日利亚等一些新兴市场, 这 将为 钻 探 行业 提 供 大 量机 会。” 为 开发自有钻 井 船 设 计, 上海外高桥造船已投入大量资 源。同时,从大 连 远洋(C osco Dalian) SinoShip 也了解到, 10

WWW.SINOSHIPNEWS.COM

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90

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2016

介其钻井船资质。此外,STX 大 连造船有限公司 (STX Dalian) 也为 Noble 建造并交付了两艘 Huisman 设计的 Globetrotter 钻井船,目前已被 Shell 投

入 使 用。船 体 和 航 运 系 统 都 是 在 中 国 完 成 试 运 行 的。随 后,Globetrotter 以自有动力航行 到荷兰,在 Huisman 的船厂对 钻探系统进行了安装。 但是,上海外高桥造船的陈 军也非常坦诚地表 示, “建 造 钻井平台很困难。大部分配套 设施都是进口的,而且现在的 技术要求也提高了,特别是在 发生墨西哥湾石油泄漏事故之 后。” 这也是 德国劳氏 船 级社 (Germanischer Lloyd) 中国地区 海洋工程业务开发经理张广浩 的观点。 “对于中国钻探行业而 言,我觉得最大的困难在于中 国还不能完成整体建造以及后 续的工作,例如独立安装和维 护。中国必须从其他国家进口 许多设备、材料和零件,中国的 配套服务也不够强大。”此外, 张广浩指出,欧洲设计仍占主 导地位。 政府已认识到进口材料过多 的问题,已开始着手确保中国

在未来十年内成为真正的海工 设备制造商。 业内普遍认为,中国造船厂 在详细工程和项目管理领域经 验不足。这包括根据国际公认 的标准安装钻探设备及相关船 载设备。 中国的 钻 井 船 雄 心尚处早 期阶段,但许多人已感到,就像 造船业的其他许多分支一样, 中国必将熟练掌握这种技术要 求严苛的船型,这只是时间问 题。 “我认为,一旦中国造船厂 有机会建造一系列采用相同设 计的船舶,且船东实施严格的 制造、质量和安全流程,那么中 国造船厂就会成为业内首选, 因为它们具有劳动力和钢材成 本优 势,”一 位在中国私营造 船厂工作的新加坡业内人士表 示。 “只 要 中国国 有 石 油巨头 开始在中国建造钻井船,信心 和成 功业 绩 纪 录 就会 接 踵而 至,”一位挪威消息人士认为。


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全球海事 招聘业的领导者 无论您的业务发展 到哪,我们都提供 您需要的保障

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Tel: (+65) 653 27 201 Shipping: Seagoing: Oil & Gas: Marine:

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25年来,凯林集团为世界各地的海事事业客户提供 支持,确保他们可以应付所面临的各种海上风险。 通过在新加坡和香港的海事承保团队及劳合社中国 的平台,凯林集团在亚洲的劳合社联盟中具有最广 泛的海事业务覆盖面。我们新加坡专业的理赔团队 使客户享受到和伦敦总部一样的专业理赔服务和赔 款支付能力。 凯林的海事团队可以根据您的需求,为您量身定制各 类保险方案,包括: ● 船壳以及机器设备保障险 ● 战争险 ● 船建险

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如果您需要为船只配备成功航行的保障,相信凯林可 以帮您抵御任何风浪。 更多信息请访问www.catlin.com. 新加坡 | David Hughes | David.Hughes@catlin.com 香港 |Timothy Lee | Timothy.Lee@catlin.com 伦敦 | Simon Shrimpton | Simon.Shrimpton@catlin.com 劳合社中国 | Li Linmao | Linmao.Li@catlin.com

Sailors’ Society Shipping Dinner Hong Kong Wednesday 21st February 2013, Island Shangri-La Hotel, Pacific Place In aid of merchant seafarers in need.

Guest speaker Alan ‘Wilko’ Wilkins, ESPN Star Sports Commentator and former England County Cricketer. Drinks reception, fine dining, spectacular auction and music. To reserve your table please contact Catherine Slade on +44 (0)23 8051 5905 or cslade@sailors-society.org

Tables of 10: HK$31,100/US$4,000 Supported by Hong Kong Shipowner Association:

Drinks Reception Sponsor:

Sailors' Society t/a Sailors’ Beneficial Enterprises Ltd. to benefit from UK gift aid. Company No. 3652955 Sailors’ Society Registered Charity (England and Wales) No. 237778


金融

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倍受诟病的libor Engen Tham 关注中国对英国最大的银行业丑闻的反应 伦 敦 银 行 同 业 拆 借 利 率( 即“L I B OR”)深陷大面积 丑 闻。该丑闻是今年 6 月份曝光 的,作为提交用于确定LIBOR 的 利 率 依 据 的 银 行 之一,巴 克 莱 银行早 在2 0 0 5 年就开始 虚 报 数 据。它 在6月份 也 承 认 曾为了自身 利 益 而 试 图 操 控 LIBOR。巴克莱银行承认操控 利率的丑闻不胫而走,社会反 响剧烈,巴克莱银行的行政总 裁被 迫引咎辞职。此 后,包括 劳埃 德 银行( Lloyds)、苏格兰 皇家银行 (RBS)和德意志银行 (Deutsche Bank)在内的其他多 家国际 银 行 也 纷 纷承 认 操 纵 利率。美国、加拿大和瑞士的 主 管 部 门 也 开始 抓 紧 对身 陷 丑 闻的 其 他银 行 进 行质 询 和 问责。 L I B OR涵盖 一 整 套 每日发 布 的 基 准 利 率 ,在 丑 闻 曝 光 前,一直 由 英 国 银 行 家 协 会 (British Bankers’Association, BBA) 负责管理。各利率旨在 反 映 一组银 行在 特 定借 贷 期 内借入特定货币的无担保资金 所需支付的融资成本。每天, 业内一流 的 银 行 都 会 提 交各 种货币各个贷款期的利率。除 去最高利率和最低利率,根据 剩 余 的 提 交 利 率 就可以计 算 平均数据。据称,300 万亿美 元 的 金 融 工具 就 是以该 基 准 利率为基础的。巴克莱银行的 违规操作曝光后,英国政府要 求对LIBOR进行审核。许多人 预计,9 月份公布的审核结果 将宣告名誉扫地的这一基准利 率的终结。不过,最终审核结 果只是 建 议 对L I B OR的 计 算 方法做大幅修订,并提出新的 制衡机制,以防今后再次发生 类似的操纵情况。

中国角度 与国际 银 行 签订 船 舶 融 资文 件 的中国 银 行 往 往 要 接 受 英 国 法 律 的 管 辖。根 据 这 些 协 议,L I B O R 常 常 被 列为 参 考 数据,用于计算应收的利息。 尽管 该 利 率 对 提 供贷 款 资金 的中国 银 行 的 实 际成 本造 成 的 直 接 影 响 并 不 大,但 因 为

伦敦市正在慢慢遗忘这桩丑闻

LIBOR 是国际公认的计价基 准,因而会被写入受英国法律 管 辖 的 船 舶 融 资 文 件。使 用 L I B O R 在一定 程 度 上能 实 现 财务文件的标准化,而且在某 些情况下,更便于中国银行吸 引外方参与其贷款 业务,吸引 国际借贷方。 由于是 要对L I B OR 进 行改

地位。如果中国银行和借贷方 决定全盘替换LIBOR,则必须 做出更大的改动。 不过,尽管 L I B O R 名 誉 扫 地,中国银行仍不太可能弃用 该 基 准。“据我 预 测,短时间 内中国 银 行 不 会 弃用 具 有参 考作用的LIBOR。通常来说, 大家都采取观望态度—看看

中国银行弃用该基准的可能性 不大 良而非全部替换,因而需要对 现 有船 舶融 资 协议 进 行 修 改 的地方很少。可能需要对提及 BBA的条款做微小改动,因为 它已经丧失了利率主管部门的

业 内其 他领 先 银 行 的 做 法, 同时密切关注英国政府LIBOR 计算的尝试和努力,”Ber win Leighton Paisner LLP专门从事 船舶和飞机融资的高级合伙人

Sharon Ho表示。 如果 要说 L I B OR丑闻对中 国 银 行 的 船 舶融 资业 务 造 成 的 最 大 影 响 是 什么,那 就 是 中国 银 行 对 英 国 金 融 监 管 体 系的信任受损。从另一方面来 看,鉴于缺乏切实有效的替代 方案,丑闻可能只会被当做促 进老旧系统改良的动力,该系 统 以前 在 仅 涉及 少 数 银 行 和 人员时曾发挥过作用。它可能 成 为 全 球 范围内增 强 基 准 问 责的活动浪潮的一个脚注。 Ho介绍说: “全球各地的银 行业协会都有各自的LIBOR版 本,大 家一直 坐 立不安,质疑 其 能 否 确 保 各自的 基 准 精 确 反映市场状况,并且免受某些 银行的影响和操纵。”具体结 果如何,有待时间检验。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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商品

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增长不可避免 大连记者Mark Downing提供有关国家乙烯用量增加的内幕 对于 世 界 最大的能源消费国 中国而言,石油是仅次于煤炭 的经济命脉。它大部分被加工 成卡车、拖拉机和发电机使用 的柴油,或用于车辆不断增加 所需的汽油,但其中有一部分 在很大程度上被人们忽略,即 每八桶石油中有超过一桶的量 将被转化为石脑油,作为生产 乙烯的裂解原料。 作为石化 行业 最 重 要的商 业组成部分之一,全世界超过 四分之一国家/地区的100多家 公司都在生产乙烯,乙烯在纺 织、汽车和建筑等主要行业的 应用非常广泛。从全球来说,它 的产量超过其他任何有机化合 物,通常被视为化工行业动态 的晴雨表,它的生产成本与原 油价格息息相关。 国 际 能 源 署 预 测,中 国 到 2013年每天将消耗约1000万桶 石油。除去自有石油储量,中国 将日益依靠国外石油。根据中 华人民共和国国务院新闻办公 室的统计,目前中国每年消耗

的石油中,有57%需要进口。此 外,中国业已成为石脑油的净 进口国,今年预计将进口约240 万吨,随着本国原油产能的增 加,其呈现下降趋势。 中国的乙烯 年 产 能 约为 全 球 最 大 生 产 国 美 国的 一 半, 略 低于沙特阿拉伯。中国石油 和石化工程研究会的高级工程 师张福琴 认为,中国目前的乙

为弥补国内需求的不足,中 国正在努力提高产量,明年的 乙烯产能有望达到1,700万吨。 中石化和中国石油天然气集团 公司(CN P C) 这两家主 要 生 产 商目前正计划建造两座新乙烯 厂,许多现有的工厂也将进行更 新换代。为减少中国对国外技 术进口的依 赖,中石油刚刚在 大庆石化基于国内技术扩建了

中国的年产能有望从目前的1,500 万吨增加至2015年的2,600万吨 烯年产能为1,500万吨,约占全 球总产能的1%;预计这一数据 将在“十二五”计划期间以每年 5%-7%的速度增长,到2015年 增加到近2,600万吨。 乙烯的国内需求也在不断增 长,但由于经济减速,需求量增 幅已从去年的5%下降到今 年 的3.8%至3,300万吨,中石化的 首席化工分析师舒朝霞在近期 于新加坡举行的会议上表示。

