December 2023 Monthly Report

December Report

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December report

From our corporate director Dean O’Brien

Hi All, The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) rate hike in November last year marked a significant turn in Melbourne's housing market, with CoreLogic's December Home Value Index (HVI) revealing a 0.3% decrease in home prices for the second month in a row. This downturn is attributed to a series of interest rate increases throughout 2023, adding to eight hikes in 2022, collectively reducing the borrowing capacity of buyers to about 60% of what it was in January 2022.

Despite these challenges, Melbourne's property market saw a moderate overall growth in 2023.

The median price for both houses and units in Melbourne Metro rose by $26,392, an increase of 3.5%. This performance was a significant improvement over 2022, which witnessed an 8.1% decline, although it fell short of the 15.1% surge experienced in 2021.

When compared to the stock market, Melbourne's property trends mirror those of the ASX 200. In 2023, the ASX 200 grew by 7.8%, recovering from a 7.2% decline in 2022 and following a 13.6% rise in 2021, as reported by ABC News.

However, since March 2020, Melbourne has been the lowest-performing capital city in Australia, a trend likely influenced by the profound impact of Covid-19 on Victoria. Regional Victoria also experienced a downturn in 2023, with a 1.6% drop in average median prices for combined dwellings, amounting to over a $9,000 reduction.

On a national scale, home prices across all states and territories saw an 8.1% increase in 2023, recovering from a 4.5% fall in 2022 and building on a 24.5% surge in 2021. The top-performing capital cities in 2023 were Perth (15.2% increase), Brisbane (13.2%), and Sydney (11.1%), which brought Sydney’s median house price to $1,400,000, significantly higher than Melbourne’s $948,041.

These figures suggest that Melbourne, despite recent price suppressions, might offer the best value for buyers and investors in Australia, especially when considering the potential for growth over the next three years.

It's important to remember that this information is general in nature, and individuals should seek independent legal, financial, tax, or other professional advice tailored to their specific circumstances.

Regards, Dean O'Brien Corporate Director

We sell more.

A snapshot of last moths sales

Average sale price

$809,623 Address

Sale price High

Low

$2.1M

$498K

Suburb

Price range

Average days on market

Sale price

46 Days on Number market of buyers

2 Opal Court

Bayswater

3

1

1

748,000 - $820,000

$820,000

63

89

16/31-35 Glen Park Road

Bayswater North

2

1

1

$530,000 - $570,000

$512,000

47

20

7/269 Canterbury Road

Bayswater North

3

1

4

$590,000 - $649,000

$640,000

16

37

7 St Geornes Road

Beaconsfield Upper

4

3

10

$1,950,000 - $2,100,000 $1,890,000

122

41

17 Glenn Erin Way

Berwick

3

2

2

$780,000 - $850,000

$845,000

21

31

1/175 Dorset Road

Boronia

3

2

1

$680,000 -$748,000

$702,500

22

33

18 Medway Crescent

Boronia

3

1

2

$770,000 - $780,000

$750,000

68

99

2/58 Woodvale Road

Boronia

3

3

2

$780,000 - $850,000

$747,500

111

93

5/14 Woodvale Road

Boronia

2

2

1

$550,000 - $600,000

$575,000

26

25

22 Torossi Way

Botanic Ridge

4

2

2

$890,000 - $970,000

$930,000

17

5

12 Pump Hnuse Crescent

Clyde

4

2

2

$695,000 - $760,000

$750,000

37

26

40 Powlett Drive

Clyde

4

2

2

$690,000 - $755,000

$715,000

70

30

1 Pamplona Way

Clyde North

4

2

2

$650,000 - $690,000

$650,000

149

183

10 Pleven Rise

Clyde North

3

2

1

$550,000 - $600,000

$585,000

36

35

12 Arrow Road

Cranbourne East

3

2

2

$650,000 - $715,000

$680,500

30

29

24 Nugget Way

Cranbourne East

3

2

2

$505,000

$498,000

124

147

30 Parkhurst Drive

Cranbourne East

3

2

1

$560,000 - $615,000

$600,000

14

35

6 Ardent Crescent

Cranbourne East

4

2

2

$730,000 - $800,000

$750,000

29

19

9 Lanthorn Crescent

Cranbourne East

3

2

2

$530,000 - $580,000

$550,000

29

23

We sell more.

