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MacroeconomicPolicyinFragileStates

MacroeconomicPolicyin FragileStates

GreatClarendonStreet,Oxford,OX26DP, UnitedKingdom

OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwide.Oxfordisaregisteredtrademarkof OxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountries

©InternationalMonetaryFund2021

Themoralrightsoftheauthorshavebeenasserted FirstEditionpublishedin2021

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Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereprographics rightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove

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PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress 198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016,UnitedStatesofAmerica

BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable

LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2020950500

ISBN978–0–19–885309–1

DOI:10.1093/oso/9780198853091.001.0001

Printedandboundby CPIGroup(UK)Ltd,Croydon,CR04YY

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Foreword

PictureachildborntodaytoavillagerinSomaliaorLaos,oranotherfragilestate. Thinkaboutherprospectsinlife.Asareaderofthisbook,youareprobably worried:Willshehavecleanwaterandenoughtoeat?Willshebesafefrom violence?Willshebeabletogotoschool?Towork?Tolivebetterthanher parents?

Itdepends onleadershipinhercountry,andonsupportfromtheinternationalcommunity.

Stabilizingfragileandconflict-affectedstatesisamongtheworld’smostdifficultchallenges.Anditisoneofthemostpressing notonlyforthepeopleof thosecountries,butforallofus.Supportingthesestatesiscriticaltochallenges likeendingtheCOVID-19pandemic, fightingclimatechange,reducingglobal poverty,andamelioratingsomeofthecausesofinvoluntarymigration.

WorkingwithfragilestatesattheIMF,andthroughoutmycareer,Ilearned thatnotwocountriesarethesame.Knowledgeofeachcountry’speopleand historyisnecessary,inadditiontounderstandingitspoliticaleconomy.

Ralph,Raphael,Peter,andthecontributorstothisbookhavestudiedfragile statesandtheirproblemsfrommanyangles,takingabroadviewofthemacroeconomy.Theyhaveidentifiedthemostpressingchallengesandprovideda comprehensiveandtimelysetofsolutions.Itisbothamenuofoptionsfor policymakersseekingtoaddressthesestates’ urgentneeds,andamanualfor howtoexecutethem.

Inadditionaltowisdombornofdeepexperienceandanalyticalrigor,the authorsbringahumilityandhumanitythatrecognizestheuniquequalitiesof eachcountry,andtheenormityofthechallengestheyface.Andthediscussionis enrichedbycountrycasestudiesshowingbothpolicysuccessesandfailures,and lessonslearned.

Informedbythisperspectiveandtheongoingpandemic,theIMFisimplementingastrategytoimprovethequalityandeffectivenessofitsengagementwith thesecountries.Wehaverespondedquicklytoacrisislikenoother,withnearly$2 billioninnewlendingto12fragileorconflict-affectedstates,whichwillhelp catalyzedonorsupport.AndtheIMFisalsograntingdebtreliefto21fragilestates, hometoabout313millionpeople.

Wearechangingourlendingfacilitiestoallowforquickerandbettertargeting of financialsupport,andadaptingourpolicyadviceandtechnicalassistanceto accountforthepeculiaritiesofthecrisis.Someofthesechangeswilldoubtless outlastthepandemic.

TheFundandourmostvulnerablememberstatesareonajourneytowarda greener,fairer,smarterrecovery andasafer,brighterfutureforthatchildborn today,andallthosetocome.

Thisbookhelpsusgetthere.

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