中国首家乙烯厂,初始年产能预 计为600,000吨。 值 得 注 意 的 是,此 类 扩 建 项目正不断受到来自公众的压 力,例如最近在位于宁波的中国 最大的炼油厂之一生的抗议活 动。结果是,居民似乎已迫使地 方当局暂停规划中的89亿美元 的扩建项目,原因是害怕中石化 工厂炼油产能和乙烯产量的增 加会加剧空气污染。

舒朝霞预测说,尽管经济减 速,但中国对石脑油的需求量 将 在 未 来 三年内 继 续 增 长, 即 使 它 在 原 料 组合 中所占的 统治地位可能已从70%下滑到 65%。中国生产商将选择合成 煤气、煤炭液化等更为廉价的 替代性原料,甚至可能利用页 岩气。 咨询公司Chemical Market Resources的总裁Balaji Singh 认为,中国在页岩 气这一低成 本原 料 的 开 采 利用 方面 可能 成为世界第二,仅次于北美。 北 美 第 一台页 岩 气 相 关 的 裂 解装 置 最早 有 望于2 016 年 投 入 运行,中国的开发 进展可能 会 更 晚 。许 多人 都 怀 疑 其 实 用性,考虑到中国用于裂解工 艺的水资源不断减少,加之需 要进 行相当大 的 基 础 设 施 投 入 才 能 利 用中国 西北部 研 究 最充分的页岩 气田,因此,尽 管 政 府 鼓 励 此 类内陆 开发 计 划,但最终步入市场的成本也 会价值不菲。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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■ ■ ■ 物流

丛林中正在修建许多用于连接东南亚地区的道路

连接南部 国之间的互通。

金额 高达10 0 亿 人民币。该 基 地建成后,将终结广西沿海地 区无现代造船企业的历史。 “现在,中国和东盟各国的 贸易增长迅猛。北部湾地区迎 来了巨大的机遇,”CSSC董事 长胡问鸣如是说道。 此 外,广西省防城港市、钦 州市和北海市也分别制定了大 型基础设施开发项目的规划。

港口

公路

作为通向东盟国家的大门,广 西壮族自治区已牢固确立起自 身作为本地区重要物流枢纽的 核心地位。 今年六月份,中国和马来西 亚政府在广西新兴港口城市钦 州启动了中国-马来西亚工业 园,旨在促 进两国之间的贸易 往来。该工业园靠近港口经济 发展区和港口保税区,是中国 西部沿海地区唯一的保税区, 也是距东盟最近的保税区。这 一工业园启动不久,两国政 府 就签署了设立中国-马来西亚 第二个合资工业园的合同。该 工业园位于关丹 (Kuantan)— 马 来西 亚 东 部 沿 海 地 区 最 大 的城市。 九月份,中国船舶工业集团 公司(CSSC)签署相关协议,在 钦州建设新的造船基地,合同

目前,中国与东盟之间 65% 的 贸易 额 是 通 过 海 运 实 现 的。 陆地交通运输相对来说比较滞 后,这主要是因为交通基础设 施薄弱,贸易促进水平较低。不 过,中国已经决定努力改变这 种状况。 在最近举行的中国-东盟商 业投资峰会上,中国国家副主 席习近平详细阐明了改进陆地 交通的几项建议。 一位广西本地官员表 示, “ 中国-东盟陆地交通运输系统 的整合与促进是一个复杂的过 程。”他补充道: “必须综合考 量地区的整体利益以及各个国 家的单独利益。该地区内的政 府和企业应加强沟通和协作, 制定一个符合共同利益的完整 计划。我们愿意打造一个共同 的投融资平台,加强和东盟之

Jason Jiang认识到中国和东盟之间的交通基础设 施正在日益发展 中国-东盟自由贸易区(ACFTA) 于2010年1月1日正式全面启动。 就人口和名义GDP而言,它是世 界第三大自由贸易区。ACFTA的 发展生机勃勃,充满活力,促进 了区域经济的整合。 2 0 1 1年,中国 和 东 南 亚 国 家 的双 边 贸易成 交 额 增 长 逾 20%,达到创纪录的3,629亿美 元。中国现在是东盟最大的贸 易伙伴,东盟是中国第三大贸 易伙伴。 目前中国希望降低自由贸易 区内的关税。到2015年,90%的 贸易商品将实行零关税政策, 有望覆盖东盟的四个新成员, 即柬埔寨、老挝、缅甸和越南。 随着贸易增幅的不断扩 大,综合物流合作已经变得不 可或缺。 中国希望 加 快 物 流领域的 发展,而且一直在积极参与, 为重 要 基 础 设 施的建 设 提 供 资金支持,旨在改善东盟成员 16

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间陆地交通运输的发展。” 八月份,南宁- 河内国际公 路运输线正式开通,初步形成 了规 划已久的南宁-新加坡经 济 走 廊 的 交 通 网 络 的 雏 形, 连 接了中国、越 南、老 挝、柬 埔 寨、泰国、马来西亚和新加 坡,包括全长约3500公里的现 代化 公 路和 铁 路 以及 跨 境 经 济计划。 在过去的十年中,中国还建 成了大量连接云南省和越南、 缅甸以及老挝的新公路。

航空 云南省正在发展面向东盟区域 的所谓“空中经济走廊”。该省 宣布,未来三年内计划新建和升 级改造四座机场,同时将往返该 省的国际航班数量增加一倍。 长水国际机场位于云南省的 省会城市昆明,于今年六月开始 运营,目前是中国第四大机场, 年设计货运量为 950,000 吨。到 2040 年,年货运量将进一步扩展 到 230 万吨。 该 机 场 计 划将国际航 线的 数量从当前的 18 条增加到 40 条,其中大部分均服务于东盟 各国的目的港。 因而,连接这两个充满活力 的经济区的交通纽带无疑将更 加紧密的结合。


邮轮

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还有很多事情要做 迄今,国际邮轮公司是否恰当地迎合了中国度假 迄今,国际邮轮公司是否恰当地迎合了中国度假

迄今,国际邮轮公司是否恰当地迎合了中国度假 迄今,国际邮轮公司是否恰当地迎合了中国度假 者特有的品味,需求和文化? 有400多人参加了我者特有的品味,需求和文化? 者特有的品味,需求和文化? 者特有的品味,需求和文化? 们就中国邮轮航运市 场的潜力举行的网上 21.7% 21.7% 是 是 投票活动。 21.7% 78.3% 21.7% 78.3% 是 是

否 否

否 否

78.3%

中国的哪一个城市有最好的邮轮设施? 中国的哪一个城市有最好的邮轮设施? 中国的哪一个城市有最好的邮轮设施? 中国的哪一个城市有最好的邮轮设施?

香港 香港

上海 上海 香港 香港

上海 上海

78.3%

SinoShip 有史以来举行的首 次网上投票获得热烈响应,投 票结果十分有趣。投票显示无 迄今为止,国际邮轮公司将他们的国际理 迄今为止,国际邮轮公司将他们的国际理 迄今为止,国际邮轮公司将他们的国际理 迄今为止,国际邮轮公司将他们的国际理 论是中国本土邮轮公司还是国 念带到中国并应用于中国的游客。这是有 念带到中国并应用于中国的游客。这是有 念带到中国并应用于中国的游客。这是有 念带到中国并应用于中国的游客。这是有 效果的,但是或许更应该提供新的商业模式,更 效果的,但是或许更应该提供新的商业模式,更 际邮轮公司,如果想在中国大 效果的,但是或许更应该提供新的商业模式,更 效果的,但是或许更应该提供新的商业模式,更 专注于中国客户的需求和以中国为中心的理念, 专注于中国客户的需求和以中国为中心的理念, 陆培育邮轮航运行业,都需要 专注于中国客户的需求和以中国为中心的理念, 专注于中国客户的需求和以中国为中心的理念, 尤其是在来自于中国本土竞争上升的时候。 尤其是在来自于中国本土竞争上升的时候。 克服重重困难。 尤其是在来自于中国本土竞争上升的时候。 尤其是在来自于中国本土竞争上升的时候。 S i n o S h i p 的 编 辑 S近期公主邮轮和皇家加勒比邮轮在其船上做出了极 am 近期公主邮轮和皇家加勒比邮轮在其船上做出了极 近期公主邮轮和皇家加勒比邮轮在其船上做出了极 近期公主邮轮和皇家加勒比邮轮在其船上做出了极 Chambers评论 说: “尽管中国 大的为中国地区定制的服务。 大的为中国地区定制的服务。 大的为中国地区定制的服务。 大的为中国地区定制的服务。 邮 轮 市 场 蕴 含 的 巨大 潜 力显 而易见,但我们的调查结果也 表 明,无 论 是 在 基 础 设 施 、 目前,中国的旅行社是否有能力适当的进入中国客 目前,中国的旅行社是否有能力适当的进入中国客 目前,中国的旅行社是否有能力适当的进入中国客 监管、专业技术还是人力资源 目前,中国的旅行社是否有能力适当的进入中国客 户市场? 户市场? 户市场?户市场? 管理等方面,仍有许多事情要 39.1% 39.1% 39.1% 60.9% 39.1% 60.9% 做。” 否 是 否 是 60.9% 60.9% 否 是 香港力挫上海,摘取中国最 否 是 佳邮轮设施城市的桂冠,厦门 和三亚分列第三、四名。 更多关于加强潜在的中国邮轮客人兴趣 更多关于加强潜在的中国邮轮客人兴趣 更多关于加强潜在的中国邮轮客人兴趣 更多关于加强潜在的中国邮轮客人兴趣 的工作要做。适应邮轮度假,时间和心 的工作要做。适应邮轮度假,时间和心 的工作要做。适应邮轮度假,时间和心 的工作要做。适应邮轮度假,时间和心 态是关键。 态是关键。 态是关键。 态是关键。 他们可能有某些分销渠道和方法,但是在邮轮产品 他们可能有某些分销渠道和方法,但是在邮轮产品 他们可能有某些分销渠道和方法,但是在邮轮产品 他们可能有某些分销渠道和方法,但是在邮轮产品 的技巧和专业性上就不尽然了,品牌或者目的地— 的技巧和专业性上就不尽然了,品牌或者目的地— 的技巧和专业性上就不尽然了,品牌或者目的地— 的技巧和专业性上就不尽然了,品牌或者目的地— —在现有的市场知识方面有很大差距, —在现有的市场知识方面有很大差距, —在现有的市场知识方面有很大差距, —在现有的市场知识方面有很大差距, 需要快速地进行培训。 需要快速地进行培训。 需要快速地进行培训。 需要快速地进行培训。

上海 天津 上海 天津 厦门 厦门 三亚 三亚 香港 香港 大连 大连

29.4% 上海 上海 3.9% 29.4% 天津 天津 3.9% 9.8% 厦门 厦门 9.8% 7.8% 三亚 三亚 7.8% 47.1% 香港 香港 47.1% 2.0% 大连 大连 2.0%

