Exploratory Quantum Technology Assessment (EN)

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Exploratory Quantum Technology Assessment DirecttheimpactofQuantumTechnology

EQTAwasmadepossiblebytheMinistryofEconomicAffairsand ClimateandfundedbytheQuantumDeltaNetherlandsGrowthFund.

EQTAisatooldevelopedbytheCentreforQuantumandSociety.

Exploratory Quantum Technology Assessment

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GoalExploratory1 QuantumTechnology Assessment(EQTA)

QQuantumtechnologyisakeytechnology:itisan impactfultechnologythatisincreasinglybecoming partoftheproductsandservicesaroundus,ofour

computers,sensors,andnetworks.Theopportunities thisbringstosociety,economy,andsciencearesignificant, andquantumtechnologywillbeabletopositively contributetothechallengesfacingsociety.

Quantumtechnologyisdevelopingrapidly:someapplicationsare alreadypossibletoday,otherswillcometomarketinthecoming years,andsomewillrequiremajortechnicalbreakthroughsstill. However,thedirectionofthesedevelopmentsispartlydeterminedby theopportunitiesandapplicationpotentialthatorganizationsand societyareaimingfor.Thinkingabouttheopportunitiesand possibilities,whiletimelycreatingtheprerequisitesforresponsible applicationrequiresafocusedeffort.

TheEQTAisapracticalroadmapthathelpsorganizationswiththis effort:byexploringtheopportunitiesandimpactofquantum technologyinatimelymanner,anorganizationcanavoidnegative

1Theword‘exploratory’wasadoptedbecausequantumtechnologyisrapidlyevolving,asare thecircumstancesaffectingapplications:thinkoftheupcomingandever-changinglawsand regulationsaroundsecurityandprivacy,dataandcloud,therapidstandardizationdevelopmentsofquantumtechnology,andgeopoliticaldevelopments.

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impactsandsetpreconditions.Thisisrequiredtoensurethat opportunitiesandimpactcanbemanaged.

TheEQTAisaninstrumentthroughwhichQuantumDelta Netherlands(QDNL),whichcombineseffortsintheNetherlands aroundquantumtechnology,contributestotheoptimaland responsibleuseofopportunitiesofquantumtechnology.

TheEQTAsupportstwotypesoforganizations:

• Organizationsexperiencingtheimpactofquantumtechnologynow orinthefutureoncequantumtechnologyisincreasinglyadopted.

• Organizationsdevelopingorapplyingquantumtechnology themselvesatpresentorinfuture.

TheEQTA–QuickScanandroadmap

TheEQTAbeginswithaQuickScanthatconsistsof:

• Explorationoftechnology:whatisit?Abrieforientationon quantumtechnologyandtimelines.(SeeAppendix01:Quantum technologyinbrief)

• Explorationofapplicationpossibilities:whatisinstoreforthe organization?Abrieforientationofapplicationpossibilitiesusing examples. (seepage30: EQTAandQuantumDeltaNederland).

• Briefdescription:basedontheimpressionofapplication possibilitiesusingexamples,outlinewhatimpacttheorganization willexperiencefromquantumtechnologyand/orwhichofthe applicationsarerelevanttoaspecificorganization.

• Briefstakeholderanalysis:whoaretheimportantstakeholders/ expertsthatwillbeimpacted?

• Dialoguesession:exploreandtestwhatisneededtomakethe mostofthepossibilitiesofquantumtechnologyand,ifnecessary, avoidnegativeimpacts(see page15: Inpractice-step4:Dialogue withstakeholders).

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Shouldthedialoguesessionrevealthatactionisnecessary, organizationsmaythenproceedthroughtheentireEQTAtofurther explorespecificareas(societal,technical,legal,andethical).

WhoistheEQTAfor?

TheEQTAisrelevanttoanyorganizationthatisimpactedby applicationofquantumtechnologyorisconcernedwiththe(future) developmentandapplicationofquantumtechnology,theopportunities itpresentsfortheorganization,andwhatisneededtoresponsibly realizethoseopportunitiesandavoidnegativeimpacts.Toexplore theopportunitiesandconsequences,societal,technical,legal,and ethicalframeworksareinvolved.Morespecifically,thiswouldinclude quantumapplicationfrontrunners,innovationmanagers,(Chief) SecurityOfficers,(Chief)InformationOfficers,lawyers,andethicists.

Itisimportanttoconsiderthatwhiletheseaudiencesmaytakethe initiativetogothroughEQTA,theywillneed—toproperlyconsider thevariousinterestsandperspectives—toengagewithvarious expertsandstakeholders.Forinstance,managementandadministrators,thepeoplewhowillhavetoworkwiththetechnology,andthose organizationsandindividualsinvolvedexperiencingitsimpact.Some issuescanonlybeproperlyframedbyalsoinvolvingserviceproviders, technologyproviders,orscientistsandexpertsinaspecificfield (thinkexpertsonthesocietal,technological,legal,andethical aspects).Whoareinvolvedinthedialoguedependsverymuchon thenatureandimpactofquantumtechnologyontheorganization.

Thisdialogueisnecessarybecausedecisionsaroundquantum technologyoften(will)requireverycomplexconsiderations,involving theconsiderationsandknowledgeofexpertsfromverydifferent fieldsandstakeholderswithverydifferentbackgrounds.Moreover, theuncertaintiessurroundingthetechnologymustbeconsidered whilenotlosingsightoftheorganizationalgoals.Thedialogue aimstoensurethatthoseinvolveddevelopsuchknowledgeand understandingofeachother'sperspectivesthattheycancollectively deviseapproachesthatdothemaximumamountofjusticetothose

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perspectives(see page15:Inpractice-step4:Dialoguewith stakeholders).

TheEQTAhelpsorganizationstoidentifythosevariousaspectsand cometoadecision—andjustifythatdecision,thensetupprocesses toevaluatethoseconsiderationsandincorporatenewinformation andinsights

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
“Quantumtechnologyisakey technology:itisanimpactful technologythatisincreasingly becomingpartoftheproducts andservicesaroundus”

QuickScan androadmap

TheEQTAhelpsorganizations takethestepsnecessaryfor responsibleapplicationof quantumtechnologyand tomanageitsimpact.

TheQuickscanprovidesa quickoverviewofthepointsof attentiontoguidetheimpact ofquantumtechnologyin atimelymanner.

Ifthequickscanshowsthat responsibleembeddingof quantumtechnologyrequires activeguidance,thenproceed tostep1oftheRoadmap.

Ifactiveguidanceisnot necessary,thisdecisionis alsodocumented.

QUICKSCAN

QuantumTechnology explorationandtimelines (page89)

ExploreApplications: examplesofapplications (page75)

Describeimpactonorganization, opportunities,andpotential threats(page13)

Performastakeholderanalysis (page69)

Organizeadialogue tovalidatethedescription, develop,anddecideifitis necessarytocontinue theEQTA(page69)

Decide:isitnecessaryto continuetothefullEQTA?

No

Yes

Documentandjustifythe decision(page71)

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

EXPLORATION INPRACTICE

Step7 Figure01 EQTA–QuickScanandroadmap

EQTAinanutshell ThecompleteEQTAroadmapconsistsofthe EQTAQuick Scan,an exploratorypart (step1,2and3)anda practical part (step4,5,6and7)

Generalnoteinadvance:

Thestepsaddressthesameissuesfromdifferentperspectivesand interests.Asaresult,theoutcomesofthestepsareoftenrelated,and someoverlapisinevitable.Trytoavoidduplicationanddojusticeto thedifferentperspectivesandinterests.

Somequestionsfromthestep-by-stepplanmaynotbeanswered properlyyet,forexamplebecausetheideaabouttheapplicationis stillveryglobalatacertainpointintime.Itisimportanttosetup processessothatrelevantdevelopmentscanbeaddressedina timelymanner.

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EQTA-Quickscan

TheQuickScanaimstoquicklycreateapictureofwhatquantum technologybringstoorganizationsandwhatopportunitiesthe technologyoffers.Dependingonthefindings,theEQTAendsafter theQuickScan.

TheQuickScanconsistsofthefollowingparts:

• Explorationofquantumtechnology.Abrieforientationtoquantum technologyandtimelines.

• Explorationofapplications:whatisinstoreforyourorganization? whatwillquantumtechnologymeanforyourorganizationifthe technologyisapplied,orifyouapplyquantumtechnology yourself?

• Inastakeholderanalysis,explorewho(broadlyspeaking)willbe affectedbytheseapplicationsinandaroundyourorganization

• Organizeadialoguebetweenstakeholders,organizations,and experts.Theaimofthedialogueistogetthemostrealisticpicture possibleoftheimpactofquantumtechnology,theopportunities fortheorganizationandthepreconditionsforexploitingthese opportunitiesresponsibly.

IftheQuickScanshowsthattheorganizationneedstoactnow orstartactivelymonitoringdevelopments,proceedtoStep1 (Exploration).

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Exploration

Step1:Explorethesocietalframework

• Perception:explorewhichgroupsneedtocontributetothe applicationandwhattheyneedtoknowaboutquantum technology.

• Socio-technicalecosystem:explorethesocialandtechnical conditionsforsuccessfulapplicationofquantumtechnology. Consider:skillsandknowledge,organizationalprocessesand governance,andthesignificanceoftheapplicationtothe technologytheorganizationuses.

• Stakeholders:explorewhotheapplicationwillaffectandhow toengagethesegroups.

• Externaldependencies:explorewhetheradjustmentsareneeded totherulesandproceduresgoverningtheapplicationdomain, (professional)codesandbestpractices,orstandards.Explore whethercooperationisneededwiththirdparties(business(chain) partners,regulators,political/administrative)torealizethis application.(Seealsostep3-Legalandethicalframeworks)

• Internationalcontext:exploreinwhatwaystheapplication dependsoninternationalcooperationandgeopolitical developmentsandhowtheseinternationaldependenciescan bemonitoredandinfluenced.

Step2:Exploretechnologicalframeworks

Exploretherequirementsfortheapplication:

• Fromatechnicalperspective,focusingonqualityaspectssuch assecurity,reliability,andsustainability.

• Fromthetechnicalboundaryconditionsforsecurity,trust,and datagovernance.Forinstance,participationin(anddevelopment of)dataecosystems,trustedandsecuresupplychainsfor technologyandcloud,authentication,andauthorization.

• Fromtheperspectiveoffuture-proofinginvestments,freedomof choiceandflexibilityoftheorganizationtodeterminethepace anddirectionofinnovation.

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Step3:Explorelegalandethicalframeworks

Explorethelegalframeworksthatapplytotheapplication:

• International:fundamentalrightsandtreaties.

• Domestic,sectoral,orindustryspecific.

• (government)Oversightintermsoffinancial,security, continuity,andaccountability.

• Intellectualproperty,technology-specific(thinkAIAct orrestrictionsondissemination/useoftechnology).

• Geopolitics:frameworksregarding(inter)nationalsovereignty, restrictionsoncollaborationwithpeopleandcompanies.

Exploreorganizationalethicalframeworks:

• Mapouthowquantumtechnologycancontributeto organizationalvaluesthatareimportanttotheorganization.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Inpractice

Step4:Stakeholderdialogue

(alsolaststepEQTAQuickScan)

Organizeadialoguebetween:

• Expertswhocancreateanunderstandingoftheopportunitiesof quantumtechnologyandhaveknowledgeofthetechnical,social, ethical,andlegalframeworks.

• Administratorswhoaresteeringtheorganization.

• Stakeholderswhoexperiencetheimpactandworkwiththe technology.

Thepurposeofthedialogueistodescribeatangibleapproachforthe organizationincludingtheiradvantagesanddisadvantages,based ontheperspectivesfromvariousgroups.

Step5:Balancingsubsidiarity,proportionality, andnecessity

ComparetheapproachesfromStep4onsubsidiarity(arethereother optionstoachievethegoals?),proportionality(istheimpactofthe approachproportionaltothegoal?)andnecessity(istheapproach necessarytoachieveagoal?).

Step6:Decisionmaking,recording,andjustification

Documentthechoicesmadeandaccountability.

Step7:Feedbackandperiodicevaluation

Designtheprocessestoensurethatapplicationsarerealizedand thattheyproducetheintendedoutcomes.Activelymanagethe deliveryoftheseoutcomes.

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Preface

Quantumtechnologyispromising.Itoffers unprecedentednewopportunitiesandinnovation potential.Atthesametime,thisareaoftechnology isstilldevelopingconsiderablyandnotall applicationshaveyetcometofruition.

Organizationsthatarealreadyinterestedinquantumtechnology ofteninvolvethepioneersintheorganization:thetechnicalexperts andinnovationmanagerswhowanttoknowwhatiscomingtheir way,orwhowanttostartfurtherdevelopingandusinganactual application.

Itispreciselyatthisstageofexploringandinvestigatingthe potentialofthetechnologyinaparticularapplicationarea,that expandingtheexplorationtothebroadersocietal,ethical,legal, andtechnicalcontextmaybenecessarytoensurethatopportunities areseized,andnegativeimpactsareavoided.2

Withtheaimtoprovidepracticalguidancetoquantumpioneersin organizationstohelpthemshapetheexpansionandinterpretwithin organizationshowtheethical,legal,andsocietalaspectsmayaffect theorganization,wewouldliketopresenttheExploratoryQuantum TechnologyAssessment(EQTA).Itoffersaconcreteroadmapfocused

2LessonsfromAI:stakeholderengagement–QuantumDeltaNederland(2022). https:// quantumdelta.nl/TUQ/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Lessons-from-AI_White-Paper-1_ Stakeholder-Engagement-2.pdf

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Q

onactualapplications,providesdepthandbackgroundonthesteps totake,andoutlinesexamplesandreal-worldscenarios.TheEQTA helpsorganizationsvisualizethepotentialimpactfortheirsector.

TheEQTAwascommissionedbyQuantumDeltaNederland(QDNL) andhastakenshapeinaworkinggroupthatunitesthreeworlds: thecreatorsofthetechnology,innovationmanagersandquantum pioneersatcompaniesandorganizationsthatwanttoworkwithit orareaffectedbyit,andlawyersandethicists.EQTAbringstogether theseverydifferentperspectivesinanaccessiblelanguage.

Theworkinggroupassumedthefollowingprinciplestoachieve integration:constructive,participatory,bottom-upandpractical. YouwillfindreferencetothevariouspointsofcontactatQDNLand theCenterforQuantum&Society.Inthisinitiative,allstakeholders areworkingtogetherinco-creation.

Wewishyoumuchinspiration,insight,andsuccessintaking thenextstep!

FreekeHeijman (boardmemberQDNL)

BartSchermer (chairmanworkinggroupEQTA)

DaniëlFrijters (co-chairworkinggroupEQTA)

ThemembersoftheEQTAworkinggroup

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
Q“Quantumtechnologyispromisingbutisstill initsinfancywhenitcomestoapplicability.”

FreekeHeijman

Co-founderQuantumDeltaNL,directorecosystem development,shecommissionedthecreation oftheEQTA.

