Item 3 - Attachment 17 - CCBC Local Housing Strategy - September 2019.pdf

4. SUPPLY Canada Bay possesses a diverse range of residential neighbourhoods and centres, which support a variety of dwelling types. In order to inform the future planning for housing in the LGA, a comprehensive analysis of Canada Bay’s residential areas has been undertaken. The purpose of this section is to provide an understanding of the LGA’s established housing areas and major development ‘planned precincts’ – leading to an analysis of where future growth may be accommodated.

4.1

Approach

A key element of planning for housing is the need to identify capacity for additional dwelling growth and how this aligns with the scale, type and location of projected housing demand. The likely future housing growth distribution for additional housing was identified using an approach, which can be broadly summarised in three stages: housing demand analysis, housing capacity; and housing take-up. The steps taken in this approach are summarised in the diagram below. FIGURE 16 HOUSING GAP ANALYSIS APPROACH OVERVIEW

This approach considers demand, supply and likely future take-up of capacity within the context of the current planning framework and policies. It also acknowledges the intertwined nature of demand and supply, including the imperfect nature of the housing market. This modelling helps understand, at a high level, the locations where there may be major differences between demand and supply, in order to underpin policy development and potential changes to planning controls to meet future housing needs. In Section 3, we reviewed the demand component of the equation to gain an understanding of who we are planning for, how many of us there will be and what types of dwellings are likely to be required. This section turns the attention to whether the established stock of housing and capacity within the current planning framework for additional housing to be provided in the LGA meets future housing demand requirements. It also investigates where opportunities and constraints for future growth based on changes to the planning framework may be achieved. Section 5 then completes the gap analysis picture by aligning demand and capacity to understand how and where take-up will occur across the LGA.

CANADA BAY Local housing strategy

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Item 3 - Attachment 17 - CCBC Local Housing Strategy - September 2019.pdf

Articles inside

8.11 Summary

8.8 Actions

8.9 Centre Renewal Precincts

6.3 Key implications

8.7 Key Housing Priorities

8.6 Vision Statement

TABLE 27 CURRENT DEMAND FOR SAH, BY COHORT

FIGURE 57 COMPOSITION OF DWELLING GROWTH ACROSS DIFFERENT TYPES OF DEVELOPMENT AREAS IN THE LGA (2018 TO 2036

FIGURE 56 DEMAND, CAPACITY AND TAKEUP (GROWTH FORECAST

FIGURE 50 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS AND DWELLING CAPACITY IN RODD POINT AND RUSSELL LEA

FIGURE 52 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS AND DWELLING CAPACITY IN THE STRATHFIELD TRIANGLE

FIGURE 55 KEY IMPLICATIONS OF MAJOR FINDINGS IN THIS SECTION

FIGURE 44 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS AND DWELLING CAPACITY ALONG THE NORTHERN LINE

FIGURE 43 THERE IS HIGH DENSITY RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN THE SHOPS ALONG GREAT NORTH ROAD AND THE SURROUNDING RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT, ALTHOUGH IN SOME CASES THE INTERFACE BETWEEN THESE IS POOR

FIGURE 33 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS AND DWELLING CAPACITY IN CABARITA - MORTLAKE

FIGURE 41 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS AND DWELLING CAPACITY IN FIVE DOCK

TABLE 14 OPPORTUNITIES AND CONTRAINTS IN FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS IN CONCORD

FIGURE 30 FUTURE DEVELOPMENT AREAS AND DWELLING CAPACITY IN ABBOTSFORD, WAREEMBA AND CHISWICK

FIGURE 28 OVERALL LIVEABILITY ‘RATING’FOR DEVELOPABLE AREAS ACROSS CANADA BAY LGA

FIGURE 27 NET LAND – WITH EXCLUSIONS FOR STRATA LOTS AND HERITAGE PRECINCTS

FIGURE 26 NET CAPACITY BY MESH BLOCK (ABS GEOGRAPHY

FIGURE 24 AVAILABLE LAND BY ZONE

TABLE 8 AMOUNT OF LAND IN HECTARES WHICH IS AVAILABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND WHICH IS EXCLUDED FOR EACH REASON IN THE CANADA BAY LEP

FIGURE 23 NET LAND - RESIDENTIAL AND MIXED USE ZONED LAND AREA IN CANADA BAY LGA, EXCLUDING PERMANENT FIXTURES

FIGURE 22 PROCESS FOR ARRIVING AT NET HOUSING CAPACITY

FIGURE 16 HOUSING GAP ANALYSIS APPROACH OVERVIEW

FIGURE 19 PRIMARY SCHOOL ACCESS

FIGURE 20 SECONDARY SCHOOL ACCESS

FIGURE 21 HEALTH ACCESS

FIGURE 17 PUBLIC TRANSPORT ACCESS IN CANADA BAY LGA

TABLE 5 CANADA BAY LGA TERTIARY STUDENTS – BY RESIDENT DWELLING TYPE

LOCAL HOUSING STR 8. LOCAL HOUSING STR 8. LOCAL HOUSING STR 8. LOCAL HOUSING STRATEGY ATEGY ATEGY

TABLE 4 KEY WORKERS IN CANADA BAY LGA (BY PLACE OF WORK

FIGURE 6 AVERAGE AGE DISTRIBUTION OF DIFFERENT HOUSEHOLD STRUCTURES

FIGURE 7 NUMBER OF CHILDREN GIVEN NUMBER OF RESIDENTS PER HOUSEHOLD

ISSUES AND OPPORT 7. ISSUES AND OPPORT 7. ISSUES AND OPPORT 7. ISSUES AND OPPORTUNITIES UNITIES UNITIES

TABLE 3 SIZE OF HOUSEHOLDS IN CANADA BAY BY ANCESTRY

FIGURE 1 THE MISSING MIDDLE

FIGURE 13 HOUSING SUPPLY CONTINUUM