Industrials Annual Outlook: Resilient Sectors, Shifting Strategies

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Industrials

Industrial Insights

The Trend

INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY

Industrial Technology faced significant challenges over the year and displayed the weakest performance among the three categories. The sector's one-year index performance showed steady growth through the first half of the year but gradually lost momentum, trailing behind both Industrial Services and Traditional Industrials by year-end. This underperformance is reflected in the declining median EBITDA multiple, which dropped from 10.5x in 2023 to 9.6x in 2024. Financing and transaction activity in the sector remained moderate, suggesting a cautious investment environment as the market prioritized scaling existing technologies rather than pursuing disruptive innovation.

INDUSTRIAL SERVICES

Industrial Services emerged as the top-performing sub-sector, closely tracking the S&P 500 by the end of 2024. The sector benefited from strong demand for outsourced services in high-growth areas like environmental services, TICC, and plumbing. This is reflected in the significant rise in median EBITDA multiples from 12.1x in 2023 to 14.4x in 2024, showcasing the sector's resilience and attractiveness to investors. Financing activity and transaction counts were robust, with private equity driving consolidation to capitalize the ongoing demand for efficient service providers. The strong year-end performance signals sustained confidence in the Industrial Services arena.

TRADITIONAL INDUSTRIALS

Traditional Industrials demonstrated resilience in M&A activity, with consistent deal flow throughout the year. The transaction count in this category remained the highest among the three sub-sectors, reflecting its foundational role in industries such as manufacturing, utilities, and infrastructure. This sustained activity was supported by strategic and private equity buyers seeking to capitalize on the steady performance and essential nature of these businesses. While the sector's median EBITDA multiples remained stable at 11.6x, the consistent transaction volume highlights its ongoing attractiveness for investors aiming for stability and incremental growth opportunities. Traditional Industrials continue to serve as a reliable area for deal-making in a dynamic market environment.

Industrials Industry Commentary

“This was led by a very strong growth in the Electrification business area, with particularly high demand in the data centers and utilities segments as well as an overall positive development in the buildings segment.”

Morten Wierod, CEO; ABB Ltd.

“Demand in our end markets is strong, and we are seeing continued momentum on driving higher gross profit across the business. Heading into FY25, we expect positive trends across Water and Environmental, Critical Infrastructure and Life Sciences and Advanced Manufacturing.”

– Bob Pragada, CEO; Jacobs Engineering Group

“[Exxon] is well positioned to meet surging demand from data centers for low-carbon power and on a timetable that alternatives such as nuclear simply can't match.”

– Darren Woods, CEO; Exxon Mobil

Industrial Summary & Outlook

UTILITIES & TELECOM SPOTLIGHT

Over the past 12-months, our team has engaged with more than 400 buyers to assess the evolving M&A landscape. As we look ahead to 2025, dynamics of the Utilities & Telecom sector remain compelling yet distinct; while both sub-sectors face unique challenges, the overarching sentiment is one of optimism and strategic alignment.

What’s driving the Utilities sector’s momentum? The Utilities sector has stabilized following pandemic-induced fluctuations and is poised for continued momentum into 2025. Buyers recognize the long-term value of infrastructure assets that deliver predictable cash flows and align with sustainability goals all while accommodating increasing demand from data centers and electrification initiatives

What about the Telecom sector? Telecom presents a more nuanced picture. Growth in this space is being led by advancements in 5G, fiber network expansion, and the integration of AI for enhanced operations and customer service. However, the sector’s deceleration, driven by market saturation and changing consumer demand, highlights the need for strategic, smaller-scale acquisitions over transformative deals

What does this mean for sellers? For sellers in the Utilities & Telecom market, the current environment offers opportunities, particularly within the lower middle and middle markets, where buyers remain active in identifying scalable assets With ~400 M&A transactions recorded in 2024 and a median transaction size of ~$46 5M(1), the landscape illustrates targeted opportunities in key segments to align with forward-thinking buyers.

What does this mean for buyers? Buyers in the Utilities & Telecom sector are navigating a landscape rich with potential Large players remain active in pursuing acquisitions that enhance their capabilities and expand their reach. The emphasis on infrastructure as an essential driver of valuation means that buyers are willing to pay premiums for assets that ensure predictable cash flows and operational resilience.

