GWSB Research Winter/Spring 2014
The George Washington University School of Business
A street near Taksim Square in central Istanbul is quiet right before a police crackdown on public demonstrators. GWSB executive MBA students were near the end of a residency on emerging markets in Istanbul during the unrest. (Photo by Maria Lourdes Tiglao)
WITNESSES TO
HISTORY
WEMBA Candidates Learn in Some Parts of the World, ‘Business as Usual’ is Anything But
S
ometimes the best research is done “in the field,” as a team of GWSB World Executive
MBA (WEMBA) candidates learned when they encountered street demonstrations, political unrest, government reaction and response in Turkey. Unfortunately, these are often facts of life when doing business in a volatile political climate. For 38-year-old Maria Lourdes Tiglao—a U.S. Air Force veteran who’s done two tours in Afghanistan— assessing a fast-changing foreign landscape is nothing new. Even so, the student in the WEMBA program came away with valuable, hard-won lessons when she found herself in the midst of public protests and a police crackdown during her recent emerging-market residency in Istanbul last spring. “This experience will definitely help to shape my perspective as I look at other economies,” said Tiglao.
O
“Specifically, weighing economic factors isn’t enough when you want to work in a developing market.” Other WEMBA candidates on the Istanbul trip agree. “An experience like this shows how some emerging and developing countries are limited in their growth capabilities as a result of unrest,” said Rena Jabbour. “This lack of predictability could make many investors and business-oriented individuals very cautious. Despite the massive growth opportunity, it is critical to place importance on the societal and political state of the market.” “It’s unstable terrain,” said Tiglao, a pulmonary lab manager in northern Virginia who hopes to put her business skills to work for Team Rubicon, a nonprofit that uses veteran volunteers for domestic and international disaster relief work. She learned in Turkey that, “Bringing historical, cultural, social and political
contexts into consideration in whatever endeavor I undertake can steer me toward better decisions.” The outbreak of rioting complicated travel plans for WEMBA students who completed their residency and were preparing to leave Turkey, but some of the team remained to complete their work. Bryan Andriano, GWSB’s director of international education and programs, who was also on the trip, made arrangements to ensure that students heading for the airport were picked up early in the morning on a quiet street to avoid roadblocks, and those staying on in Istanbul were moved to a hotel in a quieter part of the city. “At the end of the day, these kinds of situations represent significant challenges for a university, but also, opportunities for students to fully understand the social and political events that are taking place in their countries of study,” said Andriano. Brian Fricke, a WEMBA candidate, added, “Any cultural immersion into an emerging market that allows you to feel out of your comfort zone will help you grow as an individual and as a leader.” Many students said the School’s track record on international study, especially in emerging markets, meant that those on the trip were as prepared as possible to handle unexpected situations. “There is always a need and responsibility to have an understanding of where one travels from the social, cultural and political, as well as economic, point of view,” said Errol B. Williamson, Jr., a WEMBA candidate. “Having said that, the GW School of Business goes above and beyond the call of duty to be responsible regarding these issues.”
Home-Buying Decisions Driven by MORE THAN THE BOTTOM LINE ther factors, beyond basic dollars-and-cents considerations, can play a
small, but important role in influencing individual economic decisions. In their research paper, “Social Influence in the Housing Market,” published in the Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Christo Pirinsky, assistant professor of finance, and co-author Carrie Pan, assistant professor of finance at Santa Clara University, examine a little-known, but essential factor driving economic decisions. According to Pirinsky, the behaviors of others within an affinity group – which includes everything from ethnic identity to age cohort to graduates of the same high school – can exert a measurable influence on individuals’ economic decisions. Pirinsky said that his study found that “social influence” can be measured at between 2 and 5 percent of all factors weighing on home-buying decisions. “The social influence effect is when people are influenced by others on a subconscious level, sometimes making decisions that might not otherwise be in their best interests,” Pirinsky said. “It’s an important aspect of consumer behavior.” In their paper, Pirinsky and Pan state: “Understanding social influence is particularly important because when people follow the behavior of others they are prone to mistakes. Given that housing assets comprise a large fraction of household portfolios, even small consumer errors in this market could have strong welfare implications. Household homeownership decisions affect not only individuals’ welfare but also the macro-economy, given the systemic link of the housing market to the financial sector and other industries in the economy.”
“Understanding social influence is particularly important because when people follow the behavior of others they are prone to mistakes.” Pirinsky and Pan focused on Christo Pirinsky, Assistant Professor of Finance ancestry and geography as the two primary social influences. “We find that the homeownership decisions within ethnic groups are locally correlated, after controlling for the homeownership of rates within the group and the region. For example, when a Lebanese person in D.C. decides whether to buy a home, his or her decision is very sensitive to the homeownership decisions of other Lebanese people in D.C. [but] not as sensitive to the homeownership decisions of Lebanese people in Baltimore.” Pirinsky added that this type of social influence is strongest among recent immigrants; it dissipates somewhat in succeeding generations, but remains an important factor. “People need to be aware of social influence, because it can lead them to make bad economic decisions, exceeding their budgets and buying something that they can’t afford,” Pirinsky said. “It’s important for people to be more educated about home-buying decisions.”
www.business.gwu.edu