The Market Report • Commercial Real Estate in Italy H1 2018

Page 20

The Real Estate Market Retail Sales

average annual decline of -0.7%. Some of the main cities,

2014 was the turning point for sales recovery in the retail

however, already experimented the much awaited real

market. Its progressive growth reached 28,115 sales in

estate cycle inversion: Milan (+0.8%), Venice (+0.2%)

2017, with a 6.9% increase on 2016.

and Florence (+0.1%) recorded a positive outcome for

In the 8 main Italian cities, sales increased by 11.7% on

the first time since 2008. Gross average yields remain

an annual basis with 5,968 sold units, that is 23.7% of

stable. Venice shows the best performance with yields of

the total sold stock in Italy. It is worth noting Milan’s

about 8% in prime central locations and 7% in secondary

good performance: with 1,602 sales, it recorded a 16.6%

locations in the semi-center. Rome follows with 7.1% in

increase on an annual basis. Also relevant is Turin’s result

prime central locations and 7.5% in semi-central areas.

(+22%).

Florence varies between 6.6% of the semi-central areas to

In 2017, the value of total sales was €5.9 billion. Indeed,

7% of the central areas. Milan has lower yields, with 6.2%

in the post-crisis years, the sector lost almost half of

average in the city center and 7% in the semi-central area.

its turnover which, in 2008, amounted to €10.5 billion. According to Italian Revenue Agency data, the average sold surface in Italy amounts to 127 sqm. Prices, fees and yields In 2018 H1 prices kept dropping (-1.1% on an annual basis), following the downward trend which began in 2008 with the beginning of the crisis. According to Nomisma, prices will not increase before 2020. Within this framework, there is an exception: Milan. Here, the average annual change amounted to 1.0%. Rome, on the other hand, in line with the trend of major markets, closed the semester with a 1.3%. Fees seem to follow the same trend as prices, with an

Retail – Sales Number (2008-2017) Source: Nomisma elaboration on Italian Revenue Agency data 20

Retail - Sales in Cities With a Population of More than 250,000 People (2017) Source: Nomisma elaboration on Italian Revenue Agency data

Retail - Turnover and Sold Surface Source: Nomisma elaboration on Italian Revenue Agency data


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