Link: http://www.kaltesonne.de/fritz-vahrenholts-sonnenkolumne-518klimaempfindlichkeit-gegenuber-co2-und-die-kohlekommission/ Please see original in German, embedded hotlinks and comments at the link above. This is a computer translation.
Fritz Vahrenholt's solar column 5/18: Climate sensitivity to CO2 and the coal commission June 11, 2018 Fritz Vahrenholt’s monthly column. In a generally comprehensible form, he reports on new developments in the field of climate science - and, of course, on our sweet sun. The sun in April 2018: climate sensitivity to CO2 and the coal commission The sun was not very active last April. For 16 days the sun was completely spotless; the sunspot number of the month was less than a third of the expected. In our March report, we presented the latest research on climate sensitivity to CO2. After that, global warming is up to 45% less than the IPCC and mainstream climate scientists believe. The interesting thing, however, was the response of the mainstream to it: the methods of Curry and Lewis's work are not in doubt. But it could be - so the mainstream - that the earth in the future in a very different, namely warmer response to CO2 emissions. This can be called rather speculative science, namely relying on models that have failed in the past and neither ocean currents nor clouds can map. So the foundation of the Paris Agreement has collapsed. By 2100, whatever we do, we will not exceed the 2 degree limit. What happens to the worldwide use of coal? There is no departure from coal except in Europe and Canada. China and India, according to the Paris Agreement, like all developing countries, massively expand coal-fired power stations. In China, 280,000 MW will be added in India 174,000 MW. By comparison, the entire brown coal fleet in Germany has a capacity of 22,700 MW. 1600 coal-fired power plants are built in 62 countries worldwide, most of them by Chinese power plant builders and with the help of Chinese loans. So about 15 300 MW in Pakistan, 16 000 in Bangladesh, even Myanmar 5100 MW. (Source: South China Morning Post). Overall, coal-fired capacity will be expanded by 43% worldwide. Even Japan relies on coal, but with the help of CCS (Carbon Capture and Storage), it does not want to increase CO2 emissions any further. Therefore, the CO2 reduction targets of Japan also appear rather modest: 16% by 2030 and 25% by 2050. For comparison Germany 2030 40% and 2050 80 to 95%. What other countries cannot do, we want to achieve with the help of a coal commission, which is just not occupied with energy, network and technology experts, but with 1