Ray White Now | October 2025

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Australia’s property market has reached a significant milestone in September, with the national median house price hitting $970,000, reflecting a 0.6 per cent monthly increase and 8.9 per cent annual growth. Units have similarly reached $710,000, posting a 0.5 per cent monthly gain and 6.9 per cent year-on-year appreciation. This sustained momentum comes despite the Reserve Bank’s decision to hold the cash rate at 3.60 per cent in September, demonstrating the market’s resilience in the face of these interest rates.

The RBA’s decision to hold reflects mixed economic signals, with softening employment data balanced against persistent inflation concerns. However, the federal government’s announcement of expanded support for first home buyers, including access to properties with just five per cent deposits, has injected fresh optimism into the market. This policy initiative, combined with anticipation of potential rate cuts in coming months, appears to be supporting both buyer and vendor confidence as spring selling activity intensifies. The consistent upward trajectory across both houses and units underscores the fundamental supply-demand imbalance driving the Australian property market, with demographic pressures mounting and construction activity remaining subdued.

Metropolitan house prices recorded a uniform 0.6 per cent monthly increase across many major cities in September, masking divergent annual performance across capitals. Perth continues to lead the nation with 13.2 per cent annual growth, reaching a median of $980,000, while Brisbane follows at 11.7 per cent growth with prices now exceeding $1.11 million. Darwin has emerged as a strong performer with 11.1 per cent annual appreciation, reaching $660,000.

The traditional powerhouses of Sydney and Melbourne show more moderate growth, with Sydney recording 7.5 per cent annual gains to reach $1.69 million, while Melbourne posts just 5.3 per cent growth at $1.06 million. Canberra and Hobart remain the weakest markets year-on-year, though both recorded positive monthly movements. Adelaide’s 10.0 per cent annual growth to $960,000 reflects its continued appeal as an affordable alternative to the eastern seaboard capitals. The combined major cities figure of $1.16 million represents an 8.6 per cent annual increase, demonstrating the broad-based nature of current price appreciation despite varying regional dynamics.

Perth’s unit market continues to demonstrate exceptional strength, posting a 1.0 per cent monthly increase and leading the nation with 14.7 per cent annual growth, reaching a median of $650,000. Brisbane follows with 0.7 per cent monthly growth and 11.6 per cent annually at $760,000, while Adelaide recorded 0.8 per cent monthly and 10.7 per cent annual appreciation to reach $670,000.

Sydney and Melbourne units both posted 0.5 per cent and 0.4 per cent monthly gains respectively, translating to more modest annual increases of 5.2 per cent and 3.7 per cent, with medians now at $930,000 and $640,000. The Gold Coast and Darwin markets showed solid momentum with 0.6 per cent and 0.8 per cent monthly increases and annual growth of 8.6 per cent and 8.4 per cent respectively. Hobart recorded a slight monthly decline of 1.0 per cent, though annual growth remains positive at 3.4 per cent. Major cities combined posted a 0.5 per cent monthly increase and 6.6 per cent annual growth to reach $750,000, slightly ahead of the national unit median.

Regional Western Australia has surged to the forefront of regional markets, recording a robust 1.0 per cent monthly increase and 14.4 per cent annual growth, with median house prices reaching $580,000. This exceptional performance reflects the state’s ongoing mining related prosperity and internal migration patterns. Regional Queensland and South Australia both posted 0.8 per cent monthly gains, with annual growth of 12.4 per cent each, reaching medians of $790,000 and $500,000 respectively.

Regional New South Wales recorded a more modest 0.5 per cent monthly increase, translating to 7.8 per cent annual growth and a median of $790,000. Regional Victoria and Tasmania show more constrained growth at 0.4 per cent and 1.4 per cent monthly respectively, with annual increases of 5.8 per cent and 5.4 per cent. Regional Northern Territory posted the smallest monthly gain at 0.3 per cent, though annual growth of 4.5 per cent remains positive. The combined regional median of $700,000 represents a 0.6 per cent monthly increase and 9.4 per cent annual growth, outpacing the national figure and highlighting the continued appeal of regional lifestyle opportunities.

Regional Western Australia continues to dominate the regional unit sector, posting a 1.0 per cent monthly increase and impressive 13.9 per cent year-on-year growth, with units now averaging $440,000. Regional South Australia follows with 0.9 per cent monthly growth and 12.7 per cent annually, reaching $320,000, demonstrating the ongoing appeal of more affordable regional markets.

Regional Queensland recorded a 0.7 per cent monthly increase and 10.7 per cent annual growth at $670,000, while regional New South Wales posted 0.5 per cent monthly and 6.0 per cent annual appreciation, reaching $650,000. Regional Victoria showed modest momentum with 0.4 per cent monthly growth and 5.1 per cent annually at $450,000.

Regional Tasmania recorded a slight monthly decline of 1.2 per cent, though annual growth remains minimal at 1.1 per cent with units averaging $410,000. The combined regional unit median of $590,000 represents a 0.6 per cent monthly increase and 8.6 per cent annual growth, continuing to outperform metropolitan unit markets.