“BecauseQuantumTechnologyisstillinthe phaseofresearchanddevelopment,itisdifficultto imaginehowitwillaffectsocietyinthenearfuture.For manypeople,companies,andorganizationsitisstilla longwayoff.Nevertheless,itisimportanttoprepare todayforthesocietalimplicationssothatwecan makethemostoftheopportunitiesandmitigatethe risks.Thisrequiresanactiveapproachtoworkwith endusersandcivilsocietyorganizationstoidentify theethical,legal,andsocietalimplicationsofpossible quantumapplications.Tothisend,theQDNLCenter forQuantum&Society'sExploratoryQuantum TechnologyAssessmentprovidesaconcreteroadmap.”

BartSchermer

ChairmanGuidanceGroupEQTA,Professor ofPrivacy&Cybercrime,LeidenUniversity andPartnerConsiderati.

"Quantumtechnologyhasapotentiallylarge impactonsociety.Bylookingattheethical,legal, andsocietalimpactsearlyinthedevelopment ofthistechnology,wehavethebestchanceof applyingitinthefutureinaresponsiblemanner"

DaniëlFrijters

Co-chairguidancegroupEQTA,MTmember ECP|PlatformfortheInformationSociety.

“FromtheCentreforQuantumandSocietyat QuantumDeltaNetherlands,Iaminvolvedin developinginsightsandtoolsaroundresponsible innovation.Quantumtechnologyispromising butisstillinitsinfancywhenitcomesto applicability.Forbalancedintegrationinsociety, itiscrucialtostartthedialoguetodayabout importantthemesaswellastoofferpractical toolsfororganizationstoguideinnovation.”

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ThemembersoftheEQTAworkinggroup

CamilledeValk QuantumalgorithmdeveloperatCapgemini.

“AttheCapgeminiQuantumLab,Iexperiment withpartnerstobringapplicationsof quantumtechnologyonestepcloser.Ibelieve weneedtolookforbusinessprocesseswhere now(duetoinsufficientcomputingpower) manysimplificationsaremade,forexample infinanceorpharma.Quantumtechnology bringsanewrealitywherewecancalculate thethingswewouldnotevendaredream oftoday.”

FrankPhillipson

SeniorscientistatTNOandprofessorof ComputationalOperationsResearchat MaastrichtUniversity.Frankspecializesin optimizingtelecommunications,energy,and logisticsnetworks.Hisresearchfocuses onnewtechniquesforoptimizationand MachineLearningwithquantumcomputing.

“TNOiscommittedtotechnological developmentsforsocietalandeconomic challenges.Compliancewithlegislation–suchasprivacy-andethicsiscrucial.”

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
Q“Quantumtechnologyoffersmanyopportunitiesbut canalsohaveundesirableeffectsiforganizations arenotpreparedintime.”

EelcoVriezekolk,LizzyPolman

NationalInspectorateforDigitalInfrastructure.

“TheNationalInspectorateforDigital Infrastructure(formerlyRadiocommunications Agency)startedtoinvestigatequantum technologyin2021andtheimpactonsociety ofthediverseapplicationscurrentlyunder development,albeitindifferenttimelines. Quantumtechnologyoffersmanyopportunities butcanalsohaveundesirableeffectsif organizationsarenotpreparedintime.The ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment helpstoaccelerateawarenesswithin organizationsandprovidesastep-by-step guidetodiscussthesocietalandorganizational contextinwhichthequantumapplicationwill takeitsplace.ThisishowtheNetherlandswill remainsecurelyconnected.”

JelleAttema

AdvisorECP|PlatformfortheInformation Society.SecretaryEQTAguidancegroup.

“ThedevelopmentoftheEQTAhasbeen anexcitingjourney.IhopetheEQTAis goingtohelporganizationsrecreate whatIbelievetheworkinggroup succeededindoing:bringingvarious areasofexpertiseandperspectivesinto fruitfulandcreativeconversationwith thegoalofbeingabletoresponsibly capturethewonderfulopportunities ofquantumtechnology.”

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GermainvanderVelden,LoulouHanna, SterreRomkema

MinistryofInfrastructureandWaterManagement.

“TheMinistryofInfrastructureandWater Management(IenW)workstowardsalivable, accessibleandsafeNetherlands.Byhavingearly insightintotheopportunitiesandthreatsofnew technologiessuchasquantumtechnology,IenW canproperlyanticipatethesetechnologies.For quantumtechnology,itmeansthatfornowwe focusonlimitingthefuturethreatsposedby quantumtechnology.Bydoingso,wewill continuetokeeptheNetherlandslivable, accessible,andsafeinthefuture.”

ElinedeJong

PhDcandidatePhilosophyandEthics ofQuantum-SafeCryptographyand co-authoroftheWRRreport'MissionAI.

Thenewsystemtechnology'.

“Inthereport'MissionAI',theWRRshowsthe waysinwhichasystemtechnologylikeAIis embeddedinsociety.Theseinsightsare alsorelevanttoourambitionswith quantumtechnology.Withanexplorationof thesocialcontext,theEQTAbroadensour viewofthefactorsthatcontributetothe successfulapplicationofthisnew technologyinpractice.”

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

ing.OscarCoversREMSc

CyberSecurityAnalystattheDutchBanking Association(NVB).

“IamaCyberSecurityAnalystandquantum enthusiast.Inmyrole,IanalyzeICT-related securityrisksforthefinancialsectorand—where necessary—coordinatetheresponse.”

JacquelineSchardijn

SeniorBusinessDeveloper,InnovationQuarter Zuid-Holland.

“Wemusttakeactiontodevelopandapply quantumtechnologyinourprovincesothat industryandresidentscanbenefitfromit. Thisisalsohowwecantakealeadingrole, bothnationallyandinEurope.”

HarryvanGeijn

DigitalAdvisoratMicrosoftNetherlands.

“AsDigitalAdvisor,Ihavebeensupporting Microsoft'smajorcustomersonthebusinessand ethicalaspectsoftechnologyforovertenyears. ThefocusisontheinnovativeapplicationofIT, theorganizationaldesignoftheinformation functionandtheimpactoftechnologyinterms ofethicsandsustainability.Inaddition,asa (self-proclaimed)nerd,Ireadbooksonnuclear physicsasachild.So,gettinginterestedin quantumtechnologyatanearlystagewas inevitable.Beingallowedtocontributetothe EQTAhasthereforebeenaniceoutcome.”

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PieterVermaas

Researcherinphilosophyoftechnology,TUDelft

“IworkasaphilosopheroftechnologyatTU Delftontheethicalandsocietalimpactof quantumtechnologyandleadethicalresearch fortheCentreforQuantumandSocietyat QuantumDeltaNetherlands.Themajor challengesItakeuparebeingabletoassess thefutureapplicationsofquantumtechnology realisticallyandgivingstakeholderstheability tounderstandandassessthoseapplications.”

SeniorConsultantResponsibleTechat Considerati,co-authoroftheEQTA.

“TogetherwiththeResponsibleTechteamat Considerati,Iadvisecompaniesand organizationsonsocialandethicalaspectsof thedeploymentof(new)technologyanddata. Quantumtechnology,comparedtoAIfor example,isstillatanearlystageofdevelopment. Thatofferstheuniqueopportunitytoinclude socialandethicalaspectsinthedesignphaseof applications.Iseeitasakindofethicsbydesign.”

VisionaryAdvisor,KPN.

“KPN'smissionstatementis:'Wearecommitted toconnectingeveryoneintheNetherlandstoa sustainablefuture.'Thatiswhyitisimportant thatwewatchtechnologicaldevelopments thatcancontributetothatsustainablefuture, suchasquantumtechnology.TheEQTAhas becomeagreattoolforthat.”

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
MarianneSchoenmakers RemcoHelwerda

MarkWiertsema

DigitalAdvisorMicrosoftNetherlands.

“TogetherwithHarryvanGeijn,Iamoneofthe foundersoftheQuantumTeamatMicrosoft Netherlands.Personally,Iamfascinatedby thepromiseanddynamicsofthetechnology. Itsextraordinarypropertiesallowustodo extraordinarythingswithit.AsMicrosoftworks tomakequantum(computing)technology available,wefeelresponsibilitytodosoinasafe andresponsibleway.TheNLQuantumTeamhas thereforesetitselfthegoalofhelpingsociety, organizationsandindividualstobereadyforthe adoptionofthisnewtechnology.Participatingin theEQTAisawonderfulwaytodothisandIhope thattheprojectwillcontributetosecurely fulfillingthepromisesofquantum.”

MauritzKop

TTLFFellowandVisiting"Quantum&Law"Scholarat StanfordLawSchool,StanfordUniversity,USA,and DirectorofAIRecht.nl,Netherlands.

“Itwasinspiringtoworkinamultidisciplinarysetting ontheworld'sfirstassessmenttoolforquantum technology.FromaquantumELSPI(ethical,legal, societal,political)perspective,Ico-wrotethesocietal, legal,andethicalframeworksoftheEQTA,witha focusonintellectualproperty,regulationandsocial embedding.Institutingarisk-basedlegal-ethical frameworkcombinedwithstandardization, certification,andtechnologyimpactassessmentover thelifecycleofquantum-drivensystemssuchas computers,sensorsandcommunicationnetworksis crucialtoensureresponsiblequantuminnovation. ThankstoECPandQDNLforbringingtogether allthecollaboratingparties!”

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Tableofcontents GoalExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment(EQTA)03 EQTAinanutshell11 Preface17 01 TherelationshipbetweenEQTA,QuantumDelta Nederlandandotherassessments29 HowdoestheEQTArelatetootherassessments?30 EQTAandQuantumDeltaNederland30 SummaryofQDNL’sactivities31 02 TheEQTAroadmap35 Quickscan35 Exploration36 InPractice69 03 Quantumtechnologyexamples75 Quantumsensingandwaterquality76 PilotsecurecommunicationnetworkPortofRotterdam78 Preparingquantum-secureencryptioninthegovernmentand financialsector79 Exploringquantumtechnologyinthefinancialsector81 Quantumtechnologyinthetelecomsector83 ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
Appendix01 Quantumtechnologyinbrief89 TechnologyReadinessLevels(TRL’s)90 Whatisquantumtechnology?90 Whatcanquantumtechnologydo?93 Annex02 Roadmaptemplate101 26 27
01

01 Therelationshipbetween EQTA,QuantumDelta Nederlandandother assessments

ThischapterconsidershowtheEQTArelatestoother assessmentsthatmanyorganizationsmaybefamiliar with,forinstance,theDataProtectionImpact Assessment(DPIA).

TheEQTAandQuantumDeltaNetherlands(QDNL)arealsorelated. Afterall,theEQTAislimitedinscopeand,whengoingthroughit, readerswillundoubtedlyhavequestions.ThesectiononQuantum DeltaNetherlandsaddressesthevariouswaysQDNLcanhelp readersanswertheirquestions.

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HowdoestheEQTArelatetoother assessments?

Manytoolsandmethodsexisttoassessthenegativeimpactsofnew technologiesandservices.Consider,forexample,theDataProtection ImpactAssessment(DPIA)ortheHumanRightsandAlgorithms ImpactAssessment(IAMA).

TheEQTAisnotasubstituteforotherassessments,suchastheDPIA orIAMA,thatmaybeconductedinadditiontoorcomplementaryto thistool.Forexample,whenquantumtechnologyisusedtodevelop betterMachineLearningmodels,itmakessensetousetheIAMAin additiontothistool,whichspecificallylooksatthenegativeeffects ofalgorithms.

Essentially,themostimportantaddedvalueofthistoolliesin providinganearlyandstructuredapproachtotheconsideration oftheimpactofquantumtechnologies

EQTAandQuantumDeltaNederland

TheEQTAwaswrittenonbehalfofQuantumDeltaNetherlands (QDNL)andspecificallycommissionedbytheCentreforQuantum andSociety(CQS).ThecenterisdedicatedtoELSAtooling&research (ELSAisanabbreviationofEthical,LegalandSocietalAspects), awarenesscreationandthesocietalissuestowhichquantum technologycancontribute.

GoingthroughtheEQTAwilloftenraisequestionsfromorganizations aboutmanyaspectsofquantumthattheEQTAdoesnotaddress. TheCQSisthefirstportofcalltoaskthesequestionsandaskforhelp.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

SummaryofQDNL’sactivities

CQSispartofQuantumDeltaNetherlands(QDNL).QDNL coordinateseffortsaroundquantumtechnologyintheDutch ecosystem.Thefollowingissuesarebeingaddressed: QuantumAwareness(onasocietallevel)

Quantum.Amsterdam (https://www.quantum.amsterdam/,or specifically: https://www.quantum.amsterdam/education/ workshops-and-training/)offersawarenesstrainingfromthe Quantum.Amsterdamhubasanetworkingorganizationto understandthetechnical,economicandsocietalimpactof quantumtechnology,withafocusoncomputing.

QuantumforBusiness (https://www.quantumforbusiness.eu/)is afieldlabwithintheQDNLprogramandtargetstheEuropean marketofcompaniesandorganizationsandaimstofacilitate accesstoknowledgeaboutquantumtechnologyandtheparties tocollaboratewith.

Co-creationsites

CentreforQuantum&Society (https://quantumdelta.nl/cqs/)is thecentralco-creationactivityfromtheQDNLQuantum&Society program.Avirtualandphysicalplacewherepartiesfromsociety, industry,government,andsciencecometogethertoworkonthe applicationofquantumtechnologyforthebenefitofsociety.

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HouseofQuantum (https://www.houseofquantum.com).Thisisto becomeanorganizationofnationalphysicalspaceswithintheQDNL ecosystemwherememberscanwork,learn,andcometogether.

DeDELTAHub (https://quantumdelta.nl/our-hubs/).TheQDNL programhas5hubs(Delta,Eindhoven,Leiden,Twente,and Amsterdam)whereallkindsofco-creationactivitiestakeplace.

Applicationdevelopmentandsocietal impact

HetQuantumApplicatieLab (https://quantumapplicationlab.com/). AfieldlabwithintheQDNLprogram,wherevariouspartiesand quantumtechprovidersareworkingtodevelopusefulquantum computingapplicationsforendusers.Thismayinvolvesocietal issues,workingincollaborationwiththeCQS.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
02

TheEQTAroadmap

Quickscan

TheQuickScanisdescribedinthesection‘EQTAinnutshell’ (page11) TheQuickScandevelopsaninitialpictureofwhatquantumtechnology willmeanforanorganization,theopportunitiesthatquantum technologyoffersanorganization,andthepossiblenegativeeffects.

TheQuickScanthenbroadlyexploreswhatisneededtoachieve responsibleapplicationandmanagenegativeimpacts,byweighing thevariousinterests(oftheorganizationitselfandofother stakeholders)andidentifyingthetechnical,social,legal,and ethicalboundaryconditions.

IftheQuickScanshowsthatanin-depthanalysisisrequired,the step-by-stepplandescribedinthischapterisimplemented.

