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OCTOBER 2024 VOLUME36 ISSUE6 CRE MARKETPLACE PAGE 44:
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A cut in interest rates? It’s boosted optimism in the industrial sector across the Midwest By Dan Rafter, Editor
A rendering of the build-to-suit project that Zilber Property Group is taking on for Saputo Cheese in the Caledonia Corporate Park in Caledonia, Michigan. (Photo courtesy of Zilber.)
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dash of optimism. That’s what industrial brokers and developers say that the Federal Reserve Board’s September interest-rate cut brought to their commercial sector.
least provide an impetus for some momentum to continue in the market. Except for a recent successful portfolio sale in late summer 2024 – which was great real estate -- there has not been much institutional activity.
Yes, the industrial real estate sector had been holding steady, even with higher interest rates. But higher rates did slow investment sales and new development. Many markets also saw leasing activity dip from the highs of the COVID days.
And if the Fed continues to reduce its benchmark interest rate? That could help unclog the pipeline of industrial deals, Disser said.
CRE pros working industrial markets across the Midwest now hope that the cut in rates will provide a boost to industrial sales and development. It won’t happen overnight, these professionals agree, but if the Fed cuts rates even further? That could lead to more industrial sales and construction activity in 2025 and beyond. A prediction of better times in Illinois R. Kelly Disser, executive vice president with the industrial services group at Oakbrook Terrace, Illinois-based NAI Hiffman, said that the Fed’s rate cut will provide at least a mental boost to developers and investors – to at
“There has not been much new development in the industrial sector in our market recently, nor new land purchases for additional development,” Disser said. “We are seeing roughly a third of what was constructed at our high point after the pandemic – 14M sf under construction now with roughly half spec, compared to 40M sf plus coming out of the pandemic. If the interest rate cuts continue, that should help spur new development and increase investment sales. But for now, that first rate cut helps mentally and we need to continue to see demand, continued leasing absorption.” Even with the slowdown in investment sales and new INDUSTRIAL (continued on page 18)
ST. LOUIS
St. Louis remains a resilient market By Dan Rafter, Editor
Yes, St. Louis has faced its own challenges during this time of higher interest rates and economic challenges. But the city’s commercial real estate sector has remained resilient, too. What’s behind this resiliency? A diverse economy helps, as does St. Louis’ location in the center of the country. A strong labor force and a pro-business government have long provided a boost to commercial real estate activity here. And while these remain challenging economic times, St. Louis’ commercial real estate market is showing signs of increased leasing and sales activity. ST. LOUIS (continued on page 14)