Transportation 2050 Workshop Slides

TRANSPORTATION 2050 Workshop

SFMTA Board of Directors August 17, 2021

Introduction

Transportation 2050 (T2050) presents possible futures and actions to address transportation needs and priorities in San Francisco.

Years of community planning, visioning and technical analysis Transportation Task Force 2013 (T2030) Transportation Task Force 2018 (T2045)

ConnectSF

SFMTA 5-Year CIP

Vision Zero Action Plan

SFMTA 2-Year Budget

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan

SF Transportation Plan

SFMTA State of Good Repair Report 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

2

Introduction

We have analyzed numerous possible futures and it is time for a call to action.

We are $50 billion short of the transportation system San Francisco needs over the next 30 years.

But we can act now to put San Francisco on a path to success.

Transportation 2050

3

Introduction

How did we get here?

San Francisco has grown.

Transportation has changed.

Our financial structures have not.

While our visions and values have modernized, how we fund the vision and advance our values has not.

Transportation 2050

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Introduction

We have looked at our past, and charted out our future.

We are on an unsustainable path.

But we can correct it.

The COVID-19 pandemic put the SFMTA on a financial path it cannot recover from alone.

Transportation 2050

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Operating Revenue Projection 2009 vs 2021

Introduction

in $millions

$2,450 $2,300 $2,150 $2,000 $1,850 $1,700

Through much of the last decade, SFMTA operating revenues came in as predicted.

However, enterprise revenues (parking and transit fares), declined. The difference was the General Fund, and 10-years of economic growth in San Francisco.

$1,550 $1,400 $1,250 Revenues do not fully recover or grow until fiscal year 2025.

$1,100

.

The COVID-19 pandemic made worse a pattern of SFMTA revenue declines and created a path that the agency has no ability to recover from without a new revenue source.

$950 $800 $650

The economic shock and impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic have permanently moved the revenue curve. It will be years before enterprise revenues recover.

.

$500

2009 Revenue Projection

Transportation 2050

2021 Revenue Projection 6

SFMTA Operating Expenditure Projections 2009 vs 2021

Introduction

in $millions

$3,200 $3,050 $2,900 $2,750 $2,600 $2,450 $2,300 $2,150 $2,000 $1,850

The SFMTA’s operating expenditures continue to grow as projected in 2009. While revenues have declined, the cost of living in the San Francisco Bay Area and the growth of San Francisco have resulted in a predictable expenditure growth trend.

$1,700 $1,550 $1,400 $1,250 $1,100 Impact of $950

COVID-19

$800

.

$650 $500

pandemic.

After the last recession, expenditures largely came in lower than originally projected, while revenues came in as expected, this created a period of positive fund balance for the SFMTA as the San Francisco economy grew for nearly 10 years. .

2009 Expenditure Projection

Transportation 2050

2021 Expenditure Projection 7

SFMTA Operating Revenues vs. Expenditure Projection 2009 vs 2021

Introduction $3,200 $3,050 $2,900 $2,750 $2,600 $2,450 $2,300 $2,150 $2,000

in $millions

With expenditures growing with Bay Area Cost of Living, and revenues permanently impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic when federal relief is exhausted, there is a funding gap that cannot be closed.

Expenditures will outpace revenue. A new source is required to get the SFMTA back on track.

$1,850 $1,700 $1,550 $1,400

Prior to the pandemic enterprise revenues were in decline, and revenues were generally lower than predicted in 2019. Expenditures generally were matched to the revenue curve. .

$1,250 The COVID-19 pandemic caused a steep drop in revenues, closed in FY 22 and 23 with Federal Relief.

When exhausted, the revenue curve will not shift upward until 2025.

$1,100 $950 $800

.

$650

Prior to the pandemic this “structural deficit” was closed by shifting infrastructure/maintenan ce dollars to sustain operations and service.

Post-pandemic, there are no other revenue tools left to the SFMTA.