29.4% 29.4% 3.9% 3.9% 9.8% 9.8% 7.8% 7.8% 47.1% 47.1% 2.0% 2.0%

香港是上列城市中最好的邮轮目的地, 它 香港是上列城市中最好的邮轮目的地, 它 香港是上列城市中最好的邮轮目的地, 它 香港是上列城市中最好的邮轮目的地, 它 如今并没有必要拥有最好的邮轮设施,然 如今并没有必要拥有最好的邮轮设施,然 如今并没有必要拥有最好的邮轮设施,然 如今并没有必要拥有最好的邮轮设施,然 而它是一日游的理想目的地。该城市的风景和体 而它是一日游的理想目的地。该城市的风景和体 而它是一日游的理想目的地。该城市的风景和体 而它是一日游的理想目的地。该城市的风景和体 验可以满足各种喜好的游客。上列的所有城市将 验可以满足各种喜好的游客。上列的所有城市将 验可以满足各种喜好的游客。上列的所有城市将 验可以满足各种喜好的游客。上列的所有城市将 在未来几年内大力地升级邮轮设施,但是当地的 在未来几年内大力地升级邮轮设施,但是当地的 在未来几年内大力地升级邮轮设施,但是当地的 在未来几年内大力地升级邮轮设施,但是当地的 相关管理部门也会随之升级并让游览变得更享受 相关管理部门也会随之升级并让游览变得更享受 相关管理部门也会随之升级并让游览变得更享受 相关管理部门也会随之升级并让游览变得更享受 以及毫无压力吗? 以及毫无压力吗? 以及毫无压力吗? 以及毫无压力吗? 四个主要的邮轮母港-上海,香港,天津和三亚, 四个主要的邮轮母港-上海,香港,天津和三亚, 四个主要的邮轮母港-上海,香港,天津和三亚, 四个主要的邮轮母港-上海,香港,天津和三亚, 占全部邮轮游客流量的80%。预计这些地 占全部邮轮游客流量的80%。预计这些地 占全部邮轮游客流量的80%。预计这些地 占全部邮轮游客流量的80%。预计这些地 方有最好的设施。 方有最好的设施。 方有最好的设施。 方有最好的设施。 中国的邮轮目的地在向西方消费者宣传乘坐邮轮 中国的邮轮目的地在向西方消费者宣传乘坐邮轮 中国的邮轮目的地在向西方消费者宣传乘坐邮轮 中国的邮轮目的地在向西方消费者宣传乘坐邮轮 到中国旅游方面做的足够好吗? 到中国旅游方面做的足够好吗? 到中国旅游方面做的足够好吗? 到中国旅游方面做的足够好吗?

是 是 否 否

是 是

6.5% 93.5% 6.5% 93.5%

6.5% 6.5% 93.5% 93.5%

否 否

中国的邮轮目的地一直做的很多, 也许需要也许需要 中国的邮轮目的地一直做的很多, 中国的邮轮目的地一直做的很多, 中国的邮轮目的地一直做的很多, 也许需要也许需要 一个更清晰和放宽的监管环境会增加成功。 一个更清晰和放宽的监管环境会增加成功。 一个更清晰和放宽的监管环境会增加成功。 一个更清晰和放宽的监管环境会增加成功。 这些目的地在发展邮轮母港产品和国际宣 这些目的地在发展邮轮母港产品和国际宣 这些目的地在发展邮轮母港产品和国际宣 这些目的地在发展邮轮母港产品和国际宣 传方面落后于发展趋势。 传方面落后于发展趋势。 传方面落后于发展趋势。 传方面落后于发展趋势。

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17


人物专访

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几年内加强合作,而且不仅仅局限于集装 箱运输领域。

调整航向

理性的思考者 专访中远集团总经理马泽华

个为困境而生的人;过去二 十年来,马泽华一路大放异 彩,完成与众不同的人生轨 迹,现在担负起为中国远洋 运输集团 (Cosco Group) 勾画发展蓝图的掌 舵人角色。 2011 年 8 月被任命为中国最强大的航 运企业集团的总经理时,马泽华在中国航 运圈中已享有盛誉,这与他所接替的前任 总裁魏家福有所不同。 空降到充满风暴的甲板上后,马泽华最 初的角色是 – 并且将始终是 – 调整在经 济低迷中已经巨亏数十亿人民币的这一国 有巨头的航向;他的最终使命或许是更多 猜测的缘起—中远集团 和中国第二大航 运公司中国海运集团 (China Shipping) 合并 的猜测早已传的沸沸扬扬。 要是有任何类型的合并可能的话— 传 闻认为,两家公司将从提倡更密切合作的 中央政府那里获得更多资金,那么马泽华 会是该工作的完美人选。 马泽华毕业于上海海事大学,1977 年加 入中远集团,和魏家福一样,在中国海运集

团最近五年的紧缩期之前,曾担任过多个 境内外高级职位。 今 年十月中 旬,双 方发布了具 有历史 意义的公 告:中远 集团和中 海集团将在 一些国内集装箱贸易航线上首次 进行合 作。中海集装箱运输股份有限公司(China Shipping Container Lines)和中远集装箱 运输有限公司 (Cosco Container Lines) 将 共同运营从中国东北到福建和广东的贸易 航线。 “这一举措仅仅是中海集运和中远集团 在国内集装箱运输方面进行密切合作的开 始,”中海集运在一份声明中表示。 但是,马泽华不愿意就中国两大海运巨 头集团之间的合并猜测发表评论。 在UBM于深圳主办的泛太平洋海运亚 洲会议 (TPM Asia) 上,马泽华发言时表 示: “近年来,两家公司的领导层进行了很 多互动和交流。目前,市场上对于我们今 后的发 展有很多 揣测。我 无法告诉 大家 我们是否会合并,不得不给大家留下猜想 余地。” 但是,马泽华表示,两家公司将在今后

正如已经提到过的,马泽华最重要的工作 是让该巨头集团重新盈利。 “作为公司总经理,”马泽华在一次专 访中告诉 SinoShip, “我的主要目标是帮助 公司渡过现在的困难。” 虽然赤字比前几个季度略有减少,但仍 在延续。 中远集团在香港上市交易的旗舰企业 中国远洋控股有限公司公布第三季度净亏 损 15.3 亿元人民币(2.45 亿美元),与去年 亏损 20.7 亿元人民币的业绩相比,略有改 善。该散货船/集装箱船运营商今年前九个 月已巨亏 52.5 亿元人民币(8.41 亿美元)。 公司的财务报告指出, “由于航运业产 能过剩以及干散货运费的暴跌,我们预计 2012 全年都难以盈利。” 干散货在这次经济低迷中重创中远集 团,但马泽华很乐观,认为最黑暗的日子已 经结束。 “我认为干散货市场已经触底,”他告 诉 SinoShip 并坚持自己的看法, “不会变得 更糟了。” 总体而言,马泽华估计中国航运市场可 能还需要两到三年才能达到供需平衡。 他在今年 TPM Asia 会议的一次主题发 言中承认,要想实现集装箱前沿行业的均 衡,还有很长的路要走。 “明年,市场仍必须解决产能过剩的问 题,”他补充说, “但长期形成的结构问题 无法在一夜之间解决。” 他批评整个集装箱运输业长期专注于 追逐市场份额,同时也慨叹某些承运商紧 盯现在较低的新造船价格不放,进一步延 长了集装箱行业的低迷局面。 “过 多 的 产 能 需 要 很 长 时 间 才 能 消 化,”马泽华说, “船舶订单应基于实际需 求做出,而不是预测需求。” 马泽华表示, “我们必须改变自己的发 展模式,”航运业需要“更理性地思考”更 多的船舶订单。 更理性地思考正是马泽华的风格。

中远集团 中国远洋运输集团公司 (Cosco) 成 立于 1961 年,是全球第二大航运 公司,拥有超过 800 艘船舶。旗 下资产包括集装箱船、油轮、散货 船、造船厂、物流运营和码头。它 是一家国有企业,有许多子公司已 在亚洲各交易所上市。

我认为干散货市场已经触底 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

19


人物专访

抵御经济衰退影响 的秘诀 SinoShip采访上海安盛汽车船务有限公司总经理忻坚敏,听他介绍公 司如何抵御航运业务衰退的冲击,带领企业走成功之路,以及对企业 未来的规划

如 天 堂鸟惊 鸿 一 瞥 难 得 一 见,上海安盛汽车船务有限 公司 (Shanghai Ansheng Auto Shipping)堪称少有的成功企 业—在经济衰退的大背景下,这家船东成 功抵御了不利的经济影响。该公司成立至 今已有 18 年的历史,在业内拥有多项第一 的纪录,令公司引以为豪。它是中国的首家 汽车船务公司,其船队在国内也是最先兼 具海运和河运双重能力。 安盛公司总经理忻坚敏掌管着由12艘 汽车运输船 组 成的船队,计 划在今 年 年 底再买入三艘船。 “到今年年底,我们将 随时都能够运输1,50 0台整车。这位总经 理介绍说: “我们将从日本购入一艘二手 船,另外还将购买两艘由江东船厂建造的 船舶。”

正是因为这支 船队的专业特 性,使得 安盛 公司成功抵御了重创其他企业的经 济 衰 退 。忻总 解 释 说 :“ 我 们 所 处 的 行 业在 中国 刚 刚 起 步。今 年,中国的 汽 车 产量已经高达 2,0 0 0万辆。其中 70% 都 是 乘用车— 绝大部 分 都是我们公司运 输的。” 忻总认为,对 汽车运输船的需求将 持 续 增长,因为汽 车制造商运 送汽 车的 方 式 将逐步从卡车运输向船只运输转移。 目前,80%的车辆是通过陆路运输,剩余 2 0 %的 运输中火车 和 船只各占一 半。不 过,忻总特别指出,用于运输汽车的大卡 车中,至少有85%都是非法营运。根据中 国相关法规的规定,卡车的长度最长不得 超过16.5米,目前上路运输小轿车的大卡 车中,绝大 多 数的长度 都超 过了2 5米。

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目前,政府对这项法规的监管力度越来越 大。忻总表 示: “如果这种非法营运活动 能够得到整治,用船舶运输的汽车数量就 会逐步增加。即便选择使用船舶来运输汽 车的汽车制造商只增加12%到13%— 我 们便有足够多的业务。” 安盛免受经济衰退冲击还有另一个原 因,就是该公司在范围更大的公司集团内 部 扮演特 别的工作 职能。忻总在 其中担 任副总裁的上海安吉物流有限公司(A nji Logistics)是安盛公司的母公司,每年负责 运输的汽车超过500万辆。上海汽车工业总 公司是上海安吉物流有限公司的母公司, 是中国最大的汽车制造企业,旗下有上海 通用汽车和上海大众汽车等多家子公司。 安盛公司负责打理其母公司的所有船运需 求。关键在于它无需自己出去开拓需要使 用其船只的客户—它的母公司就是现成 的客户。 忻总介绍说: “中国政府制定了五年规 划,我们公司也有自己的五年规划。”安盛 公司计划到 2015 年逐步增加船舶运力,在 保持船舶数量的情况下,将吨位较小的船 舶换成较大的船舶。其目标是将仅有250 台至300台车运载量的运输船更换为运载 量超过1,000台车的运输船。 忻总认为,关键在于企业的强强联合。 安盛将寻求在更有效的基础上与集团内 的其他公司进 行 协 作,为客户提 供门到 门的物 流 服 务。尽管 安盛 公司不打算进 军其他运输领域,但它将专注于发展自己 的IT和KPI系统,为汽车制造商提供更出 色的一致性服务。 “我们是专门从事汽车 运输船业 务的公司。这是我们专门从事 的方向。我们没法与中国海运集团(China Shipping)和中国远洋运输集团(Cosco)这 样的大公司在航运方面展开竞争,他们的 规模比我们要大得多。不过问题在于:我 们该如何发挥自己的优势呢?我们专注于 为客户提供门到门服务,因而比竞争对手 做 得更好。 “这不只是 航线的问题,还是 物流的问题。”

