Mexico Oil and Gas Summit 2023 - Impact Report

Page 1

IMPACT REPORT


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A decade has passed since President Enrique Peña Nieto’s Energy Reform. Since then, the Mexican oil and gas industry has undergone profound changes. In the initial four years following the reform’s implementation, market participation expanded significantly and CNH’s bidding rounds generated valuable subsurface data for Mexico. However, concerns arose after the cancellation of bidding rounds in 2018 and PEMEX’s resurfacing as a favorite in the government’s energy policy. Despite some operators scaling back their operations, the industry has shown remarkable resilience. Operators have found innovative ways to collaborate with PEMEX and there are promising developments on the horizon, including projects like Zama and Trion. Experts highlight substantial potential in Mexico’s upstream sector, with major oil companies persevering and continuing their operations while adhering to strict regulations. These companies keep placing their bets on long-term investments in the country. The upcoming 2024 elections represent a decisive moment for the industry. Mexico has fallen significantly short of its oil production and refining targets, which were revised downward during the administration. These factors pose considerable investment risks to Mexico. Nonetheless, in the global context, Mexico has emerged as an attractive option for reconfiguring commercial routes and global trade strategies. At the same time, both public and private industry participants must start looking at more environmentally friendly operations, should they wish to remain relevant in the years to come. Months before a new change in administration and possibly further transformation to the national industry, experts shared their insights and perspectives on the state of the national oil and gas industry at Mexico Oil and Gas Summit 2023, as well as strategies to remain competitive and navigate the specific particularities of the country’s industry.


4

C on f erence I mpact

150

10

35

companies

sponsors

speakers

268

3,464

10th

conference participants

visitors to the conference website

edition

Breakdown by job title Conference social media impact 33% Manager/VP 24% CEO/CM/GD/MD 23% Partner/Associate/ Leader/Specialist 19% Director

Pre-conference social media impact

9,735 direct impressions during MOGS

77,264 direct pre-conference LinkedIn impressions

3.14% click through rate during MOGS

2.42% pre-conference click through rate

5.25% conference engagement rate

3.09% pre-conference engagement rate

Mexico’s leading B2B conference organizer introduces the world’s leading event networking platform. Delivering intent-based matchmaking powered by Artificial Intelligence that connects the right people. Network, no matter where you are.

138

participants

Matchmaking intentions

423

matchmaking communications

56

1:1 meetings conducted

808 Trading Total

1,126

33 Recruitment 105 Investment 180 Networking


5

C ompan y Attendance

ABB México

Emerson

Administración del Sistema Portuario Nacional de Manzanillo

Endress + Hauser Mexico

Eni Mexico

Administración del Sistema Portuario Nacional Tuxpan

Eseasa Offshore

Fieldwood Energy

AGBB RASARE

Frontera Offshore

Agencia Estatal de Energía

Fueltrax

Ainda, Energía & Infraestructura

GADM

Akali Marine

Geodis

ALCON Laboratorios

GESA Supplies and Services

AMEXHI

GOLFO ENERGY AMERICAS SA DE CV

API Tamaulipas

Gonzalez Calvillo

Apollo X

Goodrich, Riquelme y Asociados

Aqueos

Grupo Cofli

ASEA

Grupo Diavaz

Baker Hughes

Grupo Industrial Águila

Balam Energy

GRUPO KONJIC

Biaani’ Energy

Grupo roales

Blin Co.

BME Shipping

GRUPO WALWORTH INDUSTRIAL DE VALVULAS SA DE CV IVA760914GV5

BP

Gulf Supply

Brilliant Energy

Heerema

Buckman

Hitachi Energy

BUPA México & BUPA Global Latin America

Hokchi Energy

CBM Ingeniería Exploración y Producción

Holland & Knight

Cemza

Holland House Mexico

Champion X

HR Ratings de Mexico SA de CV

Cheiron Holdings LTDA

IGSA

Citla Energy

In Hole Solutions

Coast Oil Dynamic

Indumar

Comisión Nacional de Hidrocarburos

Inerco Consultoría México

Consultant

Instituto Mexicano del Petróleo

Control Union

Integralia Consultores

Core Laboratories

IPD Latin America

Cotemar

IPS powerful People

CSIPA

J RAY MCDERMOTT

Cuatre Casas

Jaguar Exploration and Production

Diavaz E&P

John Crane

DNV Energy Systems Mexico

Kepler Oil & Gas

Dubai Chamber

Kiewit

Educatrade

KPMG

Embajada de los Estados Unidos


6

C ompan y Attendance

LATIN AMERICAN RAINMAKERS BUSINESS MANAGEMENT SERVICES

RenaissanceOil Corp

Repsol

Lean Energy & Automation

Repsol

Lifting

Roca Port

LRQA

ROSEN Group México

Lukoil Lubricants Mexico

S&P Global

Lukoil Upstream Mexico

Samson Group

M&L Estudio Legal

SECRETARIA DE DESARROLLO ENERGÉTICO

McDermott

Secretaria de Desarrollo Energético de Tamaulipas

McKinsey & Company

Secretaria de Energia

Mexico Pacific Limited

SEVEN SEAS ENERGY MEXICO S.A. DE C.V.

Moody

SGS

Moody´s Investors Service

Shell

Murphy Oil

SICK Sensor Intelligence

Naviera Integral

SLB

Noatum Project Cargo

Sotaog

NRGI Broker

SUMIMSA

OCA Global

SUMMUM

OH Maritime Services

The Mudlogging Company

OILMEX ENERGY

TIP

Oleum Energy

Total Energies E&P México

Oracle

TREBOTTI

PC Carigali Mexico Operations

Tubería y Válvulas del Norte (TUVANSA)

PEMEX

U.S. Commercial Service

Perenco

Vera & Associates

PETRONAS MEXICO

Vista

PGS

VMS Energy de México

Picarro

Wamex

Porter Dos Bocas

Wesco Anixter

Porter Holding

Westland Americas Offshore

Prime Marine Services

Wintershall Dea

Protexa

Woodside Energy

Qualitech

Worldwise Consulting

R.H Shipping

Xincheng Special Steel America, Inc

R9 Holdings


7

P rogram D ay 1

08:55

WELCOME TO MEXICO OIL & GAS SUMMIT 2023

09:00

THE POLITICAL SCENARIOS OF 2024 AND THEIR IMPACT ON ENERGY POLICY

Speaker: Carlos Ramírez, Integralia 09:30

PEMEX’S FINANCIAL, DEBT AND CASH FLOW OUTLOOK

Moderator: Alejandra León, S&P Global Panelists: Roxana Muñóz, Moody’s Investors Service Félix Boni, HR Ratings México José Pablo Rinkenbach, AINDA John Padilla, IPD latam 10:30

A LOOK INTO THE FISCAL REGIMEN OF LICENSING AND SHARED PRODUCTION CONTRACTS

Speaker: Elizabeth Castro, CNH 11:00

NETWORKING COFFEE BREAK

12:00

THE ROLE OF PRIVATE OPERATORS IN MEXICO’S UPSTREAM OIL & GAS INDUSTRY

Moderator: Ivan Sandrea, Westlawn Americas Offshore (WAO) Panelists: Alma América Porres, CNH Giorgio Guidi, Eni Mexico Andrés Brügmann, Hokchi Energy Warren Levy, Jaguar Exploration and Production Martin Jungbluth, Wintershall Dea

13:00

STRATEGIC ALLIANCE WITH PEMEX: DEVELOPING ZAMA

Speaker: Sylvain Petiteau, Wintershall Dea 13:30

NETWORKING LUNCH

15:00

SUPPLY CHAIN OUTLOOK ON BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES AND INDUSTRY TRENDS

Moderator: Alberto Galvis, Citla Energy Panelists: William Antonio, SLB Miguel Carreón, Baker Hughes César Vera, BME Shipping Daniel Zuluaga, SUMMUM

16:00

PROCUREMENT PRIORITIES, LOCAL CONTENT OPTIMIZATION AND SUPPLIER DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES

Moderator: Miriam Grunstein, Brilliant Energy Consulting Panelists: Marcos Ávalos, Tubería y Válvulas del Norte (TUVANSA) Héctor Canizales, Baker Hughes Joel Zúñiga, Fieldwood Energy Rafael Rodríguez, Grupo Industrial Águila 17:00 NETWORKING COCKTAIL