A snapshot of last months sales

Address

Suburb

3/24 Elizabeth Street

Cranbourne North

2

1

7 Yew Court

Cranbourne North

4

2

1442 Westernport Highway Cranbourne South

Days on Number market of buyers

Price range

Sale price

1

$480,000 - $528,000

$506,000

10

7

4

$680,000 - $740,000

$707,000

29

19

$1,750,000

$1,750,000

97

7

Land

12-14 Olive Road

Devon Meadows

3

1

4

$1,400,000 - $1,500,000 $2,110,000

32

64

27-29 Worthing Road

Devon Meadows

3

2

3

$1,295,000 - $1,375,000 $1,300,000

25

51

8 Chantell Avenue

Endeavour Hills

4

2

2

$795,000 - $835,000

$790,000

0

10

139 Burke Road

Ferntree Gully

3

1

2

$800,000 - $880,000

$931,300

28

83

6/53-55 Frawley Road

Hallam

2

1

1

$485,000 - $533,500

$522,500

38

21

2 Pejaro Court

Knoxfield

4

2

0

$780,000- $858,000

$800,000

19

18

12 Franleigh Drive

Narre Warren

3

2

2

$695,000

$695,000

0

1

8 Woodley Street

Narre Warren

3

2

2

$700,000 - $750,000

$711,000

31

42

9 Wool Shed Road

Narre Warren South

$800,000 - $850,000

$825,000

232

14

12 Ezra Crescent

Officer

2

2

1

$495,000 - $540,000

$515,000

29

10

12 Swamp num Close

Pakenham

3

2

2

$535,000-$580,000

$591,000

9

33

13 Ironbank Circuit

Pakenham

3

1

1

$550,000 - $605,000

$618,000

5

22

26 Elderberry Way

Pakenham

3

2

2

$580,000 - $630,000

$620,000

11

29

29 Grice Quadrant

Pakenham

3

2

1

$560,000 - $595,000

$558,000

49

27

8 Ti-Tree Crescent

Seaford

3

1

1

$690,000 - $720,500

$710,000

0

1

6 Sambur Road

Tooradin

4

2

2

$935,000

$935,000

98

11

24 Fewster Drive

Wantirna South

4

3

2

$1,070,000 - $1,170,000 $1,190,000

25

40

Land

We lease more.

A snapshot of last months sales Average weekly rent.

$523

Average monthly rent.

$2,271

Rental price p/w.

High

Low

$800

$320

Number of suburbs leased in.

Leased price p/w

23

Leased price p/m

Address

Suburb

2/2 Adamson Road

Beaconsfield

3

1

1

$450

$1,955

21 Melzak Way

Berwick

3

2

1

$450

$1,955

2 Tilba Court

Berwick

3

2

2

$500

$2,172

36 St Boswells Avenue

Berwick

4

2

4

$590

$2,563

9 Colson Way

Berwick

4

2

2

$570

$2,476

6 Turella Close

Berwick

4

2

1

$570

$2,476

2 Van Der Haar Avenue

Berwick

3

1

2

$450

$1,955

15 Llano Circuit

Berwick

3

2

2

$520

$2,259

34 Scanlan Street

Berwick

3

2

6

$700

$3,041

16 Juliet Way

Berwick

3

2

1

$510

$2,216

27A Sharpe Court

Berwick

3

1

1

$450

$1,955

9 Orsino Place

Berwick

4

2

2

$600

$2,607

1a Watson Garden

Berwick

3

2

2

$530

$2,302

35 Robertson Crescent

Boronia

3

1

1

$390

$1,694

Unit 105/8 Bambury Street

Boronia

1

1

1

$450

$1,955

27 Woodvale Road

Boronia

4

2

2

$600

$2,607

11-12 Red Ash Close

Botanic Ridge

4

2

2

$1,050

$4,561

21 Orpington Drive

Clyde North

4

2

2

$550

$2,389

39 Springleaf Avenue

Clyde North

3

2

1

$550

$2,389

19 Freiberger Grove

Clyde North

3

2

2

$530

$2,302

We lease more.

