Global Food Marketer™ February 2024

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Commodity Trends Luxury Pet Food – Recession Resistant

Amid global economic fluctuations, one market that seems to be remaining notably stable is luxury pet food. Unlike other consumer sectors, the demand for premium pet products tends to withstand economic downturns, with any shifts being marginal and confined primarily to non-essential items such as pet toys. Essential pet products, particularly those related to nutrition and hygiene, experience a sustained demand, as pet owners are generally reluctant to compromise on the well-being of their animals. This sentiment is driven by the emotional investment individuals have in their pets, which tends to intensify during periods of economic hardship, making purchasing decisions more emotionally driven than economically calculated. A significant contributor to the robustness of the luxury pet food market is the spending behavior of younger pet owners, notably millennials. This demographic demonstrates a greater willingness to invest in premium pet products, creating growth opportunities for industry giants like Nestle, Colgate-Palmolive, and General Mills, who have experienced accelerated growth in the premium pet categories despite inflation concerns. In November 2022, Morgan Stanley forecasted an annual

ownership during the pandemic. Approximately one-third of recent pet adopters fall within the 18-34 age bracket, displaying a propensity to spend more on pet-related expenditures, including food, treats, and overall care. Demographic shifts further underline the resilience of the luxury pet food market. The decline in the U.S. birth rate contrasts with a substantial increase in the dog population, with the American Veterinary Medical Association (AVMA) reporting a nearly 9% growth from 2016 to 2020. This discrepancy reinforces the changing dynamics of pet ownership. The AVMA identifies a noteworthy segment of pet owners who treat their animals particularly well. These consumers are generally under 35 or between 45 and 54, have no kids or spouses, and are generally earning annual incomes of more than $200,000 and contribute significantly to the luxury pet food market. Impressively, 96% of this demographic considers their pets as family members, with 86% celebrating their pets' birthdays and almost 20% including their pets in their wills. For pet food exporters, this resilience in the face of economic uncertainties presents an opportunity to tap into a strong and expanding market. As pet owners continue to prioritize the well-being of their furry companions, the outlook for luxury pet food exports seems set to keep growing.

growth rate of 8% in the pet industry through 2030, attributing this optimistic outlook to the surge in pet

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