安盛 上海 安盛 汽 车船务有限 公司是 一家国有企业,成立于1994年, 是中国最大的汽 车制造 集团上 海汽车工业总公司的下属企业。 该公司的船 舶航 线覆 盖全国各 沿海港口和长江各沿线港口。此 外,它还为丰田、尼桑、宝马和保 时捷等多家汽车企 业提 供运输 服务。

我们专注于为客户提供门到门服务,因而比竞 争对手做得更好 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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船东的保护者 想了解中国航运业的方向?中国船东协会秘书长张守国提供了答案

东协会的角色是反映和保护 其成员的利益,这是理所当然 的。对于中国船东协会 (CSA) 秘书长张守国而言,随着中国 船东过去五年内在规模和全球知名度方面 的快速增长,以及当前经济不景气对大多数 成员的严重影响,肩上的任务可不轻。 十 年前,中国船东协 会 还处于发 展初 期,但随着中国在世界海运业的崛起,现

中国船东协会 中 国 船 东 协 会 ( C S A ) 成 立于 1993年,其会员包括在中华人 民共和国注册的船东、运营商 和管理 人。目前它有2 0 8家会 员,运营着一支超过6000万以 上载重吨的船队,约占全国总 运载能力的80%以上。

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在正发挥着越来越重要的影响力。 为了在最恶劣的金融时期保护自己的会 员,当前,中国船东协会有许多工作要做。 根据《证券日报》的报道,中国九家最 大的航运企业在上半年共亏损近 80 亿元 人民币。 “中国 航 运 业 正 面 临 极 端 严 峻 的 考 验,”张守国坦言道, “一些知名航运企业 已出现了赤字。许多规模更小的公司的船 只目前则无货可运。” 根据中国船东协会的统计,五星红旗船 队规模在世界排名第九,而中国船只的运 载量仅占中国进出口总额的五分之一多。 而在设备、运营管理和船队结构方面, 张守国承认中国和更发达的国家间依然存 在很大差距。 那么如何使中国航运业走出赤字纷扰 呢?张守国敦促本地船东更理性地寻求发 展。 “他们不应盲目建造船只,”他表示。 老旧船只,特别是需要消耗更多燃料和 排放更多污染的那些船只应尽早淘汰。他 指出,目前中国是全世界老旧船只数量最 多的国家。 在融资方面,张守国建议会员利用船舶 产业基金和各种融资租赁平台。售后回租交 易相对而言仍未被充分利用,这对盘活企

业固定资产、提高资金的利用率非常有益。 张守国还希望政府参与并提供一系列 产业政策和措施促进航运业的可持续发 展,提高境内船东的国际竞争力。 张守国表 示,政府还应通过参考其他 国家处理征税难题的做法, “探索”船舶 税改革。 这位中国船东协会的领导认为有实力 的航运企业,可以积极去进行海外并购, 将海外 企 业的技 术、品牌或营销服务网

我们认为,有实力的航 运企业,可以积极去进行 海外并购,将海外企业的 技术、品牌或营销服务网 络直接为我所用 络直接为我所用;也可以在国内选择合适 的对象进行并购,实现1+1大于2的效果。 中小型航运企业应当培养自己的核心竞争 力,加强话语权。 看看未来会发生什么:中国船东协会的 建议常常会变成现实。


人物专访

北方资本 大连有了自己的第一支航运基金,掌舵人是资深金融家王坤秀

连 是 航 运 业 的 栖 居和 呼 吸 之 地 ,任 何 来 到 辽 宁 这个 沿 海 城 市的 游 客 都 会 看 到 无 数 造 船 起 重 机 和 很 多泊 位。大连北面的长兴岛,正在开发成中国 重要的石化和造船基地。如今,作为航运 组合的补充,这座最初由俄罗斯人建立的 大城市因拥有中国东北的首支航运基 金 而深感自豪。 大连港航产业基金(PFS)成立于今年6 月,总规模50亿元人民币,侧重于物流、航 运和港口等方面的投资。10月份,PFS成立 了一家化学品运输船公司—大连合众船

务有限公司(Dalian Hezhong Shipping)。合 众在成立时收购了上海三瀚海运有限公司 (Shanghai Sanhan Shipping),今后将继续专 注于三瀚的液体化学品运输船业务。 PFS还得到了王坤秀这样的理想人选, 作为其航运投资的掌舵人。王坤秀的专业 背景包括曾担任上海国有资产管理公司 的高级经理以及中国船舶产业基金的副总 经理。她曾参与过许多重要的资产重组交 易,随着航运业的继续低迷,各种重组交 易在今后几年内也将继续上演。 “合众船务将在化学品物流领域扮演重 要的角色,并为大连逐步发展成为国际航

中国仍缺乏高端化学品船运力

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运中心提供支持,”王坤秀向SinoShip透露。 PFS已经投资了众多港口和物流基础设 施项目。此外,她还表示,公司目前正在研 究长兴岛的一个大型石化码头项目。 王坤秀称,除了中国最大 海 运商业巨 头的下属油轮企业—大连远洋运输集团 (Cosco Dalian)以外,辽宁的石化航运行业“ 相对落后”,因而合众船务的成立可满足“ 日益增长的需求”。 她表示,与散货运输相比,化学品航运 市场相对稳定。合众船务侧重于量小但价 值更高的高端市场,部分原因在于其更为 严格的船舶要求。这个利基市场的高端运 力所占的份额不到中国整个化学品船运力 的10%。 王坤秀说, “国内航运市场受到严格监 管,并且由于安全问题,政府对新化学品 船运力的审批有着非常严格的规定,”她 发现即将投入的新运力远远赶不上需求的 增长。 她认为, “尽管低端化学品船运力可能 存在过剩,但中国仍缺乏高端化学品船运 力。这也是我们投资合 众 船 务的主 要原 因。”合众船务的目标是通过新造船舶和 采购,建立一支由20艘化学品运输船组成 的船队。公司已经与中国船舶工业集团公 司(CSSC)下属的重庆川东船重工有限责任 公司(Chongqing Chuandong Shipbuilding)签 署了一份四艘化学品运输船的订单,定于 2014年前交付。其中,高达 60%的融资将来 自银行,其余来自PFS。合众船务还会租用 一些船舶。 PFS还计划创建一支离岸基金—中国 港航基金(CPSF),专注于散货运输和海洋 工程领域。 CPSF即将启动,其组织形式为一家在英 属开曼群岛注册的境外有限合伙制基金, 第一轮基金融资规模将高达1.5亿美元,存 续期为10年。 “尽管当前的散货航运市场受疲软的全 球经济影响而跌至谷底,但从长期来看,铁 矿石、粮食、石油等散货仍是中国国民经济 的基石,属刚性需求。我们将其视为周期 性行业,我认为它在今后五年内将实现缓 慢增长,”王坤秀认为。

大连港航产业基金 大连港航产业基金 (PFS) 成立于 6 月份,是中国东北首支政府主导( 政府持股 49%)的产业基金。该基 金侧重于物流、航运和港口等投资 领域。目前,基金规模达 50 亿元人 民币。10 月份,PFS 成立了一家化学 品运输船船运公司—大连合众船 务有限公司。

SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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不实索赔面临 更严格审查 EngenTham为当前航运业低迷环境下的保险市场把脉

于 许 多 航 线 不 明的 船只 来 说,海上保险 堪称救星。正 如狂风暴雨般的经济形势将 改变船东的业务发展那样, 它也会对 海上保险公司市场产生深远 影 响。尽管各保险公司对当前市场趋势众说 纷纭,不过大家普遍都担心:船东在艰难 时期为度过难关,会更加倚重保险。此外, 保险公司也日益成为船东必须撑过危局这 种潜滋暗长的情绪的避难所。 许多保险公司有目共睹的一个趋势就 是保险价值不断贬值缩水,鉴于船舶价格 下降,这不足为奇。2012 年,根据国际海运 保险联合会 (International Union of Marine Insurance, IUMI) 9 月份发布的数据,续保 船只的保险价值下跌了 7.3%。今年的降幅 比上一年更大,去年的保险价值比 2010 年 下降了 3.2%。不过,并非所有类型船只的 保险价值都大幅下降,有些船只的保险价 值依旧坚挺。 Allianz Global Corporate and Specialty 旗 下 Marine Hull 公司的首席核保官 DrVolker Bergeest 表示: “海工支持船和巡航船的需

求依旧旺盛,投保金额维持不变。” 在遭遇财务困境时,船东更有可能以战 争风险、船体和机械或 P&I 保单为名来违 反保证。因此,预计与抵押权人船舶利益 保险 (MII) 有关的索赔数量会增加,这非 常正常。因为这一险种是融资人为防范由 于船东违反保证而导致海运保险遭拒或无 效而投保的保险。Bankserve 是为银行提供 MII 服务的专业公司,其董事总经理 Peter Mellett 表示,索赔量的确有所上升,但 MII 的价格并未上涨。 “如果说有什么区别的话,那就是 MII 的成 本 在 过去几年中略有下降,但潜在 索赔量 却在增长。索赔 需要花费相当长 的时间才会有定论,往往要经过一年乃至 两年的长期谈判和讨论,不会对保险公司 的账面造 成 影响。索赔量可能会 增长, 但最终还是要取决于索赔能否被最终认 定,”Mellett 说道。 MII 保单的措辞也取决于经济形势 的复杂性。Markel 公司的核保经理 Matt Cannock 介绍说: “当市场状况顺风顺 水,MII 业绩良好时,措辞会越来越宽泛。

当市场状况不佳、出现大量索赔时,我们只能 诉诸法院的最终判决结果 24

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保险

随着保险公司负担的 加剧,他们往往会对索 赔持更为审慎的态度

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反之,当市场状况不佳,出现更多索赔时, 我们只能诉 诸于法院的最终 判决结果, 但 这必须通 过 法院判决才能实现。目前 而言,有些措辞的范围宽泛得令人难以置 信,例如对于单艘船提出的 MII 索赔可能 导致对整个船队都要赔付,这简直是太疯 狂了,不过这就是当时的市场状况。” 随着船舶运营商的利润被挤压,他们更 有可能减少在维护上的投入。在这种情况 下,保险公司可能会以“不适航”为由拒绝 索赔。不过,这一假设并不成立,因为保险 公司很难证明“不适航”。 Cannock 表示: “我们很难以船只保养 不良这一理由拒绝赔付,因为我们必须说 明其中的因果关系,结果是我们只好赔付 更多。” 此外,保险公司反映船东从事违法或高 风险交易的级别越来越高,因为他们竭力 想保持自己的利润。因此,保险公司会将制 裁条款列入他们的保险单条款中,确保自 己无需赔付涉及到违反制裁条款的索赔。 鉴于美国和欧盟今年早些时候对伊朗施加 制裁措施,这一问题特别值得关注。 随着保险公司负担的加剧,他们往往会 对索赔持更为审慎的态度,并对收到的索 赔进行更详尽的调查。Mellett 表示: “收到 的索赔从来不可能无懈可击,我们总能在 索赔内容中找到一些破绽。如果看一下经

