CENLA ECONOMIC DASHBOARD
April 16, 2021.
Dr.RandallDupont Dean,CollegeofBusinessLouisianaStateUniversityofAlexandria
rdupont@lsua.edu








April 16, 2021.
Dr.RandallDupont Dean,CollegeofBusinessLouisianaStateUniversityofAlexandria
rdupont@lsua.edu
April 16, 2021 CENLA Economic Dashboard
• Rapides and Natchitoches have the highest percentage of completed vaccinations in Region 6 at 17.5 %and 14.8%, respectively.
• However, Region 6 has the second lowest vaccination rate in the state with 14% of the population vaccinated.
• The labor force in theAlexandria MSA in January 2021 exceeded January 2020, 63,257 to 63,200.
• Statewide average weekly initial unemployment claims filed in March rose to 8,418 from 7,249 in February, a 16% increase. Average weekly continued unemployment claims in March fell to 44,514 from 55,439 in February, a 20% decrease.
• In CENLA, average weekly initial unemployment claims in central Louisiana fell to 401 in March from 414 in February, a 3% decrease, while average weekly continued unemployment claims in central Louisiana fell to 2,932 in March from 3,655 in February, a 20% decrease.
• Louisiana’s unemployment rate fell 0.5% in February to 7.1% from 7.6% in January.
• In February, parishes in central Louisiana had an average unemployment rate of 6.1%, compared to 7.1% statewide.
• La Salle Parish had the lowest unemployment rate in the state at 3.7%.
• At 4.7%, the Alexandria MSA had the lowest unemployment rate among the state’s major metro areas for the tenth straight month, falling 0.5% since January.
• Alexandria’s metro area continues to have the tightest labor market in the state with only 0.58 unemployed persons per job opening compared to 1.62 statewide.
• Nearly all central Louisiana parishes saw a decrease in sales tax revenue in February ranging from a -20% to -3%.
However, when compared to the same month in the previous year and year-to-date, nearly all parishes and cities were higher. March tax data reflects sales activity in February.
April 16, 2021 CENLA Economic Dashboard
• Occupational license revenue was up 0.3% year-to-date in March, reversing the sharp decline last month.
• Vehicle sales tax revenue was down in February in Avoyelles, Evangeline, and St. Landry ranging from -20% to -25%. However, February vehicle sales tax revenue was up 25% from January and 54% from last February.
• Housing unit constructions in the Alexandria MSA averaged 443 units per year between 2004-2020, peaking in 2006 at 951 units.
• From 2004 to 2020, the number of newly constructed housing units fell 71% from 685 to 204.
• The valuation of housing unit construction in theAlexandria MSAaveraged $67,338,000 per year since 2004, peaking in 2006 at $126,167,000.
• From 2004 to 2020, the valuation per housing unit has grown from $119,336 to $241,623, a 102% increase.
• Residential construction permits in CENLAin March were up 302% over the same month a year ago.
• TheAlexandria real estate market remains strong with active listings down and pending listings up. The number of days a house stayed on the market fell sharply in March to 75 from 94 the month earlier.
• The US housing market remains extremely strong entering 2021, driven by low mortgage rates and inventory shortages.
• 2020 saw the strongest U.S. home price growth of any year since 2005, marking just the third year of double-digit growth in the past quarter century.
• According to the Black Knight Home Price Index, home prices in the U.S. grew at 11.6% in January, the highest annual rate in 15 years.
• Hotel occupancy in Rapides increased 20% in February compared to January and 308% compared to a year ago. Avoyelles likewise experienced strong gains in hotel occupancy with a 270% increase over last February.
• Total passenger traffic at Alexandria International airport (AEX) averaged 145% of last March’s level compared to only 115% nationwide. AEX’s throughput rate was the highest in the state once again.
• Nationwide air passenger traffic in March 2021 was 15.3% above last year’s level.
• In January 2021, Louisiana gasoline sales decreased -6.6% from December and was -14.3% below January 2020.
• Gasoline sales in Louisiana for 2020 were down 5.8% compared to 2019.
• The number of new businesses established in Rapides in March 2021 was 43% higher than February 2021. Year-todate new businesses in Rapides are up 8% over 2020.
• Total consumer spending on March 14, 2021 in Louisiana was down 11% compared to January 2020, with retail spending up 0.2% while entertainment and recreation spending is down -42%. Grocery spending was down -0.9%, health care down 3-1.7%, and restaurants down -23.1%.