8

P R O G R A M D AY 2

08:55

WELCOME TO MEXICO OIL & GAS SUMMIT 2023 - DAY 2

09:00

A REVIEW OF MEXICO’S ENERGY REFORM AFTER 10 YEARS

Speaker: Óscar Roldán, R9 Holdings 09:30

PERSPECTIVES ON ESG FROM THE SUSTAINABILITY COMMITTEE IN PEMEX

Speaker: Lorenzo Meyer, PEMEX 10:00

THE CHALLENGE OF OPTIMIZING PRODUCTION AND DELIVERING ON ESG OBJECTIVES

Moderator: Ignacio Quesada, McKinsey & Company Panelists: James Buis, ChampionX Eckhard Hinrichsen, DNV Energy Systems Mexico Brad McNeill, Frontera Offshore Sara Landon, Inerco 11:00

NETWORKING COFFEE BREAK

12:00

SUPREME COURT AND ENERGY SECTOR: WHAT ARE THE CONSTITUTIONAL LIMITS ON LEGISLATIVE, EXECUTIVE POWER

Moderator: David Enríquez, Goodrich, Riquelme y Asociados Panelists: Claudio Rodríguez-Galán, Holland & Knight Enrique González Calvillo, González Calvillo 13:00

TRANSFORMING MEXICO’S DEEPWATER POTENTIAL INTO RESERVES AND PRODUCTION

Speaker: Stephan Drouaud, Woodside Energy 13:30

END OF MEXICO OIL & GAS SUMMIT 2023


9

C on f erence H ighlights THE POLITICAL SCENARIOS OF 2024 AND THEIR IMPACT ON ENERGY POLICY Mexico’s energy landscape has undergone

The suspension of bidding rounds in 2018

significant changes over the last decade.

created uncertainty for private operators.

About four years after the implementation of

While the prevailing sentiment in 2018 was

new regulations to follow the Energy Reform,

one of continuity. By 2019 and 2020, this

the oil and gas industry started to develop

shifted to cautious optimism. The current

as private operators won blocks to carry

a d m in is tratio n h a s m a d e su bs t a ntia l

out exploration activities. The cancellation

i nve s tm e n t s i n P E M E X a n d re fi n i n g ,

of new bidding rounds and the government’s

injecting capital and providing tax breaks.

favoritism toward PEMEX, however, are

However, the refining sector has proven to

creating a challenging scenario for the

be unprofitable, as the Dos Bocas refinery

future of the overall industry. Now, with a

project has experienced significant cost

new presidential election on the horizon,

overruns and multiple delays. At the same

understanding the different visions of the

time, energy price volatility in 2022, driven

two main candidates is key to preparing

by the Russian-Ukraine conflict, heightened

for future changes in industry policies and

the importance of energy self-sufficiency for

regulations.

governments.

The arrival of the new government in 2018

Mexico has fallen significantly short of its oil

marked a significant shift in the direction

production and refining targets, which were

of the oil and gas industry, prioritizing the

revised downward during the administration.

rescue of state-owned companies. However,

These factors pose considerable investment

this move came with numerous challenges,

risks to Mexico. Nonetheless, in the global

particularly given PEMEX’s substantial debt

context, Mexico has emerged as an attractive

burden, a problem the administration has

option for reconfiguring commercial routes

been grappling with for the past five years.

and global trade strategies. Disruptions caused by the pandemic and European conflicts have prompted a reevaluation of supply chains and trade routes. Given its proximity to the world’s largest consumer market, the US , Mexico has become an obvious choice for companies seeking to relocate operations closer to their target markets. In 2023, Mexico has experienced a substantial increase in foreign direct investment (FDI). This surge, according to experts, underscores the potential that companies perceive in Mexico, driven by the nearshoring trend. In 2024, the country is scheduled to hold presidential elections. Typically, during an election year and the first year of a new administration, investment tends to decrease as stakeholders await clarity on the strategies of the incoming government. With the announcement of the two primary presidential candidates, Claudia Sheinbaum a n d Xó c h itl G á lvez , ex p e r t s i n iti a l ly


10

C on f erence H ighlights

anticipated that energy policy might not be

participants: Sheinbaum, Gálvez, a candidate

a central focus of their campaigns. However,

from Movimiento Ciudadano and other

both candidates have openly articulated

independent candidates. Ramírez notes

their energy strategies and viewpoints,

that having more than three candidates is

including their willingness or lack thereof,

the least likely scenario. Another scenario

to engage with the private sector.

anticipates an election featuring only Sheinbaum and Gálvez, which is also an

The next few years will be a pivotal period for

unlikely occurrence. Finally, he underscores

investors seeking opportunities in Mexico.

that the most probable scenario involves

The country will also need to determine

Sheinbaum, Gálvez, and a candidate from

how best to leverage this heightened

Movimiento Ciudadano, with Nuevo Leon

investor interest.

Governor Samuel García emerging as the most likely candidate.

In this context, Carlos Ramírez, Political and Economic Risk Consultant at Integralia,

In the latter scenario, Ramírez emphasizes

emphasizes the importance of monitoring

that the coalition led by Gálvez would be

not only the federal elections but also

the most affected team, as García has the

considering various other factors that

potential to attract votes from Gálvez’s

influence the Mexican political landscape.

supporters. Under these circumstances,

These factors include elections in both

the scenario where Sheinbaum emerges

the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate,

as the winner appears to be the most likely

as well as elections in 31 local congresses.

outcome. However, Ramírez cautions that

Additionally, changes in city halls and

nothing is set in stone and various factors

governor elections in nine states, including

could lead to different results. According

Mexico City, contribute significantly to the

to Integralia’s analysis, the most probable

overall political dynamics.

scenario is Sheinbaum winning the election by a moderate margin, accompanied by

When considering these pivotal factors,

a balanced congress. “Another factor to

Ramírez directs attention to potential

consider is the Mexico-US relationship. If the

scenarios for the federal presidential

republicans win the elections in the US, the

election. The first scenario envisions a

upcoming Mexican government will have a

presidential race with more than two

difficult scenario,” he added.


11

C on f erence H ighlights Ra m írez s a id th at wh o eve r win s th e

CFE. Ramírez also notes the unlikelihood of

elections will inherit both positive and

oil bidding rounds, with a small probability

negative factors. The positive ones being a

of farmouts occurring. “Sheinbaum may

nearshoring momentum, relatively robust

continue with López Obrador’s agenda, but

macroeconomic indicators, improvements

with a tighter maneuvering margin that will

in some social indicators and a society that

force her to make hard decisions, very soon,

trusts more on the government. On the

including a fiscal reform,” he noted.

negative side, he highlights tight public finances, significant liabilities like PEMEX’s

G álvez is anticipated to prioritize

debt burden, bottlenecks in the energy

m a cro e co n o mic s t a bilit y, a lb e it with

sector and low governance capabilities to

associated costs. Regarding hydrocarbons,

make public policies.

Ra m í rez h ig h lig ht s th at , d e s p ite h e r reser vations about the sector, Gálvez

Ramírez emphasizes that a Sheinbaum

recognizes its significance for attracting

presidency means a continuation of President

new investment s and resources . This

López Obrador’s policies but in a different

acknowledgment may lead to the

context. While maintaining macroeconomic

retention of the 2013 oil legal framework.

stability is a priority, it will involve additional

I n t h e e n e r g y s e c to r, G á l ve z m i g h t

costs due to the changed circumstances.

e m p h a s ize re g i o n a l iz a ti o n , e n a b l i n g

The same challenges apply to social-focused

greater involvement of state governments

policies, which may encounter budgetary

under the guidance of the federation.

constraints. Ramírez points out that although

Additionally, she is likely to enhance

Sheinbaum is expected to uphold energy

regulatory agencies by granting them more

nationalism, her clearer stance on climate

autonomy and changing the commissioner

change and a constrained maneuvering

nomination process, while ditching the

margin may prompt a reevaluation of the

country’s current hyperfocus on refining.

sector, potentially opening the door to

Gálvez may also encourage increased

negotiations with private companies. Still,

private sector participation in PEMEX and

it is likely that she will maintain support for

CFE and a diminished emphasis on refinery

state-producing companies like PEMEX and

operations.

PEMEX’S FINANCIAL, DEBT AND CASH FLOW OUTLOOK President Andrés Manuel López

our society, especially in energy security

Obrador’s energy strategy has focused on

matters,” says Alejandra León, Latin America

strengthening state-owned companies.

Upstream Director, S&P Global. The NOC,

However, PEMEX’s debt has raised concerns

however, is the most indebted state energy

due to the lack of liquidity to continue with

company in the world, with US$25 billion in

projects. Its infrastructure continues to age

short-term debt and US$4 billion in bonds

and despite significant capital injections to

that are still due in 2023. Overall, PEMEX’s

develop new projects, projects have faced

total debt amounts to over US$100 billion.

various setbacks. The following years will be crucial for the NOC as it grapples with

Credit rating companies have closely

mounting debt and difficulties in securing

monitored the NOC, warning of the potential

further financing, say experts.

risk that the company may become unable to meet its financial obligations. To continue

PEMEX produces 90% of the oil and gas

dealing with this massive debt, PEMEX has

in the country and holds 75-80% of the

received significant injections of federal

discovered resources in the country.

capital. Still, according to Fitch Ratings, PEMEX represents the greatest concern

“The company is a dominant player and its

in terms of liquidity and debt among Latin

performance has a significant impact on

American oil companies.


