New York City Market Update Q4 2022

Page 1

Market Update

Q4 | 2022 New
220 Central Park South, 39A 1
York City
All New York City 04 Market Overview 05 Market Snapshot | All Areas 06 Inventory | Absorption Rate 07 Days on Market | Listing Discount Luxury Market 09 Luxury Market
Ownership Type Analysis Neighborhood Analysis 10 Condos 12 Co-ops 14 Upper East Side 14 Upper West Side 15 Midtown 15 Uptown 16 Downtown 16 FiDi | Battery Park 17 Total Sales 17 Average Sales Price 3

Market Overview

manhattan

In comparison to Q4 2021, in Q4 2022, the number of transactions dropped 24% market-wide, with the $3M-$10M market having the most sizeable drop, being down 32%. Although the $3M-$10M market had the largest drop in number of sales, the average sales price increased by 2%, versus the entire market, which saw average sales prices decline by 5%.

3,044 Closed Sales -24% Change in Closed Sales {2022 v 2021} $1.99M Average Sales Price -5% Change in Average Sales Price {2022 v 2021}
{Q4 | 2022}
42 Wooster Street, 3SO

Number of Closed Sales vs. Inventory Average / Median Sales Price

$2,500,000

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

-

UNDER $3 Million

BETWEEN $3 - 10 Million

OVER $10 Million

ALL Price Points

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

12,000 $-

$500,000

Average Sales Price Median Sales Price

Number of Closed Sales Average Sales Price Median Sales Price

{2022 v 2021} -23% -3% -3%

4Q:22 2,589 $1.14M $950K 4Q:21 3,377 $1.18M $983K

{2022 v 2021} -32% 2% 0%

4Q:22 396 $4.96M $4.40M 4Q:21 582 $4.88M $4.39M

{2022 v 2021} -18% -16% -22%

4Q:22 59 $18.89M $13.50M

4Q:21 72 $22.57M $17.32M

{2022 v 2021} -24% -5% -8%

4Q:22 3,044 $1.99M $1.11M 4Q:21 4,031 $2.10M $1.20M

$2,000,000 5

Overview / New York City Q4 Market Update
# of Closed Sales Inventory

Inventory

All New York City

Number of Active Listings

117 241 455 566 1,327 1,594 2,205 6,505

$20 Million and Above $10 - 20 Million $6 - 10 Million $4 - 6 Million $2 - 4 Million $1 - 2 Million Under $1 Million TOTAL

CONDOS & CO-OPS

The historic absorption range of equilibrium for the New York City market area is 6-8 months. We ended Q4 2022 with 6,505 active units on the market. The absorption rate of active inventory was 5.4 months in Q4 2022. This statistic means that it would take 5.4 months to absorb the active inventory that is currently on the market based upon the rate of sales over the last 6 months. Based on the same calculation, it would take less than 6 months to absorb the current inventory priced below $2M, less than 12 months for inventory priced between $2M-$6M, over 15 months for inventory priced between $6M-20M, and nearly 2 years to absorb properties priced above $20M given the current inventory in Manhattan.

The absorption rate is calculated by taking the total number of currently active listings and dividing by the average number of closed sales over the 6-month period.

0 5 10 15 20
Absorption Rate Absorption Line of Equilibrium 33.9% 24.5% 20.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.8%
25 Under $1M $1-2M $2-4M 4-6M 6-10M 10-20M $20M+

Average Days on Market Listing Discount

All New York City

Overview / New York City Q4 Market Update
Average Days on Market vs. Listing Discount Q4 2020 Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022
7
Average Days on Market 139 152 159 123 117 112 105 89 109 Listing Discount -7.3% -7.1% -6.2% -5.4% -5.3% -5.0% -7.0% -5.9% -11.9% Listing Discount Average Days on Market 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 -14.0% -12.0% -10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% Q4:20 Q1:21 Q2:21 Q3:21 Q4:21 Q1:22 Q2:22 Q3:22 Q4:22
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© 2023 Sotheby’s International Realty. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark and used with permission. Each Sotheby’s International Realty office is independently owned and operated, except those operated by Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. The Sotheby’s International Realty network fully supports the principles of the Fair Housing Act and the Equal Opportunity Act.
MANHATTAN

All New York City Co-Ops & Condos Over $10M

#

Average Sales Price $18.58M $16.80M $17.50M $18.38M $22.57M $14.41M $19.51M $18.52M $18.89M

Highest Sales Price $65.59M $41.00M $82.50M $66.00M $188M $46.96M $101M $75.89M $72.00M

Sales in the luxury price sector, above $10M, decreased by 21% compared to last quarter. However, the average sales price in this sector is higher than Q3 2022.