• Small business revenue in Louisiana was down 35% as of March 31, 2021 compared to January 2020 with retail down 8%.
• The Coincident Economic Activity Index for February 2021 increased 0.15% over January 2021, indicating the economic recovery in Louisiana is slowing. This is the lowest increase since the recovery started.
• The Baker Hughes exploration rig count in Louisiana decreased 2.1% in February, while the rig count nationwide increased 2.7% from a month ago. However, it remains -47% down from a year ago.
• Gaming revenue in Louisiana decreased 13% in February over January and was down 24% compared to the same month a year ago.
COVID-19 vaccinations as a percent of region population (left) and statewide (right) as of April 10, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, https://ldh.la.gov/covidvaccine, April 10, 2021
Region 6 has the second lowest vaccination rate in the state with 14% of the population vaccinated.
COVID-19 vaccinations as a percent of parish population as of April 10, 2021.
Rapides and Natchitoches have the highest percentage of completed vaccinations in Region 6 at 17.5 %and 14.8%, respectively.
Region 1 (New Orleans) and Region 2 (Baton Rouge) have the highest vaccination rates at 23.8% and 20.5%, respectively.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, https://ldh.la.gov/covidvaccine, April 10, 2021
Covid-19 cases reported by K-12 schools in Region 6 from March 29 – April 4, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), March 29 –April 4, 2021.
COVID-19 cases by collection date as of April 10, 2021 in Region 6 with a 7-day moving average.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 10, 2021.
Cases over time by age group in Region 6 through April 9, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 9, 2021.
COVID-19 percent positive and test volume in Region 6 as of April 9, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 9, 2021..
COVID-19 cases statewide by age group as of April 9, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 9, 2021.
Number of cases hospitalized (green line) and ventilated (yellow line) in Region 6 as of April 14, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 14, 2021.
COVID-19 deaths by date of death statewide as of April 9, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 9, 2021.
COVID-19 cases (left) and deaths (right) statewide by age group as of Aprl 9, 2021.
Source: Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6 (Central Louisiana), April 9, 2021.
Labor force level in the Alexandria MSA from 2019 – 2021.
The labor force in the Alexandria MSAin January 2021 exceeded January 2020, 63,257 to 63,200.
Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission,April 14, 2021
Initial and continued unemployment claims in Louisiana from March 14, 2020 through March 27, 2021.
Statewide average weekly initial unemployment claims filed in March rose to 8,418 from 7,249 in February, a 16% increase.
Statewide average weekly continued unemployment claims in March fell to 44,514 from 55,439 in February, a 20% decrease.
Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission,April 15, 2021
Initial and continued unemployment claims in central Louisiana from March 14, 2020 through March 27, 2021.
Average weekly initial unemployment claims in central Louisiana fell to 401 in March from 414 in February, a 3% decrease.
Average weekly continued unemployment claims in central Louisiana fell to 2,932 in March from 3,655 in February, a 20% decrease.
Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission,April 15, 2021
The table below shows February 2021 preliminary unemployment rate, labor force, and employment data for central Louisiana parishes.
In February, parishes in central Louisiana had an average unemployment rate of 6.1% compared to 7.1% statewide.
At 3.7%, La Salle Parish had the lowest unemployment rate in the state.
Data Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission, April 15, 2021.
The table below shows February 2021 preliminary unemployment rate, labor force, and employment data for Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Louisiana.
At 4.7%, the Alexandria MSA had the lowest unemployment rate among the state’s major metro areas for the tenth straight month, falling 0.5% since January.
Louisiana’s unemployment rate fell 0.5% in February to 7.1% from 7.6% in January.
Data Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission,April 15, 2021.
The table below shows the number of unemployed, number of advertised jobs online, and the ratio of unemployed to advertised job openings online for Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Louisiana in February 2021.
Alexandria metro area continues to have the tightest labor market in the state with only 0.58 unemployed persons per job opening compared to 1.62 statewide.
Source: Louisiana Workforce Commission,April 15, 2021
An overview of sales, vehicle sales, and hotel occupancy taxes collected in the March 2021 reflecting sales activity in February 2021.
Note: March tax revenue reflects sales activity in February. N/a = Not available
Data Source noted in detailed reports.
An overview of sales tax revenue in Rapides Parish other towns and cities in March 2021 (excluding Alexandria and Pineville).