12

C on f erence H ighlights

The size of the debt is a significant issue,

government ’s spending control “more

reflects Roxana Muñoz, Vice President and

rigid.” These spending dynamics will limit

Senior Analyst, Corporate Finance Group,

the fiscal room for the government in the

Moody’s Investors Service and achieving

future. For the next fiscal year, the federal

a sustainable balance by cutting capital

government plans a total net expenditure of

expenditures (CAPEX) by 32% is not a

MX$9.06 trillion (US$526 billion), which is

sustainable solution. Muñoz highlights the link

4.3% higher in real terms compared to what

between PEMEX’s debt and its tax burden,

was approved for this year.

noting instances where it has struggled to make Shared Profit Right (DUC) payments

The NOC has refinanced its debt over the

due to its tax obligations. Reducing this

last couple of years. However, growing

tax burden, she suggests, could improve

concerns driven by accidents in PEMEX’s

PEMEX’s cash flow and financial stability.

installations, delays in flagship projects and other factors have affected the company’s

Félix Boni, Chief Credit Officer, Economic

credit rating, which has made acquiring

Analysis, HR Ratings Mexico, points out

more debt increasingly costly. PEMEX’s debt

that in 2021, after accounting for CAPEX,

with its suppliers has also triggered a series

PEMEX had a net income of MX$18 billion

of complaints to the SHCP. At least three

(US$1 billion). Still, it had to pay taxes of

affected companies have already notified the

MX$260 billion (US$14.5 billion). Moving on

start of the dispute resolution process due to

to 2022, which was significant in oil price

lack of payment, suspending their services,

levels, PEMEX generated a net cash flow

or lodging angry complaints.

after CAPEX of MX$186 billion (US$10.3 billion). However, it had to allocate MX$367

Muñoz mentioned that, as part of Moody’s

billion (US$20.3 billion) to debt payments,

ratings, the firm considers a standalone

while receiving MX$219 billion (US$12.1

rating of caa3. However, given that the

billion) from the federal government. With

NOC is so intrinsically tied to the federal

such a substantial tax burden, it becomes

government and the support it can offer, its

challenging to manage its debt payments.

rating is boosted to B1.

Moody’s Investors Service has warned

The firm estimates that in 2023-24, PEMEX

that consistent support for PEMEX and

will require around US$14 billion in assistance

priority programs such as pensions and

to close the year. However, José Pablo

flagship projects are making the federal

Rinkenbach, Executive Director of Asset


13

C on f erence H ighlights further straining PEMEX’s resources. The refinery has also raised questions regarding its profitability. Rinkenbach suggests that, in terms of refining, the most prudent course of action is to exit this sector. What truly matters is the efficiency at which operations are conducted. Refineries must operate at a 96% rate to be profitable. In contrast, PEMEX has historically operated at an efficiency rate of only 30-40%, a performance level that “burns cash, rather than generating it,” Rinkenbach adds. John Padilla, Managing Director, IPD Latin America, mentions that the NOC’s production costs have also increased by 60% in just the past two years. For years, PEMEX had maintained a low production cost against the international benchmark, comparable only to Arabian countries. However, in 2022, costs surged to US$18/b against 2020 and this upward trend is expected to continue. As the global oil industry faces mounting pressure to meet demand while transitioning to more sustainable practices, experts caution that Mexico’s heavy reliance on fossil fuels without a clearly defined mitigation Management and ESG at AINDA Energía &

and long-term strategy, including a gradual

Infraestructura, argues that the Ministry of

reduction in fossil fuel dependence, could

Finance and Public Credit (SHCP) has now

prove to be exceedingly costly for the nation.

exhausted its options for assisting PEMEX

Muñoz highlights PEMEX’s risk of accessing

since, over the past five years, the SHCP has

refinancing opportunities both in the short

seen a net debt increase of US$6 billion for

and long term, as some banks, especially in

PEMEX. Over the years, the ministry has had

Europe, are closing financing lines for the

to inject US$42 billion into the company. This

sector in favor of greener alternatives.

financial infusion was divided into 50% to pay off debt, 45% for the Dos Bocas refinery and

To improve PEMEX’s cash flow and address

5% for other expenses. SHCP has resorted to

balance-related issues, Rinkenbach calls

capital injections, reducing PEMEX’s profit-

for a systemic change. This could entail a

sharing tax rate from 60% to 35%, granting

government bailout where the government

tax credits and deferring profit-sharing taxes.

assumes the debt and makes it sovereign, formalizing the current situation where

The state company is expected to fall

PEMEX accumulates debt through the federal

short of meeting the administration’s initial

government. Alternatively, transitioning from

production, export and refining objectives,

assignments to contracts could be a solution.

including the president ’s commitment

This transition would enable PEMEX to secure

to achieve energy self-sufficiency. This

financing not at the corporate level but on a

commitment received strong support through

project-by-project basis using its reserves as

the construction of the Dos Bocas refinery,

assets to back up financing. This approach

which experienced multiple delays and

would lower the financing costs for PEMEX

nearly doubled its original budget allocation,

and help it face its upcoming obligations.


14

C on f erence H ighlights

FISCAL REGIMEN OF LICENSING, SHARED PRODUCTION CONTRACTS The past five years have been marked by the

contract). Companies can then calculate the

suspension of bidding rounds and farmouts

project’s profit by subtracting the Project

and numerous personnel changes at the

Costs (investment and operating expenses)

head of PEMEX and regulatory agencies.

from the VCH.

However, rather than rip up private contracts as feared, the government instead re-stated

Profit comes from exploration and extraction

its commitment to honor those contracts after

activities and is distributed between the State

a period of review. A closer look into the fiscal

and the Operator. The State receives income

regimen of the two contracts through which

from compensatory payments and taxes. The

operators function in Mexico is necessary to

Operator receives the remainder after making

understand the fiscal importance of operators

these payments to the State and covering the

in the industry.

project’s costs.

Private production and exploration have

T h e r e f o r e , c o n c e p t u a l l y, t h e F i s c a l

yielded significant results for the development

Regime is the mechanism that defines

of the industry. At the same time, these

the distribution of oil profits between

companies can represent an important

the State and the Operator, meaning the

part of income to public finances regarding

way in which the State collects income

hydrocarbon management. In Mexico, the

derived from hydrocarbon exploration and

legal framework allows operators to carry

extraction activities.

out exploration and extraction activities under four contractual modalities: License,

Ac c o r d i n g to C a s t ro , p l aye r s i n t h e

Shared Production, Profit Sharing and

hydrocarbon industry can reach out to

Services contracts, explains Elizabeth Castro,

the National Hydrocarbon Commission

Head, National Hydrocarbon Information

(CNH) for specific guidance regarding

Center (CNIH).

the fiscal regime. Audits are a mechanism through which operators can receive this

Operators normally work under either a

guidance. Currently, in Mexico, there are

License or Shared Production contract,

108 assigned contracts from which 76 are

both of which are subject to the concept

under a License and 31 under a Shared

of Contractual Hydrocarbon Value (VCH),

Production regime.

defined as the volume of each type of hydrocarbon (oil, gas, and condensates)

C a s tro e m p h a s ize s th a t it i s c r iti c a l

produced, multiplied by its corresponding

that the State generates efficient and

Contractual Price (stipulated in each

effective fiscal models for collection in


15

C on f erence H ighlights the hydrocarbon sector. As the Mexican oil

the country. In its technical evaluation for

and gas industry opened to private players,

the updated 2023 Five-Year Exploration

the Energy Reform made clear the ownership

and Production Plan, CNH revealed that

of the nation’s resources as this holds a heavy

there is 23% of the territory that currently

political weight in Mexico’s context.

lacks activity but holds characterized and available remaining reserves for development.

As of 2023, the government has benefited

Moreover, during the 12th extraordinary

state-owned companies like PEMEX and CFE,

session of the governing body, CNH pushed

despite concerns about public finances and

to increase this potential an additional 5%,

energy market management. This situation

represented by unconventional resources

coincides with a turbulent political landscape

ready for extraction.

in Mexico, particularly in the lead-up to the 2024 elections.

I n 2 02 2 , m o re th a n 2 0 b l o c k s we re abandoned, although CNH stated that this is

CNH has previously urged SENER to analyze

a normal process as operators decide to focus

the possibility of reactivating oil tenders in

on the most promising projects.

