13ﻓــﻮﺭﻳﻪ 2012
ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ـ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ« ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ، ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﻭ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚﺗﺮ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ .ﺍﺯ ﻣﺎﻩﻫــﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭﺷــﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺪﻳﺪﺓ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭ ﻋــﺮﺏ« ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﻧﺸﺎﻧﻪ ﺭﻓﺘﻪ .ﺍﻳﻨﻚ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺩﻳﻮﺍﺭﻩﻫﺎﻯ »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ـ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑــﻰﺍﺵ ،ﻭ ﺑﻰﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﺯﺍﻓﺰﻭﻥ
ﺁﻧــﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ »ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﻋﺮﺏ« ﻟﻘﺐ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ،ﻧﻮﻙ ﺳــﺮﻧﻴﺰﺓ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﺘﻮﺟﻪ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻝ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺠﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﻳﺎﺑﺪ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﻮﻓﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﭼﻪ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ،ﭼﻪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ، ﻭ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﭼﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻣﺎﻥ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﺗﺠﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺷــﺪ .ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﺍﺟﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳــﺮﻓﺼﻞﻫﺎ ﺍﺧﺘﺼﺎﺹ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻴﻢ .ﭘﺲ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ »ﺍﻗﺘﺪﺍﺭ« ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ. ﺍﺯ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻋﺮﺏ« ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮﺏ ،ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﺪﻥ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﺵ ﺷﻬﺮﻯ ﻭ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ »ﺑﻬــﺎﺭﺯﺩﻩ« ،ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎﻳﺔ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻡ
ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺮﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ .ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺍﻟﮕﻮﺳﺎﺯﻯ« ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺳﺎﻝ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺩﺭ ﺷﻬﺮ »ﺩﺍﻭﻭﺱ« ﻃﻰ ﺟﺮ ﻭ ﺑﺤﺚ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸﻰ« ﺑﻴﻦ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ،ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ ﺷﻴﻤﻮﻥ ﭘﺮﺯ ،ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺷﺮﻭﻉ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﻭ ﺗﻞﺁﻭﻳﻮ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ »ﻛﻤﻚﺭﺳﺎﻧﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﻓﻠﺴﻄﻴﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻮﺍﺭ ﻏﺰﻩ ﺭﺳــﻴﺪ ،ﻭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺏﺯﺑﺎﻥ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻭ ﺷــﻤﺎﻝ ﺁﻓﺮﻳﻘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭ ﻣﺤﻮﺭ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪﺍﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺟﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩ؛ ﻣﺤﻮﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ »ﺁﺗﺎﺗﺮﻛﻴﺴــﻢ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﻭ ﻣﺤﻮﺭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺷﻴﺦﻧﺸﻴﻦﻫﺎﻯ »ﺿﺪ ﺑﻬﺎﺭ«. ﻣﺤﻮﺭ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ »ﺍﻟﮕﻮﺳﺎﺯﻯ« ﺍﺯ ﺁﺗﺎﺗﺮﻙﺍﻳﺴــﻢ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ! ﺍﻟﮕﻮﺳﺎﺯﻯﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﻣﻴﻌﺎﺩ ،ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﺎ ﺑﻪ »ﺍﺭﺯﺵ« ﮔﺬﺍﺷــﺘﻦ ﺁﻥ ﺳﻌﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ
ﻧﻘﺶ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻌﻤﺎﺭ »ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﻫــﺎ« ﺍﺯ ﻧﻈﺮ ﭘﻨﻬﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ،ﻧﻮﻋﻰ »ﺭﺋﺎﻟﻴﺴــﻢ« ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ »ﺗﻮﺩﻩﻫﺎ« ﻋﻠﻢ ﻛﻨﺪ! ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﺩ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ »ﺭﺋﺎﻟﻴﺴــﻢ« ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﺧﻠﻖﺍﷲ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ. ﻣﺤﻮﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺷﻴﺦﻧﺸﻴﻦﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﻭ ﻗﻄﺮ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭ »ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ـ ﺧﻴﻤﻪ« ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗﻊ ﭘﺎﺩﮔﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻧﻔﺖﺧﻴﺮ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻭﻇﻴﻔﻪ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﺬﻳﺮﺵ ﺩﻳﻜﺘﺎﺗﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﻭ »ﺣﻮﺍﺭﻳﻮﻥ« ﺩﺳــﺘﮕﺎﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻴﺪﻩ ﻭ ﻓﺮﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺳــﺎﻗﻂ ﺷﺪﺓ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﺯﺩﻩ« ،ﺩﺭ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ »ﻣﺨﺰﻥ« ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺿﺪﺍﻧﻘﻼﺑﻰ ﻧﻘﺶﺁﻓﺮﻳﻨــﻰ ﻛﻨﻨــﺪ .