中国出口信用保险公司 中国出口信用保险公司是受中国政府政策指导的 国有保险公司,成立于2001年,旨在促进中国的 国际贸易。中国政府委托该公司促进中国在商品 和服务方面的出口和投资。该公司的保险责任由 国家承担,业务经营采取收支平衡的模式。该保 险公司可接受船舶融资人、造船厂和出租人的投 保,帮助他们抵御支付风险。它们可能会经常要 求提供保单,作为与他方签署协议的条件。可购 买两种形式的短期保险。买方违约保险:为造船 厂进行交付前的建造期提供保险,时间最长可达 三年,防范买方在造船合约中违约。特定合约保 险:为造船厂交船后提供保险,防范买方在造船 合约中违约。两种中长期保险中常常购买的是第 一种— 买方信用保险,该险种可以为银行提供 最长12年的交付前和交付后保险,防范贷款人在 贷款协议中发生违约。第二种是海外租赁保险, 可为出租人提供最长12年的保险,防范承租人在 租赁协议中付款违约。2011年,在中国出口信用 保险公司的中长期保单中,有45%是为与集装箱 船有关的协议提供保险,有31%是为散装船提供 保险,有14%是为油轮提供保险。 经济低迷时期的保险索赔面临更严格 的审查 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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理或船东的办公室,一定会发现一些不对 头的地方。” 收入损失或租赁保险损失的情况已经 减少。当船东生意兴隆时,他们希望保护 自己的收入流,因此愿意为此买单。当收 入减少时,租赁或收益损失的业务威胁也 相应下降,因而就极不情愿支付昂贵的保 单。 根据 IUMI 的统计数据,2010 年至 2011 年间,全球海运保险的保费增加了 7%,总 额达到 319 亿美元。不过,接受 SinoShip 采访的一些保险公司感觉海运保险并不算 是赚钱的生意。他们表示,市场中保险公 司过剩,它们之间的恶性竞争导致保费下 降。在行业的盘整期间,往往会听到怨声 载道。Cannock 预计: “很多今年投保的公 司到了明年就不会投保了。这并非是因为 他们在财务上有困难,无法承受,而是因为 管理层决定退出投保。” 尽管经济低迷,Allianz 的 Bergeest 仍然 看好海运保险市场,坚信有些领域已经做 好发展的准备。他认为,随着全球对近海供 给船的需求越来越大,对自然灾害保险的 需求也相应增长。近海供给船主要是在遥 远或危险大的水域进行作业。 在低迷的经济环境下,海上保险公司无 疑面临更大的风险。不过,那些能够顺应 船东和融资人不断变化的需求的保险公司 将首先走出困境。

歌诗达康柯迪亚号Costa Concordia的代价 自爱克森瓦拉兹海难即阿拉斯加港湾漏油事件(Exxon Valdez)至 今,行业仍然饱受最严重灾难的影响 今 年1月 13日,歌诗达康柯迪亚号大型 邮轮在接近意大利海岸处触礁翻沉。由 此造成的损失高达10亿美元,是自1989 年爱克森瓦拉兹海难即阿拉斯加港湾漏 油事件以来损失最惨重的海事事故(未 根据通货膨胀 进行相应调整)。整个海 运保险行业反响强烈。 其 中 涉 及 多 家 保 险 公 司 ,包 括 Generali、Allianz、RSA和XL。据估计, 清 除失事船只 残 骸 的费用 高达 2 亿 美 元。保赔(P&I)成本达3.5亿美元储备金, 加上5亿美元的船体损失,预计损失总额 高达8.5亿美元。 很多公司期待P&I的续约条件能有优 惠条件,续约的时间是明年2月。国际保 险公司的保费很有可能会大幅上涨。正 当我们要交付印刷之际,有些保险公司 已经公布了2013年计划,保费平均涨幅 为7.5%。

SHIP OWNERS

环境评估体系包括EVDI 石油和干散货审批专家 油轮网上审批信息系统 70000多船舶的数据库 全球巡检组 为客户定制服务 主计算机+驳船评估系统

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petroleum@rightship.com


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重在船尾 据Katherine Si报道,中国的发动机行业在经济低迷中发生了巨大的改变,但相关机构希望中国成为这 一领域的领导者的决心保持不变。

去七年来,中国船用发动机 的生 产和 全 球 造 船 业的 繁 荣是共生关系。 在 过去十 年 激 烈的货运 角逐中,船队发展的最大阻碍之一是有限

的发动机制造能力。每个船东都要求尽快 交付船舶,一段时间内数量压倒了质量, 没有足够的发动机可以供应。 时至今日,情况发生了逆转。中国政府 已将船 舶设备制造视为连续两个五年计

划的一项重要原则,而且鼓励外国企业在 境内设立车间。一时间发动机工厂如雨后 春笋般出现。但是,随着全球金融危机来 袭,船舶订单骤然减少。形势刹那间完全 不同—从盛宴变成了饥荒。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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市场上可能出现合 并,有些制造商甚至 会退出市场,在此之 前竞争的势头仍会非 常激烈 新设 立的光鲜工厂均无法开足马力生 产,而且不得不改造机器,尽力生产不同 的非船舶产品。 “没人能预见今后的情况会有多么糟 糕,”一家中国船用发动机合资制造企业 的欧 洲高管 表 示,“ 我们 不 得 不 转向其 他产品,保持缓慢运行。这包括巴士发动 机,甚至和发动机根本无关的机械。我们 真正担心的问题是,业内的生产能力过剩 可能要持续数年之久。” “从去年开始,复 杂 经济形势对造 船 业的滞后效应已完全显现,”本地发动机 制造商熔安动力总裁邹志明说, “市场需 求已减少,业内企业处于困难的时期。今 年,熔安动力的主发动机订单比去年减少 了 30%。” 公司董 事长 邓辉 预计,经济衰 退的形 势仍将持续一段时间,人民币的升值也不 会有太大帮助。 “到 处都 是 交付延 迟、付 款 延 迟,等 28

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等,”邓辉表示, “国内主发动机制造商的 运营成本压力变得比以往更加沉重。” 合资企业青岛齐耀瓦锡兰菱重麟山船 用柴油机 有限公司(QM D)的首席执 行官 Rien  Hoogerbrugge坚称,国内供应商存在 生产能力过剩的情况。基于全球造船业的 复苏以及中国保有的市场份额的情况,他 预计,不太可能很快实现供需平衡。 “和对造船业自身的预期类似,发动 机行业也可能出现合并,某些制造商甚至 可能由于破产被迫或自愿退出市场,但目 前尚未出现这样的迹象。在此之前竞争的 势头仍会非常激烈,”该发动机制造企业 的老板说。 通常而言,在这样的情况下的确可能发 生大面积停工或合并,但这是中国和中国政 府雄心勃勃的目标,无论经济形势如何,都 会努力去实现。根据中国造船业“十二五” 规划的目标,中国不仅要成为世界排名第 一的造船大国,而且还要在2015年前实现 以下目标:船用低速柴油机产能达到2,000 万马力;更重要的是,中国制造的全部船舶 的 85% 均要配备中国生产的发动机。 从 乐观的角度 来 看,M A N  Die s el  & Turbo的高级副总裁Ole  Groene比较看好 中国内河运输的增长。 “中国有巨大 的国内水 运市场,其中 有大量船舶需要更新,”他说。 MAN正在利用更小发动机型号来扩展 自己的低速发动机产品组合,目的是为更

新换代后的船舶配备现代环保型机器,就 像它们用于海运的同类产品一样。 ABB(中国)副总裁姚晔东坚信中国的 离岸建设将继续强劲增长。 他指出,传 统机械 发动机仍是中国主 要的发动机类型。 “但是,随着油价的升 高以及环保法规的日趋严格,越来越多的 船东正在寻找新方法,以便降低运营成本 和环境排放。无疑这将为电动发动机系统 打开更大的市场。”姚晔东表示。


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关于液化天然气作为 船用燃料的争论

月 份,S i n o S h i p 的 母 公 司 AsiaShippingMedia在新加坡 浮尔顿(Fullerton)酒店举办了 一次Eco-Dollars商业早餐会( 如图),由Ideocean和Lloyd’sRegister赞助。 对于液化天然气能否用作船用燃料的问题 引发了很多争论。与会的专家小组成员一 致认为,要想把液化天然气用作船用燃料 并获得全球认可,还有很长的路要走。 劳氏船 级社 亚洲区的船务 部经理 Iain  Wilson表示: “这完全是由燃料天然气 的价格驱动的。目前的问题是缺乏一个能 对天然气定价进行监控的全球机制,因此 现在有太多未知数,这涉及到了经济学层面 的问题。” Wilson认为,能否接受将天然气用作船用 燃料,很大程度上是受到了相关法规和排放 控制区(ECA)的推动,但它不是整个行业要 面对的、针对环保难题的唯一解决方案。 新加坡东方海皇集团(Neptune  Orient Lines) 的副总裁Shaj  Thayil表示,公司目前正寻求采 用双燃料技术。 “尽管投资巨大,但我们目前

正在进行审核,”他透露说。 Ideocean  Holdings集团的董事总经理 Manish  Singh提出的质疑是:确保液化天 然气供应链的所有方面全部到位需要多长 时间。 “能否对液化天然气的供应进行预 计,仍是一个问题,”他指出。 劳氏船级社的Wilson对供应链问题更为 乐观一些,他指出: “目前,全球10个港口中 有70%的燃料仓已经完工,因此基础设施 建设的完成就相对简单。” 更让Wilson担心的是,缺乏将液化天然 气用作船用燃料的全球标准和法规,是否 可用于船对船转移,如何界定禁区。 “有大 量程序上的事情需要完成,另外还有培训 资格的问题,”他思考道, “船上是否需要 配备一位持有天然气资质的工程师?” Ideocean的Singh指出,另一个大问题是在 船上贮存燃料天然气的实际影响。 “和传统 燃料相比,天然气的体积超出三到四倍。” 东方海皇集团的Thayil同样认为,液化 天然气的定价比船用燃油贵15%,而且因为 需要更大的燃料箱,还会减少货物存放的

空间,这意味着对于整个行业而言,接受天 然气作为船用燃料还需要很长时间。 劳氏 船 级社8月底 发布的一 份报 告 表 明,这家英国船级社认为,全球能否接纳液 化天然气作为船用燃料主要取决于价格。 该研究发现,相对于替代性燃料,建立 能为全球大多数消费者提供支持的液化天 然气燃料仓基础设施对液化天然气的价格 高度敏感。 该研究的基础情况预计,到2025年可能 有653艘深海液化天然气燃料船舶服役,每 年消耗2,400万吨液化天然气。这些船舶很 可能是集装箱船、邮轮或油轮。 当该研究采用相对便宜的液化天然气 进行建模时,例如比当前市价低25%,预计 使用液化天然气燃料的船舶数量到2025年 将增加到约1,960艘。如果液化天然气的成 本比当前市价提高25%,该模型显示,几乎 不会有任何以液化天然气为动力的新船舶 下水。

SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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经济减速迫使企业另辟财源 Katherine Si和Sam Chambers关注港口如何度过罕见的负增长期

前是全球范围内众多港口普遍 面临的艰难时期;甚至强大的 中国港口增长也开始显现少有 的放缓迹象。随着货运量的日 益萎缩,中国大陆的港口,尤其是日益增 多的上市港口公司,必须知道如何获取额 外的收入。 这些港口也开始效仿航运企业,用全新 的方法来获取资金。例如,交通银行推行 了一种极富创意的泊位租赁结构模式,将 已由港口企业运营的泊位和水力结构用作 租赁资产,这种作法类似于船舶采用的基 本销售和回租交易。 例如,将泊位出售至租赁公司。这样, 港口就 能 够回笼资金,用 作 港口的现 金 流,实现港口的发展。然后,再将泊位回租 给港口供其使用,租赁费用由停泊在港口 的船舶支付。 平安证券在近期发布的报告中指出,沿