Note: Current tax revenue reflects sales activity in prior month.
(TR) Alexandria total sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
(BR) Alexandria total monthly sales tax revenue from 2019 to present.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Rapides Parish Police Jury Treasurer’s Reports,April 2021.
Avoyelles Parish total sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and year-to-date comparisons. Vehicle and hotel tax revenues are excluded. Data Source: Avoyelles Parish School Board. April 2021.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Avoyelles Parish vehicle sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Avoyelles Parish School Board. April 2021
Catahoula Parish total sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Catahoula Parish Tax Administrator April 2021
Concordia Parish total sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Concordia Parish Tax Administrator.April 2021
Evangeline Parish total sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year and YTD comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Evangeline Parish Sales Tax Commissioner.April 2021
Evangeline Parish vehicle sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year and YTD comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Evangeline Parish Sales Tax Commissioner.April 2021
La Salle Parish total sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: La Salle Parish Tax Administrator April 2021
(TR) Pineville sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
(BR) Pineville monthly sales tax revenue from 2019 to present.
Note: Current sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in the prior month.
Data Source: Rapides Parish Police Jury Treasurer’s Reports,April 2021.
Rapides Parish occupational license revenue YTD with previous YTD comparisons.
Note: YTD occupational license revenue reflects licenses issued YTD in January and February. Rapides reflects unincorporated areas.
Data Source: Rapides Parish Police Jury Treasurer’s Reports,April 2021.
(TR) Rapides Parish sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
(BR) Rapides monthly sales tax revenue from 2019 to present.
Note: Current sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in the prior month.
Rapides Parish vehicle sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
Data Source: Tax revenue data from Rapides Parish Police Jury Treasurer’s Reports,April 2021.
St. Landry Parish sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Tax revenue data from St. Landry Parish School Board. April 2021
St. Landry Parish vehicle sales tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
Note: March sales tax revenue reflects sales activity in February.
Data Source: Tax revenue data from St. Landry Parish School Board. April 2021
Remote seller tax revenue is tax revenue from online sales by location of the seller at the time of purchase.
Remote Sellers Sales Tax Collection
August 2020 - March 2021
Note: Sales tax revenue collected in one month reflects sales activity in the prior month.
Data Source: Louisiana Sales and Use Tax Commission for Remote Sellers. August 2020 –April 2021
SinceAugust 2020, $8.8 million in sales tax revenue has been collected from online sales in central Louisiana.
Remote sellers tax revenue is tax revenue from online sales by location of the seller at the time of purchase.
Note: Sales tax revenue collected in one month reflects sales activity in the prior month.
Data Source: Louisiana Sales and Use Tax Commission for Remote Sellers. August 2020 –April 2021
Remote sellers tax revenue is tax revenue from online sales by location of the seller at the time of purchase.
Note: Sales tax revenue collected in one month reflects sales activity in the prior month.
Data Source: Louisiana Sales and Use Tax Commission for Remote Sellers. August 2020 –April 2021
Remote sellers tax revenue is tax revenue from online sales by location of the seller at the time of purchase.
Note: Sales tax revenue collected in one month reflects sales activity in the prior month.
Data Source: Louisiana Sales and Use Tax Commission for Remote Sellers. August 2020 –April 2021
The chart shows the number of new housing unit construction permits issued in the Alexandria MSA from 2004 – 2020. Data represents 52% coverage.
Housing unit constructions in the Alexandria MSA averaged 443 units per year between 20042020, peaking in 2006 at 951 units.
From 2004 to 2020, the number of newly constructed housing units fell 71% from 685 to 204.
Data Source: US Census, Building Permit Survey, Retrieved April 13, 2021
The total and average valuation of new housing unit construction permits issued in the Alexandria MSA from 2004 – 2020. Data represents 52% coverage.
Total and Average Valuation of Housing Units in the Alexandria MSA
2004-2020
The valuation of housing unit construction in the Alexandria MSA averaged $67,338,000 per year since 2004, peaking in 2006 at $126,167,000.
From 2004 to 2020, the valuation per housing unit has grown from $119,336 to $241,623, a 102% increase.
