NEWS
Seismic Slick
BY JERRY REDFERN @CapitalandMain
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ew Mexico’s oil and gas regulators and scientists are on alert after a dramatic increase in earthquake activity in southern New Mexico—an increase likely triggered by oil and gas industry injection wells in the Permian Basin. Since 2018, the number of small quakes of magnitude 1 or greater in the basin has risen from about 40 to nearly 500 in 2020, and over that period quakes of magnitude of 2 or greater rose from none to 158, according to data from the New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources. There were 146 quakes through June so far this year. Those numbers are just in New Mexico—they are even higher over the border in the Texas portion of the basin. The overwhelming majority of the quakes are small and barely perceptible to people right in the area where they occur. But Mairi Litherland, manager of the Seismological Observatory at New Mexico Tech, is paying close attention because “we have seen that when you start to see more of these smaller events, it can lead to larger events.” Texas had several larger events in the past year that were felt in New Mexico. And in July, a 4.0 temblor in New Mexico shook the southeast corner of the state, “which is something that we pay attention to, for sure,” says Litherland. “It indicates that there is a risk in that area that we need to understand.” Earthquakes can damage property if large enough. And there is some very important property in the area. The nation’s main nuclear weapons waste storage site, the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), lies a half mile underground in a salt formation in the middle of the New Mexican portion of the basin, a little north of most of the quake activity. “There hasn’t been much seismicity in close proximity to the WIPP facility,” Litherland says, “but it is a concern, and it’s something that we need to keep an eye on.”
WIPP is the 10,000-year repository for highly toxic radioactive waste created by the nuclear weapons industry—things like tools, clothing and soil contaminated with plutonium. It is operated by private contractors for the US Department of Energy (DOE). In 2014, a radioactive leak attributed to bad kitty litter contaminated several workers and shut the facility for nearly three years. And in 2016, ceiling collapses led to the closure of part of the underground facility. In response to emailed questions, a DOE spokesperson wrote that this was a “naturally occurring rock fall” in an unused portion of the facility. “DOE requires that facilities are designed to withstand applicable hazards from natural phenomena, including earthquakes,” the spokesperson continued. “To date, there have not been any increases in seismic activ-
ity at the WIPP site that warrants action or concerns.” That’s not the only nuclear facility in the area. Another private company, URENCO, operates the country’s only commercial nuclear fuel enrichment plant 40 miles due east of WIPP, near Eunice, New Mexico, on the Texas state line. And just over the border from that, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission just approved a high-level waste facility next to a decade-old, low-level waste facility, something Texas Gov. Greg Abbott doesn’t like. And more of the nation’s commercial nuclear waste could be headed to this region as well. Holtec International, with support from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, wants to build a nuclear waste storage facility for up to 100,000 tons of spent nuclear fuel rods 12 miles north of WIPP, a plan opposed by New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham and others in state government. All of these nuclear sites are surrounded by brine injection wells, the likely cause of the increased seismicity in the basin.
WHOLE LOTTA SHAKIN’ Seismic Event
SOURCE: NEW MEXICO BUREAU OF GEOLOGY & MINERAL RESOURCES
Rise in New Mexico earthquakes likely triggered by oil industry’s wastewater injection wells
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The New Mexico Bureau of Geology detected an earthquake at each of these positions between June 20, 2020 and June 28, 2021.
Oil and gas deposits aren’t pure pockets of hydrocarbons underground. They come mixed together with massive amounts of extremely briny water, or “produced water,” as the industry calls it. Increasing oil and gas production over the last dozen years in the Permian Basin has created a parallel increase in the amount of brine. Oil and gas wells pull up as much as 10 times more brine than oil or gas, though the ratio is generally closer to 4:1, says Adrienne Sandoval, director of the New Mexico Oil Conservation Division. And, she points out, “You have to do something with it.” Most often, operators inject it, along with the water and chemical cocktail used to frack new wells, into deep rock formations through different wells at separate locations, usually below oil and gas layers. There is a lot of water to deal with. Between 2011 and the end of 2020, the amount of briny water injected underground in southeast New Mexico rose nearly 40% from 656 million barrels to 916 million barrels a year. That’s more water than is currently in Elephant Butte Reservoir, the state’s largest reservoir, on the Rio Grande. Granted, the reservoir is only filled to 5.6% of capacity, but that’s because of increasing aridification across New Mexico, fueled by climate change. Forcing that produced water into lower layers can induce quakes when the high-pressure brine pushes on underground faults, causing them to slip and slide past each other to release increasing pressure. And that slipping and sliding translates into earthquakes. “That’s definitely the most likely cause,” Litherland says of the recent seismicity. She says that a lot of forces are at play in creating an induced earthquake: the amount of brine, the rate it’s injected, the depth of injection and the rock formation where it all takes place. But, Litherland adds, “When there starts to be a lot of fluid injection…and the seismicity increases year over year, it’s pretty undeniable that that seismicity is induced.” Alexandros Savvaidis, manager of the Texas Seismological Network, says these conditions make the quakes difficult to study and very difficult to predict. Plus, there is often a time lag between injection and when a slip happens. “You don’t inject today, and you have an earthquake tomorrow,” he says. Seismicity generally happens at the time of injection, or a few days to a few weeks later. Also, the seismicity doesn’t always happen at the injection site—it can happen miles away. “It can be 20 to 25 kilometers