海岸线方向的航运交易量迅猛增长,处理 商品交易成为另一个重要的收入增长点。 不过,根据齐鲁证券的统计数据,今年 前三个季度,中国上市港口公司的利润比 去年同期减少5%左右,其中中国南部的 港口最不景气,主要是由于这些港口的集 装箱业 务在 港口的总货运 量中所占比例 更大。

提高效率将成为港 口企业应对行业寒冬 的关键 与此同时,中银国际 预 测,2 012 年和 2013年沿海港口的货运吞吐量同比增长分 别为9%和8.6%左右,其中集装箱吞吐量

增长下降至6%。 上海国际航 运研究中心发布的第三季 度中国航运景气报告显示,自开始进行这 项调查至今,这是港口首次遭遇真正的衰 退期。它发布的港口景气指数为97.42点, 比六个月前下降20.72点。低于100点就表 明港口运营商普遍缺乏信心。调查结果显 示,泊位利用率和获得融资的便利性均出 现大幅下降。该调查显示中国大港口的悲 观主义情绪更为严重,相比之下,规模较 小的二、三级城市的港口却保持了喜人的 发展。今年第三季度,绝大多数主要港口 的业务均出现负增长,而规模较小的港口 则继续保持强劲的增长业绩,双方的差异 越拉越大。 随处都可以察觉到对于2013年业务的 悲观情绪。青岛港集团董事长常德传先生 强调说: “效率将成为港口企业能否抵御 行业寒冬的关键。”

规模较小的集装箱港口业务兴旺 根 据 法国 分析机构Alphaliner最新公布的数据,2005年前一 直是全球最繁忙集装箱港口的香港,今年有可能将第三名的位 置拱手相让给深圳。此外,特别值得注意的是营口港的迅速崛 起,基于今年前9个月的表现,它已经成功跻身前25强之列。 今年前9个月中,世界最大的25个港口共处理了2.38亿标准箱 的货物,与去年同期相比增长4.5%,是2011年同期实现的8.7% 增幅的一半左右。 香港今年前9个月的货运量减少了3.9%,在前25大港口中表 现最差,而毗邻的深圳则实现了3.1%的增长。 上海再次击败新加坡荣登榜首位置,其今年前9个月的集装 箱货运量增长50万标准箱左右,从2,370万标准箱增加至2,420 万标准箱。 在全球最大的25个港口中,中国港口占据了11个席位,其中大 连港的增速最为迅猛,凭借26.2%的业务增幅在榜单中跃居第 17位。

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香港今年的集装箱吞吐量在各大主要港口中最为惨淡

辽宁省的营口港赶超东京、巴伦西亚、那瓦西瓦、塞得港和 科伦坡,从第30位一举跃升至第25位,首次跻身全球前25强。 到今年9月底,营口港的集装箱货运量达到360万标准箱,同比增 长16.5%。


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中国新一代领导人可能出台 哪些举措?

T

om  Behrens-Sorensen是中国咨询

公司Navisino  Advisors(北京)的 联合创始人和合伙人,他向10月份 在深圳参加泛太平洋海运亚洲会 议(TPMAsia)的与会者介绍,以习近平为首 的中国新领导集体诞生后,中国的运输业 可能会发生哪些变化。 Behrens-Sorensen此前曾在马士基公司 任职30年时间,是中国最具权威的航运咨 询专家之一。 如果说邓小平的南巡为深圳港的发展 铺平了道路,江泽民当政期间与上海港的 发展息息相关,胡锦涛和温家宝对于天津 滨海新港项目的发展居功至伟的话,那么

与福建省关系密切的习近平很有可能加大 厦门和福州港的基建投资,并大力发展与 台湾之间的海峡两岸航运业务往来。 Behrens-Sorensen还认为,传统的铁道 部“很有可能”将被并入交通运输部,这绝 对有利于联合运输的发展。Dane表示: “交 通运输部将成为权力更大的政府部门,而 且有机会提高运营效率。” 据估计,10个抵达或者离开中国海岸的 集装箱中只有一个通过铁路运输,而美国 的比例为40%。 展 望 未 来 的 港 口 发 展 ,B e h r e n s Sorensen预计中国会迅速加强支线集装箱 港口的建设。

第5代领导人习近平将延续 中国贸易主导的发展模式

上海描绘未来30年港口发展蓝图

海 市 有关部门已经 规 划出 世界第一大 港上海港未来 三十 年 的 发 展 计 划,由于 临近区域可供 规 划的地 块 极为有限,最 终选定横沙浅滩区域 进行 大范围 挖 泥 和 清淤。该区域位于上海 市 的东部(见地图),将兴建能够容纳大型 矿砂船(V LOC)、超大型油轮(V LCC)、甚 至高达5 0 0,0 0 0 载 重吨位的超级巨型油 轮(ULCC)。

您从来不用怀疑上 海市兴建基础设施的 决心 横 沙 浅 滩 是 宝 山 东 部 东 海 的 一片 滩 涂。据有关部门估计,新港口吞吐能力将 是上海港的两倍。有关当局表示,上海港 的许多泊位的实际运营现已超出其设 计 容量。 “尽管 项目工 程 难 度 很 大,不过,鉴 于其出海的有利位 置,你从 来 不用怀 疑 上海兴建基础实施的决心,”一位港口咨

上海洋山港已圈下远离市中心的另 一片区域,用于建设新码头

询顾问这样告诉 SinoShip。 上海是七年前开放其寄予厚望的洋山 深 水 港 的,该 港口位于上 海 市中心西 南

约32公里 处,能够极大缓 解外高桥 泊位 紧张的压力。如今,横沙浅滩将承载上海 港口建设未来发展的使命。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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厚积薄发 EngenTham考察上海市的海事教育情况 “为政以德,譬如北辰,居其 所,而众星拱之,”教育先贤孔 子在论述教育的意义时曾如是 说。20世纪80年代以来,中国 的海事业日益发展壮大,海事 专业人员的重要性日益凸显。 为了将可造之才培养成能够“ 为政以德”的专业 人士,中国 政 府 在 海 事 教育 方面 投 入了 巨资。尽管中国的各大航运城 市,如大连和青岛,都设有海事 院校,但要说到中国海事教育 的发源地,还是应该首推命名 巧妙的“在海之上”,中文名字 便是“上海”。 中国的 海事高等 教育始 于 1 9 0 9 年 。当 时,在 晚 清 邮 传 部 的 指 导 下,上 海 高 等 实 业学堂(Sha n g ha i  I ndust r ia l C ol le ge) 设 立了船政 科。上海 海事大学(Shanghai  Maritime U n i v e r s i t y,   S M U )目前 下设 1 4 个 学 院 ,其 中 包 括 成 立 于1928年的吴淞商船专 科 学 校 ( Wo s o n g   M e r c h a n t Marine  College),以及1959年由 交通部主持设立的上海海运学 院(Shanghai  Maritime Institute)。 32

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从2000年开始,上海海事大学实 行交通部和上海市双重领导。 该大学开设有大量课程,所 有课程均与航运有关,从航海 技术到海事法,应有尽有。该大 学约有20,000名全日制学生, 配备有1,000名专职教职员工。 尽管 该大学 早 在 清 朝时期 就 已 创 立,但 是 由 于 中 国 长 期 闭 关 锁 国,与 世 界 其 他 国 家 缺 乏 交 流,导 致 本 国 海 事 教 育的发 展 长 期 停 滞 不 前。 该 大 学 已认 识 到 这一 问 题, 正在奋力迎头赶上。上海海事 大 学 于 去 年发 表 一篇 文 章, 名为“通过机构合作实现海事 教育国际化:上海海事大学案 例研究”(Internationalization of Maritime Education through Institutional Collaborations: A Case Study of Shanghai Maritime University),表明其认识到自身 所提供的教学计划实现国际化 的重要性,并分析了自己向国际 标准发展的途径。 近年来,许多国际航运公司 和船用设备制造商也纷纷出资 赞助上海海事大学。

随着该大学步入世界舞台, 造、贸易、操作和管理。 随 着全 球航 运 业向中国迁 它寻求与国外教育机构进行合 作的力度也越来越大。9月份, 移,随着上海的教育和科研机 该大学与纽黑文大学(University 构继续提升其国际声誉,作为 of New Haven)签订协议,就一 中国大陆海事教育的发源地, 项本科项目开展合作。此前, 上海必将成为培养全球未来数 该 大 学已与 其 他 海 外 院 校 达 代海事专业人才的中心。 成 多 项合作 项目, 包括马萨 诸塞海事 学院(Massachusetts Maritime Academy) 和 哥 本 哈 根 海 上海国际航运研究 事 工 程 师 学 院 中心(SISI) (Copenhagen Marine Engineer College)。 上海也是众多航运科研机构的所在地,这 尽管当地政 府机构 些机构可为海事院校和范围更广的航运生 和航 运公司为 该 态系统提供大力支持。成立于2008 年的上 大学提 供了财务支 海国际航运研究中心(Shanghai International 持,不过,2011年报 Shipping Institute, SISI)就是其中一家权威的 告显示,资金不足仍 科研机构,由上海海事大学和虹口区人民政 是阻碍该大学进 一 府等多家单位共同发起设立。该研究中心 步实现国际化的一 的科研成果经常被中国国内媒体和国际媒 大障碍,因为到西方 体引用。该研究中心由中国海运集团(China 发 达国家的学习费 Shipping)、中国远洋运输集团(C osco)、 用价值不菲。 上海国际港务集团(Shanghai  International 该大学熟谙航运 业的发展动态,而且 Port  Group)和中国外运集团(Sinotrans)等航 能够迅速推出新项 运公司联合创办,主要针对特定船舶类型 目,满足多样化领域 发布国际和国内市场分析报告。此外,该研 的需求。 究中心在与上海相关的航运法令分析方面 上海海事大学近 也是权威机构。它还发布了业界知名的《中 期还推出了一项两年 国航运景气指数》(China Shipping Prosperity 制的MBA项目,专业 Index),该指数被视为衡量行业健康程度的 方向是邮轮管理。学 可靠标准。 习重点是邮轮的建


台北

■■■

高雄的混合十年 12

吞吐量(百万teu)