Total Val Avg Value
The valuation (estimated development cost) of new commercial construction permits issued by the City of Alexandria in March 2021 with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
The valuation (estimated development cost) of new residential construction permits issued by the City of Alexandria in March 2021 with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
This chart shows the valuation of permits issued by Rapides Area Planning Commission in Allen Parish in March between 2018-2021 with month-tomonth, year-to-year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Data Source: RapidesArea Planning Commission,April, 2021
This chart shows the valuation of permits issued by Rapides Area Planning Commission in Avoyelles Parish in March between 2019-2021 with month-to-month, year-to-year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Data Source: RapidesArea Planning Commission,April 2021.
This chart shows the valuation of permits issued by Rapides Area Planning Commission in Evangeline Parish in March between 2018-2021 with month-to-month, year-to-year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Data Source: RapidesArea Planning Commission,April 2021.
This chart shows the valuation of permits issued by Rapides Area Planning Commission in the City of Pineville in March between 20182021 with month-to-month, year-to-year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Data Source: RapidesArea Planning Commission,April 2021.
New residential construction permit valuation (estimated development cost) issued by Rapides Area Planning Commission by jurisdiction in March 2021 compared to March 2020.
Valuation of New Residential Construction March 2020 vs March 2021
Note: City ofAlexandria permits are accounted for separately.
Data Source: RapidesArea Planning Commission,April 2021.
This charts shows the valuation of permits issued by Rapides Area Planning Commission in Rapides Parish (excluding Alexandria) in March between 20182021 with month-to-month, year-to-year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Data Source: RapidesArea Planning Commission,April 2021.
The count of active single-family and condo/townhome listings for Alexandria MSA (excludes pending listings) for March 20182021 with month-to-month and year-over-year comparisons.
Active listings decreased 62% since March 2020.
The count of pending single-family and condo/townhome listings for Alexandria MSA for March 2018-2021 with month-to-month and year-over-year comparisons.
The median number of days property listings spend on the market in Alexandria MSA for March 2018-2021 with month-to-month and year-over-year comparisons.
Median days on the market fell 20% from February 2021 and 7% from February 2020.
The median listing price of houses in Alexandria MSA for March 2018-2021 with month-to-month and year-over-year comparisons.
The median listing price fell -12% since March 2021 from $207,500 to $182,700 and declined -3.6% since March 2020.
The average listing price of houses in Alexandria MSA for March 2018-2021 with month-to-month and year-over-year comparisons.
The average listing price increased 7% since March 2020 from $224,610 to $240,872, but fell -11% last month.
These charts represent home price appreciation in the U.S.
The US housing market remains extremely hot entering 2021, driven by low mortgage rates and inventory shortages.
2020 saw the strongest home price growth of any year since 2005, marking just the third year of double-digit growth in the past quarter century.
According to the Black Knight Home Price Index, home prices grew at 11.6% in January, the highest annual rate in 15 years.
Avoyelles Parish hotel occupancy tax revenue for March with previous month, year, and year-to-date comparisons.
Note: March tax revenue reflects hotel occupancy activity in February. Hotel occupancy tax revenue is used as a proxy for hotel occupancy rate.
Data Source: Avoyelles Parish School Board. April 2021.
Rapides Parish hotel occupancy tax revenue for March 2020 with previous month, year, and YTD comparisons.
Note: March tax revenue reflects hotel occupancy activity in February. Hotel occupancy tax revenue is used as a proxy for hotel occupancy rate.
Data Source: Rapides Parish Police Jury Treasurer’s Reports, April 2021.
This chart shows total passenger throughput at Louisiana airports and nationwide in March 2021 as a percent of traffic a year ago. AEX is the solid black line on a logarithmic scale.
Passenger Throughput as a Percent a Year Ago in Louisiana (March 2021)
AEX had the highest total passenger throughput in the state in March at 145% compared to a year ago.
Data Source: Alexandria International Airport, April 11, 2021
Nationwide daily percentage of passengers passing through current TSA checkpoints expressed as a percentage of previous year’s traffic.
Nationwide air passenger traffic in March 2021 was 15.3% above last year’s level.
Average passenger traffic in U.S. increased 41% in March 2021, from 873,084 in February to 1,227,421 in March.
Total gasoline sales in Louisiana in 2019 - 2021.
In January 2021, Louisiana gasoline sales decreased -6.6% from December and was -14.3% below January 2020.
Gasoline sales in LA in 2020 exceeded 2019 in only two month – January and August.
Gasoline sales for 2020 were down 5.8% compared to 2019.
