Gavilan Q1 2024 Report

Page 1

Gavilán QUARTER

Tomasino PRESENTED BY:

ONE REPORT 2 0 2 4 Q U A R T E R L Y R E P O R T | Q 1

B R O K E R A S S O C I A T E ® C Y N T H I A T O M A S I N O G R O U P A T R E A L B R O K E R A G E D R E # 0 1 7 8 6 7 1 3
Cynthia

Cynthia Tomasino hello! MY NAME IS

YOUR LOCAL REAL ESTATE EXPERT

With over 15 years of experience, I offer unmatched expertise in South Orange Counties dynamic real estate market. For the past 10 years I have specialized in Rancho Mission Viejo with a focus on the 55+ neighborhoods of Gavilán and I am an area expert and Top Producer in RMV. I bring my multifaceted experience and knowledge to each transaction, empowering my clients to make informed lifestyle and financial decisions that benefit their immediate and farreaching future and always deliver exceptional service, whether you're buying, selling, or investing in Gavilán.

LOCAL INSIGHTS, PROVEN RESULTS

As a long-time area resident, I bring local insights and a client-centered approach to exceed your expectations. I have specialized in Gavilán since it began in 2014 and I am proud to produce records in your neighborhood having sold over 4o homes. My awards and recognitions underscore my unwavering commitment to your success.

23 AVG. SALE PRICE

7 HOMES UNDER CONTRACT

$1,107,442 HOMES ON THE MARKET

15 HOMES SOLD

26 AVG. DAYS ON MARKET

Q 1 | G A V I L A N M A R K E T U P D A T E

MARKET UPDATE | JANUARY - MARCH 2024
*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/1/24-3/31/24 - *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES

HOUSING MARKET BASICS

Understanding the housing market involves looking at how many homes are for sale compared to the number of people looking to buy Let's break it down:

BUYER’S MARKET:

Definition: This happens when there are more homes for sale than people wanting to buy.

Signs: Lots of options for buyers; sellers might need to be more competitive.

NEUTRAL MARKET:

Definition: This occurs when the number of buyers matches the number of homes for sale.

Signs: A balanced market where supply meets demand; neither buyers nor sellers have a clear advantage.

SELLER’S MARKET:

Definition: This is when there are more buyers than available homes.

Signs: Buyers face more competition; sellers may have the upper hand in negotiations. Understanding these market conditions helps both buyers and sellers navigate the real estate landscape.

CURRENT HOUSING MARKET IN

CURRENTLY IN A SELLER’S MARKET, RESULTING IN ELEVATED PRICES AND SWIFT HOME SALES.

SELLER’S MARKET

NEUTRAL MARKET

BUYER’S MARKET

1 | H O U S I N G M A R K E T C O N D I T I O N S

Gavilán
Q

QUARTER 1 | INVENTORY

*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS

THE TOTAL NUMBER OF HOMES ACTIVELY LISTED IN AN AREA

QUARTER 1 QUARTER 1 2023 CHANGE

23 HOMES 9 HOMES +155%

IS COLLECTED FROM
- *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES
*THIS INFORMATION
MLS 1/1/24-3/31/24

QUARTER 1

NUMBER OF HOMES SOLD

QUARTER 1 QUARTER 1 2023

15 HOMES SOLD 4 HOMES SOLD +275%

*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/1/24 - 3/31/24 *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES
CHANGE

ASKING AND SELLING PRICES SIMPLIFIED

THE ASKING PRICE IS THE INITIAL LISTING AMOUNT FOR A HOME, WHILE THE SELLING PRICE IS THE ACTUAL AMOUNT IT SELLS FOR.

UNDER ASKING: HOMES SOLD FOR LESS THAN THE LISTED PRICE.

AT ASKING: HOMES SOLD AT THE LISTED PRICE.

OVER ASKING: HOMES SOLD FOR MORE THAN THE LISTED PRICE.

15 HOMES SOLD IN GAVILAN IN QUARTER 1

7 7 HOMES WERE SOLD ABOVE ASKING PRICE 1

HOMES WERE SOLD UNDER ASKING PRICE

HOMES WERE SOLD AT ASKING PRICE

Under Asking Price 46 7% At Asking Price 46 7% Above Asking Price 6 7% Q U A R T E R 1 A S K I N G P R I C E V S S O L D P R I C E
*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/1/24 - 3/31/24 - *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES

THIS IS THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF DAYS HOMES TAKE TO SELL IN AN AREA

Sold Under 30 Days 73 3% Sold Over 30 Days 26.7% Q U A R
D
Y
O
T E R 1
A
S
N M A R K E T DAYS ON MARKET
*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/1/24-3/31/24 - *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES QUARTER
SOLD IN
DAYS SOLD IN 33 DAYS -21.21%
1 2024 QUARTER 1 2023 CHANGE
26