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Exploration

Step1:Socialframework

Thedeploymentofquantumtechnologyalwaystakesplacewithina largersetting:society.Aquantumapplicationmustnotonlyfunction technologically,butitmustalsoaboveallfunctioninsociety.Herewe aredealingwithissuesthatarenot(entirely)withinthesphereof influenceofindividualorganizations.Considerlegislation,infrastructure, andpublicopinion.So,ifwewanttoexplorewhatitwilltaketomake quantumtechnologywork,itisimportanttobeawareofthose factorsaswell.InthefirststepoftheEQTA,wethereforeconsider thesocialcontextofquantumapplications.

Byanalyzingthesocialcontext,weexpandourviewoftheroleof individualorganizations.Weshowwhichbroaderprocessesaffectthe applicationofquantumtechnology.Inadditiontochoicesabouttheir ownapplication,organizationscanalsohelpshapethoseprocesses. Furthermore,weshowthatindividualorganizationsarenottheonly playersdetermininghowquantumtechnologyfindsitswayinto practice.Organizationsarepartlydependentonotheractorsin thisregard.

Systemtechnology

Togaininsightintothesocialcontextinwhichorganizationsengage withquantumtechnology,wedrawupontheScientificCouncilfor GovernmentPolicy(WRR)reportonthetaskofArtificialIntelligence (AI).3 Inthisreport,theWRRanalyzestheembeddingofArtificial Intelligence(AI)insociety.

AI,likequantumtechnology,canberegardedas,whattheWRRcalls inthestudyasystemtechnology:4 atechnologythatenablesagreat dealofinnovation,inallkindsoffields,andthereforehasa‘systemic’

3https://www.wrr.nl/publicaties/rapporten/2021/11/11/opgave-ai-de-nieuwe-systeemtechnologie

Englishsummary: https://english.wrr.nl/publications/reports/2021/11/11/summary-mission-ai

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

impactonsociety.Examplesareelectricity,theinternalcombustion engine,andtheInternet.Basedonourexperienceswithprevious systemtechnologies,theWRRdrawsseverallessonsonhowto approachnewsystemtechnologies,suchasAI.Wecanalsolearn fromthepastinthecaseofquantumtechnology.

Incidentally,someworkinggroupmembershaveissueswithcategorizing AIandquantumtechnologyassystemstechnology.Theriskofthe label‘systemstechnology’isthatthereseemstobeadiscontinuity: thenotionthatattentiontotheimpactofatechnologyandtheneed toanalyzeitisonlyneedednow.Whereasthoseimpactsoftenoccur evenwhenprevioustechnologywasapplied.Emphasizingthe discontinuitycanleadtotechnology-specificregulationsthatwill regulateproblemswithnewtechnologybutwillnotregulatethesame problemswithexistingtechnology.TheattentiontheEQTAadvocates forsocialandethicalaspectsofquantumtechnologyisthereforea pleaforacriticalanalysisofexistingapplicationsofinformation technologyaswell.

Ifwewanttoembedanewsystemstechnologyinsocietyina responsibleandsuccessfulway,theWRRpointsoutthatfivethings areimportant:

• Counteringunrealisticperceptions(demystification).

• Creatingafavorablesocio-technicalecosystemcontextualization).

• Involvingstakeholders(engagement).

• Establishingregulatoryandguidingframeworks(regulation).

• Monitoringinternationalrelations(positioning).

4TheWRRfocusesonso-called‘systemtechnologies’:technologieswithabroadandprofound —inshort,systemic—impactonsociety.Examplesofsuchsystemtechnologiesareelectricity, theinternalcombustionengine,andthecomputer.Fromourexperienceswithprevioussystem technologies,theWRRdrawsseverallessonsforourdealingswithnewsystemtechnologies, suchasartificialintelligence(AI).Wecanalsolearnfromthepastinthecaseofquantum technology.

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Regulation

QUANTUM APPLICATIONS

Perception

Stakeholders

Socio-technical ecosystem

Figure01

Fiveaspectsofthesocialcontextofquantumapplications Wecanseethesesocialtasksasfiveaspectsofthesocialcontextof quantumapplications(seeFigure01).Itisimportantfororganizations thatwanttoputquantumtechnologyintopracticehaveinsightinto thiscontext,becausethesuccessofanapplicationispartly determinedbyit.

Usingthefollowingquestions,theycanidentifythesocialcontext:

• Whataretheperceptionssurroundingquantumtechnology?

• Whatarethesocialandtechnicalconditionsforsuccess?

• Whoisimpactedbytheapplication?

• Whataretheapplicableframeworks?

• Whatistheinternationalcontext?

Onthenextpagesweexplainthesequestionsinmoredetailandlook athoworganizationscanworkwiththemthemselvestoshapethe

International context Socialcontext
ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Whataretheperceptionssurroundingquantumtechnology? Demystificationisabouttheperceptionsurroundingatechnology. Oftentimes,manyideasdevelopabouthowanewsystemtechnology worksandwhatthattechnologyiscapableof.However,theseideas donotalwaysmatchreality.Thismaycauseproblemsinthe applicationofthetechnologyinpractice.‘Excessiveexpectations leadtodisillusionmentandill-consideredapplications,while exaggeratedfearsleadtoaversiontothetechnologyandfailure totakeadvantageoftheopportunitiesitoffers’,writethecompilers oftheWRRreport.

Thus,ifwewantpeopletobeopentoanewtechnologyandableto thinkabouttheopportunitiesandnegativeeffectsofapplications, itisnecessarytodemystifythetechnology.Whichmeansgettingrid ofthemythssurroundingitandfavoringarealisticviewofwhatthe technologycanandcannotdo.

Complexandpromising

Thecombinationofcomplexityandgreatpromisemakesquantum technologysusceptibletomythmaking.Oneexampleofquantum technologythateasilybecomesthesubjectofmythmakingisthe quantumcomputer.Theideaexistsattimesthataquantum computerwouldbesuperiortoaclassicalcomputerinallaspects. Thisisunfair:quantumcomputerspromiseanadvantagefora certaintypeofproblems.Inaddition,quantumtechnologyisstill unknowntomanypeopleandtosomeextentwillremain incomprehensibleforaverylongtime-evenforexperts.Thismay translateintoalackofinterestandafailuretodebatethe opportunitiesandnegativeeffectsinsociety.Atthesametime,not everyoneneedstoknowexactlyhowquantumtechnologyworks. Whatmattersisthatitsapplicationisnothinderedbyunrealistic perceptionsandthatpeopleareabletoparticipatewhenthinking aboutitsapplications.

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Fororganizationsthatwanttoapplyquantumtechnology themselves,itisthereforeusefultofirstexaminewhatperceptions existandhowthesemayaffecttheintendedapplication.Itisalso importanttobealerttoone'sown(unintentional)contributionto perception,forexamplebyusingcertainwords.Next,itisimportant tothinkaboutthequestionofwhoneedstoknowwhat:whichgroups ofpeopleshouldbeabletothinkabouttheintendedapplication andthushavesufficientknowledge?Dependingontheanswer, organizationscanworkinternallyontherequiredknowledge,ormore broadlywithinsocietyalongwithotheractorsoncomprehension.

Question1 Perception

Whatistheperceptionsurroundingquantumtechnology?

AuxiliaryQuestions:

• Whatideasexistinsideandoutsidetheorganization aboutquantumtechnologyandhowmightthataffect theintendedapplication?

• Whichgroupsorindividualsshouldbeabletoparticipate intheapplication?Whatdotheyneedtoknow?

Whatarethesocialandtechnicalconditionsforsuccess?

Contextualizationfocusesoncreatingafavorablesocio-technical ecosystem.Thatis,anenvironmentinwhichbothsocialandtechnical factorspromotethefunctioningofanytechnology.Forexample,itis necessarythatthepeoplewhowillworkwiththetechnologyarewellequippedtodosoandthattheprocesseswithinanorganization matchthenewapplication(thesocialconditions).

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
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Inaddition,thepresenceofsupportingtechnologiesandagood infrastructureiscrucial(thetechnicalconditions).TheWRRtherefore emphasizesthatifwewantatechnologytoreallyworkinpractice,

wemustnotonlylookattheperformanceofthetechnologyitself, butalsoattheenvironmentalfactorsthatsupporttheperformance. Asanexample,theWRRusestheself-drivingcar:itonlyfunctions properlyinpracticeiftheoccupantsinthecarandthecarsoffellow roaduserscanalsouseitproperlyandiftheenvironmentbecomes more'readable'forthecarthroughsmartsignage.

Conditionssocio-technicalecosystem

Thesetypesofsocialandtechnicalfactorsarealsocrucialwhen discussingthesocialcontextofquantumtechnology.Forquantum technologytoworkinpractice,supportivehardwareandsoftwareare needed.Forexample,quantumcomputersinvolvetheavailabilityof quantumchips,appropriateprogramminglanguagesandthe developmentofquantumalgorithmsforsolvingcertainproblems.

Experts5 expectquantumcomputingpowerandsimulatorsof quantumcomputerstobecomeavailableprimarilyasacloudservice. Forexample,Quantum-InspirefromQu-TechDelftoffersquantum computersas-a-service(see https://www.quantum-inspire.com/).

Inthatcase,successinpracticewilldependinpartonaccessto thosecloudservices.Creatingsuchconditionsisbynomeansalways withinthereachofindividualorganizations,buttheycancallothers toaccountoroffersupport.

Whenapplyingquantumtechnology,itisthereforeimportantto examinewhatthesocialandtechnicalconditionsareforsuccessin practice.Indoingso,organizationsshouldfirstaskthemselveswhat thequantumapplicationrequiresofthesocialenvironment:What mustthepeoplewhoworkwithitbeabletodo?Areadjustments neededinthewayofworkingwithintheorganization?

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5Hoofnagle,C.,&Garfinkel,S.(2022). Lawandpolicyforthequantumage. CambridgeUniversityPress.

Inaddition,thetechnicalenvironmentmustbechecked:Whatkind oftechnicalecosystemdoestheapplicationassume?Howcan adjustmentstotheenvironmentimprovethefunctioningofthe application?

Question2

Socio-technicalecosystem

Whatarethesocio-technicalconditionsforsuccess?

Auxiliaryquestions:

• Whatmustthepeopleworkingwiththetechnologybe abletodo(skills)andareadjustmentsneededinthe waytheyworkwithintheorganization?

• Whatkindoftechnicalecosystemdoestheapplication presumeandhowcanadaptationstotheenvironment improveitsfunctioning?

Whowillbeimpactedbytheapplication?

Engagementisaboutinvolvingstakeholdersduringthedevelopment ofatechnologyandinimplementingandgatheringfeedbackonthat technology.Foratechnologytoberesponsiblyandsustainably embeddedinsociety,theWRRargues,itiscrucialto‘democratize’the technology,asitwere.Thismeansgivingdifferentgroupsavoicein thedesignandevaluationofatechnology.Asitoftenhappens, technologydevelopmentisdominatedbytechnicalconsiderations anddeveloperinterests.

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ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Involvingstakeholdersinthedevelopment,implementationand evaluationofatechnologynotonlyallowsbetteranticipationof possible(undesirable)effects,butalsoincreasespublicsupport.6

Differentperspectives

Stakeholdersarepartofthesocialcontextofquantumtechnology. Thespecialistnatureofthetechnologyandtheassociatedhighcosts carrytheriskthatthedevelopmentofquantumtechnologywill belongtoasmallgroupofspecialists.

Ifwewanttomakefulluseofthepotentialofquantumtechnology andpreventundesirableeffectsasmuchaspossible,itisimportant thatdifferentgroupscancontributeideasabouttheopportunities andnegativeeffectsofquantumtechnology.Thiscanbedone,for example,bygatheringdifferentperspectivesandinterestsduringthe development,implementation,andevaluationofaquantum application.7

Fororganizationsthatwanttoimaginethesocialcontextinwhicha quantumapplicationwillemerge,itisthereforeimportanttoconsider whichgroupswillbeaffected.Inwhatwaywilltheybe‘impacted’by theintendedapplication?Andhowcanthosegroupsbeinvolved—in advanceandstructurally—sothatthereisinsightintotheimpactsof aquantumapplication?

6Seeforadetailedsourceonproactivelyanticipatingthesocialaspectofquantum: E.DeJong, OwntheUnknown:AnAnticipatoryApproachtoPrepareSocietyforthe QuantumAge,Digital Society,Quantum-ELSPITC,1, https://link.springer.com/article/10. 1007/s44206-022-00020-4

7Makingthetechnologyandformsof...accessibleisanimportantpartofQuantumDelta Netherlands'mission.Formoreinformation: seepage30: EQTAandQuantumDelta Netherlands

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Question3 Stakeholders

Whowillbeimpactedbytheapplication?

Auxiliaryquestions:

• Whowillbe‘impacted’bytheintendedapplication, andhow?

• Howcanthesegroupsbeinvolvedindevelopment, implementation,andevaluation?

Whatregulatoryframeworksapply?

Regulationreferstoalltheregulatoryandguidingframeworksthat definethespacewithinwhichatechnologycanbedevelopedand applied.Newtechnologiesdonotusuallyemergeinavacuum.A varietyofframeworksoftenalreadyexistandcanbeapplied(after modification).Sometimes,however,atechnologycreates unprecedentedcircumstancesandnewrulesarecalledfor.Atthat point,weoftendonotknowexactlywhatkindofrulesareneeded becausewehavelittleexperiencewiththetechnology.Inthatcase, accordingtotheWRR,flexibleinstrumentssuchasstandardsand normsofferasolution.Regulationisthusabalancingactbetween creatingspaceandestablishingrulesthatframe,anddirect,the developmentandapplicationofatechnology.

Rulesofthegame

Regulatoryframeworksformthefourthaspectofthesocialcontext thatgovernstheapplicationofquantumtechnology.

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ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Howquantumtechnologyrelatestoexistinglegalframeworksis discussedin Step3: Legalandethicalframework,likethose governingintellectualproperty.8 Inaddition,workisunderwayto developstandards,suchasthoseforpost-quantumcryptography andcybersecurity.Bothpresentandnewlydevelopingframeworks arepartofthesocietalcontext.Afterall,howquantumtechnology canbeappliedinpracticedependspartlyontheprevailingrulesof thegame.

Itisthereforeimportanttoconsiderhowanintendedapplication relatestoexistingframeworks.Whatregulationsapply?Theanswer tothatquestionmayalsobethatadequateregulationsarecurrently lacking,whichcouldjeopardizeissuessuchaslegalcertainty,and leadtoabuses.Someoftheframeworksthatorganizations encounterwhenapplyingtechnologyareprofessional:lawyers, accountants,doctors,civilservants,ornotariesaresometimes requiredtotakeoncertainresponsibilitiesthatmayconflictwiththe applicationoftechnology,orwhichcouldbeperformedmuchbetter withthehelpoftechnology.9

Newagreementsandsometimesnewinstitutionsareneededtomake someapplicationspossible.Take,forexample,settingupsystems withnewroles,suchasthatofasystemauthorityaimedatenabling organizationstoexchangesensitivedataeasilyandreliablywithin applicableframeworks.Developingtheagreementsandsettingup suchsystemsrequiresclosecooperationbetweenorganizations, regulators,andprofessionalorganizationssuchasauditors. Dependingonthetypeofframeworksneeded,organizationscan developthoseframeworksthemselvesorputthisontheagendaof otherprofessionalgroupsinvolvedinthisprocess.

