T E T O N V A L L E Y MARKET REPORT



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Yet,whatmattersmostwhensellingandbuyingrealestate isin-depthmarketknowledge,markethistoryandtrends that only informed, local real estate professionals can provide.OurKellerWilliamsofficeisthefastestgrowing brokerage in Jackson Hole. Why? We are locally owned with seasoned local leadership and a dedicated support team.Ouragentsallshareapassionforempoweringtheir clients with up-to-date information and guidance that allowsthemtomakethebestrealestatedecisionspossible.
Welcome to our Q2 2023 Teton Valley Market Report. Our local team has pulled and analyzedthefollowingdata,providinginsightintothepastyearandhistoricaldatathathelps identifytrendsinthemarket Foradeeperunderstandingofthesenumbers,ourlocalteam hereinTetonValleyisalwaysavailabletodiscussfurther.
TheQ2Reportfor2023showssignsthatthecloudsoftheimpending economicstormarebeginningtosettle.Comparativetolastyear,itmay seemthatthemarketisdownstatistically,butthebroaderhistorytellsa differentstory TherealestateinTetonValleyholdsastrongdemand and has shown resilience throughout turbulent interest rate climates However,thereductioninoveralltransactionsbegsthequestion:when willthemarketbegintopickupspeedagain?
Overall transactions are down 47%, and sales volumes are down 37% comparedtoQ2of2022.However,thesalepricesareupanother21%. So,whatdoesthismean?Ourresearchshowsthatthere’sagapbetween buyer and seller expectations During the Pandemic, we saw prices escalate to record breaking levels along with favorable interest rates incentivizinglargetransactionvolume Today,thelistingpricesremain high,whiletheFed’sdeflationarypolicieshavemadetheinterestrates lessappetizing.
As a result, we are in a gray area of low transactions; sellers want the appreciationlevelsofthePandemic,whileBuyer’sdon’tholdthesame leveragedpurchasingpowerasbefore.Nowthatthestormhassettled, theseasitscalmandready WebelievethattheValleycouldbepoised for a strong period of growth as price expectations become re-aligned withthestrongdemandforthebeautifulmountain-townproperties
WHILE THE TETON VALLEY MARKET HAS SLOWED DOWN OVER THE LAST YEAR POSTCOVID, IT'S NOT UNCOMMON TO STILL SEE MULTIPLE OFFERS ON HOMES IN THE $500K-$1.5M PRICE RANGE. THESE HOMES SEEM TO BE IN THE MOST DEMAND AT THE MOMENT AND I THINK WE'LL CONTINUE TO SEE THAT TREND THROUGHOUT THE SUMMER AND FALL
ASHLEY ROGERS, ASSOCIATE BROKER
47% 21% Average Sale Price $738,180
8% Active Listings 405
37% Total Dollar Volume $177,163,313
Theresidentialmarket–townhomes,condos,andsingle-familyhomes–has feltthisdecreaseintransactions.Thenumberofunitssoldisdown39%and the sales volume is down 27%. More specifically, the inventory for singlefamily homes alone is down 28%. Therefore, the decrease in transactions couldbeduetothereductioninoptionsforbuyers.Thegoodnewsisthat lowinventoryoftenindicatesstrongabsorptionrates.
In contrast to single-family homes, the inventory for Condos and Townhomes is actually up 230% with 33 active listings. However, sales volumeisdown66%whichisasignificantreductioninbuyeractivitydespite thesupplyofinventory.TheprojectedpopulationgrowthintheValleywith GrandTargheeResort’srecentlyannouncedexpansionplanmaysoonreverse thesetrends.
Similartotheresidentialmarket,bothtransactionsandvolumearedown55% forlandandranchproperties.Interestingly,theaveragesalepriceisup2%. Thesenumbersreflecttheoverallthemeofincongruitybetweenhighprices and high interest rates. The land may be overpriced to meet the current demandduetounsustainableappreciationratesthroughoutthePandemic. However,fromabroaderhistoricalpointofview,thelandinthevalleyisstill onastrongupwardtrajectory.
With266activelistings,thelandsupplyonlydecreasedby3%fromQ2of 2022.Thisstagnationininventorymirrorsthesteepdeclineintransaction numbers. Grand Targhee Resort announced an expansion plan earlier this yearthatwillstimulatetheeconomyandboostpopulationnumbers.Withan increaseintheprojecteddensity,theremaybeareturntohealthyabsorption ratesforlandparcelsgoingforward.
L A N D + R A N C H E S