QUARTER 1 | 2024 IN REVIEW

Total sales for each price point

*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/01/2024 - 3/31/24

OR UNDER

$1,300,000 - $1,500,000

$1,500,000 - $1,700,000

$1,700,000 - $1,990,000 $2,000,000+

2023 2024 CHANGE
$1,100,000
$1,300,000 1 7 +600% 1 3 +200% 1 2 +100% 0 1 +100% 0 0 = 1 1 =
$1,000,000
$1,000,000-$1,100,000
-
0 1 +100%
*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/01/2024 - 3/31/2024 *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES

Average Sale Price by Neighborhood

*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/01/2024 - 3/31/24 Q1 2024 HOMES SOLD ALONDRA DEL WEBB SENDERO VILLAGE AVOCET 2 $1,850,000 1 $1,280,000 1 $971,000 1 $1,134,990 2 $838,832 8 VIREO PEARL
*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/01/2024 - 3/31/2024 *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE, BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES $1,765,000
HAVEN

$1,284,990

$1,295,000

$1,450,000

$1,895,000

$2,099,990

$749,990

$749,990

$769,900

$770,245

$780,561

$799,990

$971,000

$1,019,990

$1,039,990

$1,049,990

$1,249,990

$1,280,000

$1,450,000

$1,850,000

$2,080,000

E C E N T L Y S O L D

ADDRESS BEDS BATHS SQFT LISTED PRICE SOLD PRICE LIST DATE 854 SUNRISE RD 842 SUNRISE RD 883 SUNRISE RD 892 SUNRISE RD 904 SUNRISE RD 794 SUNRISE RD 7 LISTO ST 180 SUNRISE RD 859 SUNRISE RD 888 SUNRISE RD 333 SUNRISE RD 102 CERRERO CT 31 CANTAR ST 16 BORRA ST 17 CANTAR ST 11/20/23 10/10/23 2/21/24 2/05/24 2/12/24 11/20/23 01/02/24 01/01/25 11/14/23 02/02/24 12/03/23 10/17/23 01/12/24 01/01/25 11/03/23 2 2 1,156 1,156 1,156 1,156 1,156 1,156 1,400 1,595 1,297 1,857 1,774 2,005 1,814 2,130 2,344 $799,990 $799,990 $769,990 $770,245 $780,561 $799,990 $940,000 $1,019,990
R
$1,039,990 $1,049,990
s
*THIS INFORMATION IS COLLECTED FROM MLS 1/01/2024 - 3/31/2024 - *ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IS DEEMED RELIABLE BUT HAS NOT BEEN VERIFIED AND WE DO NOT GUARANTEE IT IT IS RECOMMEND THAT BUYERS MAKE THEIR OWN INQUIRIES 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3
h o m e
i n G a v i l á n

Charting the course

Last year, rising mortgage rates dominated the real estate market. The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates a total of 11 times between March of 2022 and January of 2024 to combat inflation , impacting the housing market. Demand and price growth have since slowed, shifting the focus from availability to affordability for homebuyers.

WHAT LIES AHEAD?

Predicting this period is challenging, but here's what industry experts foresee for the U.S. housing market:

1.

Mortgage Rates: Mortgage rates have been bobbing around 7% for most of the year. With the recent sticky Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report and other hotter-than-expected economic reports, rates spiked to 7.44% as of April 15th. Last year, in mid-April, mortgage rates were around 6.5%, nearly a whole percentage point lower. Even with today’s higher mortgage rate environment, there have been an extra 187 closed sales, 4% more, this year compared to 2023.

2.

Sales Volume and Inventory: Homeowners are “hunkering down” in their homes and are unwilling to move due to their current underlying, locked-in, low fixed-rate mortgage. Through March, 37% fewer homes are on the market compared to the 3-year average before COVID (2017 to 2019).

3.

Home Prices: Many economic experts believe the U.S. economy will cool sometime this year. Rates drop with a cooling economy. If the economy downshifts enough, rates could fall to the low 6s or even into the upper 5s. The lower mortgage rates fall, the more inclined homeowners will be to move. It will also result in a spike in demand. With more homes available and more demand, the housing market would begin to thaw. With such limited inventory in 55+ communities the Gavilán market remains strong.

4. I am here to help you navigate the local real estate market's nuances and anticipate factors affecting your neighborhood's sales and home values. If you are considering buying or selling a home in 2024, let’s chat. I promise to save you time and money!

Rent Prices: Rent prices are expected to continue rising above average in many areas due to affordability challenges, inflation, and housing shortages.

G A V I L Á N M A R K E T O U T L O O K

CONSISTENTLY DELIVERING THE HIGHEST PRICES IN THE SHORTEST AMOUNT OF TIME WITH WHITE GLOVE SERVICE 949.246.6261 | CYNTHIA@GAVILANREALESTATE.COM | GAVILANREALESTATE.COM DRE# 01786713 BROKER ASSOCIATE® Th s commun cat on s not in ended to so c t propert es a ready sted for sa e or to cause or nduce b each of an ex st ng agency re at onship

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