THE ROLE OF PRIVATE OPERATORS IN UPSTREAM OIL & GAS Private offshore operators have played

private participation from scratch and

an important role in advancing flagship

approximately 80% of contracts awarded to

projects and striving to meet production

private companies were for exploration, a

targets. However, since 2019, these players

venture that represents high risk in itself. This

h ave f a ce d n u m e ro u s o b s t a cl e s a n d

opened the door to gain greater knowledge

uncertainties, as the current administration

of previously untapped areas for Mexico.

has made PEMEX the focal point of their

However, it should also be considered that

energy strategy. Nevertheless, companies

usually this exploration must go further and

have adopted various strategies to curb the

the granting of more areas serves to move

growing uncertainty.

the industry forward as companies can progress and decide which areas are more

“Despite the challenges, it is important

promising, thus driving the entire industry.

to r e c o g n i ze w h e r e M e x i c o s t a r te d from,” says Alma América Porres Luna,

Experts concur that it would be a mistake

Former Commissioner, CNH. She explains

to assume that no progress has been made

that M exico craf ted regulation for

in Mexico’s oil and gas ventures. For Warren


16

C on f erence H ighlights reflects the emergence of a brand-new industry in Mexico, despite the presence of a well-established service chain for the oil and gas sector. We transitioned from having just one company to about 70,” mentions Andrés Brügmann, Vice President, Hokchi Energy. Regulation for the industry was initially created without prior experience, but now, after several years of hands-on involvement, operators have the opportunity to refine and adapt them for greater clarity and efficiency. “The learning curve during this period has been quite fascinating and we have received substantial support along the L ev y, C E O , J a g u a r E x p l o r a t i o n a n d

way. However, an area for improvement

Production, it is important to highlight that

lies in the opportunity to streamline these

regulation in Mexico can be also seen in a

regulations,” says Giorgio Guidi, Managing

positive light, as a strict approach can make

Director, Eni Mexico. “We are not new to oil

operators more attention-to-detail oriented,

but we are new to Mexico.”

especially given the specific context of the country. Moreover, private players can

Moreover, despite the substantial support

enhance Mexico’s industry and some changes

that PEMEX has received in managing its

are indeed necessary for it to happen.

debt, the state-owned company has also struggled to meet its financial commitments

“When we discuss the Mexican industry within its unique context, it becomes evident that merely restarting bidding rounds may not suffice. The reason being, the industry calls for more experience and expertise to navigate this intricate landscape”

Warren Levy CEO | Jaguar Exploration and Production

to certain stakeholders, which puts strain on the company’s performance and the country’s overall production targets. Still, experts agree on the potential there is to develop a strong oil and gas industry in Mexico, including a strong and skilled workforce. In the words of Ivan Sandrea, Co-Founder and CEO, Westlawn Americas O ff s h o re ( WAO), “ M exi co s ti l l h o l d s great potential and that shows through the presence of important oil majors in

The promise of the 2014 Energy Reform

the country.”

h a s b e e n p a r t i a l l y r e a l ize d . P r i v a te operators entered the Mexican oil and

Being PEMEX a key player in this industry, its

gas market with enthusiasm, attracted

development is also of interest for all parties

by the prospect of accessing previously

with stake in oil and gas, be them public or

inaccessible reserves. However, they have

private. Furthermore, private players can

faced challenges along the way, such as

also help the company to leverage Mexico’s

complex regulatory frameworks, security

resources. As Levy mentions, all private

concerns and logistical hurdles. Despite

operators work with PEMEX in some shape

these obstacles, private operators have

or form. “I firmly believe that the key to

made substantial investments and achieved

success lies in collaboration between the

significant milestones in terms of production

private and public sectors. When these two

and exploration. “In my view, this situation

entities work together, progress can be


17

C on f erence H ighlights achieved harmoniously. It is evident that in

one of the particularities of the Mexican

recent years, the industry has witnessed a

industry is the delays in PEMEX’s payments

profound understanding of exploration and

to suppliers, which in turn drive up prices.

production (E&P) among its participants,”

If this could get corrected, it would mean

mentions Martin Jungbluth, Managing

an improvement in Mexico’s industry’s

Director, Managing Director of Mexico,

competitiveness.

Wintershall Dea. A great example of this collaboration is the Zama field, which after

Sandrea highlights that the operators that

a few years of negotiations both the private

remain in Mexico do so because there are

and public sectors reached an agreement

things they do correctly. Porres agrees,

that could benefit both parties.

mentioning that operators held up to regulator’s standards committing to their

Still, it is critical that PEMEX can also meet

development plans and timings, even in

privates in the middle. Experts mention that

difficult times such as the pandemic.

STRATEGIC ALLIANCE WITH PEMEX: DEVELOPING ZAMA Zama is considered to be one of the most

was the first unitization process carried out

promising shallow water fields in the world.

in Mexico. Nevertheless, this past October

However, its development has followed a

2022, following President López Obrador’s

rocky path, as it was later discovered that

intervention, the situation was resolved. It was

the reservoir extended into PEMEX’s Uchukil

announced that the Joint Development Plan

project. Still, a resolution came in due time

of the Zama Field would be presented to CNH

and now the field is line to become one of

by March 2023, with the NOC as the leading

Mexico’s most important developments.

operator of the block.

The development of the Zama field stalled

PEMEX included the development of the

due to the disagreement between PEMEX

Zama field as one of the Top 5 priority

and the consortium formed by Wintershall

projects for its 2023-2037 investments. The

Dea, Talos Energy and Harbour Energy. This

38 projects contemplated for PEMEX’s 20232037 Business Plan consider an estimated investment of MX$1.1 trillion (US$58.613 billion). Wintershall Dea is focusing on actively contributing as a partner to the Zama asset to ensure that the field is developed in the most efficient timeframe and in the best possible technical manner. According to Block 7 ’s approved Unit Development Plan, the project consists of 46 wells, of which 29 are producers and 17 water injectors that could be developed with Tender-Assisted Drilling or Modular Platform rigs, featuring double frac-pack in all wells with the option of artificial lifts using ESPs when needed. Sylvain Petiteau, Management Office at Zama Integrated Project Team, Wintershall Dea, highlighted that the project aims


18

C on f erence H ighlights to incorporate two offshore platforms.

capitalizing talent and capabilities of the

These could include a gas-liquid separator,

different companies’ teams, building trust

sending the separated components to the

and simplifying the companies’ decision-

shore. Additionally, there will be a seawater

making processes, among others. “The

treatment plant to treat and inject water

idea is to work as Zama, not as individual

for onshore energy production. The project

companies. I am not saying this is the ideal

would need the construction of two 63.5km

model and all companies must follow it.

pipelines for transporting gas and liquids

Every project has its specific features, but

to the shore. Furthermore, a power cable

exploring the capabilities and differences

extending from the shore is required.

between the Zama team’s members, this

“Both the cable and the pipelines will be

is something we perceived as positive,”

connected to newly constructed, exclusively

Petiteau said.

Z a m a - d e dic ate d o n sh o re p ro ce s sin g facilities along the Dos Bocas coast. This

The next phase of the plan is taking action

comprehensive infrastructure is designed to

by conducting engineering studies, which

support the efficient processing of resources

are currently in the pre-bidding process.

from the Zama project until achieving

The team expects to get the green light by

delivery objectives,” he highlighted.

the end of 2023 and conduct the studies by 2024. The Zama team is set to create

Petiteau stressed that the Zama partners

a trust to give the project a bit more

d e c i d e d to c re ate w h at th ey c a l l a n

independence from PEMEX’s finances.

Integrated Project Team (IPT) to foster

“There will be a lot of challenges as in

collaboration in a more efficient way.

every project, but we proved that after

Among the objectives of this partnership

previous challenges, we are here talking

are to execute activities related to the Unit

about the development of Zama, which

Development Plan, complying with the

proves the team’s capacity to deliver,”

obligations of the Unification Resolution,

Petiteau stated.

SUPPLY CHAIN OUTLOOK ON BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES, INDUSTRY TRENDS In the wake of recent disruptions and

juncture. Enhancing resilience and agility

challenges in global supply chains,

in supply chain operations is paramount to

companies operating in the Mexican oil and

mitigating risks and maintaining operational

gas industry find themselves at a critical

continuity, experts point out.


