Case Iran - Dual Containment

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HKS-211x: Central Challenges of American National Security, Strategy, and the Press Graham Allison, David E. Sanger, and Derek Reveron Case #2: Iran Name: Leandro Calado Ferreira

The policy of dual containment was used during the early years of the inclusion of Iran in foreign policy due to a North American context sender the cold war , which the United States could control the balance of power in the region Iran -Iraq establishing perks and economic sanctions to each country . The Iran has great importance in the regional context due to his political Middle East characterized by a Islamic Republic of Iraq, different where we have a government that strummed to an arms race and territorial conquests as in the Iran -Iraq war that began with the revocation of Saddam Hussein’s 1975 agreement which hosts a border to the northern channel Shatt - al - Arab. The United States did the best as the dual containment policy; however, had peculiarities as in the case of development for the Iranian nuclear program. Firstly the possibility of economic sanctions which could be applied in order to weaken Iran economically towards destabilizing the process of building nuclear weapons in the future according to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), only countries that exploded the atomic bomb before January 1, 1967 (United States, Russia, China, Britain and France) have the right to possess this type of weaponry. However, some nations unauthorized nuclear weapons: India, North Korea, and evidence of Ukraine and Israel. In some years, Iran may be another nation on the list of countries possessing nuclear weapons. The Iranian nuclear project began in 1950, with technical assistance from the United States, receiving the name of "Atoms for Peace ". However, after the 1979 Islamic Revolution, there was your downtime. In 1995, through an agreement with Russia, Iran's nuclear program regained strength. However, only with the election of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in 2005, it left the Western world and Israel for fear of possible military purposes of this program. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Islamic fundamentalist conservative, argues that the Iranian nuclear program is intended for peaceful purposes. He accused the West of trying to prevent the technological development of their country. However, the United States and Israel, Iran's main enemies, claim that the nuclear program is aimed at producing nuclear weapons. As reports of the intelligence services of the United States, Iran will be able to produce an atomic bomb in less than ten years. Second, The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) decided to take the case to the UN Security Council, which may adopt economic sanctions for the country to give up its nuclear program. But this attitude will trigger major problems in the global economy, whereas Iran is the fourth largest producer of oil. Because of this, the economic embargoes may generate a significant increase in the price of oil. Manouchehr Mottaki, Foreign Minister of Iran, claimed that Iran's nuclear program will not be interrupted by possible sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council. He still asks, through diplomacy, world powers to cooperate with the project. United States and Israel are the main opponents of this nuclear program. On the other hand, Brazil and Turkey are advocates, and the Turks made an agreement to supply enriched uranium for the Iranians. A new approach to the Iranian government will be based on the grounds set forth in the September meeting between the foreign ministers of Iran, the U.S., China, UK, France and Russia, held in New York.


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