Ed Berry's physics model for CO2 - Comments by Allan Macrae (Canada, USofA)

ALLAN MACRAE

January 11, 2020 at 6:14 am

Human CO2 has little effect on the carbon cycle https://edberry.com/blog/climate/climate-physics/human-co2-has-little-effect-on-thecarbon-cycle/?

Hello Dr Ed Berry, Thank you for your latest paper. I have been pondering this subject for ~12 years and am still doing so. I wonder if the following close relationship of dCO2/dt vs Temperature from my 2008 paper is helpful to your hypothesis. Please consider and advise.

In my January 2008 paper, the close correlation of the velocity dCO2/dt and delta Temperature proves that atmospheric CO2 changes lag atmospheric temperature by ~9 months in the modern data record, and this observation suggests Climate Sensitivity to Atmospheric CO2 must be very small, and may not even exist in measureable reality.

This plot approximates the dCO2/dt vs T correlation. Major volcanoes El Chichon (1982) and Pinatubo (1991+) disrupt the relationship. http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/esrlco2/from:1979/mean:12/derivative/plot/uah6/from:1979/scale:0.22/offset:0.14 Best personal regards, Allan MacRae Carbon Dioxide Is Not The Primary Cause Of Global Warming, The Future Can Not Cause The Past

By Allan M.R. MacRae, January 2008 http://icecap.us/images/uploads/CO2vsTMacRae.pdf Excel: http://icecap.us/images/uploads/CO2vsTMacRaeFig5b.xls [excerpt] The IPCC’s position that increased CO2 is the primary cause of global warming is not supported by the temperature data. In fact, strong evidence exists that disproves the IPCC’s scientific position. This UPDATED paper and Excel spreadsheet show that variations in atmospheric CO2 concentration lag (occur after) variations in Earth’s Surface Temperature by ~9 months. The IPCC states that increasing atmospheric CO2 is the primary cause of global warming – in effect, the IPCC states that the future is causing the past. The IPCC’s core scientific conclusion is illogical and false.

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There is strong correlation among three parameters: Surface Temperature (“ST”), Lower Troposphere Temperature (“LT”) and the rate of change with time of atmospheric CO2 (“dCO2/dt”). For the time period of this analysis, variations in ST lead (occur before) variations in both LT and dCO2/dt, by ~1 month. The integral of dCO2/dt is the atmospheric concentration of CO2 (“CO2”). ___________________________________ CO2, Global Warming, Climate and Energy

by Allan M.R. MacRae, B.A.Sc., M.Eng., June 15, 2019 https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/06/15/co2-global-warming-climate-and-energy-2/ Excel: https://wattsupwiththat.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/Rev_CO2-GlobalWarming-Climate-and-Energy-June2019-FINAL.xlsx [excerpt] Global warming alarmism, which falsely assumes that increasing atmospheric CO2 causes catastrophic global warming, is disproved – essentially, it assumes that the future is causing the past. In reality, atmospheric CO2 changes lag global temperature changes at all measured time scales.

Nino34 Area Sea Surface Temperature changes, then tropical humidity changes, then atmospheric temperature changes, then CO2 changes.

The velocity dCO2/dt changes ~contemporaneously with global temperature changes and CO2 changes occur ~9 months later (MacRae 2008).

The process that causes the ~9-month average lag of CO2 changes after temperature changes is hypothesized and supported by observations.

The ~9-month lag, +/- several months, averages 1/4 of the full-period duration of the variable global temperature cycle, which averages ~3 years.

Based on the above observations, global temperatures drive atmospheric CO2 concentrations much more than CO2 drives temperature.

A beautiful modern world with fossil fuels and nuclear power 2

Retreating glacier exposes tree very well rooted in the ground that was thriving before the glacier came. The climate always changes by tremendous natural forces. Throughout hundreds of millions of years, the temperature generally changed before atmospheric CO2 changed. Nature behaves the opposite of what the man-made climate change alarmists like President Obama’s Science Advisor, John Holdren. claims. The alarms of the global warming alarmist “experts” are smoke and mirrors. They are determined to stop use of extremely important fossil fuels and transfer (steal) wealth from North America and Europe.

The modern world and beautiful nature world can coexist. Don’t let alarmists destroy it.

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