19

C on f erence H ighlights Fluctuating oil prices and market

In 2014, during the last industry upswing,

uncertainties have made it imperative for

the Top 5 service companies worldwide

companies to manage cash flow effectively.

invested nearly US$9 billion in CAPEX. This

T h e b e g i n n i n g o f 2 0 2 3 ex p e r i e n c e d

year, they will only invest US$3 billion, one-

low prices due to expectations of lower

third of the previous amount. One of the

economic activity on China’s side, while

reasons for this significant reduction is that

OPEC kept pushing oil production cuts

the cash flow is lower than before.

to increase prices. This year was vastly different to 2022, where oil prices were at

Miguel Carreón, Regional Leader Mexico

an all-time high due to the Russian war on

& C e ntra l A m e ric a at B a ke r H ug h es ,

Ukraine, which also affected supply chains,

emphasizes that high-interest rates and

underscoring once more a lesson learned

a green finance philosophy have made

through the pandemic: moving production

upstream projec ts less at trac tive for

closer to consumption.

investment. This situation has prompted companies to emphasize the importance

The pandemic’s impact on the industry’s

of cash flow to their institutional investors

supply chain was profound, as noted by

and to carefully manage it. Managing cash

William Antonio, Managing Director of

flow involves ensuring efficient billing

Mexico and Central America, SLB. Delays

and collection processes , proactively

of up to 18 months in obtaining electronic

collaborating with customers to anticipate

components and nearly 12 months in

payment issues and working together

international shipping logistics disrupted

o n r e s t r u c t u r i n g s t r a te g i e s t h ro u g h

production chains significantly. Investment

credit or factoring in case of unforeseen

in terms of capital expenditure (CAPEX)

circumstances.

for new equipment decreased from 2020 to 2021 and there is now a concerted effort

Companies must strive toward a cost-

to revitalize CAPEX.

e ff e c ti ve o p e r a ti o n to p ro te c t t h e i r operations against negative fluctuations. Collaboration and partnerships within the supply chain are crucial drivers for innovation, cost reduction and overall competitiveness in the Mexican oil and gas industry. Selecting the right suppliers and vendors is critical to a resilient supply chain and , when evaluating potential par tners , companies should consider supplier reliabilit y, qualit y standards and ethical practices. Effective supplier relationship management involves continuous assessment, communication and collaboration. Daniel Zuluaga, Country Manager, SUMMUM, highlights this collaboration as essential. It is crucial to create spaces where multiple companies from the same industry but with different specializations can exchange their insights and address common challenges. This fosters an environment conducive to innovation and to the sector’s overall development, while strengthening the supply chain. Building strong partnerships


20

C on f erence H ighlights with suppliers can lead to long-term cost

service for projects. Third, Antonio points

savings, improved product quality and

out that process variability can incur high

enhanced supply chain resilience, as well.

costs, making standardization necessary

Embracing digital technologies and data-

to enhance efficiency. Lastly, he addresses

sharing platforms can facilitate real-time

how effective cash flow planning is vital

communication and collaboration, enabling

for achieving efficient production and

more efficient supply chain management

operational processes. Without proper

and decision-making.

financial planning, it is challenging to maintain efficient operations.

Both communication and establishing strong partnerships are key to the efficient

These are not nearshoring’s only challenges,

development of nearshoring, especially

however. Alberto Galvis, CEO, Citla Energy,

since, according to Antonio, within five

highlights insecurity, community relations

years, the expectation is that an additional

and the industry’s major player, PEMEX,

US$150 billion in income will flow into

facing financial difficulties that directly

M exico due to nearshoring , primarily

impact cash flow as major elements to take

through exports to the US. He also suggests

notice of. César Vera, Managing Director

four important points to face nearshoring

of BME Shipping, also stated that in terms

and be more competitive. First, he highlights

of changes in sustainable regulations,

creating a sufficiently stable and high-

it is incentivized to reduce greenhouse

quality supplier base, avoiding overreliance

emissions and invest in alternative energy

on a single provider and having multiple

sources to better cater for nearshoring

options . This prac tice not only helps

opportunities.

foster the growth of the industry but also nurtures local talent. Second, he mentions

Carreón also addresses another significant,

that strategic planning is indispensable in

yet often overlooked, issue in the energy

any industry, particularly within the supply

industry: human capital. With so many

chain. Visibility is key because a significant

new and diverse industries emerging, the

part of the production process depends

upstream sector does not seem appealing

on having the right inventory at the right

to young professionals. The boom across

time. Hence, enhancing communication

various industries will demand a skilled

with both state-owned and international

workforce, and there will not be enough

private companies is crucial. This not only

talent to meet the growing production

leads to cost reduction but also ensures

and development needs. Additionally, he

the deliver y of qualit y and improved

points to a lack of adherence to international


21

C on f erence H ighlights sta n da rds , a t wo -way p ro cess a n d a

the Regulatory Energy Commission, and

substantial need for a diversified supplier

the National Hydrocarbons Commission

base that complies with all regulations

to ensure that regulatory issues act as

and ensures efficiency and safety in their

catalysts for business growth in Mexico,

operations.

rather than hindrances. Conducting a global benchmarking analysis to understand

O n t h e s i d e o f r e g u l a t i o n , A n to n i o

successful regulatory implementations

underscores

of

in other countries is crucial, he says. This

collaborating with various government

analysis can provide valuable insights into

agencies, including the Ministry of Energy,

enhancing Mexico’s regulatory framework.

the

importance

BOOSTING LOCAL CONTENT AND SUPPLIER DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES In the oil and gas industry, procurement

worth MX$25.77 billion (US$1.51 billion)

plays a pivotal role in ensuring optimal

to MSMEs in 2022, underlining its role in

supplier selection, cost efficiency and

supporting these businesses. “Within the

q u a l i t y a s s u r a n c e . To a c h i eve t h e s e

next year, local content will become one

objectives, operators in the industry must

of the most important variables not only

navigate a complex web of challenges

for the public sector but also for privates.

and opportunities, keeping in mind the

We need to learn how to navigate this new

need and requirement for a stronger local

environment,” said Marcos Ávalos, General

supply chain.

Director, TUVANSA.

O ne of the primar y objec tives for

Local content goes beyond components,

operators in the M exic an oil and gas

however. According to Héctor Canizales,

industr y is to foster local content

Mexico Country Sourcing Manager, Baker

participation. Given this administration’s

Hughes, the lack of specialized workers in

emphasis on strengthening PEMEX as the

the US is urging Mexico to develop this

linchpin of its energy policy, local content

workforce, which also works to attract

has taken on significant importance. The

more investment to the countr y. “ The

development of the Dos Bocas refinery,

conditions are set, now it is our time to

for instance, was executed with a mandate

work on harnessing this environment,”

to employ as much local labor as feasibly

Canizales added. Similarly, Joel Zúñiga,

possible. According to data from the

Purchasing Manager, Fieldwood Energy,

Commission of Economy of the Chamber

maintains that education is for workers,

of Deputies, PEMEX awarded contracts

but also for companies. Zúñiga emphasized


22

C on f erence H ighlights that Fieldwood Energy focuses on getting

policy consisting of training programs and

to know each of the areas of the operation

resources.

in which suppliers can be educated to comply with local content requirements.

The digital revolution is also transforming the procurement landscape within the

“We let companies know that if they hire 100% Mexican staff, the company will be treated as national”

Mexican oil and gas industry. Operators are now leveraging digital platforms, such as supplier portals and e-procurement systems, to streamline their operations,

Joel Zúñiga

enhance transparency and foster effective

Purchasing Manager | Fieldwood Energy

collaboration with suppliers. “Digitalization of operations has boosted our capabilities to understand what our final client is looking

Canizales said that investing in engineering

for. Moreover, it has provided us with access

majors over these years has finally paid off,

to reliable and valuable information, thereby

as supply chains are relocating. He said

contributing to our overall operational

that under this scenario, Mexico is set to be

effectiveness,” Rafael Rodríguez, Board

a western supply hub for the sector. “We

Member Consultant, Grupo Industrial

are creating a China in Mexico from where

Águila added.

we will sell to everyone, even to China and the Middle East,” he added.

Nonetheless, Mexico has not performed well in the digital economy. Ávalos noted that

While developing a stronger local

Mexico ranks 49 among over 50 countries

content network, operators can enhance

in the operation of digital platforms. Under

their supplier diversity by engaging in a

these circumstances, experts recommend

combination of local and international

not only investing in technology but in

suppliers . This strategy enables them

proper training to manage such systems,

to s a t i s f y l o c a l c o n te n t r e g u l a t i o n s

which will impact the decision-making

w h i l e c a p i t a l i z i n g o n c o s t- e ff e c t i ve

process of companies when choosing a

global sourcing. To this end, long-term

supplier. “It is a fact that we will not be

partnerships with suppliers are important.

able to do business with a supplier that

During this process, Ávalos stressed the

cannot prove its ability to manage digital

importance of developing an industrial

platforms,” Canizales added.