$500

2009 Revenue Projection

Transportation 2050

2021 Revenue Projection

2021 Expenditure 8

Workshop

Today’s Workshop Vision Cost Action

Transportation 2050

Update on ConnectSF • •

Transit Investment Strategy Streets and Freeways Strategy

Update on the 20-Year Capital Plan

• •

Capital Plan Needs – Infrastructure Costs Capital Investment Packages - Priorities

Transportation 2050 • • •

Community Survey & Priorities Analysis of Funding Gaps Potential Funding Measures 9

Update on Transit Investment Strategy Update on Streets and Freeways Strategy connectsf.org Reference: www.connects.org

ConnectSF@sfgov.org 10

Today’s Informational Presentation ▪

▪ ▪ ▪

ConnectSF background Transit Investment Strategy Streets & Freeways Strategy Integrating the Strategies into future planning: – San Francisco Transportation Plan – Transportation Element

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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About ConnectSF Phase 1 Vision

ConnectSF Vision

Phase 2 Needs

Statement of Needs Transit Corridors Study Streets and Freeways Study

Phase 3 Policies & Priorities

San Francisco Transportation Plan Transportation Element of SF General Plan

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Prior Work: Key Findings Recap Challenges to Address Create Equitable Transportation Outcomes

▪ Improve transportation connections for outer neighborhoods ▪ Improve jobs access via sustainable modes

Improve Sustainability

▪ Reduce emissions by shifting trips ▪ Further expand transit capacity ▪ Manage congestion

Accommodate Forecasted Growth

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Transit Investment Strategy Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Transit Investment Strategy Goals ▪

Build upon pandemic recovery efforts

▪

Prioritize communities and individuals that are most dependent on transit

▪

Adapt to changing travel needs between neighborhoods, not just to downtown

▪

Address state of good repair backlog

▪

Continue to reduce crowding and delay

▪

Improve connections to the region

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Key Recommendations Make the system work better with maintenance and restoration Build a five-minute network for reliable transit service citywide Increase speed, reliability, and capacity for a modern rail system Build more rail where bus service won’t be able to meet demand

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Maintain and Restore our Transit System

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Five-Minute Network Improved Speed & Reliability

Street and signal improvements to preserve transit speed and reliability Fast, frequent service and easy transfers throughout SF Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Regional and Local Express Service Local and regional transit service that runs on freeways and highways Dedicated express lanes to destinations within San Francisco and throughout the Bay Area Complements rail and ferries

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

19

Renew and Modernize Our Rail System Subway renewal addresses crowding and congestion Rebuild our aging rail network Expand critical infrastructure that keeps trains moving Longer trains and more reliable service

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Build Rail to SF’s Busiest Places

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

21

Streets & Freeways Strategy Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

22

Challenges for our Streets and Freeways

Respond to the climate crisis We have limited street space

Freeways divide some communities, create negative impacts

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

23

Key Recommendations Maintain and reinvest in the current transportation system Prioritize transit and carpooling on our streets and freeways Build a complete network for walking and biking Prioritize safety in all investments and through targeted programs 5

Repair harms and reconnect communities

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Maintain and Reinvest in the Current Transportation System

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Prioritize Transit and Carpooling on our Streets & Freeways Exploring pricing to help transit and carpools move more quickly and reliably in congested areas Lead with equity •

Robust community involvement

•

Discounts for people with low-incomes

•

Use revenues to improve transit

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Build A Complete Network for Walking and Biking

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

27

Prioritize Safety in all Investments and through Targeted Programs

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Prioritize Safety in all Investments and through Targeted Programs

Where successful and needed, make quick build permanent Develop comprehensive speed management, focused on autooriented streets Improve freeway ramps throughout the City

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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5

Repair Harms & Reconnect Communities

Short

Urban greening

Medium

New grade-separated pedestrian crossings

Long

Explore transformative projects

Reduce truck impacts

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Outreach Completed Since Last Update ▪

Late 2019-Early 2020 Transportation Needs Outreach

▪ ▪

▪

Community workshops and individual community group presentations

April-July 2021 Investment Strategies Outreach

▪

Online surveys due to COVID restrictions

▪

Available in four languages – English, Chinese, Spanish, and Filipino

▪

Stipends offered to community groups to help us reach people of color and low income constituents

Additional presentations available to neighborhood and community groups as requested

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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Remaining Timeline for 2021 and Early 2022 ▪

Summer o o

▪

Complete Transit Corridor Study and Streets and Freeway Study outreach Further outreach and technical analysis to support San Francisco Transportation Plan (SFTP) development