Luxury Market
The
Closed Sales Count, Average Sales Price & Highest Sales Price Average Sales Price vs. # of Closed Sales
The Luxury Market / New York City Q4 Market Update Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2020
2021
2021
2021
2021
2022
2022
2022
2022
of Closed Sales 30 28 77 87 72 85 91 75 59
sothebysrealty.com
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 $0
Q4:20 Q1:21 Q2:21 Q3:21 Q4:21 Q1:22 Q2:22 Q3:22 Q4:22 9
# of Closed Sales Average Sales Price
$5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000

Condos

{Q4 | 2022} manhattan

In Q4 2022, 1,370 condominium transactions closed representing a 32% decrease from 2021. As compared to Q4 2021, the average sales prices in the condominium sector decreased 2%.

1,370 Closed Sales -32% Change in Closed Sales {2022 vs. 2021} $2.81M Average Sales Price -2% Change in Average Sale Price {2022 vs. 2021}
99 Jane Street, 8C

2,500

Number of Closed Sales

Average / Median Sales Price

$3,500,000

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

UNDER $3 Million

$2,500,000

$2,000,000

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

$500,000

$0

Average Sales Price Median Sales Price -

Number of Closed Sales Average Sales Price Median Sales Price Average Price/Sq. Ft.

{2022 v 2021} -32% -1% -3% 4% 4Q:22 1,040 $1.43M $1.28M $1,504 4Q:21 1,523 $1.44M $1.32M $1,453

BETWEEN $3 - 10 Million

{2022 v 2021} -36% 1% 1% 3% 4Q:22 282 $4.98M $4.47M $2,260 4Q:21 442 $4.91M $4.41M $2,205 ABOVE $10 Million

{2022 v 2021} -21% -15% -22% -9% 4Q:22 48 $19.93M $13.50M $4,526 4Q:21 61 $23.58M $17.36M $4,972

{2022 v 2021} -32% -2% -5% 1%

ALL Price Points

4Q:22 1,370 $2.81M $1.63M $2,114 4Q:21 2,026 $2.86M $1.70M $2,084

$3,000,000 11

Condos / New York City Q4 Market Update
Q4:20 Q1:21 Q2:21 Q3:21 Q4:21 Q1:22 Q2:22 Q3:22 Q4:22

Co-Ops

The 1,674 closed coop transactions in Q4 2022 represented a 17% decrease in number of sales compared to Q4 2021. However, for co-ops priced specifically between $3M-$10M, average and median prices each increased by 3%, versus the entire co-op market, which saw average sales prices decline by 1%.

Closed Sales -17% Change in Closed Sales {2022 v 2021} $1.31M Average Sales Price -1% Change in Average Sales Price {2022 v 2021}
1,674
{Q4 | 2022} manhattan
East
Street, PH55W 151 East
PH55W 140 Fifth Avenue, 5A
151
58th
58th Street,

3,000

Number of Closed Sales

Average / Median Sales Price

$1,600,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

UNDER $3 Million

BETWEEN $3 - 10 Million

ABOVE $10 Million

ALL Price Points

$1,200,000

$1,000,000

$800,000

$600,000

$400,000

$200,000

$0

Average Sales Price Median Sales Price -

Number of Closed Sales Average Sales Price Median Sales Price

{2022 v 2021} -16% -2% 0%

4Q:22 1,549 $953K $750K 4Q:21 1,854 $970K $751K

{2022 v 2021} -19% 3% 3%

4Q:22 114 $4.93M $4.33M 4Q:21 140 $4.80M $4.20M

{2022 v 2021} 0% -16% -18%

4Q:22 11 $14.33M $12.38M 4Q:21 11 $16.98M $15.00M

{2022 v 2021} -17% -1% -2%

4Q:22 1,674 $1.31M $803K 4Q:21 2,005 $1.33M $820K

$1,400,000 13

Co-Ops / New York City Q4 Market Update
Q4:20 Q1:21 Q2:21 Q3:21 Q4:21 Q1:22 Q2:22 Q3:22 Q4:22