Data Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Prices, Sales Volumes & Stocks by State,April 11, 2021
The chart below represents the number of new businesses established each month in Rapides from January 2019 through March 2021.
March
2018 2019 2020 2021 March 44 45 30 46 February 44 46 32 32 % Chg Prev Month 0.0% -2.2% -6.3% 43.8% % Chg from Prev Year 2.3% -33.3% 53.3% YTD (Jan - Mar) 143 119 112 121 % Chg over Prev YTD -16.8% -5.9% 8.0%
Year-to-date new businesses in Rapides are up 8% over 2020. 20
The number of new businesses established in Rapides in March 2021 was 43% higher than February 2021. 10
40
30
New Businesses in Rapides 2019-2021 2019 2020 2021
50 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
These graphs represents the percent change in average consumer credit and debit card spending in Louisiana as of March 14, 2021 with January 2020 as the baseline.
• Total consumer spending on March 14, 2021 in Louisiana is down 11% compared to January 2020, with retail spending up 0.2% while entertainment and recreation spending is down -42%. Grocery spending was down -0.9%, health care down 3-1.7%, and restaurants down -23.1%.
The table and chart represents the percent change in average consumer credit and debit card spending in Cenla as of March 14, 2021 with January 2020 as the baseline, while the chart represents Rapides.
Data Source: Opportunity Insights Economic Tracker, https://www.tracktherecovery.org/. Data Source: Affinity Solutions. Retrieved April 11, 2021
Data for Concordia andAvoyelles is not available.
The chart below represents the percent change in small business revenue in Louisiana as of March 31, 2021 with January 2020 as the baseline. The table shows the percentage change for small business revenue by industry.
The chart represents the percent of time employees in Rapides Parish spent at work as of April 4, 2021 with January 2020 as the baseline. The table provides comparable data for other central Louisiana parishes.
Hurricane Laura
Winter storms
Uri & Viola
The percent of time employees in Rapides spent at work during winter storms Uri and Viola was down -57% compared to -51% for Hurricane Laura. For the winter storms, Natchitoches was hardest hit at -61.6% followed by Grant (-58.4%), Rapides (-57%), and Vernon (-52.6%).
The Coincident Economic Activity Index for Louisiana includes four indicators: nonfarm payroll employment, the unemployment rate, average hours worked in manufacturing and wages and salaries. The index is set to match the trend for gross state product.
Coincident Economic Activity Index for Louisiana January 2020 – February 2021
• The chart shows the impact of COVID-19 on the Louisiana’s gross state product since January 2020.
The index for February 2021 increased 0.15% over January 2021, indicating the economic recovery in Louisiana is slowing. This is the lowest increase since the recovery started.
Data Source: FRED Economic Data, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, April 11, 2021. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LAPHCI
Represents the number of drilling rigs actively exploring for or developing oil or natural gas in Louisiana and the U.S.
Exploration rig count in Louisiana decreased 2.1% in February. The rig count nationwide increased 2.7% from a month ago, but remains -47% down from a year ago.
Source: Baker Hughes, https://rigcount.bakerhughes.com/na-rig-count, April 11, 2021
Gaming revenue in Louisiana for February 2021 with previous month and year comparisons.
Data Source: Louisiana Gaming Control Board, April 11, 2021. http://lgcb.dps.louisiana.gov/revenue_reports.html
U.S. economic indicators for February 2021.
Data Source: U.S. Census, https://www.census.gov/economic-indicators/, April 15, 2021.
The data presented throughout the CENLA Economic Dashboard reflects contributions from the following local organizations.
• Rapides Parish Policy Jury Treasurer
• Rapides Sales TaxAdministrator
• Avoyelles Parish School Board
• Alexandria International Airport
• RapidesArea Planning Commission
• City ofAlexandria Planning Division
• Evangeline Parish Sales Tax Commissioner
• Concordia, Catahoula, & La Salle TaxAdministrator
• Louisiana Office of Public Health, Region 6
• St. Landry Parish School Board
Also, special thanks to the following partners for distributing the dashboard.
Next Issue: Week of May 17th
• LSUAFoundation
• Central Louisiana Regional Chamber of Commerce
• Marksville Chamber of Commerce
• Bunkie Chamber of Commerce
• Evangeline Chamber of Commerce
• Concordia Chamber of Commerce
• St. Landry Chamber of Commerce
• Greater Vernon Chamber of Commerce