MAJOR CITY HOUSE PRICES (%CHANGE) | SINCE LAST MONTH

$ GEOMETRIC MEAN PRICE % CHANGE IN PRICE

Source: Neoval

as of

REGIONAL HOUSE PRICES (%CHANGE) | SINCE LAST MONTH

REGIONAL AUSTRALIA

$700,000 0.6%

Source: Neoval

LISTINGS ACTIVITY

September has delivered encouraging news for property supply, with national listing volumes climbing to 41,433 properties, representing a solid increase from August’s 36,500 levels. While this remains below September 2024’s 46,551, it significantly exceeds September 2023’s 39,009, demonstrating improved vendor participation compared to the tightly constrained conditions of two years ago.

The upward trajectory from August to September breaks the typical seasonal pattern of declining listings during this transitional period, suggesting vendors are responding to sustained buyer demand and elevated prices by bringing properties to market. The 2025 trend line has tracked consistently above 2023 levels throughout the year, with monthly volumes ranging between 34,000 and 42,000 properties. This improved supply position relative to 2023, combined with strong clearance rates and continued price growth, indicates a market finding better balance than the severely constrained conditions that drove exceptional price appreciation in previous years.

Darwin has recorded an extraordinary 62.6 per cent monthly surge in listings to 174 properties, though this increase stems from a relatively small base and reflects seasonal volatility in the smaller capital. Melbourne posted a modest 4.2 per cent monthly increase to 9,013 listings, maintaining its position as the highest volume metropolitan market. Canberra recorded strong monthly growth of 14.3 per cent to 837 listings, while the Sunshine Coast saw a 22.1 per cent increase to 829 properties.

However, most major cities show significant year-on-year declines, with Adelaide down 27.5 per cent to 1,692 listings despite a 9.9 per cent monthly increase. Brisbane fell 21.6 per cent annually to 3,796 listings, Perth declined 20.2 per cent to 2,841 properties, and Sydney dropped 15.8 per cent to 9,670 listings. The Gold Coast recorded a 15.1 per cent annual decline to 1,328 listings. Combined major cities reached 30,534 listings with a 10.4 per cent monthly increase, though annual figures remain 12.4 per cent below September 2024 levels, highlighting the persistent supply constraints affecting metropolitan markets.

Regional markets have experienced substantial monthly growth in September, with several states recording doubledigit increases. Regional Tasmania surged 27.5 per cent to 557 listings, while regional New South Wales posted a 30.4 per cent monthly increase to 4,969 properties. Regional Victoria recorded an 18.4 per cent rise to 2,890 listings, and regional Western Australia grew 18.3 per cent to 775 properties. Regional South Australia increased 17.1 per cent to 610 listings.

Despite these strong monthly results, annual comparisons reveal ongoing supply constraints across most regional markets. Regional Western Australia declined 15.3 per cent year-on-year, regional Queensland fell 12.8 per cent to 5,363 listings, and regional New South Wales dropped 9.2 per cent annually. Regional Victoria recorded minimal annual change at 0.3 per cent, while regional Northern Territory showed exceptional annual growth of 32.4 per cent, albeit from a small base of 49 listings. Combined regional areas reached 15,213 listings with a 21.0 per cent monthly increase, though annual figures remain 8.3 per cent below September 2024 levels.

AUCTION INSIGHTS

Bidder participation has shown modest improvement in recent months, with registered bidders per property reaching 4.5 and active bidders averaging 3.0 in September. These figures represent a gradual increase from the lows experienced through 2023 and early 2024, though they remain well below the exceptional peaks of 6-7 registered bidders witnessed during the 2021-2022 period.

The steady nature of current bidder activity suggests a market finding equilibrium between buyer capacity and property availability. While registered bidder numbers have recovered from their 2023 trough, the gap between registered and active bidders remains relatively stable, indicating consistent conversion rates at auctions. This pattern of participation supports the elevated clearance rates observed in 2025, with sufficient buyer competition to maintain upward price pressure without the excessive speculation that characterised the immediate post-pandemic period.

Ray White auction clearance rates have maintained their exceptional performance through September, holding at approximately 75 per cent, significantly outpacing both 2023 and 2024 results for the corresponding period. The 2025 clearance rate trajectory has remained remarkably stable since mid-year, tracking consistently above 70 per cent and demonstrating sustained competitive tension despite increased spring listing volumes.

This exceptional clearance rate performance stands in stark contrast to the deteriorating patterns evident in 2024, where rates declined through the second half of the year to finish around 61 per cent. The substantial gap between 2025 and prior years reflects the combination of constrained supply, pent-up buyer demand, and growing anticipation of rate cuts following the RBA’s September hold. The announcement of the government’s expanded first home buyer support, including five per cent deposit access, has further bolstered market sentiment. The consistency of current clearance rates suggests auction markets remain well-supported heading into the final quarter.

Ray White’s unconditional sales reached $8.0 billion in September, maintaining the elevated performance levels established through winter and spring 2025. This result positions September 2025 ahead of the corresponding periods in both 2023 and 2024, demonstrating sustained transaction momentum despite the broader economic headwinds and elevated interest rates.