A REVIEW OF MEXICO’S ENERGY REFORM AFTER 10 YEARS Mexico’s Energy Reform has ushered in

According to Óscar Roldán, Director of the

significant changes that have transformed

Oil and Gas Division, R9 Holdings, the origins

the country’s oil and gas industry. Right

of the Energy Reform can be traced back to

after Enrique Peña Nieto’s administration,

the change of government in 2000, which

the buzzword was continuity, to keep

brought increased scrutiny to PEMEX. While

on track with the new concessions that

no substantial changes were initially made to

the reform brought for private players

reform the regulation of PEMEX, these ideas

to participate in the industry. The López

bore fruit in altering the way public contracts

Obrador administration, however, changed

functioned, as well as the establishment

that buzzword to disruption as bidding

of regulatory agencies like the National

rounds were canceled and PEMEX regained

Hydrocarbon Commission (CNH). Among

its position as the government’s golden

some of the biggest changes in PEMEX was

company. Ten years af ter the Energy

the change in its fiscal contributions, the

R e fo r m , th e i n d u s tr y l a n d s c a p e h a s

NOC used to pay almost 100% of its income

transformed, although some challenges

to public finances, which later transformed

remain unchanged.

into the Right of Shared Profit (DUC).


23

C on f erence H ighlights data increased significantly, as well: 2D seismic data tripled, while 3D seismic coverage with WAZ technology quadrupled and new studies were conducted around the country. “All of this without the government spending one dollar,” mentions Rodán. Regarding the expansion of hydrocarbon exploration and production, the goal was to increase the availability of reserves to drive the country’s economic growth. In 2019, the Mexican side of the Gulf of Mexico became the most explored oil and gas region globally. This milestone translated into substantial dividends in 2020, with the average rate of exploration findings significantly exceeding the global average. A substantial portion of these successes occurred in deepwater regions, some of the least explored areas. These findings renewed interest in the potential treasures within these basins and highlighted the future of Mexican deepwater development beyond PEMEX. In 2014, the Energy Reform proposed a

Still, reserves face a challenging landscape

fundamental transformation to how the

in Mexico. Despite increasing reserves

industry operates. This involved a series of

and strengthening PEMEX were two of

significant changes, including the ability

the most significant goals of the reform, a

for PEMEX to compete in the industry and

weaker PEMEX that owns 86% of 2P oil and

become a world-class company. Corporate

gas reserves in Mexico proves challenging.

governance and transparency rules were

Enrique Peña Nieto’s administration marked

also implemented to ensure efficient and

PEMEX with a 163% increase in its debt

responsible management of the company.

and very low levels of investment, which

The Reform had seven crucial objectives

decreased by 50%. Furthermore, Roldán

at its core, which included increasing oil

identifies transparency as a transversal

and gas production as soon as possible,

c h a ll e n g e th at th e i n d u s tr y a n d th e

increasing reser ves and transforming

NOC faces.

PEMEX, explains Roldán. Th e En e rgy Refo rm e s t a b lish e d th at On the private sector’s side, company

hydrocarbons would continue to be owned

participation yielded important results.

by Mexico, ensuring the country’s energy

Onshore, 48 contracts were awarded and 4

sovereignty. In 2018, however, president

migrations from previous service contracts

López Obrador raised uncertainty as his

were concluded. Meanwhile 59 offshore

new administration insisted on restating

contracts were awarded and one migration

Mexico’s ownership of hydrocarbons. The

from PEMEX (entitlement) was concluded.

president put the rescuing of PEMEX at the

Private companies have invested US$14

center of his energy strategy, which has

billion and plan to invest about US$50

proven to be a big challenge due to PEMEX’s

billion more, while these operations have

level of indebtedness. Meanwhile, with the

also yielded US$3 billion for public finances

cancellation of bidding rounds in 2019, no

in the form of taxes. Mexico’s oil and gas

more areas are granted for exploration,


24

C on f erence H ighlights

while operators have begun to abandon

wh il e e n h a n cin g it s d e cisio n - m a k in g

several blocks.

capabilities. Resuming bid rounds is also crucial, with a focus on PEMEX’s existing

Moving into 2022, the industry once again

reserves and production areas. These bid

faced significant challenges. The US and

rounds should also incorporate provisions

Canada initiated an arbitration process

to assist the NOC by reducing its capital

against Mexico arguing that the latter was

requirements through farmouts for natural

not honoring its commitments to the free-

g a s fi e l d s i n key b a si n s l i ke B u rg o s ,

trade agreement and was hindering fair

Veracruz and Macuspana, with a maximum

competition with its latest energy reforms,

royalty rate of 10%. Farmouts for mature

brought by the current administration. At the

onshore fields in the southeast basin could

same time, the Russian-Ukraine war disrupted

also be an attractive option, with a royalty

supply chains and drove up energy prices. In

rate not exceeding 20% . Additionally,

response, oil companies had to redefine their

bid rounds should encompass PEMEX’s

investment plans. High oil prices, however,

discoveries in deepwater areas like Doctus,

helped stabilize the industry’s investments.

Maximino and Nobilis, with a royalty rate around 18.5%. In cases where areas remain

Roldán explains that the main challenges

unallocated, Roldán says PEMEX should

for the oil and gas industry in Mexico , at

have the option to participate and benefit

the moment, is in regulation, which is very

from investment contributions.

difficult to navigate in the country and very time consuming. An improved fiscal regime

Enhancing the regulatory framework is

is needed that could spark more interest and

essential, states Roldán . Streamlining

make many interesting areas more viable.

r e g u l a to r y a g e n c i e s o r e s t a b l i s h i n g

The country needs to change its view of

government committees with a unified

the oil and gas industry as a mere source of

platform for addressing industry issues

fiscal revenue.

could prove advantageous. A renewed commitment to transparency and

Moving forward, Roldán mentions that

accountability is also imperative, as it

bolstering PEMEX and addressing its debt

is evident that combating corruption

to secure financial autonomy is a priority,

requires these fundamental principles.

PERSPECTIVES ON ESG FROM THE SUSTAINABILITY COMMITTEE IN PEMEX Over the past couple of years, PEMEX

A l t h o u g h t h e c o m p a ny s aw a s l i g h t

has grappled with numerous challenges,

i m p r ove m e n t i n i t s fi n a n c e s d u e to

including high levels of debt and

surging oil prices last year, it still grapples

accidents often attributed to inadequate

with mounting pressure to align with

m a i n te n a n c e a n d r a p i d p r o d u c t i o n .

environmental, social and governance


25

C on f erence H ighlights (ESG) standards. The recent creation of

is responsible for recommending the

a Sustainability Committee is a nascent

NOC comprehensive policies, guidelines

sign of change inside the NOC.However,

and best practices related to ESG. The

uncertainty still lingers.

commit te e’s duties involve assessing E S G ris k s , i d e ntif yi n g o p p o r tu n iti e s ,

P E M E X a n n o u n ce d to th e S e c u r iti e s

proposing relevant strategies, overseeing

Exchange Commission the creation of the

reports and management plans, as well as

PEMEX Sustainability Committee of the

encouraging transparency and disclosure

Board of Directors in March 2023. This

regarding ESG.

committee underscores the company’s commitment to sustainable practices and

“ Sti l l , o u r re co m m e n d a ti o n s a re n ot

responsible energy production, as it aims

binding. We advise and PEMEX needs to

to integrate ESG considerations into the

make a decision,” he added.

NOC ’s decision-making processes and contribute to a more sustainable future.

Despite the creation of this committee, ESG efforts on PEMEX’s side, particularly

While benchmarking and reporting ESG

regarding sustainability, are still a work

metrics is not mandatory, these criteria are

in progress. President López Obrador’s

now essential for measuring risk regarding

e n e rg y s tr ate g y h a s d r awn c r iti c i s m

how sustainable a company is.

fo r p rio ritizin g th e re scu e of P EM E X and showing a general preference for

Furthermore, it is becoming increasingly

fossil fuels . While it is acknowledged

relevant for investors that business models

in rese a rch a n d a cce pte d by va rio us

align with sustainability standards.

g ove r n m e nt s , i n cl u d i n g th e U S , th at the world will continue to rely on oil for

Lorenzo Meyer, Member of the Board of

decades, the oil industry is compelled to

Directors and President of the Sustainability

advance the energy transition. Several

Committee, PEMEX, acknowledges that,

p r i v a te o i l c o m p a n i e s h ave a l r e a d y

at the beginning, the PEMEX board did

reported investments in renewable energy

not recognize ESG as a priority. “ This

technologies. In contrast, PEMEX’s ESG

not a trend anymore, however. We need

efforts remain vague, as the company

ESG now,” he added. Meyer pointed out

grapples with issues like high levels of

that the sustainability team, consisting

flaring, oil spills and unprofitable refining

of members from PEMEX, the Ministry

o p e r a ti o n s , w h i c h a l s o r e s u l t i n t h e

o f F i n a n c e (S H C P ) a n d S E M A R N AT,

production of low-value, polluting fuel oil.