8Seefortointellectualproperty:Aboy,M.,Minssen,T.&Kop,M. MappingthePatentLandscape ofQuantumTechnologies:PatentingTrends,InnovationandPolicyImplications. IIC53,853–882(2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40319-022-01209-3:

9Considersuchnow-forgottenanachronismsastherequirementofa‘wet’signatureonacontract,ortherequirementofphysicalpresenceofapersontoestablishidentity(preferablywith a‘photocopyofone'spassport’asproof),whilethepersonpossessesareliabledigitalproofof identitywithwhichtoproveone'sidentity.

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AnimportantthemethatrecursinStep2isstandardization:inorder tobeabletoswitchtoothervendorsorserviceprovidersinthe future—withouthighcostssuchasreinvestment—itisimportantthat organizationsusingtechnologydevelophigh-qualitystandardsina timelymannertogetherwiththeproviders,whichcananticipate futuredevelopmentsandhavebroadsupport.

Question4

Regulatory

Whatframeworksapply?(Seealsostep3)

Auxiliaryquestions:

• Whatregulationsapplytotheintendedapplication?

• Aretheregapsthatcallfornewormodified frameworks?

Whatistheinternationalcontext?

Positioningisaboutrelationshipsontheinternationalstage.TheWRR showsthatthedevelopmentofanewsystemstechnologyisoften framedasaninternationalrace.However,thatframeissimplisticand misleadingbecauseitimpliesthatthereisonewinner.Inreality,the WRRargues,oneperson'sgainisnotnecessarilyanotherperson’s loss.However,itisimportanttothinkstrategicallyaboutone'sown internationalpositioninrelationtootheractors,especiallywhenit comestocompetitivenessandsecurityissuesregardingatechnology.

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ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Althoughperception,thesocio-technicalecosystem,stakeholders, andregulationsallhaveaninternationaldimension,theinternational contextisalsoanaspectthatstandsaloneanddeservesattention. Duetoitsspecializednature,theresearchcommunityofquantum technologyishighlyintertwinedinternationally:expertsfromallkinds ofcountriesjoinforcestoachievebreakthroughs.Moreover,the developmentofquantumtechnologyisverycostly,whichiswhyonly asmallnumberofplayerscurrentlyplayadominantroleinthefield worldwide.Forthesereasonsalone,theapplicationofquantum technologyalmostalwayshasaninternationalcomponent.

Theinternationalplayingfield:sovereignty

Fortheanalysisofthesocialcontext,itisthereforenotonly importanttohaveaneyefortheinternationaldimensionof theaspectsdiscussedearlier,butalsotoexplicitlyconsiderthe internationalplayingfieldinwhichanorganizationoperates. Thatdimensionisincreasinglydominatedbysovereignty:the geopolitical(technological)self-determinationof(groupsof) countries,suchastheNetherlands,theEU,etcetera.Fromthat desireforself-determinationmayfollowexportandimport restrictions,geopoliticalrestrictionsonworkingwithpeopleand organizationsfromsomecountriesoutsideEurope,andrestrictions onforeigninterestsincompanyownership.

Thefocusanddesireforsovereigntyissometimesatoddswith theinternationalinterconnectednessoftheresearchcommunity.

Questionsthatariseinthiscontextare:whatplayersareinvolved intheintendedapplicationandwhatdependenciesmayarise? Doforeignactorshaveaccesstotheapplication,whatarepossible implications?

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Question5

Internationalcontext

Whatistheinternationalcontext?

Auxiliaryquestions:

• Whatinternationalactorsareinvolvedintheintended application?Whatdependenciesmayarise?

• Doforeignactorshaveaccesstotheapplication?What arepossibleimplications?

Step2:Technologicalframework

Toidentifytheimpactofatechnologyapplicationonpeopleand society,itisimportanttodescribethemoregenericrequirementsof thetechnology.Quantumtechnologyisbecomingpartofapplications wheredataplayacentralrole.Thismeansthattherearegeneric requirementsforthefunctionality,reliability,andqualityofthe technology.Therearerequirementsforinteroperabilitywithother technology,forhowthetechnologyhandlesdata(identity, authenticationandauthorization,andcontroloverdata),andfor howthevaluessurroundingthathandlingofdataareinterpreted (e.g.,preventingmonopolycontroloverdata).

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ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Question6 Qualityrequirements

Whatarethequalityrequirementsforthetechnology toachievethegoalsandbenefitsdescribed?

Thinkaboutfunctionalityrequirements:Whatcanthetechnologydo?

Whatfunctionsdoesthetechnologyoffer?Butalso,otherrequirements suchasrobustnessagainsterrors,theabilitytoanalyzeandrepair errors,securingsystems,flexibilityrequirementsandrequirementsfor manageabilityandthepossibilitiesforintegrationwithothertechnology.

Sustainability(suchasoriginandreuseofrawmaterialsandenergy consumption)alsoplaysarole.Check iso25010 forinspirationto establishacompletelistofrequirements.10 Thesequalityissuesare usuallyaddressedbyrequiringcertificationsfromthevendor

Question7 technicalrequirements

Whattechnicalrequirementsshouldbeimposedinrelation toprivacy,security,data,identity,authentication,and authorization?

10TheseareexamplesofrequirementstakenfromISO25010,acommonframeworkfor identifyinganddescribingthe(requirementsfor)qualityofsoftwareandsystems. Formoreinformation: https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISO_25010

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Whenaddressingtheseissues,thefollowingquestionsarise:

• What(technical)principlesshouldbeappliedtoprotectprivacy andprovidedatasubjectswithappropriateopportunitiesfor consentandcontrol?

• Whatauthenticationandauthorizationmechanismsareneeded togivethemanydatasubjectscontroloverthecollectionand useofdata?

• Howwillthereliabilityandsecurityofdatabeensured?

• Afterall,thepowerfulcomputingpowerofquantumcomputingwill requirealotofdata,withpartieshavingtomakedataavailableto eachother.Choiceswillhavetobemadeaboutwhichdatafallinto thecooperativepurviewandwhichintothecompetitiveone,and whichdatawillbeconfidential,andwhichwillbeopen.Joiningor developingmanagementorganizationsthatplayaroleinensuring thesecurity,privacyandqualityofdatamaybenecessary.

• Howcantherisksofincreasinginterconnectednessand dependenceonthirdpartiesintheapplicationofquantum technologybemanaged?

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
Q“Quantumtechnologyisbecomingpartof applicationswheredataplayacentralrole. Thismeansthattherearegenericrequirements forthefunctionality,reliability,andquality ofthetechnology.”

Note: importantpartsofthesegenericrequirementsfortechnology andhowtechnologyhandlesdata,securityandprivacywillbe regulatedbyEuropeanlegislationinthecomingyears.Assuch,there isastrongrelationshiptoStep3:thelegalframeworks.Consider theCybersecurityAct,theDataGovernanceAct,theAIAct,andthe GeneralDataProtectionRegulation.Implementingtheselawsoften requirescollaborationandfundamentaltechnicalchoices. Examplesoftechnicalprerequisitesfor privacy,security,andreliability Data

Dataisneededtoexploittheopportunitiesofquantumtechnology. InEurope,workisunderwayongenericprinciplesandarchitectures aimedatcollaboratingondatasuchas:IDS(International Dataspaces)11,Cathena-X12 andGaia-X13.TheNetherlandshoststwo successfulexamplesoftheseefforts:SCSN(theSmartConnected SupplyNetwork)whichfacilitates(confidential)informationexchange inthelargeglobalecosystemaroundBrainport,Eindhoven,14 and Ishare15 whichformanyyearsfacilitatesintensivedataexchangein thelogisticssector.

TheMinistryofInfrastructureandWaterManagementisworking withpartiesonanecosystemaroundmobilitydata16 basedon theseprinciples.Similarinitiativesexistinthefieldsofagriculture, healthcare,andenergy.

11 https://internationaldataspaces.org/

12 https://catena-x.net/en/

13 https://gaia-x.eu/

14 https://smart-connected.nl/nl

15 https://ishare.eu/nl/

16 https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/onderwerpen/mobiliteit-nu-en-in-de-toekomst/ mobility-as-a-service-maas

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Identity

Otherareassurroundingtheapplicationofquantumtechnology,such asidentitysolutionsthatallowtheresponsiblehandlingofpersonal data,areinthepipeline.ThinkoftheupcomingEuropeane-wallet andtheprinciplesofSelfSovereignIdentity.17

Informationsecurityandcontinuity

Quantumtechnologyisoftenacquiredasaservice.Theseservices willrunonsoftwarethatisconstantlybeingdevelopedandimproved, bynumerousparties.Also,datawillbecollectedandsharedbymany parties.Theresultisincreasingtechnicalinterconnectednessand interdependenceofdifferentparties.Thisrequirestargetedactionto managerisksaroundinformationsecurityandcontinuity.The financialsectoris(understandably)leadingthewayhere,withparties systematicallyexchanginginformationaboutrisks,measures,and theireffectivenessbasedontheInternationalStandardsfor AssuranceEngagements(ISAE).IntheNetherlands,partieswork togetherintheOnlineTrustCoalitionwiththeaimofapplyingthese principlestomanagerisksaroundinformationsecurityandcontinuity incomplexnetworks.18

Interoperabilityofdata

Finally,onthesubtopicofdatainteroperability,workisbeingdoneon theFAIR(Findable,Accessible,Interoperable,Reusable)principles. Theabilitytoautomaticallyunderstandandcombinedatafromso manydifferentsources,aswellaseffectivepossibilitiesforcontrol, requiresstandardizationofdatainteroperability.

17 https://magazines.rvig.nl/idee/2019/10/ssi

18 https://onlinetrustcoalitie.nl/en/

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Question8

Futureproofinvestments

Whichpreconditionsshouldbesetonquantumtechnology toensurefutureproofinvestmentsandfreedomofchoice fororganizationsinfuture?

Future-proofinginvestmentsandfreedomofchoiceforthe organizationinfuture?

Withnewtechnology,thereisalwaysaphasewhensomeparties dominatethemarketbecausetheyarethefirsttobringan applicationtomarket.Animportantquestionanorganization mustconsideratthispoint:Whendoyoujumpin?Animportant considerationmaybethefuture-proofingofinvestmentsandthe likelihoodofvendorlock-inandthusthefreedomthatthe organizationcancontinuetomakeitsowntechnicalchoicesin thefuture.Afterall,manynewtechnologiesemploy‘proprietary’ standards,ownedbyaspecifictechnologydeveloper,whichmakes itdifficulttomovetoorintegratetechnologyfromothervendors.

Technologyusersshouldthereforeseekcooperationwithother usersandvendorsatanearlystagetoachieveopenstandardsfor quantumapplications.NEN,RoyalNetherlandsStandardization Institute,19 isinvolvedinmanyoftheseinternationalstandardization processes.NENcantaketheinitiativefornewprocesses(under certainconditions)andcanplayaroleinestablishingcontacts withstandardizationcommittees.

Technologysuppliersoftencooperateinstandardizationtoensure thatthestandardallowsforfuturedevelopmentsandfitstheir strategicapproach.Also,theveryexistenceofstandardsgives confidencetocustomersthatasolutionismature.Confidenceleads

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19 https://www.nen.nl/en/

todemandandisthereforegoodfortechnologydevelopment.In addition,theexistenceofstandardsgivesinnovatorstheopportunity toquicklyenteranexistingmarket.

Step3:Legalandethicalframework

Legalframework

Forthedeploymentofquantumtechnology,thelegalframeworks withinwhichanapplicationoperatesmustalsobeconsidered.Legal andethicalframeworksgohandinhand.20 Legislationissometimes ‘solidifiedethics’,whennorms,valuesandethicalprinciplesare transformedintolawsand(behavioral)rules.Thelegalframework thenprovidesacontextformakingethicalconsiderations.

However,ethicalconsiderationscanalsoexistintheirownright, regardlessofwhetherlegalframeworkswilleveremerge.For instance,choicesaroundsustainabilityoremployeebenefits.An organizationcanchoosetocommittospecificethicalgoals,even iftheyhavenolegalbasis,andbeheldaccountableforthem.Many organizationstaketheSDG(SustainableDevelopmentGoals)asa guidefortheirethicalchoicesandaccountforplansandprogress inthisareaintheirannualreport.

Makingethicaltrade-offsisalsonecessarywhenlegislationis inadequate.Withnewtechnologies,legislationeitherlagsbehind, orexistinglegislationneedstobere-examined.

20Seeforexample:M.Kop, EstablishingaLegal-EthicalFrameworkforQT, YaleJ.L.&Tech. TheRecord(2021). https://yjolt.org/blog/establishing-legal-ethical-framework-quantumtechnology

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Ethicallyaligneddesign

Lawsandregulations

Valuesandnorms, ethicalprinciples

21

Legalframeworkssetconstraints.Whenconsideringtheuseof technology,therearealwayslawsandregulationsthatmustbe followed.Legalframeworksrestricttheroomformaneuver.Itis thereforerelevanttoconsiderlegalframeworksexplicitlyinaddition toethicalframeworks.Wedistinguishgenerallawsandregulations thatcanapplytoallsectorsandapplicationareas.Inaddition, thereistechnology-specificlegislationtoconsider.

Finally,thereislegislationthatissectorspecific.Theoverview providedhereislong,butnotexhaustive.Itprovidesinitialdirection inidentifyingrelevantlawsandregulations.

Generallegalframeworksinvolvelawsandregulationsthatapply regardlessofapplicationorsector.Examplesincludehumanrights,

21 https://ethicsinaction.ieee.org/

Sourcefigure: https://ethicsinaction.ieee.org/ wp-content/uploads/ead1e.pdf

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Figure02 Therelationshipbetweenvaluesandnorms,lawsandregulationsand wellbeing/humanrights(IEEE,2017)
improve improve leadto
Wellbeing/humanrights

fundamentalfreedomsandeconomicorsocialrights,civillaw, criminallaw,administrativelaw,ortaxlaw.Welistsomeofthemhere.

Humanrights

Thetermsbasicrights,fundamentalrightsorhumanrightsareoften usedinterchangeably.Theyarelegalnormswhosepurposeisto assurecitizensofpersonalfreedomsandadignifiedexistence.They arerightsthatapplytoallpeople,regardlessofacitizen'snationality. Thereareseveralnationalandinternationalsourcesforthiscategory ofrights,suchas:

• InternationalCovenantonCivilandPoliticalRights(ICCPR)

• EuropeanConventiononHumanRights(ECHR)

• CharterofFundamentalRightsEU

• InternationalCovenantonEconomic,Socialand CulturalRights(IVESC)

• Theconstitution

Generaldataprotectionregulation(GDPR)

TheAVGistheDutchimplementationoftheEuropeanGeneralData ProtectionRegulation(GDPR).TheAVGcontainsspecificrulesfor theprocessingofpersonaldatabycompaniesandthegovernment. Amongotherthings,theimplementationoftheAVGhasstrengthened andexpandedprivacyrights.Organizationshavealsobeengiven moreresponsibilityinthisarea.Inaddition,thereisaseparate directivefordataprotectioninpoliceandjustice.Thesearethe PoliceDataAct(Wpg)andtheJudicialandCriminalRecordsAct (Wjsg).