Fall/Winter o o o o

Transit Corridor Study publication Develop SFTP constrained and vision investment scenarios Conduct citywide outreach Begin development of Transportation Element of the General Plan

Reference: www.connects.org Transportation 2050

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What’s Next? ●

San Francisco Transportation Plan ○ Long-range, multimodal investment & policy blueprint for SF ○ Financially constrained plan based on reasonably expected funding sources ○ Visionary investment strategy that considers how to invest new revenues

●

Transportation Element Update ○ Guides policy implementation in City codes and project approvals ○ Integrates transport, land use, environmental justice, and resiliency ○ Receives environmental clearance Transportation 2050

33

2021 SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan Capital Planning Update Committee Update San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency SFMTA of Directors March 3,Board 2020 August 17, 2021

Capital Plan in Context ConnectSF

•Vision for the Transportation System •Supported by Federal / State / Local resources •Includes investments in Service and Infrastructure

20-Year Capital Plan

•20 Years of Fiscally Unconstrained Infrastructure Needs •Informs 5-Year Constrained Capital Improvement Program

Transportation 2050

Transportation 2050

• Community Survey & Priorities •Analysis of Funding Gaps •Potential Funding Measures

35

SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan Capital Plan Purpose

$31.3B of identified Capital Needs over 20 years, or $1.6B annually SFMTA’s average annual capital budget for the past five years is $732M Transportation 2050

36

Transportation 2050

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Capital Needs by Capital Program (In $ Millions)

$31.3B Total Capital Need Over 20 Years

Transportation 2050

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Capital Investment Packages

Transportation 2050

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Next Steps • Assess Capital Needs based on Strategic Plan • Incorporate Capital Needs assessment into Capital Plan

Capital Needs

Capital Plan

Values

• Seek SFMTA Board approval of full Capital Plan

Transportation 2050

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Questions?

Transportation 2050

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San Francisco

TRANSPORTATION 2050

SFMTA Board of Directors August 2021 Update

Introduction

Transportation 2050 (T2050) builds upon the work done by the two prior Transportation Task Forces.

2013

2018

Reference: Transportation 2030 Report Reference: Transportation 2045 Report

Transportation 2050

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Transportation 2045 (January 2018)

Transportation 2050

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T2045

“It is with some measure of urgency that we present this report on the critical funding needs of San Francisco’s transportation systems from now through the year 2045. Throughout the Task Force process, nearly 60 representatives of the city’s neighborhoods, businesses, civic organizations, advocacy groups and agency staff came together to grapple with difficult questions. This report updates and builds on previous analysis, with a list of potential funding sources presented in the context of a particularly tenuous federal landscape for infrastructure funding. Task Force members have outlined both investments and revenue priorities through an equity lens, and tasked city leaders to take action today to secure the $100 million annual contribution to our overall transportation need.”

Reference: Transportation 2045 Report Transportation 2050

45

T2045

“It is with some measure of urgency that we present this report on the critical funding needs of San Francisco’s transportation systems from now through the year 2045. Throughout the Task Force process, nearly 60 representatives of the city’s neighborhoods, businesses, civic organizations, advocacy groups and agency staff came together to grapple with difficult questions. This report updates and builds on previous analysis, with a list of potential funding sources presented in the context of a particularly tenuous federal landscape for infrastructure funding. Task Force members have outlined both investments and revenue priorities through an equity lens, and tasked city leaders to take action today to secure the $100 million annual contribution to our overall transportation need.”

Reference: Transportation 2045 Report Transportation 2050

46

T2045

Sources getting the highest support among task force members in 2018 ranged from $83 – $353 m/annually.

Source

Low Range

High Range

Sales Tax

$50 m/yr

$150 m/yr

Gross Receipts: Commercial Property Rent Tax Increase

$13 m/yr

$100 m/yr

Vehicle License Fee (VLF)

$12 m/yr

$73 m/yr

Gross Receipts: Platform/Gig Economy Tax

$8 m/yr

$30 m/yr

Reference: Transportation 2045 Report

Transportation 2050

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Feb ’21 Workshop

We last considered T2050 at the SFMTA Board Workshop in February 2021.

