Active Debris Removal Timeline

Commercial

SpaceX, Legacy OneWeb constellation Telesat, Amazon in service Second generations launch, first require deorbit Iridium third generation launches Over 30 small satellite mega constellations

Capability

Remove DEBRIS demonstrates ADR technology (nets, harpoons, VBN) ELSA-D mission to demonstrate debris docking and demoval O. Cubed Services will be all in-one service satellite including ADR

North Star space debris tracking constellation Brane Craft launch their small flexible space craft that envelops and remove debris

2020 2025 2030 2035 2040

Regulation

Market size

IADC guidelines codified nationally

Small market, some Iridium satellites Guidelines to reduce time allowed to deorbit Anti-Satellite missile regulations

First major constellations deorbit regularly with 10% failure rate Guideline strengthened to include controlled deorbit

Market increase due to stronger guidelines and new constellations Regulations on debris removal to reduce risks of collisions due to increased amount of debris and satellites

Regulations controlleddeorbiting of multiple satellite constellations

Source: Satellite Applications Catapult ‘Note: Timeline reflects both likely events that have been announced, as well as predicted potential events.