Generaladministrativelawandgeneralprinciplesofgood governance

Publicbodiesmustcomplywithrulesofconductregardingcitizens andbusinesses.SomeoftheserulesarecontainedintheGeneral AdministrativeLawAct(Dutch:Awb),butthereisalsoso-called ‘unwrittenlaw’.ThisunwrittenlawiscalledtheGeneralPrinciplesof ProperAdministration(Dutch:Abbb).

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Intellectualpropertyandpatents

Recenttechnologicaldevelopmentsandgeopoliticaltensionsleadto closescrutinyofthetopicofintellectualpropertyandpatents.For analysisofthetopicinthecontextofquantumtechnology,seethis footnote.22

Specificlegislationforquantumtechnology

Currently,thereisnolegislation(yet)specificallyregulatingthesocial opportunitiesandpreventionofnegativeimpactsofthedeployment ofquantumtechnology.Itisimportantheretodeterminewhetherthe quantumapplicationstandsaloneorisusedincombinationwithor forthebenefitofothertechnologies,suchasartificialintelligence(AI) orbiotechnology,forexample.

TherearealreadyspecificrulesaroundtheuseofAIanddata,as describedforexampleintheAVG.Also,inBrussels,theEuropean UnioniscurrentlyworkingontheEuropeanAIAct.Theproposedlaw dividesAIsystems,products,andservicesintofourriskcategories. Thefirstcategoryisprohibitedapplications,suchasgovernment-run socialscoringsystems.Thesecondriskcategorynameshigh-risk applications,suchasHRsystems.Thesetypesofsystemsaresubject tospecificlegalrequirements.

Furthermore,therearetworemaininggroupsofapplicationsthatare notexplicitlycategorizedas‘prohibited’or‘highrisk’,namely Limited Risk,and MinimalRisk.AstheriskoftheAIapplicationincreases, regulatoryrequirementsbecomemorestringent,orprohibited.23 An importanttooltoensureregulatorycomplianceofhigh-risksystems isCEmarking.Thiscertificationisrequiredpriortothemarket introductionofAIapplications.

22Aboy,M.,Minssen,T.&Kop,M. MappingthePatentLandscapeofQuantumTechnologies: PatentingTrends,InnovationandPolicyImplications. IIC53,853–882(2022). https://link. springer.com/article/10.1007/s40319-022-01209-3:

23FormoreinformationontheEUAIAct:MauritzKop, EUArtificialIntelligenceAct:The EuropeanApproachtoAI,TransatlanticAntitrustandIPRDevelopments (2021), https://law. stanford.edu/publications/eu-artificial-intelligence-act-the-european-approach-to-ai/

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TheEUandUS

WhereasBrusselshastakentheleadinregulatingAIwithinEurope, Washingtonadoptedquantum-specificregulationfortheUnited StatesinMay2021intheformoftwoDirectives.24 Also,inMaythis year,a"nationalsecuritymemorandum"wasissuedbytheBiden Administration.Insodoing,ontheonehand,theU.S.wantstobetter facilitateitsownmarketleadershiparoundquantumtechnologyby encouraginginnovation.Ontheotherhand,itwantstopreventthe technologyfromfallingintothewronghandsandtherebythreatening economicstabilityandnationalsecurity.

AspartoftheNationalSecurityMemorandum,exportcontrolswillbe establishedforcertainquantumtechnologies.Italsoaimstoprevent intellectualpropertytheft(‘IPtheft’)andaddressandreducerisks aboutcybercrime.

TheAIAct'srisk-basedapproachiswellsuitedtoregulatingquantum technologyasmostquantumtechnologiesaredual-useapplications —meaningthattheapplicationscanbeusedforbothcivilianand militarypurposes,forexamplenuclearapplications(medicalisotopes versustheatomicbomb).Inaddition,theuniquepropertiesofquantum requireatailor-madeapproach.Itisthereforeexpectedthatthe EuropeanUnionwillproposelegislationspecifictoquantumtechnology withinafewyears,intheformofaQuantumGovernanceAct.25

Itisalsoconceivablethattherewillbeaninternationaltreatyin theformofaQuantumTreaty.Itisexpectedthatstandardization, certification,andlifecycleauditingbymeansofbindingExploratory QuantumTechnologyAssessmentswillplayanimportantroleinthis. Inaddition,becauseofthecurrentgeopoliticalsituation,itisquite possiblethattheEUwillalsoissueexportcontrols.Thiswilldirectly affectresearchandtradeinquantumtechnologyandmaterialsand thefragilesupplychainofsoftwareandhardwarestructures.Finally,

24Factsheet: PresidentBidenAnnouncesTwoPresidentialDirectivesAdvancingQT,White House (May4,2021). https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/ 05/04/fact-sheet-president-biden-announces-two-presidential-directives-advancingquantumtechnologies/

25Foratransatlanticperspective:RegulatingQuantumTechnology, https://law.stanford.edu/ projects/regulating-quantum-technology/

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

itisexpectedthattherewillbetoughrequirementsforfunding quantumR&D. Proactiveanticipation

WhatdoesallthismeanforExploratoryQuantumTechnology Assessment(EQTA)users?Itisimportanttobeawareofthelegal, ethical,social,andpolicyaspectsofquantumtechnology.Thisisalso abbreviatedasQuantum-ELSPI(whereELSPIstandsforEthical, Legal,SocialandPolicyImplications).26 Thus,theEQTAtoolcanbe usedtoidentifycurrent-andfuture-legalrequirementsfortheuse ofquantumtechnologyandthusproactivelyanticipatethem.This appliesnotonlytolegalcompliance,butalsotointellectualproperty opportunitiesandresponsibilities(rightsandobligations).

Sectorandindustry-specificframeworks

Finally,therearespecificframeworksforsectorsthatareimportant toconsider,forexample:

• Legislationinthefinancialsector,forexampletheFinancial SupervisionAct(Dutch:Wft)andthePreventionofMoney LaunderingandFinancingofTerrorismAct(Dutch:Wwft).

• Telecommunicationslegislation(theTelecommunicationsAct).

• Legislationforpatientrightswithinhealthcare,forexample theMedicalTreatmentAgreementAct(Dutch:WGBO).

• Legislationformedicaldevicesinhealthcare(MedicalDevice Regulation).

Therearealso(international)lawsandregulationsinthefieldof productsafetythatmayberelevantinthedeploymentofquantum applications.ExamplesincludetheProductSafetyDirectiveandthe MachineryRegulation.

26ExamplesofQuantum-ELSPIquestionsrelevantfortheuseofEQTAcanbefoundhere: QuantumELSPI: Ethical,Legal,SocialandPolicyImplicationsofQuantumTechnology, DigitalSociety(SpringerNature)2021, https://link.springer.com/collections/eiebhdhagd

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Medicalquantumapplications

Arecentexamplethatillustratesthediverselegalimpactofapplying quantumtechnologyisthe'quantum-infusedmedicaldevice' marketedinEurope.Moreover,thisalsofeaturesAI/MachineLearning andclassicaldata.Fromalegalpointofview,thisqualifiesasa quantum/AIhybrid.Thismeansthatinadditiontothegenerallegal frameworks,thevarioustechnology-specificframeworks(forAI,data, andquantum)apply.Inaddition,thevertical,sector-specific frameworks(inthiscaseHealthcare/Healthcare)willapply.

OncetheEuropeanlawsarepassed,thismeansthatonthese medicaldevicesthefollowingapplies(atleast):

• TheEUAIAct.

• TheQuantumGovernanceAct

• TherangeoflawsthatmakeuptheEuropeanStrategyfor Data(GDPR,FFD,DataAct,DataGovernanceAct,etc.).

• TheMedicalDeviceRegulation.

• TheDatabaseDirective.

• RelevantIPDirectives.

• Possiblycertainexportcontrolsasdescribedinthe WassenaarArrangement.

• Dutchlawsandregulations.

Pleasenote thatifyouaredoingbusinessintheU.S.orAsia,for example,locallawsapplythere.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Inaddition,theEQTAcanbeusedbyamultidisciplinaryteamtolook atwhatintellectualpropertyrightsariseandneedtoberegistered, suchaspatents,copyrights,andtradesecrets.Ifapplicable,the technologytransferagreementwithuniversitiesmaybereviewedas well.Optimizingthepatentportfolioincreasesthevalueofmedical devices.Additionally,counterfeitingcanbereduced,withhelpof enforcement.Ifthird-partyIntellectualPropertyisusedinmedical equipment,theEQTAreportwillindicatethatitmustbelicensed,to preventinfringementofthird-partyIP.YoucanusetheEQTAasa guidetoidentifytheaboveissues,creatingmoreawarenessinternally andexternallyaboutthelegalframework.

Complextrade-off:securityandprivacy

Inthecontextofquantumtechnology,itisrelevanttohighlightthe complextrade-offbetweensecurityandprivacy.Thiscomplexityis particularlyrelevantinthedevelopmentofapplicationsinthefieldof quantumcommunicationsandtheupcomingquantuminternet.

TheIntelligenceandSecurityServicesAct(Dutch:Wiv)andthe debatessurroundingit,aswellasthepassingoftheNetworkand InformationSystemsSecurityAct(alsoknownastheCybersecurity Act),ComputerCrimeIII,andtheArticle29WorkingGroup'sposition onencryption,showthatsecurityoftheInternet,communications andinformationisahighlyrelevantandcontestedtopic.Several interestsplayarolehere.Thepotentialdeploymentofquantum networksisnodifferent.

Ontheonehanditisimportantthatsensitiveinformationand communicationsofbothgovernmentsandcitizensaresecureand confidential,ontheotherhanditisdesirableorevennecessaryfor nationalsecurity—ortheinvestigationandprosecutionofcriminal offensesinsomecases—tobeabletointerceptcertaininformation andcommunications.

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Appropriatemeasures

ThepublicdebateontheDutchWiv,theoutcomeofthereferendum ontheWiv,andtheincreasingusebycitizensofsecureVPN connectionsthatuseencryptionshowthatpeopleareincreasingly concernedwiththesecurityandconfidentialityofcommunications. Also,legislationsuchastheNetworkandInformationSystems SecurityActandtheGeneralDataProtectionRegulation(GDPR) requireappropriatemeasurestobeprovidedtosecurenetworksand data.Thiscouldinclude,forexample,encryption.

Ontheotherhand,providersofpublictelecommunicationsnetworks andpublictelecommunicationsservicesonlymaketheirnetworks andservicesavailabletousersiftheyareinterceptableunder Chapter13oftheTelecommunicationsAct.Anon-hackableformof theInternetthusseemsidealwithintheframeworkofonepieceof legislation,whileitmaynotbedesirablefromtheperspectiveofother legislation.

Ethicalframework

Ethicsisaphilosophicaldisciplineconcernedwiththestudyof‘doing therightthing’.Ethicsdoesnotofferachecklistofwhatisrightand wrongbutprovidesmethodologiesforarrivingatajudgmentabout whatisrightandwrong.Animportantgoalofethicalconsiderationis toensurethatthefinalquantumapplicationisinlinewithprevailing societalviewsofwhatisethical.ThepurposeofthisExploratory

QuantumTechnologyAssessment(EQTA)isnottotellyouwhatis andisnotresponsible.Itisuptotheusertoassessthis.However,the EQTAdoesprovideguidanceforarrivingatsuchanassessment.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Digitizationandnewtechnologies,suchasquantumtechnology, ArtificialIntelligence,andcloudcomputing,raiseethicalquestions.27 Theyoftentaketheformofaquestion.Forexample:Isitacceptable todeploythistechnology?Ethicalframeworksarerelatedtolegal frameworks.Lawsandregulationsgivecontexttotheleewayonehas whendeployingtechnology.However,theyarenotseparatefrom ethics.Socialvaluesaretranslatedinsocietyintonorms,laws,and rules.Applicablenormsandvaluescanthusleadtolawsand (behavioral)rules.

Wetreatlegalandethicalframeworksseparatelyherebecausethe frameworkshavedifferentdynamicsfortheuser.Inthelegal framework,thelaworregulationisthestartingpointfortesting againstthedesiredquantumapplication.Intheethicalframework, societalvaluesarethestartingpoint.Youcanreadmoreaboutthe legalframeworksintheprevioussections.Thedevelopmentoflaws andregulationstakestime,andislaggingbehindtherapidtechnical developments.Asaresult,thelegalframeworkoftendoesnotyet provideenoughguidanceandanethicalconsiderationcanbeuseful.

27InformationaboutECP'sApproachandaccompanyingGuidetoGuidanceEthicscanbefound at https://ecp.nl/publicatie/guidance-ethics-approach/

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Q“Quantumtechnologyisstillunknownto manypeopleandtosomeextentwill remainincomprehensibleforavery longtime—evenforexperts.”

TheQuantumComputingGovernance Principles

TheWorldEconomicForum(WEF)providesaguideforanalyzingand framingthetranslationofethicalconcernsinthecontextofquantum computingintogovernance:TheQuantumComputingGovernance Principles(2022).28 Assuch,thisappliesonlytoquantumcomputing andnottotheentirefamilyofquantumtechnology.

Quantumcomputingstakeholders

Toidentifyimpactareas,WEFfirstidentifieskeystakeholdersbased ontheirinterests.Belowisanexampleofdifferentstakeholdergroups intheimplementationofatechnology.

Itthenidentifieskeycorevaluesandthemes.Withineachtheme, objectives,opportunities,andnegativeimpactsareidentifiedthat togetherformthebasisfortheformulationofprinciplesand associatedactions.

Figure03 Quantumcomputingstakeholders(Source:WorldEconomicForum) Governments Academics and universities International organizations Corporations andprivate entitiesthat areusingthe technology Corporations andprivate entitiesthatare developingthe technology Developers (individuals) Consumers (individuals)
https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Quantum_Computing_2022.pdf ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
28

Corevalues

IntheWEFreport,theauthorsidentifysomecorevaluesthatshould formthebasisforthedevelopmentofquantumtechnology.TheWEF statesthatitisimportantforstakeholderstoconsiderthesecore valueswhendevelopinganapplication.

BelowwelistthemostimportantcorevaluesfromtheWorld EconomicForum(WEF)report:29

ContributingtotheCommonGood

Conductananalysisofhowtheintendedapplicationofquantum technologycancontributetothewellbeingofsociety.Theapplication shouldbeharnessedtobenefithumanity.

Accountability

Theapplicationmustbedesignedandimplementedsothatan organizationcanbeheldaccountableforitsimpactsandthe organizationisabletomanagethoseimpacts.Thismeansmitigating negativeimpactsandenhancingopportunities.Itisnotjustaboutthe designofthetechnology,butalsoitsuseandresults.Ontheother side,societyhassetupinstitutionsthatimposesanctionson organizationsthatevadethisaccountabilityorfailtoactwhenthe consequencesarenegative.

