2024 Q1 Market Update

Page 1

2024 Q1

MARKET UPDATE

03 About Us 05 07 09 New Listings Retail & Office 12 New & Closed Listings Industrial Acquisition & Disposition, Landlord Representation, Tenant Representation, Consulting & Valuation Client Services 04 Our Team Multifamily Outlook for 2024 Historical Market Data 10 Retail & Office Report 13 Industrial Report 08 14 New & Closed Listings Commercial Land & Business Client Partners 15 06 11 Closed Listings Retail & Office What to Expect Industrial Report

AboutUs

ColdwellBankerCommercialCBS

Our organization strategically combines a powerful national presence with the agility of a regional market innovator. Coldwell Banker Commercial CBS has the resources and insight to understand our local market and the expertise to convert this knowledge into tangible value for each client. Our professionals stand ready to help clients discover untapped Commercial Real Estate market opportunities and to deliver a range of services designed to add value to their businesses. Our professionals service a wealth of business categories, with clients representing established corporations to small businesses to individual investors.

www.cbcmontana.com

03

781 6889

04 406 671
blaine@cbcmontana com PARTNER 406 855
george@cbcmontana com MANAGING PARTNER, CCIM, MBA 406
d@cbcmontana.com PARTNER,
MBA 406 861 4742 erik@cbcmontana com AGENT 406
nathan@cbcmontana.com PARTNER,
MBA 406 208 7723 shaylee@cbcmontana.com BROKER, CCIM 406 656 2001 info@cbcmontana.com MARKETING SPECIALIST GEORGE WARMER BLAINE POPPLER DAVID MITCHELL NATHAN MATELICH ERIK CASERES SHAYLEE GREEN BROOKLIN MORRIS TEAM OUR 406.570.8961 todd@cbcmontana com AGENT 406 697 6176 mike@cbcmontana com AGENT TODD SHERMAN MIKE BRUSCHWEIN 406 698 8636 bruce@cbcmontana com AGENT BRUCE KNUDSEN 406.601.9695 michael@cbcmontana com AGENT MICHAEL SPEIDEL
0399
8946
794 3404
CCIM, SIOR,
CCIM,

Multifamily Outlook for 2024

What to Expect

As we step into 2024, the real estate landscape is poised for a variety of challenges and opportunities. In this post, we break down highlights from Yardi Matrix’s Multifamily National Report for 2024 - including what to expect for rent growth, the overall multifamily sector, the economy and capital markets, and projected transaction volumes.

Rent Growth:

The forecast for rent growth in 2024 appears positive, albeit at a modest rate of 1.5% nationally. This optimism, however, will be tempered by various factors, including slowing absorption, supply growth, and declining affordability, following several robust years.

Multifamily Sector: A Mixed Bag:

The multifamily sector faces a mixed outlook in 2024. While property performance remains healthy for most apartments, challenges are on the horizon. A wave of deliveries, rapid growth in expenses, a potential economic slowdown, and the rise in mortgage rates are anticipated hurdles.

Economic Resilience and Market Reset:

The U.S. economy has displayed surprising resilience, driven by robust employment growth and moderate gains in consumer spending. However, economic growth is expected to slow in 2024 due to a higherfor-longer interest rate scenario. This shift will trigger a market reset in commercial real estate, characterized by higher acquisition yields, increased financing costs, and lower leverage and values.

