THE SYSTEMIC RISK CENTRE AT LSE
SRC Philosophy: Systemic risk is created by the interaction of financial market participants. Systemic risk is not dropped onto markets like an asteroid hitting the earth. Systemic risk is built into the system and the participants. Stability is destabilising. Low market volatility warns of impending crises.
B
Further adjust stance
Adjust stance
1800
1850
B
C
1900
Archduke Ferdinand assassinated, upsetting clearing Hoarding of cash and gold
C
stigma effect
A exchanges closing
failure to deliver across borders Portfolio insurance Index falls
Sale of stocks
B
Adjust hedges
Investor decides to sell
S&P 500 Log scale
A A
1906 Crisis 1914 Crisis
Civil War
Push bridge
Great Depression
Bridge moves
Black Monday 1987
Financial Millennium Bridges
Stagflation and HF crisis
SRC Research: The fundamental nature of systemic risk; liquidity; the limits to estimating and measuring risk; the mechanisms that exacerbate instability; the pitfalls of using statistical risk models for policy-making; the economic impact of financial regulation; the origins of financial crises.
Flash crash
SRC research suggests that the regulatory drive to reduce risk may make future crises worse and more likely.
Since 2013 the SRC team have researched the fundamental question of how to balance economic prosperity and the stability of the financial system.
1950
Investor also sells on increased volume Volumes shoot up
C
Price fall
HFT pass the parcel Wait for real money
2000
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