Barrie Real Estate Market Report

Page 1

LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

BARRIE REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT

AUGUST 2021 RECIPIENT OF ROYAL LEPAGE’S BROKERAGE OF THE YEAR AWARD FOR ONTARIO

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

OVERVIEW SECOND BEST AUGUST VOLUME EVER, WITH UNITS DOWN PARTLY DUE TO FAR FEWER LISTINGS

RECORD YEAR-TO-DATE SALES VOLUME OF $1,776,138,005 Up 66% from 2020’s $1,067,052,935, with units of 2448 up 26% from 2020’s 1942. New listings of 3102 up 15% from one year ago, with the sales/listings ratio of 79% up 7%.

AUGUST SALES VOLUME OF $149,552,628 Down 19% from last August’s $185,393,031. Units of 200 down 38% from last year’s 321. New listings of 233 down 39% from a year ago, with the sales/listing ratio of 86% up 3%.

RECORD YEAR-TO-DATE AVERAGE SALE PRICE OF $725,547 Up 32% from last year’s $549,461. Average days-on-market of 10 down 14 days.

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

OVERVIEW (cont’d) THE DEMAND FOR LISTINGS IS GREATER THAN THE SUPPLY The Barrie market had a high 103.9% sale/list price ratio in August. Homes sold in just 12 days on average, down 6 days from a year ago, and there is now just one month of inventory. All that, together with August’s high 86% sales/listings ratio, adds up to a strong sellers’ market. Graph 1: Barrie MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Volume) $2,000,000,000

$1,776,138,005

$1,800,000,000 $1,600,000,000 $1,400,000,000 $1,200,000,000

$1,067,052,935

$1,000,000,000 $800,000,000

$763,290,238

$600,000,000 $400,000,000 $200,000,000 $0

2019

2020

2021

Graph 2: Barrie MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Units) 3,000

2,448

2,500

1,942

2,000

1,500

1,557

1,000

500

0

2019

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

2020

2021

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

THE MARKET IN DETAIL Table 1: Barrie MLS® Residential Sales And Listing Summary 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021

2019

2020

2021

2020-2021

$763,290,238

$1,067,052,935

$1,776,138,005

+66%

YTD Unit Sales

1557

1942

2448

+26%

YTD New Listings

2923

2694

3102

+15%

YTD Sales/Listings Ratio

53%

72%

79%

+7%

YTD Expired Listings

257

116

66

-34%

August Volume Sales

$109,834,505

$185,393,031

$149,552,628

-19%

August U nit Sales

224

321

200

-38%

August New Listings

328

385

233

-39%

August Sales/Listings Ratio

68%

83%

86%

+3%

53

7

15

+114%

$490,333

$577,548

$747,763

+29%

19

12

0

-1200%

YTD Sales: $250K - $399K

347

235

82

-65%

YTD Sales: $400K - $549K

771

787

305

-61%

YTD Sales: $550K - $699K

332

667

716

+7%

YTD Sales: $700K - $849K

60

189

813

+330%

YTD Sales: $850K - $999K

15

37

368

+895%

YTD Sales: $1M+

13

15

163

+987%

YTD Average Days-On-Market

32

24

10

-58%

$490,231

$549,461

$725,547

+32%

Year-To-Date (YTD) Volume Sales

August Expired Listings August Average Sale Price YTD Sales: Under $250K

YTD Average Sale Price

NOTE: All MLS® sales data in this report comes from the Barrie & District Association Of REALTORS® and refers specifically to residential sales as of Sept.. 3, 2021.. While deemed to be reliable, Royal LePage Locations North assumes no responsibility for errors and omissions.

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

THE MARKET IN DETAIL (cont’d) Barrie volume and unit sales continued to fall in August from their first and second quarter heights. That said, Graph 3 shows that August’s volume of $149,552,628, although down 19% from last year’s record, was still the month’s second best ever. On the units side, August’s 200 sales were not only down 38% from last year’s record 321, they were the second fewest in the last decade. However, August’s new listings were down 39% and the sales/listings ratio was a high 86%: that’s 3% greater than last year. So there is still a big demand for listings, with an average days-on-market of just 10 days: if you list it they will come. Lastly, the average sale price is still doing very nicely: At $725,547 it’s up 80%, 43%, 51%, 48% and 32% from 2016-2020 respectively. Graph 3: Barrie Monthly MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Volume) $400,000,000

