SFG Update - Summer 2021

Page 1

Knoxville Main Office

Pleasantville Location

Centerville Location

Albia Location

1650 Quebec St

702 E. Jasper

1605 S. 24th St

805 Hwy 5 North

Knoxville, IA 50138

Pleasantville, IA 50228

Centerville, IA 52544

Albia, IA 52531

Office: 641-828-8500

Office: 515-848-5000

Office: 641-856-2828

Office: 641-932-2100

the better than average planting weather we had it

would seem likely that these numbers went up. The wild card will be what happened in the northern plain states.

Knoxville City Location

Melcher-Dallas Location

Milo Location

Columbia Fuel Station

This area has been extremely dry for over a year. A lot of

601 N. Sherman St

126 2nd St SE

101 1st St

2441 Hwy 14

spring wheat did not get planted due to the drought

Knoxville, IA 50138

Melcher-Dallas, IA 50163

Milo, IA 50166

Columbia, IA 50057

Office: 641-842-5511

Office: 641-947-2000

Office: 641-942-6223

Cell: 641-218-4035

conditions. Some of these areas were switched to either corn or beans, but with the continued poor weather it may not matter. Northern and western Iowa and areas on west remain water short. These are areas started the season way short of sub soil moisture and it has not im-

proved. A high percentage of the corn crop went in the ground in a 2-week period this spring. That will com-

Mark White SFG Grain Merchandiser

press the pollination time on a lot of acres so a hot dry period during the first 2 weeks of July could have a huge effect on yield. The balance sheet for both corn and beans show we need trend line yields or better to maintain the low carryout numbers we have today. It will not

Volatility remains the driver in the grain markets as we

take much of a hiccup to fire the speculators back up.

head into the summer months. After mounting a tremen-

However, we have learned from past experiences that

dous rally that started last fall, we have seen a lot of sell

you should not stake your lively hood strictly on the

off in the corn and bean futures in the past month. Rallies

weather. New crop prices are still well above average

need fresh bullish news to keep the fires burning and with

even though we have fallen back a ways. Our area has

the cooler/wetter weather many areas have had the past 2

been fortunate to receive timely rains to this point giv-

weeks the funds have become sellers. Now that is not to

ing us some confidence of a good crop. Many producers

say we are washed up and prices are headed to the

are kicking themselves for missing the selling opportuni-

bottom. There are still several factors at play that can

ties we had earlier this spring. We should not let that

swing this market higher at a moments notice. The USDA

keep us from locking in some profitable prices today

releases their June stocks and updated planted acreage

with the hope we will see better prices in the near fu-

reports this week. It is expected they will trim the ending

ture. Volatility is not always a bad thing; it can be a good

corn stocks a touch more while they leave the bean num-

thing if you recognize when to use it to your advantage.

ber alone. The bigger mover will be the acreage numbers. Private forecasters have thrown out a wide range of numbers for both corn and beans. Most felt the numbers the

Visit www.sfgiowa.com/grain/sfg-daily-bids for

USDA used in their March report were too low and given

daily corn and bean bids, updated at 3pm


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