Solicit feedback from the public on priorities:

Report Backs:

SFMTA Community Survey (June 15, 2021)

Transit Service Restoration (April 20, 2021, July 20, 2021) State of Good Repair Report (July 20, 2021) Vision Zero Action Strategy (July 20, 2021) SFMTA 20-Year Capital Plan (Today) ConnectSF Transit Investment Strategy (Today) ConnectSF Streets and Freeway Strategy (Today)

Reference: SFMTA Board of Directors Workshop – February 3, 2021

Transportation 2050

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We asked, you answered.

(2021 Community Survey)

Reference: 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

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A recent citywide survey has made it clear: Muni is a vital part of the community

92%

of respondents think “a vital part of the community” describes Muni well

Source: 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

50

To continue being a vital part of the community, you’ve told us your priorities are:

Investing Equitably

Transportation 2050

Fast and Convenient Transit

More Repairs and Maintenance

Improving Safety and Access

51

Investing Equitably A majority of survey respondents say it is “very important” or “extremely important” to …

79%

Increase and improve Muni service for the communities most dependent on transit

Source: 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

52

And really, investing equitably is part of everything we do at SFMTA Investing Equitably

Fast and Convenient Transit

Transportation 2050

More Repairs and Maintenance

Improving Safety and Access

53

Fast and Convenient Transit A majority of survey respondents say it is “very important” or “extremely important” to …

80%

76%

65%

Provide quick, convenient transit access to all parts of San Francisco

Reduce delays to make Muni more reliable

Reduce crowding on Muni

Source: 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

54

More Repairs and Maintenance A majority of survey respondents say it is “very important” or “extremely important” to …

80%

68%

67%

Repair and maintain Muni equipment and facilities to ensure vehicles’ safety, frequency, and reliability

Address the backlog of maintenance work

Rebuild San Francisco’s aging rail network

Source: 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

55

Improving Safety and Access A majority of survey respondents say it is “very important” or “extremely important” to …

78%

68%

Ensure Muni service is inclusive and accessible to all

Make street safety improvements for walking

Source: 2021 SFMTA Community Survey

Transportation 2050

56

We couldn’t agree more.

Transportation 2050

57

Here’s how we're focusing on your priorities and vision INVESTING EQUITABLY

Fast and Convenient Transit

More Repairs and Maintenance

1. Create a Five-Minute Network

1. Make the transportation system work

2. Expand the rail network

2. Modernize the rail and subway system

Transportation 2050

Improving Safety and Access 1. Make streets safer 2. Make the transportation system universally accessible

58

Here are your priorities … and their cost over 30-years to 2050 INVESTING EQUITABLY

Fast and Convenient Transit

More Repairs and Maintenance

Improving Safety and Access

$111.3B $63.4B What the vision will require us to spend over 30-years

We will spend over the next 30-years

57% funded

($47.8B) T2050 Funding Gap Cumulative total over 30-years

43% funding gap

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

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Projected Operating and Capital Funding Gap ($ Billions)

Achieving the vision isn't currently possible because our costs would be much higher than our revenues $0B -$5B -$10B -$15B

$1.6B

-$20B -$25B

Average annual funding gap over the next 30 years, leading to a cumulative total gap of $47B

-$30B -$35B -$40B -$45B -$50B 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Fiscal Year Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

60

This includes a gap in funding for capital investments, like vehicles and infrastructure …

Projected Capital Funding Gap ($ Billions)

$0B

$674M

-$5B -$10B

Average Annual Capital Funding Gap

-$15B -$20B

To keep the system running smoothly and expand it based on your priorities

-$25B -$30B -$35B -$40B -$45B -$50B 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Fiscal Year Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

61

… and a gap in funding for operating expenses: running buses and trains

Projected Operating Funding Gap ($ Billions)

$0B -$5B -$10B -$15B -$20B

$921M

-$25B -$30B

Average Annual Operating Funding Gap

-$35B -$40B -$45B

To run trains and buses in line with your priorities

-$50B 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

Fiscal Year Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

62

However, 2050 is a long time from now.

Transportation 2050

63

What if we focus on the next 10 years?

Transportation 2050

64

Based on your priorities, we have created three potential futures.

System in a state of good repair; maintenance done on-time; pre-pandemic service; 20% service increase; 5-minute network implemented; streets are safer and accessible to all.

System in a state of good repair. Maintenance and asset replacement done on-time. Return to pre-pandemic service in 2023. System is not expanded.