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Historical Market Data

Yellowstone County

06
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Industrial Oce Retail Q1 Average Bldg Price Per SQFT by Type (Existing) 0 5 10 15 20 Industrial Oce Retail Q1 Average NNN Lease Rate by Type (Existing) $11 $16 $20 $95.22 $130.15 $289.40 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 20132014 2015 2017201820192020202120222023 Commercial Sales Transactions Year-Over-Year 192 272 277 317 271 324 296 420 576 567 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Q12023 Q12024 Commercial Sales Transactions Q1 of 2023 & 2024 2016 235 *Data provided by Chicago Title *Data provided by Chicago Title *CBC Data *CBC Data 70 44
07 Retail & Office Nathan & To NEW 2048 Overland Ave, Ste 20 For Sale: $1,700,000 For Lease: $16.00/ SF G
& Nathan NEW 1400 S 24th St W For Lease: $7,307/MO
& Nathan NEW 1010
2 For Lease:
Shaylee NEW 21 S 26th St For Sale: $500,000
Erik
Erik
Central Ave, Ste
$9/sf NNN
08 Retail & Office Nathan SOLD 3306 Rimrock Rd Nathan SOLD 1711 17th St W Nathan LEASED 413 SE 4th, Suite F Erik& Nathan LEASED 2490 Gabel Rd Mike & Nathan LEASED 2331 Lewis Ave, Ste A Erik & Nathan LEASED 2223 Montana Ave, Ste 103 George SOLD 1420 Grand Ave Erik LEASED 2500 Grand Ave, Ste Q Michael LEASED 1597 Avenue D George SOLD 27 Grand Avenue Bruce & George 1301 Division St For Sale: $240,000 SOLD

Retail & Office REPORT

09 $000PSF $500PSF $1000PSF $1500PSF $2000PSF 2015 2019 2022 2023 Q12024 $000PSF $500PSF $10.00PSF $1500PSF $2000PSF $25.00PSF 2020 2021 2022 2023 Q12024 $0PSF $5PSF $10PSF $15PSF $20PSF $25PSF $30PSF $35PSF 2020 2022 2023 Q12024
CAP RATE RANGE 6% TO 8%
Class B Existing Average Office NNN Lease Rates (Under 3,000 SF) Average NNN Retail Lease Rates $8 50 $12.50 $16 00 $19.02 $17.04 New Construction Office/Retail $18 PSF $35 PSF $25 PSF $18 79 $18.00 $21 09 *CBC Data *CBC Data *CBC Data $18.00 $35 PSF $21 09
10 Industrial NEW 223 Erie Dr, Unit 2 For Lease: $9/sf NNN Michael NEW 84 S Homewood Park Dr For Sale: $899,000 For Lease: $7,555/mo + utilities Nathan NEW 6605 Wagon Trail For Lease: $12/sf NNN Nathan ED 8033 S Workshop Ave George LEASED 1125 Maggie Lane Nathan LEASED 6821 Cowgirl Way Shaylee LEASED 308 10th St W
SOLD 125 S 80th St W Shaylee NEW 823 Man Cave, Units 1-6 For Sale: $599,000 George
Nathan
11 $000PSF $2.00PSF $400PSF $600PSF $8.00PSF $10.00PSF $12.00PSF 2016 2019 2022 2023 Q12024 CAP RATE RANGE
TO 9% Industrial
Industrial NNN Lease Rates Under 5,000 SF (Yellowstone County) $6.50 $7.35 $10 $0PSF $50PSF $100PSF $150PSF $200PSF 2020 2022 2023 Q12024 $75 Industrial Sales Under 5,000 SF (Yellowstone County New Construction) $138 $155 $11 *$13 PSF in City Limits 0 50 100 150 200 20132014 2015 2017 201820192020 2021 20222023 Total Industrial Sales By Year (Yellowstone County) 52 59 68 76 55 81 85 109 159 175 2016 95 *CBC Data *CBC Data *Data provided by Chicago Title $11.50 $155
7%
REPORT

*Data provided by Chicago Title

12 Industrial REPORT 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Q1
Q1
32 Total Industrial Sales Q1 of 2023 & 2024
2023
2024
22
13 Commercial Land Erik 1613 E Railroad St LEASED Business Shaylee NEW Giddy Up Coffee Bar & Boutique For Sale: $395,000
SOLD Stadium Club
NEW Willow Creek Day Spa For Sale: $100,000 Todd NEW Casino For Sale For Sale: $1,750,000 LEASED Blaine & Mike 4449 Central Avenue For Sale: $5,349,330 NEW
Todd
Shaylee