ﺩﺭ ﺻــﻮﺭﺕ »ﻧﻴﺎﺯ« ،ﺣﻀــﻮﺭ ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﺗﻦ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔــﺎﻥ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻋﺮﺏ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺧﻴﻤﻪﻫﺎ« ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﻣﺬﺍﻛــﺮﺍﺕ ﺑــﺎ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﻴﺰ ﺑﺪﻩﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺷﻮﺩ! ﻭﻟﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺗﺨﺎﺫ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ،ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻋﺖ ﻋﺪﻡ ﻛﺎﺭﺁﺋﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩ .ﺑﻪ ﻣﺤﺾ ﺷــﺮﻭﻉ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻫﺎ« ،ﺳﺮﻳﻌﺎً ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﻧﻘﺶﭘﺬﻳﺮﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺁﻧــﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺧﺪﺍﺩﻫﺎ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ» .ﭘﻨﺎﻩ ﺑــﺮﺩﻥ« ﺻﺪﻫﺎ ﺗﻦ ﺍﺯ »ﻣﺮﺩﻡ« ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻬﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﺯﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ؛ ﺳــﺮﻭﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴــﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺑﻌﺚ؛ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻰﻗﻴﺪ ﻭ ﺷــﺮﻁ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ؛ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﺪﻭﺳــﺘﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﻰ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻢ ﺩﻫﻜﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻤﺒﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎﻧﺎﻥ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺍﺷــﻚ ﺗﻤﺴﺎﺡ ﻣﻰﺭﻳﺨﺖ ،ﻭ ...ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻫﻔﺘﺔ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺻﺪﺭ ﺍﺧﺒﺎﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﺟﺎﻟﺐ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﺎﺕ« ﻓﻮﻕ ،ﺍﻳﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻭﺍژﮔﻮﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺁﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻰﺁﻣﺪ! ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺛﺒﺎﺕ ﺭﺳــﻴﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪﺍﻯ ،ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫــﺎﻯ ﺁﻧــﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺁﺑﻜﻰﺗﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪﺳــﺎﺯ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺗﻰ ﺟﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻓﻀــﺎﻯ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﺯﺩﺓ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑــﻰ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺷــﻮﺩ .ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗــﻊ ،ﺑﺎ ﻭﺍژﮔﻮﻧﮕﻰ ﺳــﻴﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ، »ﺍﻟﮕﻮﺳــﺎﺯﻯ« ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺯ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑــﺮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﺑﺠﺎﻯ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳﺐﺷــﺎﻫﻮﺍﺭ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺵﻃﻠﺒﺎﻧﺔ ﺍﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ ﻏﺮﺏ، ﺑﻪ ﺗﻼﺷــﻰ ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺘﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻥ ﻓﻠﺴﻔﺔ ﻭﺟﻮﺩﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺁﺗﺎﺗﺮﻙﺍﻳﺴﺖﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪ! ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺮﺍﻭﺩﺍﺕ ﻭﻳﮋﺓ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺳــﺮﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻰ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺗﻌﺮﺽ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ »ﻣﺼﻮﻥ« ﻣﻰﺩﻳﺪ ،ﺍﻳﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺯﻟﺰﻟﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻗﻠﺐ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ
ﻭ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰﺍﺵ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﺗﺠﺮﺑﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ »ﻟﻮ« ﺭﻓﺘﻦ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻫﺎﻯ ﭼﭗ ﻭ ﺭﺍﺳﺖ ،ﻭ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻭ »ﺗﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺗﻴﺰ« ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ،ﻫﻢ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺮﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻰ ﺗﺮﻙ ﺩﭼﺎﺭ ﺍﺧﺘﻼﻝ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺩﻗﻴﻘﺎً ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ ﻋﻜﺲ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﻋﺮﺏ ،ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻥ »ﺍﺳــﻼﻡ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ« ﻃﻰ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩ .ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ،ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻫــﻢ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺑﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﻧﺎﺧﻮﺍﺳــﺘﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺧــﻼﻑ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺷــﻨﺎ ﻣﻰﻛــﺮﺩ .ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷــﻨﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺍﻧﺰﻭﺍ ﻭ ﭘﻨــﺎﻩ ﺑﺮﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺍﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺳﻜﻮﺕ ﺁﺯﺍﺭﺩﻫﻨــﺪﺓ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﺗﺤــﻮﻻﺕ »ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﻋﺮﺏ« ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ .ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻧﺎﭼﺎﺭ ﺷــﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰﺍﺵ ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎﺭ ﺳﻜﻮﺕ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﻛﻨﺪ. ﺑﺪﻳﻬﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﻜﻮﺕ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ،ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﻗﻄﺐ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻰ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ .ﻫﻤــﺎﻥ ﻗﻄﺒﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﻴﺰ ﺍﺗﺎﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﻃﺮﺍﺣﻰ ﻗــﺮﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻧﻘﺶ »ﻣﺨــﺰﻥ« ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔــﺎﻥ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻋﺮﺏ« ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﻋﻬــﺪﻩ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ .ﺑﻠﻪ ،ﺷــﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻦ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ، »ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ـ ﺧﻴﻤﻪﻫــﺎﻯ« ﻗﻄﺮ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺍﺑﺘــﻜﺎﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﮔﺎﻩ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ! ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻭﻳﮋﮔﻰ ﺑﺨﺼﻮﺻﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ؛ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ،ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼــﺎﺩﻯ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻧﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ »ﺍﻟﮕﻮﺋﻰ« ﺟﻬــﺖ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﻣﻌﺎﺻــﺮ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺩﻫﺪ .ﻭ ﭼﻪ ﺑﺴــﺎ ﻛــﻪ »ﺍﻟﮕﻮﻯ« ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑــﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻮﺍﻣﻊ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻓﻜﺎﺭ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺑﻬﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺯﻳﺮﺑﻨﺎ ﻭ ﺑﻬﺎﻧﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺍﻭﺝﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﻋﺘﺮﺍﺿــﺎﺕ ﻭ ﺿﺪﻳﺖ ﺗﻮﺩﻩﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻨﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺷﻮﺩ .ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ،ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺬﻛﻮﺭ ،ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻭﺟﻪ ﻣﺸــﺘﺮﻙ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ ،ﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺮﺯ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺍﺻﻮﻻً ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻫﺰﺍﺭ ﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ. ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻗﻄﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺳﺖﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﺭﺗﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺷــﻐﺎﻟﮕﺮ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﭘﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺼﺔ ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﮔﺬﺍﺷــﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ؛ ﻭ ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻰﻗﻴﺪ ﻭ
ﺷﺮﻁ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺁﻧﮕﻠﻮﺳﺎﻛﺴﻮﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﻭﺯﻧﺔ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ، ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ! ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼﻡ، ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻳﻨﺪﻭ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ،ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺁﺗﺶﻧﺸــﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ« ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ، ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺶ ﻛﻤﺪﻯ ﻣﻰﻣﺎﻧﺪ ،ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ. ﺑــﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟــﻮﺩ ،ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺎﻓﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻨﮓ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻔﻨﮓ ﺁﻣﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ،ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﻗﻄﺮ، ﻭ ﺳــﭙﺲ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺳــﻌﻮﺩﻯ ﭘﻴﺶﻧﻮﻳﺲ ﻗﻄﻌﻨﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﻭ ﻣﺠﻤﻊ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﺍﺭﺳﺎﻝ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ! ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ« ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﻣﺘﺤــﺪﺍﻥﺍﺵ ﺟﺰ ﺑﻰﺁﺑﺮﻭﺋﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻓﺘﻀﺎﺡ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﻯ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ .ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸــﺎﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷﻴﺦﻧﺸﻴﻦﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻋﻠﻨﻰﺗﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻥ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺤﻮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺤﺎء »ﺑﺰﻙ« ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﻭﺟﻴﻪﺍﻟﻤﻠﻪ ﺟﺎ ﺯﺩ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺍﻭﺿﺎﻉ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻨﻬﻢ ﺧﺮﺍﺏﺗﺮ ﺷﺪﻩ؛ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻗﻄﺮ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ،ﻧﻪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﻛﻪ ﺗﺮﺟﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ »ﻣﺨﺰﻥ« ﻭ ﺍﻧﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻋﺮﺏ!« ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ ﻫﻢ »ﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ« ﺑﻬﺎﺭﺯﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺃﺱﺷــﺎﻥ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺨﺰﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ »ﺿﺪﺑﻬﺎﺭ« ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻣﺒﺎﺩﺍ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺳــﺮ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻧﺒﺎﺭ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻧــﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ،ﻫﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻭ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ،ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺳﻨﮕﻴﻦﺗﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻘﺎﻻﺕﺷﺎﻥ ﺳﻌﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺶ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻦﺍﺵ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ. ﺩﻗﻴﻘﺎً ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑــﺎ »ﻻﻝﻣﺎﻧﻰ« ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﻭ »ﺭﺳﺘﻢ ﺻﻮﻟﺘﻰ« ﺷﻴﺦﻫﺎﻯ ﻗﻄﺮ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺮ ﮔﻴﺮﻯ »ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪﺍﺕ« ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺟﻤﻜــﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﻳﻢ! ﺍﻳﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﮓﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻣﻰﺩﻣﺪ ،ﻛﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻛﻨﺘﺮﻝ ﺳﻨﺘﻰﺍﺵ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻜﻠﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ »ﭘﻨﻬﺎﻥﺍﺵ« ﺑﺎ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎﻥ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻋﺮﺏ« ﺍﻳﻨﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺷــﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺑــﻮﻕ ﻭ ﻛﺮﻧﺎ ﺍﻓﺘــﺎﺩﻩ .ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻮﻙ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﻫــﻢ ﺣﺎﺷــﻴﺔ ﺍﻣﻦ ﻭ »ﭘﺸــﺖﺟﺒﻬﻪ« ﺟﻬﺖ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﺭﺍ .ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪﻫﺎﻯ »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ« ﻧﺎﻭﮔﺎﻥ ﭘﻨﺠﻢ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻋﻠﻴــﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﭘﻴﺰﻭﺭﻯ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳــﺮﺍﻥ ،ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺟﻬﺖ »ﺗﻠﻄﻴﻒ« ﺟﻮ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺻــﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ.
ﺗﻠﻄﻴﻔﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻓﺮﺿﺎً ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺗﻨﻔﺲ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ،ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﻴﻚ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛــﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻧﻰ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻤﻠﺔ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺯﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺗﻰ ،ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖ ﺍﺭﺗــﺶ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﻃﻰ ﺟﻨــﮓ 33ﺭﻭﺯﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﻈــﺎﺭﺵ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑــﻮﺩ ،ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑــﺎ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺍﺑــﺪ ﻭﺩﺍﻉ ﻛﻨــﺪ .ﻃﺮﻑ ﻣﻘﺎﺑــﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺑــﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ؛ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﻛــﻪ »ﻃﺮﻑ« ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﺍﻧﺪ، ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ ﻣﻨﺎﺳــﺐ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﺎﻭﮔﺎﻥ ﭘﻨﺠﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺯﺭﺍﺩﺧﺎﻧﻪﺷﺎﻥ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﻭ ﻣﻬﻴــﺎ ﺩﺍﺭﻧــﺪ .ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺣﻤﺎﻗﺘﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺳــﻮﻯ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ ،ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﺵ ﺟﺰ ﺑﻬﻴﻨﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ »ﻃﺮﻑﻫﺎﻯ« ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺍﻧﻔﺴــﺎ ،ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻼﺯﺩﻩ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻟﻄﻒ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ. ﻭﺭﺍﻯ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻼﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺭﺧﺪﺍﺩﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻣﻼﺋﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺮﺍﺷــﻴﺐ ﻋﻘﻴﺪﺗﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻗــﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ .ﻛﻔﮕﻴﺮ ﺍﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻯﺳــﺎﺯﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﻦ ﻭ ﻣﺬﻫﺐ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺨﺼﺺ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻫﻪﻫــﺎﻯ 1960ﻭ 70ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑــﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻪ ﺩﻳﮓ ﺧــﻮﺭﺩﻩ .ﭼﭗﻧﻤﺎﺋــﻰ ﻭ ﺭﺍﺳــﺖﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨــﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﺻﻮﻝ ﻛﻠﻰ ﺍﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻯﺳــﺎﺯﻯﻫﺎﻯ »ﻣﻼﺋــﻰ« ،ﺑﺎ ﺍﻟﻬــﺎﻡ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﻗﻄﺒﻰﻫﺎﻯ »ﺟﻨﮓﺳﺮﺩ« ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺧﺪﻣﺎﺕ ﺷﺎﻳﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺩﻫﺪ؛ ﺧﺪﻣﺎﺗﻰ ﻣﺸﺎﺑﻪ »ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﺪﻥ ﺑﻠﺸﻮﻳﺴﻢ!« ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﻧﺰﺩ ﻋﺸﺎﻕ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭ ﻋﺮﺏ« ،ﻫﻢ ﺍﻟﮕﻮﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﺗﺎﺗﺮﻛﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯﺍﺵ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻟﻘﺎﻋﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺷــﻴﺦﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻗﻄﺮ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷــﺪﻩ! ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪ ﻛﺪﺍﻡ ﻋﻘﻞ ﺳﻠﻴﻤﻰ ،ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎﻥ ﻳﺎ ﻏﻴﺮ ،ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧــﺪ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ ﻋﺎﻟﻴــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻗﻤﺎﺵ »ﺍﻳﺪﺋﻮﻟﻮژﻯ ﺩﻳﻨﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ؟ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ »ﭼﺎﺩﺭﺳﻴﺎ« ،ﺩﻳﻦﻓﺮﻭﺷﻰ ﻭ ﺯﺍﻫﺪﻧﻤﺎﺋﻰ ﻃﻰ ﺳــﻪ ﺩﻫﺔ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺧﻴﻤﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳــﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤــﺪ »ﺟﺎﺋــﻰ« ﻭ ﻣﺄﻣﻨﻰ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻛﻨﺪ ،ﺍﻣــﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺩﻭ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ.
ﺷﻖ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺑﺮ ﻃﺒﻞ ﺍﺳﻼﻡﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﺯﺩﻩ، ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻮﻯ ﻣﻼﺋﻰﺗﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﻭ ﻫﻨﺮﻯ ﻭ ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﺑــﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﺍﻧﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ ،ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺭﺍﻩﺑﻨﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺗﻘﺒﻞ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺕ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻭ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺍﻯ ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺰﻭﺍﻯ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ،ﺩﺭ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻼﺋﻰﺗﺮ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ، ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺟﻤﻜــﺮﺍﻥ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻦ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ .ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺑﺴــﻂ ﻭ ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪﺷــﺎﻥ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ، ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚﺗﺮﻯ ﺍﻳﺠــﺎﺩ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻛﻪ »ﺧﻄﺮ« ﭼﺮﺧﺶﻫﺎﻯ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ« ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ،ﻭ ﭘﻴﭽــﺶ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺁﺫﺭﺑﺎﻳﺠﺎﻥ ،ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻭ ﺍﻭﻛﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﺷﻤﺸﻴﺮ »ﺩﺍﻣﻮﻛﻠﺲ« ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺳﻨﮕﻴﻨﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻮﺳﺖ ﮔﺮﺩﻭ ﺍﺳﺖ .ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ» ،ﺩﻭﺳﺘﻰ« ﻭ ﻫﻢﭘﻴﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻼ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﻨﺪ، ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﻭ »ﮔﻞ« ﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺭﺍﻩﺣﻞ ﭘﻴﺸﻨﻬﺎﺩﻯ ﻗﺒﻴﻠﺔ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺴــﻰ »ﻻﺭﻳﺠﺎﻧﻰ« ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻜﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻰﺛﻤﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺍﺯ ﺳــﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻗﻄﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻼﺋﻰ ﻧﻴﺴــﺘﻨﺪ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛــﻪ ﻧﻪ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﺭﻭﺍﺑــﻂ »ﮔﺮﻡ ﻭ ﺻﻤﻴﻤﺎﻧﺔ« ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷــﻴﻮﺥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻓﻜﺎﺭ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﻭ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﻧﺰﺩ »ﺩﻭﺳﺘﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ« ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﻭ ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏﺷﺎﻥ ﺗﻮﺟﻴﻪ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰ ﺷﻴﺦﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ، ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺵ ﺭﻭﺍﺑــﻂ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻬــﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳــﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻣﻔﻴــﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺎﻳﺪﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ .ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼﻡ ،ﺑﺎ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺷــﺪﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ،ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ »ﻣﻼﺋﻰ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﺎ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻦ »ﭘﻨﺎﻫﮕﺎﻫﻰ« ﺟﻬﺖ ﭘﻨﻬﺎﻥ ﻧﻤﻮﺩﻥ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂﺍﺵ ﺑﺎ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺳــﺖ، ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺣﻞ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ. ﺷــﻖ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺩﻭﺭ ﺷــﺪﻥ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺯ ﭘﻴﺶﻓﺮﺽﻫــﺎﻯ ﺭﺍﻳﺞ ﻭ ﺗﺠﺪﻳﺪﻧﻈﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺳــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ »ﻃﺎﻟﺒﺎﻥﺳﺎﺯﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻃﺮﺣﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺳــﺌﻮﺍﻝ ﺟﺎﻭﺩﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻴﺸــﮕﻰ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ﭘﺘﺎﻧﺴــﻴﻞ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺟﻬﺖ ﭘﻴﺸــﺒﺮﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺑﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺑــﺰﺭگ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫــﺎﻯ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼــﺎﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚﺷــﺎﻥ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ .ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼﻡ ،ﻗﻀﻴﻪ ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ
ﻫﻢ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ ﻧﻤﻰﻣﺎﻧﺪ .ﻣﺴــﻠﻢ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻃﺮﺡ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔــﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ؛ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﻛﻨﻮﻥ ﻣﺸــﺨﺺ ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﺑﺮﻗﺮﺍﺭﻯ ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﺓ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ »ﺁﺭﻳﺎﻣﻬﺮﻳﺴــﻢ« ﻭ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴﻢ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺳــﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ! ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﻳﻚﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﻼﻩ ﺷــﺮﻋﻰ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﻯ ﺳــﺮ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺍﻳــﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﮕﺬﺍﺭﺩ؛ ﺩﻳﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ ﻭ ﺷــﻴﺨﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻡ ﺍﺯ »ﺩﻳﻦ ﺣﻖ« ﻣﻰﺯﺩ ،ﻭ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﺎ ﺷــﺎﻫﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ »ﻣﺮﺩﻡ« ﻧﺸﺴﺘﻪ ،ﺑﻪ ﻗﻮﻝ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ »ﺳﻜﻮﻻﺭ« ﺷﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﻔﺎﺩ ﺍﻋﻼﻣﻴﺔ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺸﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﺴﺖ! ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺗــﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ،ﻧﻪ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪﺓ ﻧﻬﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑــﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﺒﻨﺪﻯ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ »ﺷﻴﺦﻭﺷــﺎﻩ« ﺣــﺮﻑ ﺁﺧﺮ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺯﻧــﺪ .ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ،ﭼﻴﻦ ،ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻭ ﻫﻨﺪ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺩﻳﺮﻯ ﻧﻤﻰﭘﺎﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﺒﻨﺪﻯ ﺳﻨﺘﻰ »ﺷﻴﺦﻭﺷﺎﻩ« ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻓﻜﺎﺭ ﻋﻤﻮﻣــﻰ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺎﻟﺶ ﻛﺸــﻴﺪﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻘﻄﻊ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭ ﺣﻀﻮﺭﻯ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ ،ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺘﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺟﺪﺍﮔﺎﻧﻪ.