.d
Foreign Report I
?ubli.h.d by trr Economist Nespap.. ,5 Si Jam6\ Stcct, In.don, Swl
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Japan: (r) its nuclear potential o. rh.
quesion ofnuclcar reapom ldokr incilrsinglt equivocal. $\en rh. Jrp2ncsc sp.* or,tonic.nng-!, rhey har in nind pcacclul u$6; Hten th.y tal( oamclcr.n.rsy, rhcy rt thi.rir,g ol nilihry scapons. The Japmese no{ harc 13 itomi. pou.r ratiotr ar various $as* ol.orpltLion or planning, and it is . mated dfu atomic,.s.r gc.cra(ion Rill nnt 23 !.r.cnt ot thi nation,t .lccticiiy dcmnd by 1930, and almdt 50 pcr.cni by 1990. StudiB ar ako undq wat ino rhc po*ibiliry ol $nlg abnic energy d;(dy in rh. *..1 poduction pmcs. Thesc aE pcac.ful uscs, but tfi., also n.an cnhrnccd .rpabilit, lor ntrdt,! *aponiy. Japant poicnrial for Ductcar ucapoB no( depends on rhrcc con sid ualions : (i) Cdr. ft is .$inrrd d,aL rrr rantrfactu( ol20 ro 30 hrdros.n tonho, 100 ncdiuhjdg. missilcs 2nd tlo nuclcardrnm s$marin.s vould co$ Jrpm only abour $5,600 n,ill;oD ord a lo)car p. od, Thi n noi .n inlpo$iblc a€]i fo. ,c non-communisr \vorld\ s.cond gr.Ist eonomv: Japrn's dclcncc .xp.nditur. vill r.rl! 52,300 million a ycar in rh. cousc of t fou.rL dcfcnce build-up prognnne Aprii, l9t2;.n!.cjaDlls €ros narional prcdu& i! which mds n.rr fiscxl '(ar,;n lilely b fu.I, $.100,000 million i. thrte ro ,iv. )caB timc, dln Fould nbsorb only $m. 0.7 p$ ccnt orgnl. From a purcly .conomic $aodpoini, Jrpan is ..panle or making nu.l.r, $.rpons aL an) intu dufi,S tl[ h cr hrlfolthis d.Gdr.
Japan\ porition
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