Source: Email
"Beyond
the Climate Change Consensus"
- an international conference at the Hungarian Academy of Sciences on December 8, 2025
Valentina Zharkova
November 9, 2025
Here is my attempt to reiterate the ideas which indicate that the current climate change is a natural event in the terrestrial life which occurred many times before still keeping the planet alive and flourishing.
1. Global warming issue (https://solargsm.com).
We have a variety of the proposed scenarios why CO2 and other green house gasses cannot heat the terrestrial atmosphere and most of them, similarly to the IPCC approach, still assuming internal resources in the earth atmosphere itself (clouds, albedo, galactic cosmic rays) which redistribute within the atmosphere the constant radiation of the sun.
Well..What we have discovered that the solar radiation input into the terrestrial an other planet atmospheres is not constant at all but increasing in the current millennium (1600-2600) with every years because the solar inertial motion imposed by the gravitation of large planets (book chapter Zharkova, 2021 https://www.intechopen.com/chapters/75534, section 5 for summary). The sun is getting closer to the Earth orbit in MarchAugust, thus causing additional energy deposition not counted in the IPCC and any other models. However, we have shown in a few recent
papers that the decrease of the Sun-Earth distances taken from the official NASA ephemeris for the two millennia (600-1600 and 16002600) leads to a substantial deposition of solar radiation to the Earth that follows the temperature increase curve used by IPCC (Zharkova et al, 2023a https://www.scirp.org/pdf/ns_2023033010033932.pdf, Zharkova and Vasilieva, 2024 https://www.scirp.org/journal/paperinformation?paperid=138752).
Hence the solar forcing in all models of atmospheric heating DO NOT include the main energy input by the Sun!
Each kind of the scenarios proposed in the first paragraph can play its role in the redistribution of solar energy within the terrestrial atmosphere if the correct solar forcing is considered, e.g. if the increase solar radiation coming to the Earth since Maunder minimum is considered. If we unite our forces at this point we can deliver a powerful message to the world instead of competing each with other.
2. Grand Solar Minimum and little ice age (https://solargsm.com)
However, the discussions of the item 1 has more academic value at this stage because the most pending issue for the Earth atmosphere comes from a reduction of solar activity in the grand solar minimum (20202053, Zharkova et al, 2015 https://www.nature.com/articles/srep15689,Zharkova et al, 2018a,b https://solargsm.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/zharkova_iau33 5_paper1.pdf and https://solargsm.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/zharkova_reply 2usoskin_jastp17.pdf; Zharkova 2020 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/23328940.2020.1796 243). The comparison of our SA index with that of sunspots is given in Zharkova et al, 2023b https://solargsm.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/zharkova_etal_ mnras2023.pdf just to cut any objection because of some differences
in appearances of these indices cause by different entities of solar activity (poloidal and toroidal magnetic fields).
The IPCC and AGW people have found the arrival of GSM to be the most dangerous for their models propaganda because this GSM and little ice age associated with it will undoubtedly prove that despite all the current warming (on whatever reason), the reduction of solar radiation owing to GSM will lead to the cooling of terrestrial atmosphere and to not further heating. And despite the Sun being in the maximum of its cycle 25 this cooling is already showing its signs as per blogs posted from the media worldwide in my webpage https://solargsm.com.
With my warmest regards
Valentina
Prof. Valentina Zharkova
Director of ZVS Research Enterprise Ltd.
London, EC1V 2NX, UK
Emerita Prof. of Mathematics
MSc, PhD, FRAS, FLMS, FHEA
Department of Mathematics, Physics and Electrical Engineering
Faculty of Engineering and Environment
Northumbria University
Newcastle upon Tyne
UK