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DUBAI_FINAL:22nov

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Dubai: Not the modern centre of the Arab world, but the Arab centre of the modern world

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There’s to be an underwater hotel ($500 million). One

velopment called Dubai Waterfront/Arabian Canal covers an

indoor ski resort, with real snow and its own black run, ex-

area larger than Barbados and will house, when completed

ists already, a startling presence on the city’s southern sky-

($6 billion), more people than Paris.

line. There is to be a second, with a revolving mountain.

It sounds good. It looks fantastic. But the global eco-

Plans are mooted for a Chess City, with 32 tower blocks of 64

nomic outlook for 2008 is darkening with the ongoing US

floors, each in the form of a chess piece. There’s to be a 60-

sub-prime lending crisis and the credit crunch. How will

floor apartment block in the shape of London’s famous Big

Dubai fare in a global downturn?

Ben. One company selling flats is giving away a free Jag with

To make an accurate prediction, we must first find a

each one. There will be a pyramid and a building called At-

‘control’: another economy that bears striking resemblance to

lantis that will cost $600 million and include a ‘swim-with-

the UAE. Thankfully, this is not the US. The UAE economy

the-dolphins encounter programme’. An Aviation City and a

is running high on the back of a five-year boom that is still

Cargo Village, an Aid City and a Humanitarian Free Zone,

on a rising trajectory. In the US, house prices have been drop-

an Exhibition City and a Festival City, a Healthcare City and

ping for 18 months, and the dollar has been devaluing to

a Flower City, a $4 billion extension to the airport and an-

boost exports and support share prices.

other entirely new airport along the coast towards Abu Dhabi,

The best parallel might be Hong Kong in the early

for which no figures are available but you can take a guess

1990s, which continued to boom at a time when the US and

at a few billion: six runways, annual capacity 120 million

UK economies were stuck in recessionary mode. Then local

passengers, 12 million tonnes of cargo.

and foreign investors poured money into new investments

The Middle East’s answer to Disneyland, called Dubailand, which is far larger than Monaco, is costing $4.5 billion.

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100 Thousand Club

like the Hong Kong airport project at a dismal time for many other economies.

It will employ 300,000 people in the various joylands, serv-

It has to be said that the comparison between Dubai and

icing 15 million visitors. A new urban railway, with 37 stops,

Hong Kong is often made. Dubai is also a highly developed

has begun construction. Dubai is to have its own Silicon

trading hub, a logistics centre for a wider region and has a

Oasis ($1.7 billion) for computer companies. A mixed de-

skilled population comprised largely of hard working, recent


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