26

C on f erence H ighlights ESG efforts are necessary if PEMEX wants

goals to address the development of the

to keep investors happy, which is something

NOC’s Sustainability Plan.

that Meyer highlights as a priority. The NOC has announced several measures to update

Meyer pointed out that PEMEX’s goals during

its safety and environmental procedures to

his time leading the committee remain to

ensure it can attract financing from banks

drive a sustainable operational strategy and to

and investors demanding more robust ESG

construct business models that ensure profit,

standards from fossil fuel companies. “The

considering energy efficiency, GHG emissions

most contentious goal we have in the mid-

reduction, health and safety protocols and

term is a roadmap for our Sustainability Plan.

an anticorruption and transparency policy.

We must have very clear goals to present to

Goals also include aligning with international

investors, regulators and banks,” stressed

best practices and adopting new regulatory

Meyer. The committee has met with several

frameworks like SEC and EC. “I think PEMEX

stakeholders including BBVA, JP Morgan,

is slowly realizing that it needs a robust

Sumimoto, Standard & Poors and Swiss Re.

sustainability strategy if it wants to survive in

to analyze the perspectives on each of these

the long run,” he concluded.

THE CHALLENGE OF OPTIMIZING PRODUCTION, DELIVERING ESG OBJECTIVES The oil and gas industry faces increasing

Addressing these complex issues requires

scrutiny in its environmental, social and

a m u l t i f a c e te d e c o s y s te m i nvo l v i n g

governance (ESG) practices. ESG standards

customers, corporations and regulatory

have evolved into a critical factor for

bodies, says Ignacio Quesada, Partner,

companies in determining their access

McKinsey & Company. Solutions must be

to financing. Balancing the imperative to

approached from diverse perspectives and

optimize production in mature fields with

encompass a range of elements.

the responsibility to uphold ESG principles is a critical challenge for all operators,

In this regard, Brad McNeill, CEO, Frontera

agree experts.

Offshore, emphasizes that the primary


27

C on f erence H ighlights fo cu s sh o uld b e o n tra n sp a re n c y, a s

establish public policies and collaborate

capital markets exert influence on both the

with governmental bodies and educational

accessibility and cost of capital allocated

institutions, while promoting social and

to support oil and gas initiatives. It has

economic development.

become crucial for companies seeking capital or operating within the market to

Preparing for the future through a well-

express their dedication to ESG, exhibit

defined strategy, collaborative efforts and

transparency in their commitments

a diversified portfolio of business ventures

a n d d e m o n s t r a te t a n g i b l e ev i d e n c e

b e co m e s e s s e nti a l . T h i s p re p a r ati o n

in the application of these prac tices .

i nvo lve s a d o pti n g th e b e s t ava il a b l e

He also underlines the impor tance of

technologies and evaluating the feasibility

systematically assessing strategies for

of ongoing projects, particularly regarding

reducing carbon emissions and integrating

energy efficiency, monetization, storage,

cutting-edge technologies to enhance

effluent and emission management.

o p e r a t i o n a l e ffi c i e n c y, e s p e c i a l l y i n ongoing projects or mature fields.

Eckhard Hinrichsen, Country Manager and Market Area Manager, DNV Energy Systems

Ensuring success in the implementation

M exico, s t ate s th at th e fo cu s sh o uld

of ESG methodologies requires a close

not primarily be on cost considerations

examination of available tools and

when deciding how to implement such

f a c i l iti e s . R e co g n izi n g s u s t a i n a b i l it y

measures, as ESG initiatives are no longer

c o n c e r n s i n a n ex i s t i n g o p e r a t i o n a l

discretionar y. Instead , it is crucial to

framework also differs significantly from

proac tively seek oppor tunities within

incorporating such measures into entirely

social assets and invest in community-

new projects, especially when existing

centric endeavors. These opportunities

assets are already deployed.

should be viewed as yielding more advantages than mere financial costs.

Th e oil a n d g a s se c to r f a ce s seve ra l challenges due to its nature and impact on

The journey to minimize carbon emissions

the environment and local communities.

continues and requires the oil industry to

Th e n e g ative e nviro n m e nt a l im p a c t s

innovate based on how oil-based products

frequently associated with fossil f uel

are used in various industries. Investors

ac tivities have led to global concern ,

a re n ow h e avily fo cu se d o n a lig n in g

especially over the climate change crisis.

their portfolios with renewable or green-

C o n s e q u e n tl y, s eve r a l c o u n t r i e s a r e

focused investments. ESG has emerged as

considering or have already implemented

a central theme in investment decisions.

measures to transition away from fossil

The oil industry, often seen as a climate

fuels. They are even contemplating or have

adversary, can play a pivotal role in the

announced plans to ban the hydrocarbon

decarbonization transition , especially

industry from their territories.

with government incentives. James Buis, District Manager - Mexico, ChampionX,

Sara Landon, Executive Director, Inerco,

emphasized that diversifying portfolios

mentions that the objectives for the year

is also imperative to address emerging

2 0 5 0 a re cl e a rly d e fi n e d a n d , b a se d

challenges effectively.

on these, there will be a decrease in oil consumption. Technology will gradually

Landon notes that approximately 50%

integrate into the industry and only the

of greenhouse gas emissions originate

most efficient and profitable reservoirs

from the oil and gas industry. However,

will endure, considering not only

com pre h e nsive g uidelin es have b e e n

economic but also environmental and

issued to provide a clear roadmap for

social factors. However, to achieve this

addressing this challenge. Most companies

transition successfully, it is imperative to

within the petroleum sector are affiliated


28

C on f erence H ighlights biodiversity and compensating for any remaining significant impacts.

ESG in Mature Operations Oil and gas operators in mature fields face a dual challenge: optimizing production while upholding E SG responsibilities . By considering environmental impacts and implementing mitigation measures, i nte g r ati n g E S G p r i n c i p l e s i nto fi e l d rejuvenation projects , embracing technology for efficiency and sustainability and employing advance d reser voir management techniques with an ESG perspective, operators can navigate this challenge successfully. The innovative integration of technologies, s u c h a s c o m b i n i n g O ff s h o r e W i n d w i t h E n h a n c e d O i l R e c ove r y ( EO R), represents a forward-thinking approach, according to Hinrichsen. This involves electrifying offshore operation platforms to minimize carbon footprint and gradually transitioning toward renewable energy sources. Additionally, using solar energy is a strategic measure aimed at reducing carbon emissions within the industr y. Furthermore, incorporating biodegradable agents in fracking underscores with the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI).

a commitment to environmental

As of January 2023, oil and gas enterprises

sustainability.

must adhere to Sectoral Standard Number 11. This standard is closely aligned with the

McNeill stated that significant technological

fulfillment of SDGs and underscores the

opportunities persist in Mexico, particularly

necessity for industrial activities to be

in bridging existing gaps. There is a growing

sustainable, not only from an economic

awareness among individuals regarding

standpoint but also environmental

available technologies, although challenges

and social perspectives . Within these

persist in their adoption. Nevertheless, it

standards, best practices are articulated,

is undeniable that continued progress is

ser ving as a framework for sec tor

essential, encompassing the incorporation of

companies to establish their commitments

AI, data analytics and augmented reality for

in the years ahead.

training and various applications.

L a n d o n u n d e r s co re s th at to o l s h ave

Moving forward, a strategic approach for

been developed for mitigating significant

mature fields should involve a comprehensive

effects within the oil sector. These tools

assessment of the current landscape. This

involve a structured four-step process:

assessment should aim to determine feasible

proactively preventing the occurrence

and cost-effective actions and identify

of a dve rse im pa c t s , minimizing th eir

technologies that can be deployed to execute

m a g nitu d e , re m e dyin g a n d re s to rin g

these plans effectively.


29

C on f erence H ighlights THE CONSTITUTIONAL LIMITS ON LEGISLATIVE AND EXECUTIVE POWER The dynamics of Mexico’s hydrocarbon

to private companies involved in first-hand

market have been under scrutiny throughout

hydrocarbon sales. This shift in regulations is

this administration. In July 2022, the US

believed to have favored PEMEX, hindering

and Canada initiated dispute settlement

other market players.

discussions with Mexico under USMCA, concerning the latter country’s energy

According to experts, rule of law is a very

policies. The following month, Mexico’s

important pillar in any economy. David

Minister of Economy, Raquel Buenrostro,

Enriquez, Partner, Goodrich, Riquelme

stated that there was no conflict with the

y Asociados, states that Mexico’s recent

US and Canada because reforms to the

e n e r g y d i s p u te s a n d a m p a ro s a re a

Electricity Industry Law were suspended

reflection of contradictions with what

by the judicial power due to amparo

is established in the Constitution itself.

lawsuits filed by various affected parties.

