Systemic Risk Centre at LSE

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THE SYSTEMIC RISK CENTRE AT LSE

SRC Philosophy: Systemic risk is created by the interaction of financial market participants. Systemic risk is not dropped onto markets like an asteroid hitting the earth. Systemic risk is built into the system and the participants. Stability is destabilising. Low market volatility warns of impending crises.

B

Further adjust stance

Adjust stance

1800

1850

B

C

1900

Archduke Ferdinand assassinated, upsetting clearing Hoarding of cash and gold

C

stigma effect

A exchanges closing

failure to deliver across borders Portfolio insurance Index falls

Sale of stocks

B

Adjust hedges

Investor decides to sell

S&P 500 Log scale

A A

1906 Crisis 1914 Crisis

Civil War

Push bridge

Great Depression

Bridge moves

Black Monday 1987

Financial Millennium Bridges

Stagflation and HF crisis

SRC Research: The fundamental nature of systemic risk; liquidity; the limits to estimating and measuring risk; the mechanisms that exacerbate instability; the pitfalls of using statistical risk models for policy-making; the economic impact of financial regulation; the origins of financial crises.

Flash crash

SRC research suggests that the regulatory drive to reduce risk may make future crises worse and more likely.

Since 2013 the SRC team have researched the fundamental question of how to balance economic prosperity and the stability of the financial system.

1950

Investor also sells on increased volume Volumes shoot up

C

Price fall

HFT pass the parcel Wait for real money

2000

www.systemicrisk.ac.uk


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