S2 MS Jan 2011

Page 10

Question Number 6. (a) X~Po(2.5)

Scheme

Marks M1A1 (2)

(b) Cars arrive at the toll booth independently/randomly

Cars arrive one at a time The rate of arrival at a toll booth remains constant at 2.5 per minute (c)(i)

P ( X = 0) = e

B1 B1 (2)

−2.5

= 0.0821

B1 (1)

(c)(ii)

P( X > 3)

= 1 − P( X ≤ 3) = 0.2424

M1 A1 (2)

(d) Use of Po(10)

M1 M1 A1 cao

1 − 0.0487 = 0.9513 m = 15

(e)

(3)

Y ~ N ( 25, 25 )

B1B1

P ( X < 15 ) = P(Y ≤ 14.5)

M1

14.5 − 25 ⎞ ⎛ = P⎜Z ≤ ⎟ 5 ⎝ ⎠ = P ( Z ≤ −2.1) = 0.01786

M1 A1 A1 (6) [16]

GCE Statistics S2 (6684) January 2011

7


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