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ATversky,DanielKahnemanExpand1Judgmentunderuncertainty:HeuristicsandbiasesAmosTverskyandDanielKahnemanThreeheuristicsthatare employedinmakingjudgementsunderuncertaintyaredescribed:representativeness,availabilityofinstancesorscenarios,whichisoftenemployedwhenpeople areaskedtoassessthefrequencyofaclassortheplausibilityofaparticulardevelopmentPsychologyBiasesinjudgmentsrevealsomeheuristicsofthinkingunder uncertaintyManyisionsarebasedonbeliefsconcerningthelikelihoodofuncertaineventssuchastheoutcomeofanelection,theguiltofadefendant,orthefuture valueofthedollarJudgmentunderuncertainty:HeuristicsandbiasesAmosTverskyandDanielKahnemanManyisionsarebasedonbeliefsconcerningthe likelihoodofunceftaineVentssuchastheoutcomeofanelection,theguiltofadefendantpcgeviiiUNIVERSITYPRESSThesebeliefsareusuallyexpressedin SUMMARYThisarticledescribedthreeheuristicsthatareemployedinmakingjudgmentsunderuncertainty:(i)representativeness,whichisusuallyemployed whenpeopleareaskedtojudgetheprobabilitythatanobjectoreventAbelongstoclassorprocessB;(ii)availabilityofinstancesorscenarios,whichisoften employedwhenpeopleareTLDR.AmosTverskyandDanielKahneman.Thisarticledescribedthreeheuristicsthatareemployedinmakingjudgmentsunder uncertainty:(i)representativeness,whichisusuallyemployedwhenpeopleareaskedtojudgetheprobabilitythatanobjectoreventAbelongstoclassorprocess B;(ii)availabilityofinstancesorscenarios,whichisoftenemployedwhenpeopleareTverskyandKahnemanjudgmentunderuncertaintyPsychology,Economics ContentsThisarticledescribedthreeheuristicsthatareemployedinmakingjudgementsunderuncertainty:(i)representativeness,whichisusuallyemployedwhen peopleareaskedtojudgetheprobabilitythatanobjectoreventAbelongstoclassorprocessB;(ii)availabilityofinstancesorscenarios,whichisoftenemployed PartII:RepresentativenessBeliefinthelawofsmallnumbersAmosAbstractThisarticledescribedthreeheuristicsthatareemployedinmakingjudgmentsunder uncertainty:(i)representativeness,whichisusuallyemployedwhenpeopleareJudgmentunderUncertainty:HeuristicsandBiases.ListofcontributorsPreface.or thefuturevalueofthedollarSUMMARYThisarticledescribedthreeheuristicsthatareemployedinmakingjudgmentsunderuncertainty:(i)representativeness, whichisusuallyemployedwhenAbstract:Thisarticledescribedthreeheuristicsthatareemployedinmakingjudgementsunderuncertainty:(i)representativeness, whichisusuallyemployedwhenpeopleareDTICADJudgmentunderUncertainty:HeuristicsandBiases:DefenseTechnicalInformationCenter:FreeDownload, Borrow,andStreaming:Internet1Judgmentunderuncertainty:HeuristicsandbiasesAmosTverskyandDanielKahnemanThisarticledescribedthreeheuristics thatareemployedinmakingjudgementsunderuncertainty:(i)CAMBRIDGExiJudgmentunderuncertainty:HeuristicsandbiasesJudgmentunderUncertainty: HeuristicsandBiasesBiasesinjudgmentsrevealsomeheuristicsofthinkingunderuncertaintyPartI:IntroductionPartII:RepresentativenessBeliefinthelawof smallnumbersAmosTverskyandDanielKahnemanSubjectiveprobability:AjudgmentofrepresentativenessDanielKahnemanandAmosTverskyAbstract.