PARTNERS

U S BANK BANKS

FIRST INTERSTATE BANK

LITTLE HORN BANK

OPPORTUNITY BANK

STOCKMAN BANK

RETAIL

ACE HARDWARE

BEARTOOTH HARLEY DAVIDSON

CRICKET WIRELESS

DOLLAR GENERAL HARBOR FREIGHT

RESTAURANTS

ARBY'S CAFE RIO

COCA COLA

CRUMBL COOKIE

JACK IN THE BOX

JERSEY MIKE'S

JIMMY JOHNS

LITTLE CEASAR'S MAZEVO COFFEE

SERVICES

ACOSTA

AE2S

ALL AMERICAN

PHARMECEUTICAL

ALLSTATE

AR WORKSHOP

AT&T

AUTOZONE

AXIOM LAW

BARGREEN ELLINGSON

BEAR MOUNTAIN ADI

BLUE BEACON TRUCK WASH

BONINI ENTERPRISES

BOREALIS FUELS AND LOGISTICS

BUGGY BATH CAR WASH

CENTIMARK ROOFING

CHICAGO TITLE

CK TECH

VALLEY FEDERAL CREDIT UNION

WELLS FARGO

WESTERN SECURITY BANK

YELLOWSTONE BANK

MENS WAREHOUSE

RENT A CENTER

SHOPKO

STATE LIQUOR STORE

TRACTOR SUPPLY CO

MCDONALD'S PAPA MURPHY'S PROOF DONUTS

QDOBA STARBUCKS

STEAK AND SHAKE

SUBWAY

TWISTED SUGAR

DAIRY QUEEN

CHEN’S EXPRESS

EDWARD JONES

EPIROC USA

FAITHFUL DISASTER RESTORATION

FASBREAK AUTOGLASS

FEDERAL DEFENDERS OF MT

FLYING S TITLE

FORZA DEVELOPMENT

HARDRIVES ASPHALT

HOLIDAY/CIRCLE K

KOMATSU

MILLS ELECTRIC

NEWMAN RESTORATION

PENSKE TRUCK RENTAL

PHILLIPS 66

PLANET FITNESS

QUIKRETE

ROCKY MOUNTAIN VEIN CLINIC

ROCKY VISTA UNIVERSITY ROTO ROOTER

SECURITAS

SHAMROCK FOODS

SUMMER'S MCNEA AND CO

TETRA TECH ENGINEERING

THRIVENT

TKI INC

TOWN PUMP

TYLER TECHNOLOGIES

VANROCK HOLDINGS

VETERAN'S AFFAIRS

WESTERN NATIVE VOICE

YELLOWSTONE CHRISTIAN

COLLEGE

ZIMMER BIOMET

CLIENT 14

CLIENT

SERVICES

ACQUISITION & DISPOSITION

BUYER REPRESENTATION

SITE SEARCH

BUILD TO SUIT

LEASE/OWN ANALYSIS

ACQUISITION

LEASE AUDITS

SELLER REPRESENTATION

LEASING SERVICES

DISPOSITION

LEASE ANALYSIS

LANDLORD REPRESENTATION

PROPERTY POSITIONING / REPOSITIONING

TENANT RETENTION

TARGET MARKETING TO SUITABLE PROSPECTS

LANDLORD MARKETING

STRATEGIC PLANNING SERVICES

NEGOTIATIONS

LEASE ANALYSIS

TENANT REPRESENTATION

STRATEGIC PLANNING SERVICES

ACQUISITION OR DISPOSITION

RELOCATION SERVICES

LEASE/OWN/SALE

LEASEBACK ANALYSIS

NEGOTIATIONS

LEASE ANALYSIS

CONSULTING & VALUATION

OPINION OF VALUE

INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

MARKET RESEARCH

LEASE ANALYSIS/RENEGOTIATION

ADVISORY SERVICES

BANK OWNED REO SERVICES

LEASE ADMINISTRATION

LEASE AUDIT

BUILD TO SUIT/TENANT FIT UP

CONSULTING

APPRAISAL AND OTHER

VALUATION SERVICES

MARKET SURVEYS AND ANALYSIS

SPACE PLANNING

LEASE ADMINISTRATION

LEASE AUDIT

BUILD TO SUIT/TENANT FIT UP

CONSULTING

APPRAISAL AND OTHER VALUATION SERVICES

MARKET SURVEYS AND ANALYSIS

DEMOGRAPHIC / DRIVE-TIME STUDIES

SPACE PLANNING

15
4066562001 info@cbcmontanacom 3135MeadowViewDr,Billings,MT59102
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