Fundamental Equity Analysis - Nasdaq 100 Index Members (NDX Index)

Page 92

27.03.2013

Fossil Inc Fossil, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories. The Company's products include an extensive line of men's and women's fashion watches and jewelry sold under proprietary and licensed brands, handbags, small leather goods, belts, sunglasses, and apparel.

Price/Volume 160

6.0 M

140

5.0 M

120 4.0 M

100 80

Valuation Analysis Latest Fiscal Year: LTM as of: 52-Week High (05.04.2012) 52-Week Low (12.07.2012) Daily Volume Current Price (3/dd/yy) 52-Week High % Change 52-Week Low % Change % 52 Week Price Range High/Low Shares Out 21.02.2013 Market Capitalization Total Debt Preferred Stock Minority Interest Cash and Equivalents Enterprise Value Relative Stock Price Performance FOSL UW EQUITY YTD Change FOSL UW EQUITY YTD % CHANGE

12/2012 12/yy 139.20 62.79 209'618.00 95.46 -31.42% 52.03% 42.76% 59.3 5'664.96 77.93 0.0 6.9 177.36 5'572.46

Total Revenue TEV/Revenue EBITDA TEV/EBITDA Net Income P/E

31.12.2009 31.12.2010 1'548.1 2'030.7 1.19x 2.06x 253.0 417.0 7.30x 10.01x 139.2 255.2 16.11x 18.71x Profitability

1.0 M

20 0 m-12

.0 M a-12 m-12

LTM-4Q 31.12.2011 2'567.3 1.82x 523.9 8.92x 294.7 17.27x

EBITDA EBIT Operating Margin Pretax Margin Return on Assets Return on Common Equity Return on Capital Asset Turnover Margin Analysis Gross Margin EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin Net Income Margin Structure Current Ratio Quick Ratio Debt to Assets Tot Debt to Common Equity Accounts Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover

31.12.2012 2'857.5 1.64x 554.4 8.44x 343.4 16.62x 554.38 488.84 17.11% 17.23% 19.71% 29.35% 29.22% 1.64% 56.2% 19.4% 17.1% 12.0% 2.81 1.33 4.23% 6.32% 8.58 2.51

Price/ Cash Flow

j-12

j-12

a-12

s-12

o-12

n-12

d-12

j-13

f-13

12/yy 2'567.3 8.80x 523.9 8.92x 294.7 17.18x

LTM 12/yy 2'857.5 7.86x 554.4 8.44x 343.4 16.51x

FY+1

0.00 1.81 49.38 2.82 -28.75% 2.53% 1.806 14 3.429 229'722 270'760 251'480 FY+2

FQ+1

FQ+2

12/13 Y 12/14 Y 03/13 Q1 06/13 Q2 3'165.6 3'452.8 652.4 700.3 1.75x 1.57x 8.64x 8.06x 606.5 664.6 105.0 111.1 9.19x 8.38x 9.20x 9.04x 363.8 406.3 58.5 63.1 15.76x 13.88x 15.62x 15.24x S&P Issuer Ratings

Long-Term Rating Date Long-Term Rating Long-Term Outlook Short-Term Rating Date Short-Term Rating Credit Ratios EBITDA/Interest Exp. (EBITDA-Capex)/Interest Exp. Net Debt/EBITDA Total Debt/EBITDA Reference Total Debt/Equity Total Debt/Capital Asset Turnover Net Fixed Asset Turnover Accounts receivable turnover-days Inventory Days Accounts Payable Turnover Day Cash Conversion Cycle

107.44 85.66 -0.18 0.14 6.3% 5.9% 1.64 9.26 42.41 144.81 44.12 143.10

Sales/Revenue/Turnover

45.00

3'500.0

40.00

3'000.0

35.00

2'500.0

30.00 25.00

2'000.0

20.00

1'500.0

15.00

1'000.0

10.00

500.0

5.00 0.00 08.01.2010

2.0 M

40

Market Data Dividend Yield Beta Equity Float Short Int 1 Yr Total Return YTD Return Adjusted BETA Analyst Recs Consensus Rating Average Daily Trading Volume Average Volume 5 Day - Average Volume 30 Day - Average Volume 3 Month

Fiscal Year Ended 31.12.2008 1'583.2 0.63x 243.4 4.07x 138.1 8.60x

3.0 M

60

0.0 08.07.2010

08.01.2011

08.07.2011

08.01.2012

08.07.2012

08.01.2013

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

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