10

8

6

4

2

0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

来源: 克拉克森研究

的物流港口,这些港口需要实 现增加价值和提高货运量的双 重目标。 众 多本地 企 业已承 诺以 强 大 的 资本为 相 关 计 划 提 供 支 持。11月中旬,TIPC宣布,包括 长荣(Evergreen)和中油股份有 限公司(CPC)等蓝筹公司在内的 18家台湾企业已承诺为港口开 发提供高达18.9亿美元的资金 支持。 “全新投入涉及各个领域,包 括物流设备和服务、能源、食品 加工和石化等,”TIPC的一位 官员告诉本地媒体。此外,还为 邮轮和乘客设施提供了足够的 支出预算。 中国石油化学工业开发股份 有限公司(China Petrochemical Development)计划投资超过350 亿新台币,也是有史以来金额 台湾经过重组后的的港口业已放开手脚,准备提升货运量 最大的单笔投资,在台湾中部 台中港的石化工业园区内建立 人造纤维和塑料生产设施。 与此同时,中油股份有限公 司也将在台中的一家甲基丙烯 酸甲酯(MMA)工厂投入100亿 新台币。 长荣将注入一笔未透露金额 的资本,用于开发高雄的码头 十多年来当局首次在可持续港口开发方面取得真正进步。Joshua Samuel 和物流设施。高雄曾是世界第 Brown报道 三大集装箱港口,但目前已暴跌 自单词 “契机”和“台湾港口” 在 福 建 省的 背 景 能 够 在中国 能性。陈冲表示,台湾港口应关 至全球第十二位。规划中的投 开始 在 同 一 句 子里一 起 使 用 和台湾之间促成更大的贸易可 注海外港口,了解先 进的发展 资对于抵御来自上海、宁波、釜 理念。目标是让岛内的总集装 山和香港等转运货物的激烈竞 至今,已经 过去了十多年的时 能性。 行政院长陈冲告诉台湾运输 箱吞吐量达到1,800万标准箱, 争至关重要。 间 。但 过 去 几 个月的 发 展 表 岛内码头将借助投资的东风 明,台湾岛的港口目标既稳健 交通部(MOTC),十月初将与台 并在2016年前将总收入提升至 湾港务股份有限公司(TIPC)合 超过3百亿新台币。为实现2016 获得新生,当局的坚定发展蓝 又可行。 此外,随着习近平开始在北 作实施一项五年计划,让岛内 年的目标,TIPC已划拨了22亿 图也不会就此止步。MOTC副 京执 掌中国新一 代领导集体, 的港口重获新生,并实现在海 美元。2011年,岛内共处理了约 部长叶匡时认为,最终目标是 让TIPC发展成与新加坡的PSA 时机的选择也很理想。习近平 峡两岸开展航运业务的最大可 1,150万标准箱的货运量。 TIPC是新成立的、负责监督 类似的企业,即同时投资海外 台湾所有港口的机构,设 立的 和岛内。TIPC已明确了最初的 宗旨是扩展台湾岛各港口的经 海外目标,同时关注在中国南 济腹地,将台湾各海港打造成 部寻找规模较小的三级城市进 能提供全方位服务和高附加值 行投资。

又一个PSA正在形成中?

投资高雄对抵御转运货物的激烈 竞争至关重要

SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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■ ■ ■ 香港

耀眼的明星

商务区的核心地带,还邻近其他 许多旅游景区,就规模而言,也 可以接待更多参观者。 此外,新馆址将举办一系列 长期展览,对中国海事遗产、现 香港记者Alfred Romann提前参观了即将重新开放的海事博物馆 代香港的建立以及香港港口的 演进等众多领域进行探索。预 明年初重 新开放后,一度曾四 下,然后由一位匿名捐赠人出资, 林集团(Wallem  Group)、万邦 计新博物馆每年的参观者将达 面楚歌的香港海事博物馆将终 运往香港进行整修。 集团( I MC  Group)、金星船务 到约200,000人。 博物馆的宗旨是在探索香港 博物馆的开放将使得多年的 (Goldstar  Shipping)和金山轮船 于有一个可以称之为家的去处了。 香港海事博物馆此前的临时 传奇达到顶峰。尽管航运和海 公司(Island  Navigation)等许多 经济的发展趋势以及航运对香 馆址为赤柱(Stanley)的美利楼 事活动对香港的发展非常重要, 本地企业的加入,推动了这一项 港经济的重要性的同时,记录中 国、亚洲地区和西方国家船舶、 (Murray  House),今后将落户于中 但却很少有人愿意资助博物馆。 目的发展。 自 2 0 0 5 年 至 今,大 约 有 海洋探索、贸易和海军福利发 环8号码头(Central  Ferry  Pier  8) 最终,香港政府投入了1,500万 ,正好位于香港标志性中央商务 美 元资助该 项目,许多航运公 287,000人参观该博物馆,每周 展的进程。 海事博物馆的搬迁是香港滨 区的滨水区,紧邻世界上最繁忙 司也纷纷加入。每年新设施的 不到1,000人。澳门比香港小,但 运行费用大约需要150万美元。 拥有海事博物馆的历史已超过 水区规模更大的再开发项目的 的海港之一。 组成部分,该项目正对着世界上 “ 它 的 规 模 可 能 是 原 博 二十年。 物 馆 的 八 倍,”博 物 馆 主 管 新馆址或将彻底改变博物馆 最繁忙的港口之一。新博物馆 Richard  Wesley表示, “香港存 的规模和人气。它不仅地处城市 定于明年的2月25日正式开放。 在的前提是贸易和航运。我们 正在提醒大家这座城市的繁荣 之道。这也是我们存在的理由。” 香港的其他博物馆均不展出 类似内容,或真正关注此类内 10月3 0日 对新博物馆先睹为快的是来自香港航运界的 自去 年 6月至今,因为 搬 迁 容,确保其完美契合香港作为 200多名资深人士,他们参加了华光海运(Wah  Kwong)成立60 需要,香港海事博物馆暂时关 世界上最大的一个航运枢纽的 周年的庆祝活动。 闭。完成搬迁后,它将于2013年 地位。具有讽刺意味的是,直到 华光海运是一家由赵氏家族经营的散货船和油轮公司, 2月重新向公众开放。新博物馆 最近博物馆才获得用于改善自 已委托香港最著名的摄影师之一Basil  Pao创作一本精美的 拥有16个全新的陈列室,全部 身状态的足够支持,就如同事后 庞大的画册, 展示香港的铁矿石和船舶建造等活动。 位于亚勒维京号(Jahre  Viking)/ 诸葛一样。 Basil  Pao的画册将分发至香港的所有学校。该摄影师是 博物馆最初于2 0 0 5 年 在赤 海上巨人号(Seawise  Giant)超级 油轮改造后的船体上,该油轮 柱美利楼开放的时候,只有两 SinoShip团队的成员,本杂志中心页面上刊登的就是他拍摄 曾是全球最大的船只。该油轮 个陈列室。真正知道它的位置 的关于华光海运的精彩图集。 先是在印度的古吉拉特邦被买 的人寥寥无几。此后几年中,华

我们正在提醒 大家这座城市的 繁荣之道

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华光海运60周年庆


书籍

■■■

姗姗来迟的出版商正通过索马里海盗故事大肆吸金

大麻烦,小书架 Paul French突然发现关于索马里的书稿增加了很多 都会发现成书架关于阿富汗地 区的书籍,可能还有更多关于 伊拉克的书籍,一些关于伊朗 的书籍,以及少量关于利比亚 和叙利亚的书籍,甚至还会有 一两本关于朝鲜的书籍,但是 唯独几乎没有关于索马里的书 籍。这可能令人不可思议,因为 关于“热点地区”和“流氓国 家”的书籍往往比较畅销。问 题是,这些国家通常不为人所 知,或者鲜有人接触,因而总是 远离新闻工作者的地图,直到 突然产生头版新闻,进入这些 国家才成为值得考虑的问题。 对于全球航运界来说,几乎 没有任何其他国家能比索马里 更恐怖。试着去寻找一本描述 这个地方的书籍,包括危机的 根源,以及如何终结经过落后 的、不发达国家的海域需要多 国海军舰船护航的历史,如何 避免武装劫持、RPG火箭筒、 高额赎金甚至是悲惨的船员死 亡事件。 因此,任何关于索马里的书 籍都是有用的。Mary Harper是 英国广播公司(BBC)全球服务 非洲栏目编辑,也是 新书《迷 失索马里?一个分裂国度的忠 诚、战争和希望》的作者,(Zed Books)。Ha r per 热爱旅行,经 常访问索马里,从非洲的其他

冲突地区也发回了不少报道, 包括阿尔及利亚、刚果民主共 和国、利比里亚、塞 拉利昂和 苏丹。在《迷失索马里?》一书 中,Harper最为全面地描述了 这个 国 家 遭 遇 的 混 乱 状 况, 以及美国为解决问题所做出的 持 续努力。与此同时,Ha r per 也认为,通过基地组织的棱镜 观 察 索马里 只能 加 剧 这个 国 家以及整个“非洲之角”的动 荡。他指出,尽管这是 一 个失

(Hurst & Co Publishers)。Lewis 是 伦敦经济学院的一位人类学教 授,他对索马里文化的视点, 以及索马里如何将海盗行为视 为赖以生存的策略,都是非常有 用的背景资料。此外,专门研究 索马里的学者Afyare Abdi Elmi 对构建于派系之上的索马里社 会也表现出浓厚兴趣,著有《了 解索马里冲突:身份、政治化的 伊斯兰信仰与和平重建》[Pluto Press]。

通过基地组织的棱镜观察索马 里只能加剧这个国家以及整个 “非洲之角”的动荡 败的国家,但远不是一个失败 的 社会。事 实上,其他 形式的 商业、司法、教育和当地 政 治 活动仍然得以保存甚至十分繁 荣。 市面上关于索马里的书籍屈 指可数,其中Harper的书籍最 好、最新,除此以外,值得一提 的还有其他几本。索马里近代 史上长期动荡、派系林立、部落 冲突不断,这些都在Ioan Lewis 的《了解索马里和索马里兰: 文化、历史与社会》一书中详细 呈现,使我们得以明白为什么现 代索马里会变得如此四分五裂

那 些与索马里海盗 直 接 打 过 交 道 的 人 们 看 法 如 何 ?书 架 上面的回 忆 录 越 来 越 多,

索马里海盗袭击 200 150 袭击次数

走遍世界 各地的书店,你随时

100 50 0

2009

2010

2011

2012*

*截至10月30日

资料来源:欧盟海军驻索马里舰队

讲 述 的 都 是 那 些 被 劫 持 为人 质或参与过打击海盗活动的人 员的故事。Jay Bahadur的《死 水:索马里海盗的隐秘世界》 (Profile Books)可能是探索索马 里海岸和邦特兰(Puntland)地 区黑暗隐秘的海盗世界的全方 位最佳指南。Max Hardberger 讲述了在自己担任船长期间, 遭 遇 海盗 劫 持 并在 海盗 的眼 皮底下成功夺回船只的故事。 《惊 魂 !一 个 船 长 在 世 界上 最不 平静 的 海 域 勇斗海盗 并 夺 回 被 盗 船只的冒险 经 历》 (Nicholas Brealey Publishing) ,读 起 来 更 像 是 一 部 惊 悚 小 说,但也提供了很多关于海运 薄弱环节的有用资料。 此 外,还 有一 个 非 常 不走 运的人—Colin Freeman(有 些 讽 刺 意 味 ,但 真 实 姓 名 确 实如此),他的《遭遇劫持!》 (Monday Books)回忆了自己被索 马里海盗劫持之后,在等待支 付赎金的 40 天内噩梦一般的 经历。Paul和Rachel Chandler 是 在 塞 舌尔附 近 的 游艇 上 遇 袭 的,被 关 押 了一 年 之 久 。 《人质:在索马里劫匪的枪口 下度 过的一年》( M a i n st re a m Publishing)讲述了他们如何被 劫持以及如何与劫持者建立关 系的 故事。而《生命的价格》 (Penguin)一书则讲述了澳大利 亚人Nigel Brennan在“非洲之 角”度过的15个月的囚禁生活, 这可能是最佳人质故事。 尽管书 架 上 关于 索马里 的 书籍仍然不多,但是增加速度 很快。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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■ ■ ■ 意见

