38 vulnerability of the livestock sector in changing climate conditions

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International Journal of Environment, Agriculture and Biotechnology (IJEAB) http://dx.doi.org/10.22161/ijeab/2.1.38

Vol-2, Issue-1, Jan-Feb- 2017 ISSN: 2456-1878

Vulnerability of the Livestock Sector in Changing Climate Conditions: A Case from India Nirma Bora Abstract— In India, livestock sector plays an important role in socio-economic development of rural households. Over 70 percent of the country’s rural households own livestock and a majority of livestock owning households are small, marginal, and landless farmers. The reality of climate change and the fact that life in the poorest and vulnerable economies will be worst affected is set to have far-reaching consequence on the animal and its owners. At the same time, livestock have always shouldered a portion of the blame for rising greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. However, recent extensive scientific evidence and report by FAO and universities in the US has brought to light the fact that the large GHG emission figure of livestock emission was big data hype. The developed countries play clever by shifting blame for anthropogenic GHG emission away from the fossil fuel based power generation, transportation, industries and lifestyle of the global North to activities in developing countries such as paddy cultivation and animal husbandry. Keywords— Livestock, emission, climate change, vulnerability, developed countries, meat, GDP. Highlights  World demand for livestock products growing strongly  vulnerability of livestock increasing in a changing climate  Increased share of livestock in budgetary allocations, subsidised fodder, availability of water, strengthened veterinary services. Acknowledgement This policy brief was supported by PAIRVI, a New Delhi based Human Rights organization. The author likes to thank the Director of PAIRVI, Mr. Ajay Jha, who provided insight and expertise that assisted the paper and comments which greatly improved the manuscript. I. INTRODUCTION Evidence from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) is now over whelming convincing that climate change is real, and it will become worse

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affecting the poorest and vulnerable people the most (IFAD, 2009). The IPCC predicts that by 2100 the increase in global average surface temperature may be between 1.8 and 4.0 °C. With global average temperature increase of only 1.5 – 2.5°C degrees, approximately 20-30 percent of plant and animal species are expected to be at the risk of extinction (Fischlin et al, 2007). While some species will be able to migrate or change their behavior to accommodate climate change, other species may go extinct (EPA). Of the planet’s 1.3 billion poor people, at least 90% are located in Asia and sub-Saharan Africa (Thornton et al., 2002). The livestock sector in these economies will be specifically affected by climate changes through: changes in the pattern and quantity of rainfall, an increase in temperature, changes in winds, changes in seasonality, more frequent catastrophic events, a decrease in feed and fodder production, reduced water availability, changing patterns and distribution of disease, changes in the marketing and prices of commodities. Traditionally, however, livestock keepers have been capable of adapting to livelihood threats and indeed—for some people— livestock keeping is itself an adaptation. It is important, however, to recognize that the outcomes of climate change are uncertain and the precise adaptations will vary from location to location and person to person. Strengthening resilience of the livestock sector relies on building the adaptive capacity of livestock keepers and taking an ambitious approach to address the livestock management. II. LIVESTOCK RESOURCE India has one of the largest livestock population of around 520.6 million of which cattle (cows , bulls, oxen) constitutes 12.7%, buffalo 56.7%, goats, 14.5% and sheep 5.9 % (FAOSTAT, 2008). India ranks first with respect to the population of buffaloes, second in cattle and goats, third in sheep, fifth in ducks and chickens and tenth in camel population in the world (GOI, 2011-12). The national distribution of livestock and its growth pattern is shown in Table 1.

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