A mixture of core infrastructure, enhancements and expansion. Return to pre-pandemic service in 2023. Infrastructure replacement backlog does not grow.

Transportation 2050

Implementing SF Vision

Focus on State of Good Repair

Balanced Approach

65

Over the next 10 years, the gap will be $1.04B per year on average

$1.04B/Yr Gap

Implementing SF Vision

Focus on State of Good Repair

Status Quo

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

66

Even with a balanced approach, there’s still a projected funding gap of $300M per year over the next 10 years

$1.04B/Yr Gap

Implementing SF Vision

Focus on State of Good Repair

$300M /Yr Gap

Balanced Approach

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

67

If we focus instead primarily on the State of Good Repair backlog, we end up with a 10-year projected funding gap of $270 per year

$1.04B/Yr Gap

$270M/Yr Gap

$300M/Yr Gap

Implementing SF Vision

Focus on State of Good Repair

Balanced Approach

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

68

We’ve identified some new potential revenue sources, which combined could amount to $149M per year

$1.04B/Yr Gap

$270M/Yr Gap

$300M/Yr Gap

Implementing SF Vision

Focus on State of Good Repair

Balanced Approach

$149M

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

Potential New Yearly Revenue Sources 69

These potential new revenue sources are:

$149M

$2.5M Development Revenue

Potential New Yearly Revenue Sources

$43.9M

$40.0M

$35.4M

$20.6M

Transportation Special Tax

GO Bond 2022

Increase in Federal Revenue (+15%)

Parking Tax

$6.7M Increase in State Revenue (+10%)

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

70

These potential new revenue sources are: Source

Benefits

Short Term Long Term $/yr $/yr

Transportation Special Tax

Dedicated tax for transportation, providing a predictable stable source for transit service and maintenance. May be bonded against for near-term capital infrastructure investment, reducing long term maintenance.

$50 m/yr

$60-70/yr

Parking Tax

Existing San Francisco General Tax with opportunities to reform or modify for transportation infrastructure, transit service and maintenance.

$20m/yr

Declining

CCSF General Obligation Bond Program

The SFMTA as part of the City GO Bond Program has allowed for critical infrastructure investment, safety improvements and transit reliability investments – reducing the cost of operations and long-term maintenance.

$40 m/yr

$50 m/yr

Federal Grants

The current proposed bi-partisan Infrastructure Bill provides opportunities for increased Federal support for up to 5-years for transportation infrastructure and maintenance campaigns.

$35 m/yr

$40 m/yr

The current State budget designates significant additional dollars to transportation available through grants for transportation infrastructure.

$7 m/yr

Unknown

Development of SFMTA properties provide significant longterm opportunities to produce revenues that can go directly toward transportation infrastructure, transit service and maintenance.

$5 m/yr

$25-35 m/yr

State Grants Development Revenue Transportation 2050

71

With these new sources, we can fund nearly 2/3 of our vision for San Francisco over 30-years.

INVESTING EQUITABLY

Fast and Convenient Transit

More Repairs and Maintenance

Improving Safety and Access

$111.3B $70.2B What the vision will require us to spend over 30-years

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

We will spend over the next 30-years

63% funded with new funding sources

($41.0B) T2050 Funding Gap Cumulative total over 30-years

37% funding gap

72

And over 2/3rd of the vision… over 10 years INVESTING EQUITABLY

Fast and Convenient Transit

$27.8B What the vision will require us to spend over 10-years

Source: T2050 Supporting Data Reports

Transportation 2050

More Repairs and Maintenance

Improving Safety and Access

$18.8B

We will spend over the next 10-years (all sources).

68% funded with new funding sources

($9.0B) T2050 Funding Gap Cumulative total over 10-years

32% funding gap

73

But we can still accomplish a lot …

Transportation 2050

74

By prioritizing near-term, high-impact investments

Transportation 2050

75

Thank You. San Francisco

TRANSPORTATION 2050

Appendix.

