Paradise Valley Lifestyle

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Wendy Walker Fine Properties Paradise Valley Market in “SHIFT”

urrently there are 381 active properties over $1 million in Paradise Valley. This high level of inventory has many sellers scratching their heads, asking why? According to the Cromford Report – April 2016, the 12 month average price per square foot of homes for sale at $500,000 or higher, reached a peak of $237 in August last year and has been moving sideways to slightly lower since then. It was $233 last month, and so far, April is running at under $232. This reflects the oversupply in the higher price ranges. There are many theories as to why this “shift” is happening. 1) One theory put forward by several national analysts, particularly Stephen Kim of Barclays, is that a long term secular change is under way. They believe a wave of Empty Nesters is seeking to downsize, and now that the market has recovered from the crisis of 2008-2013 they are planning to do so in growing numbers. If a large number of Baby Boomers want to sell their suburban luxury homes at the same time, we are going to see an imbalance of supply and demand. Today’s younger buyers appear to prefer density and proximity to urban facilities like shops, restaurants and entertainment. Far fewer of them play golf. In any case, can enough of the younger generations afford to live in suburban luxury even if they wanted to? Baby Boomers are the ones with the equity. Generation X was badly hit by the foreclosure wave and many of the Millennials are still deciding what they want.

We are seeing a rise in discretionary selling, where older homeowners sell their large homes and move into smaller homes. They appear to prefer upgrades and amenities to square footage. They are probably using their home equity as a source of funds to enjoy their retirement. What we are seeing from the Greater Phoenix numbers lends some credibility to this theory. (Cromford Report April 2016) 2) This is an election year. Historically activity dips in an election year due to the uncertainly of the future economy. Once the new President is decided, half of the country is encouraged, while the other half is discouraged.

Let the Light In THE NEW SKYLIGHT

3) Paradise Valley is an attractive winter destination for residents in the mid-western part of the United States. When the temperatures are below zero we tend to see an influx of activity and movement. This year however, the winter was unseasonably warm, not prompting snow birds to head for warmer temps and sunshine. No doubt, our market is in a SHIFT. To better understand how your personal residential real estate goals can be accomplished in this uncertain market requires foresight, planning, and strategy. We are happy to meet with you to discuss your options and best strategies for you.

-Wendy & David

Real Estate Re-Defined. Coldwell Banker Residential Brokerage Wendy Walker Office: 602-468-8888

David R. Perry Cell: 602-820-8181

www.wendywalkerfineproperties.com

Art Adventures

COMMUNITY ART WALKS

The Handlebar’s QUINOA SALAD WITH ROASTED BEETS

Following the Hieroglyphic Trail

IN THE SUPERSTITION MOUNTAINS If your home is currently listed, this is not a solicitation for that listing.

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