A snapshot of last months sales Address

Suburb

Leased price p/w

Leased price p/m

9/278 Narre Warren - Cranbourne Road

Cranbourne East

2

1

1

$420

$1,825

10 Fairlane Court

Cranbourne East

3

2

2

$520

$2,259

22 Gatehouse Parade

Cranbourne East

3

2

2

$520

$2,259

18 Tilden Rise

Cranbourne North

4

2

2

$550

$2,389

14 Coberley Way

Cranbourne North

3

2

2

$530

$2,302

21 Flanagan Crescent

Cranbourne South

4

2

2

$570

$2,476

83 Morningside Boulevard

Cranbourne West

3

2

2

$600

$2,607

Unit 319/16 Clyde Street Mall

Frankston

2

2

1

$390

$1,694

9 Crocus Crescent

Glen Waverley

3

1

2

$550

$2,389

4/5 Windsor Street

Hallam

1

1

1

$350

$1,520

10 Murdoch Place

Langwarrin

3

2

2

$640

$2,780

34 Henry Lawson Drive

Lynbrook

4

2

2

$650

$2,824

40 Demmie Mews

Lyndhurst

2

1

1

$400

$1,738

11 Mermaid Grove

Lyndhurst

4

2

2

$600

$2,607

38 Kurrajong Road

Narre Warren

3

2

6

$580

$2,520

7/363-365 Princes Highway

Noble Park

2

1

1

$470

$2,042

15 Austen Avenue

Officer

4

2

2

$595

$2,585

26 Newbury Street

Pakenham

3

2

2

$490

$2,129

56 Belmont Crescent

Pakenham

3

2

1

$450

$1,955

Unit 2/101 Bergins Road

Rowville

3

2

2

$580

$2,520

17 Rosella Road

Torquay

4

2

2

$700

$3,041

How much Melbourne home prices could rise in 2024: PropTrack Property Market Outlook Report

Ironically, their chances might be improved by landlords selling off rental homes at an accelerated level this year, as Melbourne has more homes for sale than any other capital in part thanks to their exodus.

“There are quite a lot of investors looking to exit Melbourne and Victoria because there are quite a lot of taxes,” he said.

From next year, investment property owners will be hit with increased land tax costs as the state government implements a series of levies to try and recoup Covid-era budget losses.

Real Estate Buyers Agents Association of Australia Victorian representative Luke Assigal echoed the landlord sell off commentary and said he expected the trend could be even more pronounced as planned new taxes on investment and secondary properties came to fruition in the new year.

Melbourne house prices are tipped to rise up to $37,000 in 2024.

But a landlord exodus driven by rising state government taxes that is part of the reason more homes have hit the the market than in any other city over the past year will see the city lag behind almost every other capital.

The PropTrack Property Market Outlook Report has forecast 1-4 per cent for the city’s property market in the next 12 months that could bring the median house price to more than $950,000.

PropTrack economic research director Cameron Kusher said while Melbourne was expected to attract less home price growth than Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth, it could potentially double the about $17,000 (1.9 per cent) growth the Victorian capital unexpectedly notched in 2023.

They had been forecast to decline 7 per cent this year.

Speaking as part of REBAA’s end of year analysis for 2023, Mr Assigal said he believed even an uptick in investor sales next year wouldn’t slow the market and predicted there could be as much as 6 per cent growth — about $55,000 for Melbourne’s $917,000 median-priced home.

But he said the fate of first-home buyers in the new year could rest with the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, who he said could price many back into the market by reducing assessment rates for home loans from the current 3 per cent above the home loan rate of the day.

An interest-rate cut could also drive demand, and Mr Assigal said either scenario could make Melbourne’s undervalued far west, from Werribee to Hoppers Crossing, and outer northern suburbs, like Epping, hot property.

He added that regional areas around Ballarat, followed by Bendigo and Geelong, could also benefit from squeezed homebuyer budgets.

Mr Kusher said despite the fastest increase to interest rates since at least the 1990s, rising costs to build new homes and Victoria accounting for a substantial portion of the nation’s incoming migration would combine to drive home values up.

“The fact we are at or near peak interest rate levels could see more people looking to buy next year,” he said.

While the Outlook report has flagged a tough year for firsthome buyers around Australia, Mr Kusher said record-low rental vacancy rates could drive some of them to find a way to buy a home and escape from increasingly uncertain tenancies.

article source : www.realestate.com.au

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