$4.95 POST APPROVED PP255003/06906
ISSUE 7.23 November 2010
Third party market share to skyrocket
Martin North
Major bank
dominance to slip as brokers boost competition The third party mortgage broking channel could claim up to 60% of the mortgage origination market in just 5 years, leading industry
analysts claim. Speaking at the LIXI 2010 conference in Sydney held in November, Fujitsu Consulting general manager Martin North, mortgage industry analyst Tony Crossley and NextGen.Net sales director Michael Murphy all predicted imminent improvements in broker market power.
The JP Morgan/Fujitsu Australian Mortgage Industry Report, released in September 2010, measured broker market share at under 40%, where it has hovered for some time. However, North said the next five years will see the rise of brokers, as major bank market share sinks. “I think we will see 60% [of housing loans] funded by the majors, so that’s 40% from elsewhere,” North said, predicting the return of lending competition. “I think mortgage brokers will have well north of 40% of the market – it could be close to 50% – because if you look at the consumer research, mortgage brokers are doing the right thing by consumers, and with the new regulatory environment that will only improve,” he added. Murphy from NextGen.Net agreed major bank home loan market share would shrink to 60% of the market, and that third party brokers could corner a massive 60% slice of new originations. “Any shift in funding away from the four majors would almost automatically imply through brokers or an alliance channel – there’s a fairly strict correlation between those two – so if you accept the premise [that major banks will fund only 60% of the market within 5 years] it wouldn’t surprise me if mortgage brokers increased up to 60%,” Murphy said. Page 16 cont.
>>
Business not usual Brokers swamped after bank rate rises Page 2
>>
Westpac drop-off
Westpac sees broker-sourced loan proportions decline Page 8
>>
Exit fee rules
Detailed guidelines welcomed by non-banks Page 12
>>
Inside this issue Viewpoint Exit fee fallout Opinion A low-doc revival Insight Knowing your client’s mind Market talk Will the Sunshine State shine again? Toolkit Giving advice, the right way People Q&A: Keith McLaren, PLAN ambassador
20 22 24 26
28 32