Inclusivity

Whenassessingtheimpactoftechnologyandanalyzingitspotential contributiontosociety,organizationsshouldstriveforinclusiveness. Thisshouldincludeadiverserangeofstakeholderviews.Thegoalis meaningfuldialogueandtoavoidoverlynarrowdefinitionsofwhat mightbeconsideredharmfulorbeneficialusesoftechnology.

29ForafulloverviewoftheWEFreportcanbefoundhere: https://www3.weforum.org/docs/ WEF_Quantum_Computing_2022.pdf

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WEFQuantumcomputinggovernanceprinciples

Themesandcross-cuttingcorevalues

Equitability

(Source:WorldEconomicForum)

Developersandusersofquantumtechnologyshallensurethatthe benefitsofthetechnologyanditsimpactaredistributedfairlyand evenlyamongdifferentgroups.Particularconsiderationisgivento anyspecificneedsofvulnerablepopulationstoensureequitability.

Figure04 Quantumcomputinggovernanceprinciples
Core values Transparency mNon-aleficene Equitability good Common A c c ess ibility Inclusiveness Account a b i l yti Accesstohardware infrastructure Transformative capabilities Openinnovation Creatingawareness Workforcedevelopment andcapability-building Cybersecurity Privacy Standardization
Sustainability
ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Non-maleficence

Ensurethatallstakeholdersusethetechnologyinasafe,ethical, andresponsiblemannersothatthetechnologydoesnotcauseharm. Allstakeholdersensurethatthetechnologydoesnotendanger people,intendedorunintended.Toensurethatnoharmiscaused, dataonimpactshouldbecollectedsystematically.Forexample,an organizationmightbedoingwhatitissupposedtodo—according tolegalobligations.However,inviewofthisvalue,thatdoesnot relieveanorganizationofthedutytocheckormonitortheeffect ofactionstaken.ConsiderthecasesoftentargetedbytheNational Ombudsmanor TheKafkaBrigadeFoundation —inwhichorganizations complywiththeirlegaldutiesandcarryouttheirobligations,but entirelyunintentionally,stillcauseharm.Thisvaluemeans,for example,thatorganizationsmustgatherinformationaboutthe impactoftheiractionsonstakeholdersandintervenewhenthat impactisunintended.

Accessibility

Knowledgeofquantumtechnologyandaccesstofacilitiestoapply thetechnology(think quantumcomputing-as-a-service)mustbe widelyaccessibletosociety.Thisvalueincludesthedevelopment, application,anduseofthetechnology.Toalignwiththisvalue, measuresareneededaroundstandardization,preventingmonopoly positionsordependenceonasinglepartyorcountry.Themarket mustbedesignedtoallownewentrantstoenterthemarket,withnew servicesorproductsusingquantumtechnology.

Animportantaspectofaccessibilityisthatquantumtechnology eventuallybecomesaffordableandusablebyallwhohaveaninterest init.Thisprinciplemayconflictwiththeinterestsofgovernments (militarystrategicpotentialofquantumtechnology)andlarge partieswhohavetheinvestmentcapacitytotakeoverandcontrol themarket.

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Thisprinciplerequiresgovernmentregulation,agreementsonbeing abletoshareandreusedataandtheeffectivemanagementand controlofdatabystakeholders.However,italsorequiresawareness onthepartofpurchasingthatselectingfromalargeandcheap vendorneednotbeinthelong-terminterestoftheorganization itself,asectororsociety.

Transparency

Users,developers,andregulatorsarealwaystransparentabouttheir purposeandintentionsregardingquantumtechnology.

Otherethicalframeworks

Ofcourse,theWEFPrinciplesisnottheonlyethicalframeworkyou canapplytoquantumtechnology.AswesawearlierwithAI,many quantumethicsinitiativesarecurrentlyunderdevelopment. Moreover,ethicsisdynamic,culturallysensitive,andcontextspecific. Youcandecidewhichethicalframeworkyoufindmostappropriate withinthecontextofyourapplicationofquantumtechnology,aslong asthereisaclearscientificmethodologyunderlyingsucha framework.

Moreover,itmustcomefromareliablesource(suchastheUN,OECD, Asilomar,ortheIEEE).Anethicistspecializingintechnologywillbe abletoassistyouinthisregard.30 Whatiscrucialhereisthatthe ethicalframeworkisasquantumspecificaspossible,supplemented byprinciples,values,goals,andthemesrelevanttoeachsystemor technology.31

30Thisagainemphasizestheimportanceofdiscussing/implementingEQTAinmultidisciplinary teams.

31MauritzKop, Whyweneedtoconsidertheethicalimplicationsofquantumtechnologies, 17Dec2021,PhysicsWorld,IOPPublishing, https://physicsworld.com/a/why-we-need-toconsider-the-ethical-implications-of-quantum-technologies/ ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

InPractice Step4:Stakeholderdialogue

TheEQTAdoesnotprovideachecklistofwhatisrightandwrong,or whatisallowedorwhatisforbidden.Theframingofthe‘rightor wrong’ofatechnologymayleadtoitscompleteembraceor condemnation.Thiscouldcreatetheimpressionthattechnologyand societyareopposedtoeachother,wheretheyareextensively interconnected.Technologycanbringbenefitstosociety,forexample byimprovinghealthcare,whileatthesametimeproducingnegative impacts,forexamplearoundprivacy.Ratherthanjudgingtechnology initsgenerality,itmakesmoresensetoguidetheapplicationofa particulartechnologyinaspecificcontextinanethicallysound manner.

TheEQTAtakesthiscloseinterconnectednessoftechnology,people, organization,andsocietyasitsstartingpoint.

IntheQuickscan,thepurposeofthedialogueistoquicklyformaview whichaspectsarerelevantandwhetheramorepreciseanalysisis needed(afterthedialogue,step4,thereadergoesbacktostep1).

Thereaderwhohasgonethroughsteps1,2and3hasnowidentified areasofconcernfromdifferentperspectives:social,technical, organizational,legal,andethical.Thisfourthstepbringstogether theseconcernsandrequirements.

Themethodologyusedforbothisthatofdialogue,inwhichdifferent people(expertsinrelevantfields,endusers,managementandthose intheorganizationwhomustworkwiththetechnology)enterthe creativeconversationtotranslatetheseconcernsandrequirements fromoftenverydifferentandusuallyseparatedomainsintoconcrete approaches.

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Guidanceethicsapproach

Figure05 Guidanceethicsapproach

ApproachtoGuidanceEthics

ThedialogueusestheApproachtoGuidanceEthicstobringtogetherall thedifferentaspectsandinterconnectednessandprovidesa(desirable) direction.Thischangesthequestionfromwhetheratechnologyis responsibletohowwecandevelopandusethetechnologyresponsibly. Inguidanceethics,thefocusisnotthetechnologyasawhole,butthe specificapplication.Hereitisimportanttodescribethecontextof thetechnologyapplicationasconcretelyaspossible(instep2ofthis step-by-stepplanastarthasalreadybeenmade).

Themoreconcretetheapplicationcanbedescribedinthecontext, themoreaccuratelytheimpactonpeopleandsocietycanbemapped out(phase1).Itisthenimportanttoidentifyallthoseinvolvedin theapplication,aswellasthepositiveandnegativeeffectsthatthe technologyapplicationhasonthoseinvolvedandthevaluesthat areatstake(phase2).

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
Actors Technology Environment User Stage1 Case Stage2 Dialogue Stage3 Optionsforaction Technology incontext
Effects Values

Finally,itisimportanttonameconcreteapproaches.Thisfocuses onwhatmeasurescanbetakentomitigatenegativeeffectsand/or optimizepositiveeffects.Thesemayincludemeasureswithinthe technologyitselfbutmayalsoincludeadjustmentsinthecontext orimprovementsintheuseofthetechnology(phase3).Itisbestto discusstheseissuesinadialogueformatinwhichallstakeholders participate.32

Step5:Considerationsandassessment

Tomaketrade-offs,severalprovenmechanismsfromthelegal toolboxcanbeused:effectiveness,necessity,subsidiarity,and proportionality.Thesetoolsarealsoveryusefulformakingtradeoffsaboutthetotalityoflegal,social,andethicalimpact.

Effectiveness

Effectivenessrequiresassessingwhethertheproposedactionwill sufficientlyachievethegoalyouhaveinmind.Thisthereforerequires foresight.Howlikelyisitthatthedeploymentofthequantum applicationwillactuallyachievethestatedgoal(orgoals)?

Necessity/subsidiarity

Inassessingwhetheraquantumapplicationisnecessaryand subsidiary,alltoolsavailabletoachievethestatedgoal(s)must beconsidered.Itmustthenbedeterminedwhethertheintended applicationistheleastintrusivemeansofachievingthatgoal(s).

Proportionality

Thefinalstepintheassessmentistodetermineproportionality.

Thequestionofwhetheranapplicationisproportionateisrelatedto theimpactofthequantumapplicationontheindividual,versusthe importanceofthesocietalgoalsbeingpursued.Inotherwords,itisa

32ApproachGuidanceethics: https://ecp.nl/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Guidance-ethicsapproach.pdf

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trade-offbetweentheimpactonindividualsontheonehandandthe interestbeingpursuedontheother.Overall,foramoreimportantgoal, moreispermissible.

Step6:Commitmentandaccountability

Itisadvisabletorecordtheoutcomesofthestepstaken.First,this servesasreferenceandassuranceofdecisionsmadeforthedesign andfurtherdevelopmentoftheapplication.Inaddition,recording thestepstakencanhelptobettersubstantiatedecisionsand considerations. Annex02 providesanoverviewofdocumenting theoutcomesofthestepsandconsiderations.

Step7:Feedbackandperiodicevaluation

Thefinalstepfocusesonfeedbackandevaluation.Chancesarethat yourquantumapplicationisstillunderdevelopment.Therefore,itis advisabletoperiodicallyreflectontheethicalandsocialjustification ofthetechnologyapplication.Regularevaluationcreatesafeedback loopthatimprovestheapplicationofquantumtechnologyand makesitmoreeffective.Inthisstep,alsoclarifythehowyouintend toachievethisfeedbackloop.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
“QuantumTechnologysets newqualityrequirements fortechnology”
03

03 Quantumtechnology examples

Althoughquantumtechnologyholdsgreatpromise,many applicationsarestillinaresearchorexploratoryphase. Developmentsinquantumtechnologyaremostlytaking placeinalaboratoryenvironment,fornow. However,therearealsomoreandmoreideasandinitiativestoapply quantuminpractice.Incaseyoudonotyethaveaconcreteideaof thepotentialapplicationsofquantumtechnology,inthislastsection webrieflyexamineanumberofquantuminitiativesfrompractice.

Manyorganizationsaretakingstepstoacquirecompetenciesinthe fieldofquantumtechnology.Largerorganizationswilloftenhave teamsdedicatedtoinvestigatingopportunitiesandpotentially negativeimpactsofnewtechnologies.Inmanycases,theyare lookingathowquantumtechnologycanbeusedtoachievetheir goals.Inaddition,agrowingnumberoforganizationsseequantum technologycomingtheirwayandaresometimesconcernedabout

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thenegativeimpacts.Forinstance,theremaybeissuesregarding encryption.

InthefinalpartoftheExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment (EQTA),welookatexamplesoforganizationspreparingforquantum technology.Someapplicationsarenearathandandrequireconcrete actionalready.Otherapplicationsareevenfurtherawaywith organizationsmakinginitialexplorationsintothepossibilities(see page93: Whatcanquantumtechnologydo?)Howfaralongdifferent typesofapplicationsare).

Becauseconcreteapplicationsarealsostillintheirinfancy,weare notyettalkingaboutusecasesorscenarios,butratherexamples.In thefollowingsections,therefore,youwillfindsomeexamplesof organizationspreparingforthearrivalofquantumtechnology.How aretheytakingadvantageoftheopportunities?Andhowarethey preparingforanynegativeeffects?

Quantumsensingandwaterquality

TheMinistryofInfrastructureandWaterManagementisclosely followingthedevelopmentofquantumtechnology.First,theministry isfocusingonscenariosformakingthegovernmentquantumsecure. Inaddition,theministryislookingattheopportunitiesofquantum technology:aspecialteamiscurrentlyexploringthepossibilitiesfor applyingquantumtechnologyformonitoringsurfacewater.

Surfacewaterqualityisnowlargelymeasuredbytakingsamples, whicharethensenttothelaboratory.Measurescanthenbetaken basedontheresults.Inaddition,itisnotpossibletomeasureall chemicalcompounds.Thismakesitchallengingtotaketimelyand appropriateaction,especiallyinthecaseofpotentialpublichealth hazards.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Governmentsandwatercompaniesareresponsibleforwaterquality. Ifgovernmentsandwatercompaniescannotperformthistask properly,itcanleadtothreatstopublichealth,thereductionoffood production,theblockingofeconomicgrowthand,finally,reputational damage.Dueinparttointensivelanduse,thehighpopulationdensity intheNetherlands,anddischargetowaterofchemicalssuchas PFAS,thewaterqualityoftheNetherlandsisunderpressure.Major pollutionsourcesthatneedtobeaddressedincludemanureand pesticidesfromagriculture.Contaminatedwaterisnotsuitableas drinkingwaterbecauseofadversehealtheffects.Anadditional problemisthatitisdifficultandcostlytomakethewatersuitablefor humanconsumption.

Mappingdistributionofpollution

QuantumtechnologycombinedwithArtificialIntelligence(including MachineLearning),sensorsandsimulationsmaybeabletohelp provideinsightintopollutionandhowpollutionspreadsthrough water.

Scientistsarecurrentlyworkingonhyper-sensitivequantumsensors thatcanmeasureinrealtimewhichsubstancesorchemical compoundsarepresentinaliquid.

MachineLearningisalreadybeingusedtobuildmodelsthatcan predictdispersionofsubstancesinsurfacewater.Itisexpectedthat quantumcomputingcan(eventually)makeMachineLearningmore powerfulandfaster.

Thisway,quantumtechnologycouldmakeasignificantcontribution towaterquality.Forexample,thistechnologymayprovidemuch betterunderstandingofwaterqualitywhilekeepingthecostsof waterqualitymonitoring,watertreatmentandenforcement manageable.

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Pilotsecurecommunicationnetwork PortofRotterdam

TheportofRotterdamisexperimentingwiththeapplicationof quantumtechnology.Indoingso,theportseesopportunities especiallyinthefieldofsecurecommunication.Amongotherthings, theportauthoritywantstoexperimentwithaquantumnetworkto communicatesecurelywithvarioususers.Thisincludes,forexample, communicationwithharbormastersandcustoms.Thisway,theport authorityhopestopreventmisuseofitscriticalinfrastructure.

Securingcommunicationsystemscanincreasethesafetyofseagoingvesselsandimprovetheresultingeconomictraffic.

TheportofRotterdamrepresentsanimportantpartoftheDutch economy,handlingnearly15millionseacontainersayear.Thismakes itoneofthelargestportsintheworld.Thetotaleconomicadded valueoftheportis8.2%ofDutchGDP(63billioneuros)andemploys morethan500,000peopledirectlyandindirectly.