2019

$350,000,000

2020

$300,000,000

2021

$250,000,000 $200,000,000

$150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $0

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Graph 4: Barrie Monthly MLS® Sales 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Units) 600

2019 2020

500

2021 400

300

200

100

0

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

THE MARKET IN DETAIL (cont’d) As Graph 5 shows, 2021 unit sales are up from 2020 in four price ranges and down in three. The $550K-$699K, $700K-$849K, $850-$999K and $1M+ ranges are up 7%, 330%, 895% and 987% respectively. The Under-$250K, $250K-$399K and $400K-$549K ranges are down 1200%. 65% and 61% respectively. More generally, the Under-$400K bracket – which accounts for 3% of 2021’s sales – is down 67% from 2020. The $400K-$699K bracket – which accounts for 42% of all sales – is down 30%. And the $700K+ bracket – which accounts for 55% of all sales – is up 458%. Graph 5: Barrie MLS® Sales By Price 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Units) 900

2019

800 771

700

2020

813

787

2021

716 667

600 500

2019

400 347

300

305

332

2021

235

200

189

163

100 0

2020

368

19

12

0

Under $250K

82 $250K-$399K

$400K-$549K

$550K-$699K

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

37

60

15

$700K-$849K

$850-$999K

13

15 $1M+

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LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

SALES BY PROPERTY TYPE Graph 6: Barrie MLS® Sales By Property Type 2019 vs. 2020 vs. 2021 (Dollars and Units)

2021

2021 IN DETAIL 2021

2021

$214,924,202

$165,677,314

360

1,748 Single Family

Single Family

Townhouse

$103,491,780

UP 63% from 2020

AV. DAYS-ON-MARKET: 9 DOWN 14 days from 2020

$1,395,536,489

2020

DOLLAR SALES : $1,395,536,489 $214,924,202 $165,677,314 UNIT SALES: 1748 UP 21% from 2020

340

Condominium

SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES 2021

Condominium

2020

2020

Townhouse

$106,565,577

243 260

$1,395,536,489

AV. SALE PRICE: $798,362 UP 34% from 2020 Single Family

Condominium

2020 Townhouse

CONDOMINIUMS $106,565,577

$103,491,780

DOLLAR SALES: $165,677,314 UP 60% from 2020 UNIT SALES: 340 UP 31% from 2020

$856,995,578

Single Family

Single Family

Condominium

Condominium

2019

Townhouse

$83,075,321

1,439

2019

2019

Townhouse

$92,918,083

238

AV. DAYS-ON-MARKET: 18 $856,995,578 DOWN 17 days from 2020 AV. SALE PRICE: $487,286 Single Family UP 22% from 2020

2019

Condominium Townhouse

$92,918,083 TOWNHOUSES

$83,075,321

DOLLAR SALES: $214,924,202 UP 101% from 2020

224

UNIT SALES: 360 UP 88% from 2020 $587,296,834

1,095

Single Family

Single Family

Condominium

Condominium

Single Family Townhouse

Condominium

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

Townhouse Townhouse

$587,296,834

AV. DAYS-ON-MARKET: 8 DOWN 9 days from 2020 Single Family

AV. SALE PRICE: $597,012 Condominium UP 36% from 2020 Townhouse www.locationsnorth.com


LOCATIONS B R O K E R A G E

BARRIE AVERAGE SALE PRICES: 2010-2021 BIG GAINS GENERALLY AND ALSO RELATIVE TO INFLATION Barrie’s average sale price for single-family homes in Q2-2021 was $795,300: that’s up 28%, 48%, 54%, 47% and 185% from 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017 and 2010 respectively. Q2-2021’s average condo price of $488,648 was up 19%, 31%, 34%, 42% and 128% from 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017 and 2010 respectively. In 2010-11 Barrie’s average single-family home price increased at about the inflation rate. From 2012-17 it rose to 74% above inflation, before dipping in 2018-19 and then reaching 131% above in Q2-2021. The condo average sale price rose at roughly the inflation rate until 2015 before rising to 88% above inflation in Q2-2021.

$800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Q2-2021

Single-Family Home Average Sale Price: 2010 > Q2-2021 Canada’s Inflation Rate Based On Barrie’s 2010 Single-Family Home Average Sale Price Condominium Average Sale Price: 2010 > Q2-2021 Canada’s Inflation Rate Based On Barrie’s 2010 Condominium Average Sale Price

BARRIE MARKET REPORT: AUGUST 2021

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