September 10, 2018

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The Chronicle

See Inside Fiery start carries Duke to win Page 6

T H E I N D E P E N D E N T D A I LY AT D U K E U N I V E R S I T Y

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 10, 2018 DUKECHRONICLE.COM

How could Hurricane Florence impact Duke?

ONE HUNDRED AND FOURTEENTH YEAR, ISSUE 8

WIN—BUT AT A STEEP COST FOOTBALL

Blue Devils lose their quarterback, top corner in 21-7 win against Northwestern on the road

By Ben Leonard Managing Editor

With Category 4 Hurricane Florence projected to make landfall late Thursday or Friday morning, Durham could wind up being impacted significantly. Wes Hohenstein, chief meteorologist at CBS 17, told The Chronicle Sunday there is a two-thirds chance that the eye of Hurricane Florence blows right through Durham. Hohenstein said the cone used in projections from the National Hurricane Center is correct twothirds of the time—and as of now, Durham is included in the 500-mile wide projected path. On the ground in Durham, that would mean winds at more than 70 miles per hour, intense flooding, fallen trees and power outages for potentially days, Hohenstein said. He added the worst day will likely be Friday, in what could be a three-day storm hitting Durham Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Driving would likely be next to impossible Friday. Hohenstein added Sunday night that the storm is rapidly intensifying, but expected to weaken and drastically slow down when its eye is projected to make landfall at some point the second half of the day on Thursday. This would leave North Carolina more vulnerable to flooding, he said. Using current projections, Hohenstein explained that Florence would be a Category 2 hurricane by the time it reaches Durham. “A lot of times, we prepare for these bad storms and things are okay and nothing happens. But every once in a while, it is the worst possible scenario and we have to be ready for it,” he said. “Once things start going downhill, there’s no turning back. We want to make sure everyone is taking it seriously and is ready for it.” In the one-third chance that the projection is not correct, the impact could be very minimal in Durham. Gov. Roy Cooper declared a State of Emergency Friday. By its policies, Duke and its health care system must maintain “essential services and operations” during severe weather conditions. These services would include hospital operations, student resident life, research and support services. Although the hospital and the University must remain open in severe weather, classes and clinic appointments may be cancelled. Duke cancelled classes under its severe weather policy for a large snowstorm in January. Kyle Cavanaugh, vice president of administration, told The Chronicle in an email that any decision regarding classes would be up to Provost Sally Kornbluth, in consultation with Duke’s Emergency Management System. If the severe weather policy were to go into effect, a DukeALERT would be issued. Cavanaugh wrote that the Emergency Management System has been monitoring the storm closely, while in regular contact with the National Weather Service. He also added that since hurricanes tend to impact the coast primarily, the University has been in close contact with Duke’s Marine Lab, whose leadership is also planning for potential impact.

By Mitchell Gladstone Sports Features Editor Ian Jaffe | Special Projects Photography Editor Mark Gilbert’s season is over after being injured in Saturday’s game against Northwestern.

EVANSTON, Ill.—The Blue Devils’ than ever, completing more than 74 percent victory against Northwestern Saturday of his 39 pass attempts and posting five total was not as rosy as it may have seemed. touchdowns without a turnover in Duke’s Quarterback Daniel Jones fractured his first two contests. left clavicle at the end of the third quarter Former Blue Devil quarterback and will be out indefinitely after surgery. Anthony Boone missed four weeks with ACC cornerback the same injury as Mark Gilbert was We feel for him and I hope Jones in 2013. That helped off the field Duke team went in the first half and is he gets healthy fast, and 1-2 in its stretch now out for the season losing a guy like that is never without Boone, after hip surgery losing a pair of easy. Sunday as well. ACC contests. The two join a Jones’ injury was ben humphreys growing list of key SENIOR LINEBACKER the second scare Blue Devils in the of the game, training room, as wide after Gilbert had receiver Aaron Young and safety Jeremy already left in the first half. McDuffie didn’t suit up for Saturday’s “We have a lot of information on him, we contest due to lingering injuries. took him to the hospital here,” Head Coach Losing Jones is a major blow for the David Cutcliffe said after Saturday’s game. Blue Devils. The third-year starter has “Right now, we are figuring Mark [Gilbert] begun the 2018 season looking stronger is going to be out for quite some time.”

Gilbert’s absence would immediately impact a young Blue Devil secondary. He hauled in six interceptions during the 2018 season—which led the ACC— and has become an anchor for a strong defensive unit. “Mark Gilbert is one of the best corners in the ACC, if not the country,” senior linebacker Ben Humphreys said. “We feel for him and I hope he gets healthy fast, and losing a guy like that is never easy.” Quentin Harris and Michael Carter II took over for Jones and Gilbert, respectively. Harris was 2-for-2 on passes for 14 yards with 14 yards on the ground, but did not produce any points. Carter—on the other hand—had the best games of his career, logging eight tackles, three pass breakups and an interception in the victory. The Blue Devils will head to Waco, Texas, next Saturday where they will face Baylor at 3:30 p.m.

OPINION

First-years: Math says don’t fall in love By Luke Farrell Columnist

For first-years at Duke, stress comes in various forms: making friends, struggling in class, missing the bus. For many of these novel pressures, Duke attempts to provide some feeble remediation. But for perhaps the most stressful of all—finding love—even Duke can provide no help. From first-year move-in to commencement, you have around 1,352 days to find the best possible person to start your Duke romance with. But finding love, especially mathematically optimal love, is no small feat. Settle down too early, and end up missing out on an even better future partner. Wait too long, and all your best suitors may already be taken. You may try your luck at Shooters—but rarely can one find oneself among the sweat and iniquity there, let alone their one true love. Or you may take

INSIDE — News 2 | Sports 4 | Crossword 9 | Opinion 10 | Serving the University since 1905 |

your chances on a dating app—but those become easily saturated and still don’t solve the problem of who to choose. Luckily for you, mathematics provides a straightforward solution: for the first 37 percent of your Duke career, don’t fall in love. You can achieve the greatest verifiable odds of finding your perfect match—all you have to do is follow dating advice from a mathematician. Through the centuries this problem has come in many forms: “the secretary problem,” “the sultan’s dowry problem” and most recently as “optimal stopping theory.” The mathematical phenomenon was popularized when Martin Gardner wrote about it in Scientific American in 1960 and has since inspired research in economics, finance, biology, and statistics. The 37 percent rule it generated has been found everywhere from fish mating behavior,

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See LOVE on Page 10 @thedukechronicle | © 2018 The Chronicle


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