Truth or Myth -- INSTPP

Truth or Myth?

Integrated North Shore Transportation Planning Project

North Shore Congress June 20, 2018

During rush hour it takes at least twice as long to travel across the North Shore bridges A. True B. False

During rush hour it takes at least twice as long to travel across the North Shore bridges

true

6:00 6:45 7:30 8:15 9:00 9:45 10:30 11:15 12:00 12:45 13:30 14:15 15:00 15:45 16:30 17:15 18:00 18:45 19:30 20:15

Travel Time (mins)

Second Narrows/Highway 1 experiences even longer delays in both peaks

30

25

7 KM

20

15

10

X4

X3

5

0

Hour

Source: Google API

Road congestion is more pronounced in afternoon and mostly related to bridges Afternoon Morning

The North Shore added more jobs than workers in the last few years

A. True B. False

The North Shore added more jobs than workers in the last few years

true

Jobs and working age cohort grew at different rates – labour force import?

Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2011 & 2016

Increased commuting to North Shore from other places

+ 3,700 (20%)

Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2006 & 2016

ish)) mish uam Squa MSq ROM (FRO 67 6700(F

Lions Lions Bay Bay

00 1177

00(FR (FROM OMWh Whistl istler) er)

People from all over the region commute to jobs in the North Shore

North North Shore Shore

625 625

2211 2255

330000

Vancouver Vancouver

tri-cities tri-cities

55 7755

55 339933

99889955

332255 00

Burnaby Burnaby New New Westminster Westminster

3355 55

Surrey Surrey Richmond Richmond

Delta Delta

Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2016 â&#x20AC;&#x201C; trips <100 not included

Langley Langley

ish)) mish uam Squa OSq (TO 70 70(T

Lions Lions Bay Bay

25 25(TO (TOWh er) Whistl istler)

Out-commuting from the North Shore primarily go to Vancouver and Burnaby

00

North North Shore Shore

153 15300

99 1100

441155

Vancouver Vancouver

tri-cities tri-cities

00 4499

00 554400

22334499 55

997700

Burnaby Burnaby New New Westminster Westminster

2244 55

Surrey Surrey Richmond Richmond

Delta Delta

Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2016 - trips <100 not included

Langley Langley

More commuters from Sea-to-Sky to South of the Burrard Inlet 40,000 35,000

1,350

1,000 21,900

30,000

Sea to Sky Commuters

25,000 20,000

15,000

Rest of North Shore Commuters

18,200

10,000 5,000 Yr 2006

Yr 2016

Source: Statistics Canada, Census 2006 & 2016

Second Narrows traffic is regional whereas Lions Gate and SeaBus are more localized

Source: Cellint Traffic Solutions & TransLink Compass

The boom in construction is the main reason the Second Narrows is so congested now A. True B. False

The boom in construction is the main reason the Second Narrows is so congested now

false

The boom has added traffic but there are other factors at play Housing Starts

Second Narrows Weekday Traffic

2,500

132,000 130,000

Housing Starts

Reverse of directions

128,000 126,000

1,500

124,000 122,000

1,000

120,000

118,000

500

116,000

0

114,000

2010

2011

Source: District of North Vancouver & BC MOTI

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Traffic Volume

Moving in different directions

2,000

The toll removal on Port Mann and Golden Ears increased weekday traffic on Second Narrows A. True B. False

The toll removal on Port Mann and Golden Ears increased weekday traffic on Second Narrows

false

Weekday traffic did not change, weekend traffic increased < 0.5% +4.5%

Source: BC MOTI

Trucks are adding heavily to congestion on Highway 1 A. True B. False

Trucks are adding heavily to congestion on Highway 1

false

Trucks mostly travel outside the peaks, are a very small share of traffic, and are a much lower share than other major roads and bridges

2%

Source: BC MOTI

0.5%

Upper Levels Highway carries significant intra-North Shore traffic

A. True B. False

Upper Levels Highway carries significant intra-North Shore traffic

true

The North Shore has the highest use of freeway for municipal trips Share of Trips on Freeway that Are Local Only 25%

20%

2,600

15%

2,100

10%

5%

500 200

50

100

0% North_Shore

Coquitlam + Burnaby

Surrey

Source: TransLink Regional Transportation Model

Richmond

PME_MR

Delta

A new 10-lane Second Narrows Bridge would have enough capacity to serve travel demand well into the future

A. True B. False

A new 10-lane Second Narrows Bridge would have enough capacity to serve travel demand well into the future

false

Future peak hour travel delay would be similar to today

Current (2016)

10-lane SN Brdg (2045)

Source: High level estimates from the Regional Transportation Model

Congestion and variability if 10lane bridge is built today

Rapid transit extension to the North Shore will relieve congestion on the bridges A. True B. False

Rapid transit extension to the North Shore will relieve congestion on the bridges

false

Need a co-ordinated approach with supportive land use, transportation investments & demand management

Current (2016)

Base Case (2045)

Rapid Transit (2045)

Rapid Transit + Pricing (2045)

Managing demand by some form of pricing could help relieve congestion

A. True B. False

Managing demand by some form of pricing could help relieve congestion

True

Transportation modelling suggests pricing could be influential in addressing person delay

10-lane Bridge

Rapid Transit

Regional Pricing

Rapid Transit + Pricing

A small drop in bridge traffic volume could result in noticeable improvement in traffic flow

A. True B. False

A small drop in bridge traffic volume could result in noticeable improvement in traffic flow

true

A drop of 5% - 10% in traffic volume results in significant travel time savings

Source: BC MOTI and Google API