Economic Survey of the Netherlands 2025 - Presentation

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NETHERLANDS

Sustaining growth in a rapidly changing global landscape

The Hague

9 July 2025

The Dutch economy has outperformed European peers

A rapidly changing global landscape creates challenges

Global trade policy uncertainty

Note: Value 100 corresponds to a one percent share of articles discussing trade policy uncertainty in the total number of news articles; see Caldara et al. (2020). Source: Downloaded from Trade Policy Uncertainty webpage https://www.matteoiacoviello.com/tpu.htm on 12 June 2025.

Boosting productivity is key

Labour productivity growth

Annual average % change, 2010-2023

Note: Labour productivity refers to GDP per hour worked.

Source: OECD Productivity (database).

Economic growth will be moderate

Source: OECD Economic Outlook: Statistics and Projections (database).

Preserving strong public finances

Past budgetary discipline underpins

Continued

Fiscal balance

Note: Fiscal projections for 2025-2029 incorporate measures as of the Spring Memorandum (Voorjaarsnota) 2025; hatched bars indicate projections by the CPB.

Source: OECD Economic Outlook: Statistics and Projections (database); and Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB).

Remaining competitive in a changing global trade landscape

Dutch supply chains are relatively well diversified

Note: This measure is obtained by first calculating for each product classified at the 6-digit level of the Harmonized System code and for each importing country a concentration index (HHI) across all exporters to that country. Second, the number of products with an HHI equal to or greater than 0.4 is determined as a proportion of all products.

Source: OECD calculations based on the database for the Analysis of International Trade (BACI 2025 edition) provided by the Centre d’Études Prospectives et d’Informations

Increasing digital adoption can boost productivity

Businesses using selected technologies, by size class % of firms, 2024 or latest available year

Note: Firms with at least 10 employees. Small firms are those having 10-49 employees, and large firms 250 employees or more. OECD refers to the simple average of OECD countries with available data per technology. “ICT” refers to information and communication technology. Source: OECD ICT

A stronger lifelong learning culture is needed to

Workers reporting to be under-skilled for their job

% of employed adults aged 25-65 who are not self-employed, 2023

Note: Data is self-reported as part of the OECD Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC). A worker is classified as under-skilled if their skills are lower than those required by their job and need to be further developed.

Source: OECD (2024), Do Adults Have the Skills They

Streamlining insolvency procedures can revive business dynamism and foster competition

Note: EU refers to the average of OECD EU countries. A birth (death) amounts to the creation (dissolution) of a combination of production factors with the restriction that no other enterprises are involved in the event. Births (deaths) do not include entries (exits) into (from) the population due to mergers, break-ups, split-off or restructuring of a set of enterprises. They do not include entries (exits) into a subpopulation resulting only from a change of activity. A birth occurs when an enterprise starts from scratch and actually starts activity. An enterprise creation can be considered an enterprise birth if new production factors, in particular new jobs, are created. If a dormant unit is reactivated within two years, this event is not considered a birth. An enterprise is included in the count of deaths only if it is not reactivated within two years. Source: Eurostat (database).

Support for research and development should be maintained as part of the industrial strategy

Government support for business expenditure on research and development % of GDP, 2023 or latest available year

Source: OECD Research and Development Tax Incentives (database).

Towards affordable housing

Note: “Euro Area” refers to OECD Euro area countries.

Source: OECD Analytical House Price Indicators (database).

Shifting policies from supporting home ownership to increasing housing supply would improve affordability

Public spending on support for home buyers and homeowners

% of GDP, 2022 or latest

Note: Public spending on support for home buyers and homeowners includes tax relief (for example on property transfer tax, stamp duty and mortgage interest), subsidised mortgages and mortgage guarantees for homebuyers, and grants to homebuyers.

Source: OECD Affordable Housing Database.

Strengthening climate policies

Note: Greenhouse gas emissions exclude those from land use, land-use change and forestry; “European Union” refers to the average of all EU countries.

Source: OECD Environmental Statistics (database).

Note: “European Union” refers to the average of OECD EU countries.

Source: International Renewable Energy Agency.

Note: “European Union” refers to the average of all EU countries.

Main messages

FISCAL TRADE

Maintain fiscal prudence and productivity-enhancing public investments, while reducing tax expenditures and reforming the tax-benefit system.

Enhance supply chain resilience, expand digitalisation, and foster a more dynamic business environment to preserve trade competitiveness.

Shift policies away from supporting home ownership and towards increasing housing supply to improve affordability.

Address electricity grid congestion and develop a long-term strategy with clear objectives and timelines to achieve 2030 targets and reach net-zero by 2050.

For more information

Disclaimers:

The statistical data for Israel are supplied by and under the responsibility of the relevant Israeli authorities. The use of such data by the OECD is without prejudice to the status of the Golan Heights, East Jerusalem and Israeli settlements in the West Bank under the terms of international law. This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.

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