Substantiallyincreasesecurity

TheportauthoritymanagesacriticalinfrastructureonwhichDutch societyishighlydependent.Indoingso,theportauthorityuses crucialdatanecessaryforthesafetransitofships,people,andcargo. Thisincludes,forexample,measurementofwaterlevels.Ifthiscanbe tamperedwithbyhackers,theconsequencescouldbedevastating.

Byusingquantumproperties,itispossibletodetectwhetherkeys havebeeninterceptedduringtransportoverthenetwork.Those secretkeysarethenusedtoencryptinformationatthesenderand decryptitatthereceiver.Theencryptedinformationisotherwise transmittedoverthe‘regular’Internet.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Basedonthisnewtechnology(theprotocolwasalreadydevelopedin 1984,33 butapplicationinpracticeonlyfollowedinthelastdecade 34) datacanbeexchangedbetweenaselectednumberofpartiesinthe portinaprotectedenvironment.ThePortofRotterdamAuthority, Portbase(aninitiativeoftheportsofRotterdamandAmsterdam thatdigitallyconnectscompaniesandorganizationswiththeports) andseveralnauticalserviceproviderswillparticipateinthetest. Thepurposeoftheexperimentistofurthervalidatethetechnical capabilitiesofthesystem.Thestrengthofthechosensetupisthe easewithwhichitcanbeexpandedtoincludemanymoreusersat relativelylowcost.

Preparingquantum-secureencryptionin thegovernmentandfinancialsector

Asmentionedabove,therearemanyorganizationsthataredealing withquantumtechnologyinwaysotherthanapplyingthetechnology themselves.Forexample,quantumcomputingmayeventuallycause thecryptographycurrentlyusedinmanyInternetprotocolsto becomeinadequate.Forthisreason,thereisincreasingattentionto quantum-securecryptography.Thatis,cryptographictechnology thataquantumcomputerisunabletocrack.Itsometimesseems paradoxicalthattoday'sordinarycomputersandphonescanalready performquantum-secureencryption:quantum-securecryptography doesnotrequirequantumcomputers.

TheU.S.NationalInstituteforStandardsandTechnology(NIST) recentlyselectedencryptionmethodsthatcannotbecrackedbya quantumcomputer.Thesemethodsarebeingtestedworldwideand willeventuallyleadtoastandardforquantum-securecryptography.

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34 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_key_distribution 33 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BB84

Severalorganizationsarealreadybusypreparingforamigrationto quantum-safeencryption.Thisincludesthecentralgovernment.This isdonetoprotectagainstso-called‘storenow,decryptlater’attacks. Hackersstoretheencryptedconfidentialinformationnow:‘storenow’ —oncetheencryptioncanbecrackedwithaquantumcomputer,the informationisthendecrypted:‘decryptlater’.Tomakethistypeof attackmoredifficult,thegovernmentisworkingonadatamigration plantoprotectstatesecretsandotherinformationthatneedstobe protectedforlongerperiodsoftimebyencryptingitwithquantumsecureencryption.

Jointapproach

Agovernment-wideplaniscurrentlybeingdevelopedtocollectively addressthisthreat.Thegoalisaquantum-securegovernment.The DutchBankingAssociation(NVB)isalsoworkingwithbanksinthe Netherlandstoraiseawarenessaboutthepossibilitiesandnegative effectsofquantumtechnologywithinthefinancialsector.

AmajorfocusisATMs:theyhavealifespanofmorethan10yearsand mustbepreparedtorunnewencryptionmethodsthatarequantum secure.Thus,theNVBregularlyholdsseminarsonthistopicand varioustrainingcourseshavebeendevelopedforbankemployees andmanagersinthefinancialsector.TheNVBalsomaintains contactwithitscounterpartsabroadonthisissue.Afterall, implementationofnewstandardsrequiresinternationalcooperation.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Exploringquantumtechnologyinthe financialsector

Besidestheawarenesssurroundingthenegativeeffectsofquantum technologyinencryption,casestudiesarealsobeingdevelopedinthe financialsectortoexplorethepossibilitiesofquantumcomputing.

Theyarelookingattheoptionofusingquantumalgorithmsfor optimizationtobetterpredictinterestratesinstocktrading. Quantumcomputingcanalsoofferinterestingapplicationsin optimization,forexampleinportfoliomanagementandMachine Learning.35

Thedevelopmentinthefieldofsignificantlymoreaccurateandfast atomicclocksandoscillators(circuits)willenablemuchfasterglobal trading.

Inaddition,quantumalgorithmsforoptimizationand(MonteCarlo) simulationsonquantumcomputerscouldpotentiallyplayarolein detectingsuspicioustransactionsundertheAntiMoneyLaundering (AML)legislation—inthefuture.

Secureauthenticationandauthorization

Anotherimportantissueisthepossibilityofsecureauthentication andauthorizationusingquantumtechnology.Quantumtechnology offersnewmethodsofencryption(seetheearlierexampleon page 78: PilotsecurecommunicationnetworkPortofRotterdam).In addition,therewillbenewmethodsforunambiguouslydetermining whetherdataisbeingexchangedwiththerightmachineandwhether thatmachineisbeingoperatedbytherightperson.

35Forinstance,optionpricingenotherapplications(Orús,Román,SamuelMugel,andEnrique Lizaso. Quantumcomputingforfinance:Overviewandprospects.ReviewsinPhysics4(2019): 100028.)- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.revip.2019.100028

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ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Quantumapplications

Advertisementstrategy Recommendersystems Consumerbehaviour

ICmanufacturing&desing Material(recycling)management Supplychainmanagement

Aerospacematerialdesign Structuralanalysis Moleculesimulations

Quantum applications

Catalyst&enzymedesign Personalisedmedicines Genomicanalysis

Portfoliooptimisation Frauddetection Tradingstrategies

FINANCE

LOGISTICS

Cybersecurity Operationsoptimisation Dataprocessing

SmartGridoptimisation Oilwelloptimisation Seismicimaging

Trafficsimulation E-chargingoptimisation Autonomousdriving

Timetabeldesign Ascendingphasesimulation Loadoptimisation

Figure06 Quantumapplications(Source:TNO) ENERGY AUTOMOTIVE
DEFENSE MEDICAL &PHARMA MATERIAL SCIENCE INDUSTRY MARKETING
TRANSPORT
Planning&scheduling Trafficrouting Multi-modeloptimisation

Quantumtechnologyinthetelecomsector

Thetelecommunicationsindustrywillbeaffectedbyquantum technologyinseveralways.Inthissection,welistsome developments,intheareasofquantumsensing,quantum communications,quantumcomputingandquantumencryption.

Quantumsensing

Firstandforemost,thenewgenerationsofquantumsensors—and atomicclocksinparticular—willsoonbecomepartofthe infrastructure(TechnologyReadinessLevel(TRL)6:experimentsin therelevantenvironment.See page90 forfurtherexplanationofTRL). Asequipmentinthenetworksoperatesmuchmoreaccuratelyandat higherclockspeeds,andcanalsobesynchronizedaccurately, transmissioncapacitywillalsoincrease.

Indeed,amajorlimitationtothecurrenttransmissioncapacityand processingcapabilityofequipmentistherelativelyinaccurate measurementoftime.Thecomponentsofdevicesandinnetworks aretunedtoeachotherbyclockpulses:witheach"tap,"acommand isexecuted.Thedatapacketsaregiven(relativelyimprecise)time stamps.Asthetimepulsesbecomemoreexact,thefrequencyof commandexecutioncanalsoincrease,andthetimestampsalso becomemoreaccurate.

Inthepast,thepaceofeventswasdeterminedbytheclocktower thatstruckonceeveryhour,andatalaterstageonceeveryfifteen minutes.Nowthepaceisdeterminedbyminutes:everyonehasa clockthatisaccuratetotheminute.Thesameappliestodevices:the moreprecisethetimemeasurement,themorefrequentthepulses andthusthesynchronization.

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Sensitivequantumgravitysensorswillallowmuchmoreaccurate mappingofthesubsurfaceforinfrastructuremaintenanceand construction(tlr4).36

Newgenerationantennas

Quantumtechnologymayinfutureenableanewgenerationof antennas37 thatisnotonlymanytimesmoresensitive,but,inthelong run,mayalsobesimpler,cheaper,andmorerobust(thisapplication hasthelowestreadinesslevel,trl1:theoperationoftheprinciplehas beendemonstratedinalaboratory).Itisexpectedthatthe applicationofquantumsensorswillfindaplacein,forexample,radio technology(andthustheradiospectrum)andautonomous navigation.

Quantumsensorsareexpectedtobemanytimesstrongerandmore accuratethancurrentreceivingdevicesduetotheirgreaterrange.A relatedexpectationisthatquantumsensorswilltherebyenhance existingapplicationsacrosstheentirebandwidthoftheradio spectrum.ThisappliesbothtoGNSS(GlobalNavigationSatellite System)locationdeterminationandtomobilecommunications betweendevices.

Inaddition,theapplicationofquantumsensorscouldreplaceexisting radioapplicationsorintroducecompletelynewusesoffrequency space.Ultra-sensitive,low-energyquantumsensorsareexpectedto beinstalledinvariousplacestomeasureallkindsofpropertiesofair, water,andsoil.Thiswillleadtosignificantchallengesforthetelecom infrastructure:safelytransportingallthisdatawillrequiremajor investments.

36 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04315-3, https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/ 2018/06/popular-physicsprize2012.pdf

37 https://www.forbes.com/sites/moorinsights/2020/04/30/big-atoms-make-small-supersensitive-quantum-receivers/?sh=6c2cb737740c, https://www.army.mil/article/212935/army_ researchers_make_giant_leap_in_quantum_sensing over:DavidMeyer,KevinCox,Fredrik Fatemi,PaulKunz,"DigitalCommunicationwithRydbergAtomsandAmplitude-Modulated MicrowaveFields", App.Phys.Lett.(R)112,211108(2018).[arXiv:1803.0354]- https://arxiv.org/ abs/1803.03545

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Quantumcommunication

QuantumKeyDistributionenablesmoresecureencryptionandsafer waystoauthenticateandauthorize.Thisinvolvesusingfiber-optic infrastructuretotransmitquantumparticles.38 Telecomproviders havearoletoplayindevelopingthisinfrastructure.

Communicationbetweenquantumcomputerswilleventuallytake placeoverthisnetworkaswell.Thismeansthatwitharegulatory bodysuchastheDutchNationalInspectorateforDigital Infrastructure(formerlyRadiocommunicationsAgencyasofJan.1, 2023)—whichdealswiththesecurityandreliabilityofdigitaltelecom infrastructureandthecontinuityoforganizationsthatdependon IT—telecomprovidersshouldatleastbeawareofthelatestrelevant developments.Thegeopoliticalaspects(dependenceonglobal playersandlargetechparties)mayalreadyrequireactionwhilethe technologyisstilldeveloping.

Quantumcomputing

Thetelecomsectorwillbeabletoleveragetheincreaseincomputing powerofquantumcomputerstoaddressoptimizationproblemsfor, forexample,networkloadcontrol,maintenanceplanningand prevention,andnetworkdesign.39 QuantumMachineLearningcan recognizepatternsinlargedatasetsthatarecurrentlyhidden.

38Viadelucht(satellieten)kunnendezedeeltjesookwordenverzondenenintheoriezelfsfysiek.

39Enookhiergeldenvoornamelijkrealtimeaspecten:hoekunnenrealtimemetingengebruikt wordenvoorself-configuratievanhetnetwerk,bijvoorbeeldgebruikmakendvanQML.De publicatieis(niet-academici)tedownloadenvia: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/10/6/71

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Q“Quantummachinelearningwill recognizehiddenpatterns indatasets”

Thisdoespresumecooperativecollaboration,becausewithouttaking precautionsintheNetherlands—andperhapsthroughoutEurope— theprincipleapplies:'thewinnertakesitall'.Inthatcase,thetelecom providerthathasaccesstothemostdatawouldbecomethelargest andcouldprovidethebestservicesinthisarea.

Quantum-secureencryption

Likethegovernmentandthefinancialsector,telecomproviderswill havetotakemeasuresasearlyasthenextfewyearstoensurethat networksandequipmentwillbequantumsecureadecadefromnow. Thismeansthattheencryptionmethodsusedcannotbecrackedby quantumcomputers.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
“Quantumtechnologyenables newwaysofencryption”

A01

Appendix01

Quantumtechnologyinbrief

Thischapterbrieflydescribeswhatquantum technologyis,anditsapplications.

Akeyquestionisthatregularlyarises:howfaralongisthe technology?Tothisend,weintroducetheconceptofTechnology ReadinessLevels.Animportantsourceforthischapteristhe publication‘Theimpactofquantum’ 40 (July-2021),byBirch, commissionedbyQuantumDeltaNetherlandsandInnovation quarterZuid-Holland.

https://www.quantumforbusiness.eu/insights/birch-quantum-impact

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40

TechnologyReadinessLevels(TRL’s)

Becausedifferentapplicationsofquantumtechnologyvarywidelyin maturity,theconceptofTechnologyReadinessLevel(TRL)isused. ThisconceptwasdevelopedbyNASA41 andisnowwidelyusedto indicatethematurityofatechnology.Attrl1(thelowestlevelof maturity),onlythebasicprinciplethattheapplicationuseshasbeen observed.Oneortwolevelshigher,thefeasibilityisalsoexamined. Fromlevel4,thetechnologyisactuallydeveloped,andatlevels5and 6alsodemonstrated.Atlevel6through9,systemsandsubsystems arealsodeveloped.Attrl9(thehighestmaturitylevel),thesystemis alsotestedandreadytobeimplemented.

Whatisquantumtechnology?

Quantumtechnologyisbasedonthelawsofquantummechanics: thelawsthatdescribethebehaviorofparticlesatthelevelofatoms, photons,electrons,andmolecules.Technologicaldevelopmentsin recentdecadeshavemadeitincreasinglypossibletomeasureand specificallyinfluencethebehavioroftheseparticles.

Thephenomenadescribedbythelawsofquantummechanics havepuzzledscientistsforseveralcenturies.Thelawsofquantum mechanicsdescribethephenomenainsuchawaythattheycan bepredicted.Thefirstcompletedescriptionofthephenomenaby physicistsisalmostacenturyold(ifwetakethe1927Solvay Conference 42 asamilestone).

41 https://www.nasa.gov/topics/aeronautics/features/trl_demystified.html

42 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solvay_Conference (consulted10/18/2022)

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Technologyreadinesslevels

Systemtest,launch &Operations

Researchto provefeasibility

Technology demonstration

System/subsystem development

Technology development

Basictechnology research

Inrecentdecades(andespeciallyinrecentyears),technical developmentshaveprogressedtothepointwherewecannotonly observeanddescribethebehavioroftheseparticles,butalso increasinglylearntocontrolanddirectthem.Thisleadstoalarge numberofnewapplications.Thelatteristhereasonforwritingthis ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment(theEQTA).

Incidentally,itisimportanttorememberthatbeingabletodescribe, predictandevenmanipulatethebehaviorofthesmallestparticles isverydifferentfromunderstandingthebehavior.Thewordsthat quantummechanicsusestodescribephenomenaarenotnecessarily explanatory:thinkofwordsstronglyassociatedwithquantum technologysuchas‘quantumentanglement’or‘superposition’.