Looking ahead The Utilities & Telecom sector is poised for continued transformation heading into 2025 The resilience of the Utilities market and the Telecom sector’s drive toward digital innovation reflects the underlying strength and adaptability of this industry. We, at Harbor View, are committed to supporting our clients as they navigate this dynamic landscape, leveraging our deep expertise to unlock value and drive growth. Our enthusiasm for the Utilities & Telecom sector remains unwavering, and we look forward to partnering with industry leaders to capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead.

Key Economic Indicators

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

$700,000 $800,000 $900,000 $1,000,000 $1,100,000 $1,200,000 $1,300,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 $800,000 $900,000 $1,000,000 $1,100,000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Total Construction Spending (Residential)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Industrial Public Trading Statistics

Harbor View’s Industrial Sub-Sectors

Comparative Median EBITDA Multiples

Source: PitchBook, Data as of 12/31/24

One-Year Historical Index Performance

Select Industrial Public Trading Statistics

INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY

Note: Privately held companies typically trade at a discount to public companies Source: PitchBook, Data as of 1/29/25

Select Industrial Public Trading Statistics

INDUSTRIAL

SERVICES

Note: Privately held companies typically trade at a discount to public companies

Source: PitchBook, Data as of 1/29/25

Select Industrial Public Trading Statistics

TRADITIONAL INDUSTRIALS

Note: Privately held companies typically trade at a discount to public companies

Source: PitchBook, Data as of 1/29/25

Select Industrial Public Trading Statistics

CONGLOMERATES

Note: Privately held companies typically trade at a discount to public companies

Source: PitchBook, Data as of 1/29/25

Select Industrial Venture Capital Activity

EARLY-STAGE VENTURE

LATE-STAGE VENTURE CAPITAL

Industrial M&A Summary

Industrial Expertise

Broad & Deep Industrial Expertise

Industrial Recycling Provider

Acquired by

STRATEGIC BUYER

White Glove

Transportation & Logistics

Acquired by

FINANCIAL BUYER

Metal Processor

Acquired by

FINANCIAL BUYER

Property Management Provider

STRATEGIC ADVISORY

SERVICES

Aerospace Component Testing Provider

Acquired by

STRATEGIC BUYER

Telecommunications Infrastructure Provider

Acquired by

FINANCIAL BUYER

Fluid Dynamics

Designer & Engineer

Acquired by

FINANCIAL BUYER

Light Industrial Staffing Provider

Acquired by

FINANCIAL BUYER

Solar Lighting Designer & Integrator

Acquired by

STRATEGIC BUYER

Note: Unless displayed with the Harbor View logo, the transactions documented were executed in previous roles

Wireless Tower Owner & Operator

Acquired by

STRATEGIC BUYER

Connect with Our Industrials Team

Building on his 27 years of Investment Banking and Private Equity experience, Nate leads Harbor View’s Industrials practice. In its role, the Industrials team advises clients in the Industrial Technology, Industrial Services, and Traditional Industrial sectors helping business owners navigate the company sale, acquisition, and capital raise processes.

Metal Fabricator

Acquired by

FINANCIAL BUYER

Data Capture & Analysis Provider

Acquired by

STRATEGIC BUYER

Suzi Felix Senior Associate
Carson Lubin Analyst
Zuri Goodman Associate

About Harbor View Advisors

Operating at the intersection of investment banking and management consulting, we partner with inspiring companies and private equity firms to help them design and execute their strategies for growth or exit. With decades of successful client outcomes, we help growing teams improve their opportunities for success. We provide Sell-side advisory, Buy-side advisory and Strategic Consulting to innovative companies and financial sponsors.

Call 904 285 4278

Email vision@hvadvisors.com Visit harborviewadvisors.com

Appendix – Industrial M&A Transactions

TRADITIONAL INDUSTRIALS

Appendix – Industrial M&A Transactions

INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY

INDUSTRIAL SERVICES

The material in this report is for information purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as financial, accounting, tax, legal or other professional advice. This report does not constitute and should not be construed as soliciting or offering any investment or other transaction, identifying securities for you to purchase or offer to purchase, or recommending the acquisition or disposition of any investment Harbor View Advisors does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any data provided from third party resources Although we endeavor to provide accurate information from third party sources, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future

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Industrials Annual Outlook: Resilient Sectors, Shifting Strategies by harborviewadvisors - Issuu