San Francisco

TRANSPORTATION 2050

Impacts of COVID-19 / FY19/20

78

Parking and transit revenues were relatively flat in the months leading up to February 2020 45

$ Millions

30 Parking Revenues

v

15 Transit Fare Revenues 0 J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM 2018

2019

2020

2021

79

But after March 2020, the pandemic cratered both revenue sources 45

$ Millions

30

15

Parking Revenues Transit Fare Revenues

0 J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM 2018

2019

2020

2021

80

Parking revenue has partly bounced back

45

$ Millions

30

15

Parking Revenues

0 J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM 2018

2019

2020

2021

81

But May 2021 parking revenues were 30% lower than May 2019 levels

$27.3M

May 2019

May 2021

$19.1M

30% LOWER

82

Meanwhile, transit revenues have been much slower to return 45

$ Millions

30

15

Transit Fare Revenues

0 J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM J J A S O N D J F MAM 2018

2019

2020

2021

83

May 2021 transit revenues were 84% lower than May 2019 levels

$13.7M

May 2019

May 2021

$2.2M

84% LOWER

84

In the near term, federal emergency relief funding will be a necessary stopgap 100%

Federal Emergency Relief

Operating Grants General Fund Transfers

v Parking Revenues

Transit Fare Revenues

0% 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 Fiscal Year

Projected

85

All signs point to a slow recovery for Downtown San Francisco

86

Office Vacancy Rates

Q2 saw a “further rise in office vacancy” in San Francisco, which were already at historic highs

Pre-Pandemic Average (2019)

Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, via SF Office of the Controller

87

Office Attendance

“SF Metro lags” comparable metro areas in office attendance

2020

2021

Source: Kastle Systems, via SF Office of the Controller

88

San Francisco Jobs by Sector (%)

More than one-third of all jobs in San Francisco are in sectors that are well-suited to working from home

34% 66%

Source: Census LEHD (2018)

89

People Boarding Planes at SFO (% of 2019)

The number of people boarding planes at SFO was “well below normal” as of May 2021

Source: San Francisco International Airport (SFO), via SF Office of the Controller

90

Future bookings at the Moscone Center significantly below pre-pandemic levels

Confirmed Events at Moscone Center

Pre-Pandemic Average (2019)

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Source: SF Travel, via SF Office of the Controller

91

Revenue Per Available Room, Top 25 Hotel Markets, May 2021 (% of May 2019)

San Francisco’s hotel recovery is the worst in the nation—30% of pre-pandemic levels as of May 2021 131%

110% 101%

May 2019 Revenue Per Available Room

94% 77% 77% 77% 75% 73% 73%

70% 69% 67%

63% 62% 62%

59%

54%

49%

44%

41%

38%

35% 33%

30%

Source: American Hotel & Lodging Association

92

Visitor spending “will not be back to 2019 levels before 2025”

Source: SF Travel

93

“BART ridership returning, but still below normal”

Monthly BART Exits at Embarcadero, Montgomery, Powell, and Civic Centers (% of 2019)

2019 Ridership (Month Over Month)

Source: BART, via SF Office of the Controller

94

ConnectSF Reference Slides

ConnectSF Background ConnectSF is a multi-agency process to build an effective, equitable, and sustainable transportation system for San Francisco's future

Preserve Travel Time Savings

When the pandemic began, congestion on our streets vanished, demonstrating the time savings riders get when buses aren’t stuck in traffic.

Renew and Modernize Our Rail System

Subway renewal addresses crowding and congestion Envisions the next generation of subway service for San Francisco Upgrades such as a new train control system will allow four-car trains and consistent, predictable service.

3 Build A Complete Network for Walking and Biking

Transit Survey Information ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪

Distributed via ConnectSF and related project email lists Paid distribution through community organizations Offered individual community group meetings Available in four languages – English, Chinese, Spanish, and Filipino 549 completed responses 3 main questions on long-range transit trade-offs, reasons why you made that choice, and an openended question

Initial Survey Response Summary ▪

▪

All components of the strategy were popular –

Making the system work better

–

Five Minute Network

–

Rail Modernization

–

Rail Expansion

Five Minute Network and Major Rail Investments received the most 1st choice votes (~40% each) –

▪

Many said “do both”, reinforcing the need to build quick, low-cost transit improvements while we advance the long-term rail projects

70% listed Rail Modernization as 1st or 2nd choice

Transit Investment Strategy Timeline Transit Investment Strategy Storymap remains available for public viewing Staff available to present to community groups and other online meetings upon request Outreach results being incorporated in Transit Corridors Study Report Anticipated publication of report in Fall 2021

All Transit Strategy Components were Popular

Grouped responses by demographics