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4.

CLIMATE CHANGE AND NATURAL RESOURCE MANAGEMENT: KEY THEMES FROM CASE STUDIES

Table 4.1. GLOFs recorded in Nepal River basin

Name of lake

450 years ago

Seti Khola

Machhapuchhare, Nepal

1935

Sun Koshi

Taraco, Tibet

1964

Arun

Gelaipco, Tibet

1964

Sun Koshi

Zhangzangbo, Tibet

1964

Trishuli

Longda, Tibet

1968

Arun

Ayaco, Tibet

1969

Arun

Ayaco, Tibet

1970

Arun

Ayaco, Tibet Nare, Tibet

1977

Dudh Koshi

1980

Tamur

Nagmapokhari, Nepal

1981

Sun Koshi

Zhangzangbo, Tibet

1982

Arun

Jinco, Tibet

1985

Dudh Koshi

Dig Tsho, Nepal

1991

Tama Koshi

Chubung, Nepal

1998

Dudh Koshi

Sabai Tsho, Nepal

Source: Shrestha and Shrestha (2004).

2 000 m3/sec, two to four times greater than the maximum monsoon flood level. The GLOF destroyed the almost-completed Namche Small Hydro Project, which had cost over USD 1 million. Severe erosion destroyed the weir and head race canal where water would flow into the plant (Raksakulthai, 2003). The damage extended 90 km downstream. Fourteen bridges, including new suspension bridges, were destroyed. Erosion, undercutting and destabilisation occurred on long stretches of the main trail to the Mount Everest base camp. When the trail reopened, prices of staple supplies were 50% higher on average (Ives, 1986). While the loss of human life was limited, it could have been high had the GLOF occurred during peak trekking season. The loss of livelihoods was considerable: vast tracts of arable land were rendered unusable along with critical lifelines such as bridges and roads. An inventory in 2001 found over 3 252 glaciers, 2 323 glacial lakes and 20 potential GLOF sites in Nepal (Mool et al., 2002). In addition to this picture of static risk, site-based monitoring of specific glacial lakes has shown evidence of lake volumes increasing over time. The trend in volume increase correlates well with the observed trends in temperature increase at high altitudes in the Himalayas, discussed earlier. Taken together, the evidence points to a serious hazard closely tied to temperatures rising because of climate change.

2.2. Adaptation options for GLOF risk and stream flow variability Several adaptation strategies are available to cope with GLOF risk and stream flow variability. Some of these responses are already at varying stages

BRIDGE OVER TROUBLED WATERS – ISBN 92-64-01275-3 – © OECD 2005

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