Neighborhood Highlights

Upper East Side | north of 58th street and south of 96th Street, Fifth Avenue to East End Avenue

CONDOS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 199 265 -25%

Average Sales Price $3.50M $2.64M 33% Median Sales Price $2.00M $1.70M 18%

COOPS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 461 618 -25%

Average Sales Price $1.70M $1.68M 1% Median Sales Price $950K $961K -1%

Upper West Side | north of 58th Street and south of 110th Street, CPW to Riverside Drive (including CPS)

CONDOS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 222 340 -35%

Average Sales Price $4.79M $3.78M 26%

Median Sales Price $1.95M $1.95M 0%

COOPS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 294 356 -18%

Average Sales Price $1.30M $1.60M -19%

Median Sales Price $900K $992K -9%

new york
city

Midtown

| north of 34th Street and south of 57th Street

CONDOS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 265 275 -4%

Average Sales Price $1.47M $1.61M -9% Median Sales Price $1.22M $1.19M 2%

COOPS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 214 280 -24%

Average Sales Price $688K $818K -16% Median Sales Price $538K $615K -13%

Uptown | north of 96th Street on the East Side and north of 110th Street on the West Side

CONDOS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 97 153 -36%

Average Sales Price $972K $1.23M -21%

Median Sales Price $840K $999K -16%

COOPS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 163 174 -6%

Average Sales Price $587K $547K 7% Median Sales Price $499K $452K 10%

Neighborhood Highlights / New York City Q4 Market Update
15

Neighborhood Highlights

Downtown | South of 34th Street through TriBeCa

CONDOS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 490 787 -38%

Average Sales Price $2.85M $3.61M -21%

Median Sales Price $2.13M $2.30M -8%

COOPS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 507 550 -8%

Average Sales Price $1.44M $1.27M 14%

Median Sales Price $925K $870K 6%

Financial District / Battery Park

CONDOS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 97 206 -53%

Average Sales Price $2.12M $1.69M 26%

Median Sales Price $1.39M $1.29M 7%

COOPS Q4 2022 Q4 2021 % Change

Closed Sales 35 27 31%

Average Sales Price $1.59M $928K 72%

Median Sales Price $1.29M $850K 51%

new york city

Total Number of Sales by Neighborhood

800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600

600

400

200

0

Q4:20 Q1:21 Q2:21 Q3:21 Q4:21 Q1:22 Q2:22 Q3:22 Q4:22

Uptown Upper East Side Midtown FiDi / Battery Park Upper West Side Downtown

Average Sales Price by Neighborhood

$3,000,000

$2,500,000

$2,000,000

$1,500,000

$1,000,000

$500,000

$0

Q4:20 Q1:21 Q2:21 Q3:21 Q4:21 Q1:22 Q2:22 Q3:22 Q4:22

Uptown Upper East Side Midtown FiDi / Battery Park Upper West Side Downtown

Neighborhood Highlights / New York City Q4 Market Update
17

Manhattan Brokerages

DOWNTOWN

MANHATTAN BROKERAGE

Diane Levine, Executive Vice President of Sales - NYC

149 Fifth Avenue, 4th Floor | New York, NY 10010 | 212.431.2440

EAST SIDE MANHATTAN BROKERAGE

Marissa Ghesquiere, Executive Vice President of Sales - NYC 650 Madison Avenue | New York, NY 10022 | 212.606.7660

Back cover feature property: 1 Central Park South, PH2011 © 2023 Sotheby’s International Realty. All Rights Reserved. Figures in this report are based on publicly reported closed sales information via the Automated City Register Information System (ACRIS) and Property Shark, an independent research firm. Sotheby’s International Realty® is a registered trademark and used with permission. Each Sotheby’s International Realty office is independently owned and operated, except those operated by Sotheby’s International Realty, Inc. This material is based upon information which we consider reliable but because it has been supplied by third parties, we cannot represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Since all final closed data for the current quarter had not been reported at the time this report was compiled, the available closed data was extrapolated i0n an attempt to approximate full results for the current quarter. Actual results may materially vary from the approximated results. All offerings are subject to errors, omissions, changes including price or withdrawal without notice. If your property is listed with a real estate broker, please disregard. It is not our intention to solicit the offerings of other real estate brokers. We are happy to work with them and cooperate fully. Equal Housing Opportunity.

sothebysrealty.com/nyc

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