China: Collecting China 10 October 2014 Article by Ian Le Breton The Sovereign Group A kind reader recently told me how much they've enjoyed my latest columns on art and yachts. Encouraged, I ventured: "Well I hope you'll enjoy the next one too – it's about China". "Ah, china," he said. "Does that mean the government is dropping import tax on porcelain too?" You couldn't make it up. But no, dear reader, I will not expounding on the market in Meissen, the rally in Royal Worcester or the capital gains in Capodimonte – although coincidentally a week off in Naples beckons in October. Instead I will offer you some thoughts on China, the country. In August 2012, under the title "BRIC and back", I wrote about the phenomena of the socalled "BRIC" grouping of countries – namely Brazil, Russia, India and, of course, China – which then became "BRICS" with the inclusion of South Africa in 2010. Since that time, there have been some considerable changes in the world order. Russia has of course been on our front pages for some time as its foreign policy leaves it increasingly isolated politically and economically from the West. Brazil has been on our back pages, after staging a football World Cup and is soon to host the Olympics, but is also having its fair share of difficulties – not least the eye-watering costs and the shocking semi-final loss to Germany. India and South Africa are both facing challenges, which I will save for another day. For now, I want to focus on China – and with good reason. Why? Well simply because "it's the place to be". Let's start by considering some astonishing numbers. At the beginning of September, the Chinese population was estimated at 1.37 billion people – or 19% of the world total. Think of it this way. If we were spread equally round the world one out of every five people would be Chinese. If you think someone is "one in million" there are a thousand Chinese just like them. OK maybe I made that last bit up, but China remains the world's most populous country. India is not far behind at 1.25 billion but the United States, in third place, can only muster 319 million people. Of course it is not just the quantity but the quality that counts. China's middle class is expanding rapidly and consumer spending is expected to grow at an annual rate of 7.7% over the next decade to hit around $11 trillion by 2024. That explains the Western demand for Chinese ecommerce platform Alibaba, which has just announced plans to raise US$20 billion in a public offering in the US. No wonder so many parents around the world are encouraging their children to learn Mandarin. The sheer numbers alone demand that any international firm must consider and develop a China strategy. This is true not just for the US, the UK and the rest of the EU countries, but for many smaller nations around the world. Smaller states that can offer real expertise and high quality can achieve good market penetration. The Scandinavian countries are fine examples and, to localise this trend, we can reasonably include Gibraltar too. This is because the Gibraltar government is not just talking about its interest in China – it is actually doing something about it too. Read on. From a Gibraltar perspective I am often asked (particularly from within the Sovereign Group, which has extensive operations in China and the Far East) whether there are any services we