“Giving greater preponderance to state

US President Joe Biden, however, recently

energy companies violates the principles

requested companies to document

of competition in businesses that are valid

violations of USMCA in the energy sector,

and are the cornerstone of any market in

wh i c h m e a n s th e d i s p ute co nti n u e s .

the world,” adds Enrique González Calvillo,

Disputes remain unresolved and now, the

Partner, González Calvillo.

Supreme Court must definitely rule on the constitutionality of reforms proposed by the

The elimination of asymmetric measures

López Obrador administration.

in 2021 raised concerns among private companies, who said that this change

During former President Peña Nieto’s

allowed PEMEX to exert even greater

g ove r n m e n t , a s y m m e t r i c l aw s we r e

dominance over the hydrocarbon market.

introduced to counterbalance PEMEX’s

Companies challenged the regulator y

dominant position in the market and

changes and secured a protective order

provide an opportunity for private operators

u n d e r th e A /01 5/2 02 1 a g re e m e nt ,

to enter the sector. However, the 2021

e ff e c tive ly n ullif ying th e tra nsitio n a l

amendment resulted in CRE losing its

article that stripped CRE of its authority

authority to apply asymmetric regulations

to apply asymmetric regulations. However,


30

C on f erence H ighlights the protective order faced opposition

matters to create an expansion wave and

from Congress, the Executive and the

come to a fairer conclusion for the market.

commission itself.

“The strength of institutions is critical because they are designed to preserve the

In response to lingering concerns, Judge

constitution. All of this is based on the law,

Javier Laynez of the Mexican Supreme Court

so we can be optimistic that the outcome

(SCJN) plans to propose a constitutional

will be the best for the market.” discusses

revision to the Hydrocarbons L aw to

Rodríguez.

level the playing field. His proposal aims to declare PEM E X’s advantage in the

These changes have escalated and reached

hydrocarbon market as unconstitutional,

the Supreme Court through the amparos

potentially allowing private entities to be

presented by different companies to defy

regulated by the previously established

what they identif y as unconstitutional

asymmetric laws without needing to seek

unfair competition. According to González,

individual legal protection.

Mexico is going through a decisive moment regarding a possible outcome to these

Laynez’s argument centers on the principle

discussions, as this could affect the entire

that Congress does not possess the authority

energy industry, including oil and gas.

to determine the competitive development level of specific markets, which justifies the

Nonetheless , exper ts concur that the

elimination of asymmetries. Laynez’s goal

fact that these disputes have reached the

is to confirm the declaration that a part of

Supreme Court and are being decided

the reform is unconstitutional, particularly

there represents a “light at the end of the

regarding granting an advantage to PEMEX

tunnel.” However, this also means that it is

in the hydrocarbon sector. Laynez’s proposal

the “last line of defense” toward ensuring

seeks to uphold the 2021 protective order

fair competition and against favoring state

and establish a more balanced regulatory

companies in detriment of private ones,

environment within the hydrocarbon sector.

explains Enriquez. “The good news is that all of this is based on the Energy Reform, the

Enriquez explains that J udge L aynez

Constitution and trusting in the impartial job

wisely knew how to connect a previous

that the Supreme Court must exercise. We

case of market competition regarding the

have a very strong case to defend what is

telecommunications sector to argue his

right constitutionally and by law,” mentions

case, and that, in the same way, the law

Pa n e lis t Cla u dio Ro d ríg u ez , Pa r tn e r,

can use the outcome of amparos in energy

Holland & Knight.


31

C on f erence H ighlights CONVERTING MEXICO’S DEEPWATER POTENTIAL INTO RESERVES, PRODUCTION Mexico’s oil production has been on a steady

projecting a peak output of 100-120Mb/d of

decline for years. With the Energy Reform,

oil and 145MMcf/d of gas.

Mexico sought to expand hydrocarbon exploration and production to increase the

Woodside shares that delivering a deepwater

availability of these resources and drive the

development is a complex undertaking and

country’s economic growth. One of the key

therefore takes more time to achieve first

opportunities is in Mexico’s deep waters,

production when compared to onshore or

which PEMEX had left mostly untouched

shallow-water developments. According

but that private players see as a greenfield

to Stephan Drouaud, Vice President Trion

venture. Trion, a Woodside-PEMEX venture,

Mexico, Woodside Energy, the complexity

is the first major discovery in these areas and

of such investment has been compounded

is now entering its development stage.

by pandemic-related supply chain issues and the current geopolitical challenges that

Woodside is one of Mexico’s most prominent

drive a high level of volatility in commodity

oil industry players and is currently working

prices, as well as in the cost and delivery

in the ultra-deepwater Trion farmout project

time of goods and services. While some

with PEMEX. The Trion field was discovered by

of these elements are outside operators’

PEMEX Exploration and Production (PEP) in

control, Woodside focuses on providing

2012. However, development was put on hold

cost and schedule predictability through its

due to the substantial investment required,

contracting strategies and by engaging with

along with technological capacity limitations.

the market to find beneficial solutions for all

Now, in partnership with Australian Woodside,

involved.

both entities anticipate oil production by 2028. Trion’s prospects include substantial

According to Drouaud, the merger of

hydrocarbon production, with estimates

Woodside with BHP’s oil and gas business has delivered a stronger balance sheet, increased cash flow and financial strength to fund planned short-term developments and new energy sources in the future. Following the merger, Woodside became the largest energy company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX). Woodside is now a global company with a truly international footprint and secondary listings on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Woodside’s larger, more diversified portfolio is expected to deliver significant cash flow to help fund growth, Woodside’s participation in the energy transition and shareholder returns. “We believe in energy transition and in climate change. We are proud to be able to provide affordable energy to our clients while developing new energies,” Drouaud added. Over a decade after its discovery, the Trion ultra-deepwater field in the Gulf of Mexico will be developed following CNH’s approval of Woodside and PEMEX´s plan proposal: a


32

C on f erence H ighlights meticulous strategy tailored to the field’s

According to Drouaud, this kind of floating

characteristics and sustained operability.

facility is a technology never before seen in

This marks the first development plan for

Mexico, which makes it a bit more challenging

the extraction of an oil field in ultra-deep

to develop. “The complexity of this project

waters in Mexico. “This also marks the first

made it difficult to comply with the local

time we work together with a national oil

content requirements of Mexico, so we had

company,” Drouaud mentioned.

to negotiate and make PEMEX understand that this technology could not be acquired

T h i s m i l e s to n e w i l l co n tr i b u te to a n

or developed in Mexico. We would have

increased understanding of the subsurface,

loved to do it, but the complexity of the

f a c i l i t a t i n g a d d i t i o n a l d e ve l o p m e n t

project requires us to look at it globally,”

activities in the Perdido Basin, a region

Drouaud added.

presently characterized by the presence of exploratory assignments or contracts,

According to CNH projections, the estimated

emphasizing the strategic importance of

volume of hydrocarbons to be recovered

this forward-looking initiative. The project

during the contract’s validity period from

is also expected to establish infrastructure

2023 to 2052 is approximately 434MMb of

in the Perdido Basin, which currently has

oil and 790Bcf of gas. Of this gas volume,

not any infrastructure development.

570Bcf will be reinjected into the reservoir, leaving 219Bcf planned for sale and self-

I n te r m s of n u m e r i c a l p ote n ti a l , th e

consumption. Collectively, Trion is one of the

Trion deepwater field holds remarkable

most interesting projects presented to the

signific ance. Woodside repor ts gross

commission, says CNH Commissioner Héctor

proved undeveloped reserves totaling

Moreira. Its projected production will generate

324.7MMboe. Of these, the Australian

an income of MX$80 billion (US$47.7 billion)

IOC holds 194.8MMboe. When factoring

for the Mexican government.

in probable undeveloped reser ves , th e site ’s total re a ch es 478 .7M M b o e ,

For 2H23, Drouaud’s priorities for Trion

with Woodside’s share accounting for

consist of progress-detailed engineering

287. 2MMboe. To realize the field´s full

and procurement across FPU, FSO, as well

p o te n ti a l , t h e p ro j e c t w i l l e m p l oy a

as Subsea, Umbilicals, Risers and flowlines

floating production unit (FPU) with an oil

(SURF) developments. Other priorities

production capacity of 100M/d. This FPU

include initiating preparations for regulatory

will be connected to a floating storage and

permits for execution activities and continuing

offloading (FSO) vessel capable of storing

to award key contracts, working toward the

up to 950Mb.

first oil in 2028.


www.mexicobusiness.mx


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