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Figure07 TechnologyReadinessLevels
TRL9 TRL8 TRL7 TRL6 TRL5 TRL4 TRL3 TRL2
TRL1

Theyareconceptsfordescribingandpredictingthebehaviorof particles.Theseconceptscanbecomparedtothelawofgravity:the lawofgravitysaysnothingaboutthemechanismsthatcausegravity, butitallowsustodescribeandpredictthebehaviorofobjectshere onEarth.Sincenooneissurprisedbyobjectsfalling,noexplanation (inwords)isneeded.Wethinkthesamewillbetrueofquantum mechanics:oncewegetusedtotheapplicationsofquantum technology,onlyscientistswillaskquestionsaboutwhy.

Usingwordstodescribethebehaviorofparticlesquicklyleads tomisunderstanding.Suchwordsthereforecontributetothe mystificationofquantumtechnology.Considerphrasessuchas ‘quantumparticlesthatareintwoplacesatonce’or‘quantum particlesthatacquirepropertiesonlywhenobserved’.Orthatin quantumentanglementoneentangledparticle‘communicates’ informationwiththeotherentangledparticle‘fasterthanlight’.

Thistypeofexplanation(inwords)isnot,webelieve,necessaryto understandapplications(andthelimitations)ofquantumtechnology, andsothischapterrefrainsfromsuchadescription.Afterall,even froman‘ordinary’computerorcellphone,itisincomprehensibleto mostpeople(howusingonlythevalues0and1cancreatesuch complexfunctionality).WethereforefocusintheEQTAonthe functionalityofquantumtechnologyandnotonprovidingan understandingofthelawsofquantummechanics.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Whatcanquantumtechnologydo?

Beingabletomeasure,controlanddirectthebehaviorofquantum particlesleadstothreetypesofnewapplications:quantumsensors, quantumnetworksandquantumcomputers.Quantum-secure encryptionisdiscussedinthelastsection:thisissueaffectsthewhole ofsociety,regardlessofwhetheranorganizationadoptsquantum technology.

Quantumsensors

Byusingthelawsofquantummechanics,anewgenerationofvery precise,robust,andperhapsmoreaffordablesensorsbecomes available.Thosesensorscanbeused,forexample,tomeasure propertiessuchastime,motion,acceleration,dimension,gravity, currentandvoltage.

Applyingthesesensorscreatesopportunitiesfororganizationstodo thingsthatarenew,different,orbetter.Takingadvantageofthese opportunitiesrequiresadjustmentswithinorganizationsandrequires newcollaborationsbetweenorganizations.Beingabletoquickly measureallkindsofpropertieseasilyandhighlyaccuratelyleadsto ethicalandlegalquestions:whatisdesirableandnecessary?What safeguardsareneeded?TheEQTAhelpsorganizationsthinkabout thesequestions.

Applicationsinavarietyofdomains

Itisdifficulttoestimatehowbiganimpactquantumsensorswillhave onequipmentfunctionalityand—insofarasthesesensorsleadto lowercostsformeasuringtheseproperties—towidespread applicationinelectronics.Quantumsensorswillfindapplicationin professionalequipmentinavarietyoffields,includinghealthcare, logistics,construction,andtelecom.Forexample,imagesfromMRI scanswillbeabletoachievehigherresolution.Bypreciselymeasuring verysmalldifferencesingravity,wewillgainabetterunderstanding ofwhatisinthesubsurface.Quantumsensorswillbeabletoregister

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motionandaccelerationmoreaccurately,allowingobjectstobe locatedmuchmorepreciselyinspace,evenwithoutGPS.

Laserswillbecomemoreaccurateandenergyefficientbecause quantumsensorscanalsoregistersmallamountsofreflectedlight particles.Thishasimplicationsforrecognizingpropertiesofliquids andmaterials:theymayeventuallybeabletobemeasuredmuch fasterandcheaper.

Fasterandmoreaccurate

Asquantumtechnologyenablesmoreprecisemeasurementoftime, itwillleadtoallkindsofnoticeablyfasterapplications.GPSwill becomemanytimesmoreaccuratebecauseofthis.Thequantum sensorsenablefasterclockpulses(oscillators),andthusfastertiming ofexecutionofcommandsbyprocessorsandfasterinformation exchangebetweenthecomponentsofcomputers,telephones,andall kindsofdevices.

Bettersynchronizationalsoenablesfasterinformationexchange betweensystemsinwiredandwirelesstelecomnetworks.Withthese moreaccuratesensors,chipsizesmaybereducedevenfurther. Perhapsthesesensorswillleadtoanewgenerationofsensitive —andtechnicallymuchsimplerandmorerobust—antennas.

Timeline: Thedevelopmentofthesesensorsusingquantum technologyismovingveryquickly.Someapplications(suchas quantumclocks)arealreadycomingtomarket.43 Manyofthe quantumsensorsmeasuringpropertiesareunderdevelopmentin laboratories.

43Ortt,R.(2020). DeTechnologie-monitor2020Quantumtechnologie. StichtingToekomstbeeld derTechniek,DenHaag.- https://stt.nl/nl/toekomstverkenningen/97-de-technologiemonitor2020-quantumtechnologie/nationale-technologiemonitor-2020-quantumtechnologie

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

Quantumnetworks

Intheareaofsecurityandcommunication,newfunctionalitywill graduallybeaddedtonetworksweknowtoday(throughfiber,byair and/orbysatellite),overthenextfewdecades.Thiswillenablemore secureexchangeofhighlyconfidentialinformation.Currently,thereis alotoffocusonbeingabletoexchangeencryptionkeys confidentially:QuantumKeyDistribution.

Quantumnetworksalsoofferpossibilitiesforauthenticationand authorization(establishingwithcertaintytheidentityofreceiverand senderandthemachinestheyuse).

Robustmeasures

Itisworthrememberingthatconfidentialityduringthetransportation ofinformationandbeingabletodeterminetheidentityofthesender andreceiverwithgreatercertaintyarenotenoughtoensure confidentialityofinformationexchange.Butquantumtechnology doesenablenewer,morerobustmeasuresinanincreasinglycomplex setofmeasures.

Quantumcommunicationswilleventuallymakeitpossibletoconnect quantumcomputerstoformalargerquantumcomputerandthereby enabledistributedquantumcomputing

Timeline: Thesecommunicationapplicationsforsecureexchangeof information(QuantumKeyDistribution)willcometomarketinthe nextfewyearsorareatanexperimentalstage(trl4-6).

Standardizationofsecureencryptionkeyexchangeisatanadvanced stage.44 Gettingprocessorsofquantumcomputerstoworktogether overnetworkswillrequirealongerperiodoftime.

44 https://www.standict.eu/discussion-groups/quantum-computing/297/towards-europeanstandards-quantum-technologies

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Quantumcomputers

Thepromiseofquantumcomputersisthatanumberofspecific problemscanbesolvedmuchfasterwiththequantumcomputer thanwithclassicalcomputers.Indoingso,fourtypesofapplications arecommonlyidentified:

• Simulatingthebehaviorofatoms

Simulatingthebehaviorofthesimplestatomsisquicklytoo complexforcurrentcomputers.However,quantumcomputerscan beusedtosimulatethebehaviorofmoleculesandatoms(fordrug andmaterialdevelopmentandforavarietyofchemicaland biologicalprocesses).

• Solvingspecificproblemsmorerapidly Quantumcomputerscansolvecertainproblemsfaster.Consider optimizationproblems,wheremanydifferentsolutionsarepossible, eachofwhichmustbecomputed.Examplesincludetraffic, logistics,finance,andhealthcare.Searchinglargeunstructured datasetsmayalsobefasterwithquantumcomputers.

• Rapidlybreakingencryptionofdigitalcommunications

Theencryptionalgorithmsthatarecommontodayderivetheir powerfromcomputationalproblemsthatcannotbesolved efficientlywithoutknowingthekey.However,somecomputational problemsthatcurrentcomputerscannotsolvenowwillsoonbe solvablebyquantumcomputers.Thismeansthatanumberofthe encryption(andauthentication)algorithmsthatarecommonly usedtodaywillnolongerbesecureinthequantumcomputerera.

• MachineLearning

InthefieldofArtificialIntelligence(AI),MachineLearningwill benefitfromquantumcomputers.45

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
45Neumann,N.,Phillipson,F.&Versluis,R. Machinelearninginthequantumera. DigitaleWelt3, 24-29(2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s42354-019-0164-0

Timeline: (seeFigure08)Currently,smallquantumcomputersare availableforexperimentaluseandforgainingexperiencewiththeir features.Majorbreakthroughsstillneedtooccurbeforeserious applicationsofthequantumcomputerwillbecomeviable:bothin computingpowerandinbasicthingslikequantummemoryanddata storage.Theelectronicsneededtodriveandembedaquantum computerarestillunderdevelopment.Algorithmsandsoftwareare alsostillbeingworkedonaroundtheworld.

Yeteventhisobservationaboutquantumcomputingisnotentirely true:therearealsowaystousethequantumcomputerinaheuristic sensetosolvecertainproblems.Thatis,asapracticalwaytoquickly arriveataresultwithouthavingtocomputesolutionsalltheway through.Thistypeofapplicationismorelikelytobewithinreach.

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Figure08 Numberofqubitsininquantumcomputers(>10.000qubitsareneeded forsimpleapplications).Source:Birch(2021)
1.000.000 10.000 100 2 7 53 65 1.121 1 1998 2001 2019 2020 2023 >2030 Systemexecutes algorithm IBMperformsfactoring ona7qubitcomputer Googleclaimssupremacy onSycamore IBMHummingbird Goalroadmap IBM:Condor Expectation RoadmapIBM
Numberofqubitsinquantumcomputing (figurative)

Quantum-secureencryption

Eventhoughitwillbeatleastadecadebeforequantumcomputers arefitforpurpose,societyshouldanticipatetheirupcomingarrival now.Afterall,quantumcomputershavebeenproventobeableto cracktheencryptionmethodscommonlyusedtoday.Fortunately,we donotneedquantumcomputingpowertousequantum-secure encryption.Theweaknessesincurrentformsofencryptioncanbe fixedwithoutusingquantumcomputers.

Muchoftheinformationthatmustremainconfidentialforlonger than10yearsmustthereforebequantumsecurelyencryptednow. Devicesandmachinesthathavealifespanover10yearswillalready havetobeequippedwithencryptionmethodsthatarequantum secure.ThinkofATMsinthestreet,bridgesandlocksinpublic spaces,orarchives.Thestandardizationofquantum-securepublickeyencryptionmethodsbyNIST 46 (NationalInstituteofStandards andTechnology)isattheconceptualstage.Inthecomingyears, thesemethodswillbeusedinavarietyofservicesandproducts.

Thetransitiontonewmethodsofencryptionisamajorareaof concernfororganizations,withsomeorganizationsanticipatingthe needtobeginworkingwithotherorganizationsinthesector. EspeciallyaroundATMs,public-spaceequipmentandarchives mentionedearlier,bestpracticesandguidelinesneedtobe establishedquickly.Otherorganizationsneedtostartencrypting informationinsuchawaythatitcanbesecurelyre-encryptedwhen needed.Theknowledgeandresourceswillnotbeavailabletoevery organization,andmanyofthesedevelopmentswillrequirecloser collaboration.

46 https://csrc.nist.gov/Projects/post-quantum-cryptography/post-quantum-cryptographystandardization

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

“Quantumsensorswillfindapplicationin

professionalequipmentinavarietyof fields,includinghealthcare,logistics, construction,andtelecom”

A02

Annex02

Roadmaptemplate

GoingthroughtheEQTAroadmapismorethanjust collectinginformationtomakeadecisionabout responsibleapplicationofquantumtechnology.

TheRoadmaphelpsorganizationstoconsiderwhatquantum technologymaybringthem,whetherthatisdesiable,howto gaincertaintyaboutideasandwhatisneededtorealizethem.

TheEQTAwillhelporganizationstodecidewhichdevelopments theyshouldfollowregardingquantumtechnology,whetherand howtheycaninitiateandsteerthesedevelopments.TheEQTA willhelporganizationstodecidethattheyneedtogainexperience withquantumtechnology.TheEQTAcanprovidemanagement, employeesandotherstakeholderswithinsightswhatquantum technologycanmeanandactivelyinvolvetheminthedevelopment ofideas.

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Organizationswill,aftergoingthroughtheEQTA,starttocooperate withothers,ortakeefforttodevelopstandards.Otherswillstartto workonethicalframeworksandthatlegislationisdeveloped.

BygoingthroughtheEQTA,organizationscanbetterpayattention totheimpactofrelevantgeopoliticaldevelopmentsonideasabout application.Organizationscanmakeanefforttoensurethat educationrespondsinatimelymannertotheskillsneededtouse quantumtechnologyorthatserviceprovidersdevelopservicesthat meettheirrequirementsandfitwhattheyneed.Themostimportant partofgoingthroughtheEQTAisthereforeperhapsthelaststep, theevaluation:planningamomenttotestthedecision,lookingat theeffectofthemeasurestakenandthenplanningfurthersteps.

RoadmapExploratoryQuantum TechnologyAssessment

ThefillableRoadmapispartoftheExploratoryQuantumTechnology Assessment.Itwillhelporganizationstodecidewhichdevelopments theyshouldfollowregardingquantumtechnology,whetherandhow theycaninitiateandsteerthesedevelopments.TheEQTAwillhelp organizationstodecidetowhatextenttheyneedtogainexperience withquantumtechnology.TheEQTAcanprovidemanagement, employeesandotherstakeholderswithinsightswhatquantum technologycancontributeandinvolvetheminthefurther developmentofideas.

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
102 103 DownloadthefullEQTARoadmapon quantumdelta.nl orscantheQR-Code.

EQTAwasmadepossiblebytheMinistryofEconomicAffairsand ClimateandfundedbytheQuantumDeltaNetherlandsGrowthFund.

EQTAisatooldevelopedbytheCentreforQuantumandSociety.

Colophon

WiththankstoQDNL,whocommissioned ECP|PlatformfortheInformationSociety todeveloptheEQTA.Andtotheworking groupwithstakeholdersandexperts,led byProf.BartSchermer(LeidenUniversity, Considerati)andDaniëlFrijters(ECP), whoshapedtheEQTA

Editor: EsterSchop, Lees-t.nl

Design: FrankWestenberg

Print: Veldhuizengrafischeffect

Photography: MariekedeLorijn

EricBrinkhorst

AnneReitsma

2023©QuantumDeltaNederland

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment

…participatein ourworkshops, thinktanks,and/or vprojects?

…explorethe Ethical,Legal andSocietal Aspectsforyour quantumusecase?

…shareknowledge aboutquantum and/orethical, legalandsocietal aspects?

…inviteus tospeakat yourevent?

…explorewhat quantumcan meanforyour domain?

ExploratoryQuantumTechnologyAssessment
Doyouwantto… CentreforQuantumandSociety Contactus! cqs@quantumdelta.nl quantumdelta.nl
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