现金为王 Max Hong认为,在现今我们生活的世界里,可给予信贷的交易往往是一种矛盾体。 有多年交易经验、经历过许多 船运业发展周期的资深船东对 于趋势的把握往往有着天生的 嗅觉。真正的领导者和潮流人 物做出的船运投资决策几乎总 是与直觉相悖的。这常常意味 着,他们眼中的最佳投资时机 往往是该行业投资回报最差的 时刻。 远见卓识的人士可以从一家 或多家值得信赖的银行处获得 支持,获得允许其利用股本杠 杆、采取行动的金融支持。 但这些都已是“昨日黄花” 了。今天,情况已完全不同。以 往很配合的银行现在变得对任 何形式的风险都非常敏感。即 便新项目在两年半后交付时价 值很高,也只能依据项目是否 有“良好的定期租船契约”来 获得银行融资,但目前你的新 梦想诞生的时间是市场周期的 最低谷,这会使你陷入不利的 低价局面,错失所有专家、市场 报告以及船队船龄和更新换代 状况清楚显示的上升机会。案 例情形本身就是如此。 在某些领域,长期租船价很 低,甚至都不及新船舶的合同 价格,使得银行无法接受。这可 不是好消息,鉴于您无法获得 融资,因而再完美的天才创意 也注定无法实现。但这对市场 而言,却是天大的利好。 目前,造 船 合 同 价 格 的 直 线滑落,导致新船的建造量大 幅减少,而且还会随着信贷紧 缩期的推移而变得日益严重。 这意味着拥有现金、无需银行 融资的人士会获得更丰厚的回 报。

现在,如果你拥有重大的市 场份额(比如“达飞轮船 (CMA CGM)”和“长荣 (Evergreen)”) 、身处某个战略性领域(比如“ 集装箱”)且无法满足市场“紧

投入现金才能将绝妙创意和稳健 战略转变为实实在在的新船舶 36

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跟包装”容量增加的需求,您 的银行很紧张且已用完授予法 国集装箱承运商的信贷额度, 或 者 您只 是 希望 从长 荣 的 资 产负债表中去掉价值数十亿美 元的全新更大运输船,你会怎 么办?您会发现某些人财大气 粗,尽管 您当前处于困境,他 们仍然相信你,愿意与风险共 舞,实际上是把风险视为商机

(这与迅速减少的航运银行群 体相比正好相反,航运银行对 于风险管理的创新响应仅为“ 晴天借伞”)。 长荣选择的道 路 是 一路向 西,一直 到 达伦 敦 / 雅 典 才 找 到了船东 NS Lemos 的雄厚资 金。NS Lemos 家族的座右铭 是买高卖低,即在大家都认为 你出价太高时买入,在大家都 觉得你可以获得更多收益时卖 出。在这一理念的指引下,该家 族在航运业最繁荣时出售了大 部分船队,包括以 1.4 亿美元的 价格转售原价 4,200 万美元的 海峡型船舶。 作为对长荣为期 12 年的 租船契约的交换,Lemos 为其 在现代重工订造 10 艘运力为 13,800 标准箱的集装箱船的合 同提供了 12 亿美元的资金支 持。 此后发生的一个案例恰恰相 反,马赛的 CMA CGM 一路向 东,找到了愿意投资 8.25 亿美 元订造 10 艘运力为 9,200 标 准箱的集装箱船的中国集装箱 制造商中集 (CIMC),该法国航 运公司将长期租赁经营这些船 舶。 很遗憾,伙计们,靠贷款你 将一无所获。就像查理·帕克 (Charlie Parker) 在其 1944 年 的经典曲目“没有资金的浪漫 毫无意义”(Romance without finance don’t make no sense) 里 写道的那样,今天,是只有现金 才能将绝妙创意和稳健战略转 变为实实在在的新船舶。 在造船价长期徘徊于周期性 低谷且最佳造船厂渴求业务的 情况下,那些蓄势待发、手握资 金的买家会有更多选项,对预 期回报也非常有信心。 欢迎来到现金为王的新冒险 世界。


意见

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业务之门依然敞开 Bei Hong认为,尽管有许多造船厂将被关闭,但仍不足以修正供需失衡的问题 我是一个收藏狂人。我不会扔 掉任何东西,因为你永远不知 道它什么时候能用得上。这使 得B夫人很抓狂,因为女性一般 都更有条理性和逻辑性,但我 的脑海中不时会产生疯狂的想 法。最近出现的此类情形是, 有人让我处理一堆旧杂志,我 又像任何明智的家伙会做的那 样,坐下来把这些杂志全部读 完了。我翻阅了几年前的一本航 运杂志,当时SinoShip在出版商 的眼中只不过是萤火之光。我 碰巧看到了一篇我写的文章,描 述的是一个虚构的新兴造船厂 的抱负,以及如果他无法售出 计划中建造的船舶,他会如何 建立一家航运公司,成为一家“ 一站式物流供应商”。 我从来没想到,这种半开玩 笑式的文章会如此令人扼腕地 准确预测了短短几年后中国许 多造船厂的现状。与前些年收 到的纷至沓来的船舶下水仪式 邀请相比,我2013年的日记真

可谓是门可罗雀,看来中国的 造船泡沫真的要破裂了。据报 道,超 过70%的中国造船厂全 年都未收到一笔订单,但这一 事实并不意味着散货船和油轮 市场长期供过于求的状况即将 得到纠正。 在某些船厂中,可能只剩下

更是对一家造船厂做出了令人恐 惧的评论,针对某些栓系在造船 坞、已被取消订单的船舶,该造 船厂打算开始接受“更为现实 的”(即“新低”)价格。这仅仅 是因为他们还有更多船舶即将 下水,因而需要腾出空间来装配 并停泊这些新船。对于这些已

随着生态设计的出现,转售船舶 虽然船龄不长,但在设计上已经落 伍了 风滚草在锈迹斑斑的烂尾结构 中瑟瑟舞动。此外,最近对中国 造船核心区进行的一次访问发 现,此前一家新兴造船厂的砖砌 大门几年前曾在锣鼓喧天的舞 龙表演中盛大开业,但目前已被 废弃。但是,在我们开始实施“ 自我修正”过程、使供过于求的 市场重归平衡之前,仍然需要交 付大量的新造船舶。近日,有人

被取消订单的船舶而言,无论是 由于经验不足的造船厂制订了 过于紧张的交付日期但却最终 延迟,还是因为股本和/或银行 贷款未能到位而被无奈抛弃, 现在都不得不以造船厂能收到 的任何价格予以出售。 那么,对于那些正在刺激日 益活跃的转售吨位市场的买家 而言,这些被抛弃的船舶是否

具有良好价值?随着生态设计 的出现,这些船舶虽然船龄不 长,但在设 计上已经落伍了。 最初的船东可能在订单被取消 或放弃前早就知道形势不妙, 因而可能削减了监造成本;另 外,一旦船舶归造船厂所有, 就 必 须以 最 低 成 本完 成 船 舶 建造,最终的装配就可能达不 到顶级标准。再加上新买家几 年内不得不在租船市场上补贴 其收购价(这甚至不足以补偿 贱卖的收购价),突然间下单订 购一艘新船看起来就更有吸引 力。天哪,又来了。 因此,预计会围绕一家造船 厂如雨后 春 笋 般 出现 大 量 新 的航运公司。这将为船舶经纪 公司和 船 舶 管 理 公司提 供 大 量新客户,这些管理者可能会 跳槽,以前是为最初的船东监 造船舶,但现在是为其竞争对 手造船厂管理 船 舶。现在,它 真的要成为“全方位服务供应 商”了。 SINOSHIP   2012年冬季刊

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燃油成本面临的严峻事实 新专栏作家Andrew Craig Bennett关注燃料舱、引擎和船舶设计 消 耗 大 量 燃油有时会产生惊 人的成本。船用燃油经纪人无 疑 很 高 兴 看 到 这 种 情 况 的出 现,但船舶运营商必须决定如 何应对。 第一步是努力预测未 来”— 这一状况是 否 会持 续 下去?尽管燃油价格可能有很 大变化,但大部分人都认为长 期趋势是“上涨”,因此基于燃 油将逐步变得稀缺和昂贵的假 设 对船 舶 进 行 设 计就 非常合 理,而且事实上我们也非常确 定,现行排放控制措施仍会延 续下去。 如 果 一 家公司正在 建 造一 艘对定期租船人极具吸引力的 船舶,那么该公司就可以合理 假设:如果他们的船舶比大部 分其他方面都近似的其他船舶 一天少用两吨燃油,他们就可 以和定期租船人分享节省的费 用,因为只要租船人认为船东所 38

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言不虚,就会同意更高的价格。 麻烦在于“大部分其他方面 都近似”—如果船舶只是动力 不足或建造船材过轻,节省就只 能是虚拟存在,而并非是在现实 世界中。因此,将显然更高效的 动力和服务系统放入本质上相 同的船体中就的确是个问题。 这就是令人失望之处。可安 全地假设发动机设计师会将他 们的新产品提供给每个人,确 保“竞争环境”的“公平”。除此 之外,还有一系列众所周知的小 配件,有些可追溯到上次油价飙 升期,例如伴流管,它们具有一 些优势。在此基础上,我们可以 增加智能的油耗监控软件,提 高港口国控制检查员对于船舶 能源效率管理计划的满意度, 尽管它的其他作用不大。

失 望 来 自两 个 方 面 — 首 先,缺乏大的构想。大家都围 绕问题的表面打转,试图在这 里或那里节省一点,但没人提 供能真正实现改观的办法— 例如颠覆性的全新主发动机, 使用陶瓷材料在连续的更高温 度下进行操作。 失望的第二个原因,似乎没 有哪家制造商对在理论上非常 庞大的改造市场中真正实现改 观感兴趣。假设我们有一艘船 速为 24 节、带 30% 的海上裕 度的集装箱船(这样的船有很 多),我们希望削减 50% 的燃 油费用,同时以 18 节的船速运 行。那么,更换发动机或改 造 现有发动机并改变动力系统是 否合算?看起来这是市场上的 巨大差距,考虑到集装箱船的

船运业严重缺乏整体思考

预计长期使用寿命,为何动力 系统设计师没有蜂拥而上去填 补差距? 我猜想,其中一个原因是现 有船舶或船队的改造实际上比 建造新船更难获得融资。 航 运 业 对 该问题 严重缺 乏 整体思考;显然对于每个人而 言,关注船舶油耗及其排放的 正确方式,应该是在航程的所 有阶段都将船舶的动力需求作 为一个整体来进行考虑。建造 散货船或油轮没有好处,更别 说集装箱船,它在 90% 的最大 持续功率下极为高效。 我们需要的是 充 足的 储 备 功率,以及更低功率需求水平 下的较高效率。 这 方面的 数 学 和 物理 学可 能属于“火箭科学”—不过, 人们现在对火箭相当在行。 行业 对 燃 油价格 做出响应 的定论必须是“可以更好”。

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庆祝六十年 杰出航运成就

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SinoShip Winter Issue 2012  

On the cover of the latest issue of SinoShip magazine is Ma Zehua, the conservative president of Cosco Group. In a rare interview, Ma, who h...

SinoShip Winter Issue 2012  

On the cover of the latest issue of SinoShip magazine is Ma Zehua, the conservative president of Cosco Group. In a rare interview, Ma, who h...

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