The consistency of sales values above $8.0 billion through the second half of 2025 reflects both strong transaction volumes and continued price appreciation contributing to overall market value. While seasonal patterns typically see some moderation from spring peaks, the current trajectory suggests robust market activity extending into the traditionally quieter final quarter. This performance across Ray White’s network, representing approximately 13 per cent of the market, indicates healthy underlying conditions across the broader Australian property sector.

Ray White’s listing authorities present an encouraging supply story, with September 2025 recording 8,791 new authorities, up from August’s 8,272 and tracking ahead of September 2023’s 7,586. This monthly increase is particularly significant as it comes during a period when vendor engagement typically declines as the market transitions from spring into the final quarter.

The 28-day rolling sum shows 2025 consistently outpacing 2023 levels, with sustained vendor participation evident through winter and spring. February posted 8,471 authorities, March reached 8,496, and May recorded 8,290, demonstrating consistent engagement despite affordability challenges. This leading indicator, drawn from Ray White’s commanding 15 per cent market share, suggests vendors are recognising the opportunity created by strong buyer demand and elevated clearance rates. The recent uptick signals potential for an extended selling season, offering buyers improved choice heading into the final quarter.

METHODOLOGY

Pricing data

Price data is sourced from our research partners at Neoval Research Group, providing comprehensive coverage across all major Australian capital cities and regional markets. Price movements are calculated using geometric mean rather than median or arithmetic mean to ensure more accurate representation of market performance.

Why geometric mean?

The geometric mean provides superior accuracy for measuring price growth rates over time compared to median or arithmetic mean measures. Unlike arithmetic averages, which can be skewed by extreme values, the geometric mean accounts for the compounding nature of price appreciation and provides a more stable measure of underlying market trends. This methodology is particularly valuable when analysing markets with significant price volatility or when comparing growth rates across different time periods, as it reduces the impact of outliers and provides a truer reflection of consistent market performance.

Tasmania exception: due to licensing restrictions, geometric mean data from Neoval is not available for Tasmania. For Tasmanian markets, we utilise the Median Sales AVM Value from Corelogic, which represents the median (50th percentile) estimated sales value of all properties based on the hedonic imputation method, irrespective of whether the property transacted or not.

Listing data

National property listing volumes are sourced from Domain, Australia’s leading property portal, providing comprehensive coverage of new property listings across all markets.

National listings: presented as monthly counts spanning the last three years (2023-2025) to identify seasonal patterns and year-over-year trends in property supply.

Major city and regional listings: current month data is presented with both monthly percentage change (comparison to previous month) and annual percentage change (comparison to same month in previous year) to highlight both short-term fluctuations and longer-term supply trends.

Listing authorities: Ray White’s proprietary forwardlooking metric representing properties where vendors have signed listing agreements but properties have not yet been marketed. This data is presented as monthly counts over three years, providing crucial insight into future supply trends and vendor sentiment before properties enter the active market.

Auction and sales data

Auction performance metrics are derived from Ray White’s auction database, covering all Ray White auction activities across Australia.

Bidder activity: monthly data tracking both registered bidders per property and active bidders per auction over the last three years, providing insights into buyer engagement levels and competitive intensity.

Clearance rates: monthly auction clearance rates calculated as the percentage of properties sold at auction relative to total properties offered, tracked over three years to identify seasonal patterns and market strength indicators.

Total unconditional sales: Ray White’s internal sales data tracking the total dollar value of all unconditional property sales completed each month over the last three years. This metric provides insight into both transaction volumes and the impact of price appreciation on overall market value.

Temporal framework

All data series are presented on a monthly basis covering the three-year period from 2023 to 2025, enabling identification of seasonal patterns, cyclical trends, and year-over-year comparisons. This timeframe captures the full interest rate cycle from peak rates through to the current cutting cycle, providing context for current market dynamics.

All data sources represent substantial market coverage but may not capture 100 per cent of market activity. Price data from Neoval provides broad market representation, while auction and sales data specifically reflects Ray White’s market participation. Regional variations in data coverage may exist, with metropolitan markets generally providing more comprehensive data than smaller regional centres.

RAY WHITE ECONOMICS TEAM

ABOUT RAY WHITE

Ray White is a fourth generation family owned and led business. It was established in 1902 in the small Queensland country town of Crows Nest, and has grown into Australasia’s most successful real estate business, with more than 930 franchised offices across Australia, New Zealand, Indonesia and Hong Kong.

Ray White today spans residential, commercial and rural property as well as marine and other specialist businesses. Now more than ever, the depth of experience and the breadth of Australasia’s largest real estate group brings unrivalled value to our customers. A group that has thrived through many periods of volatility, and one that will provide the strongest level of support to enable its customers make the best real estate decisions.

Nerida Conisbee Chief Economist
Vanessa Rader Head of Research
Jordan Tormey Strategy Analyst
Atom Go Tian Senior Data Analyst
Paolo Sumulong Data Analyst
Anita Venkatesh Content Strategy and Production Lead

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Ray White Now | October 2025 by Ray White Marketing - Issuu