6/12/2019
Cane cultivation in Marathwada will be the most affected - ChiniMandi
“Cane cultivation in Marathwada will be the most affected and there would be hardly any cane for mills to start the next crushing season” – Founder & M.D. Skymet Weather By Shivani Rai - June 11, 2019
ChiniMandi, New Delhi: As major states of the country have been eagerly awaiting for the arrival of monsoon, which waters over half of the Indian farmland, most regions around the country are speculating de cit rainfall this year. The earlier trends of sowing have continued to leave most regions dry which does not augur well for farmers, approximately 60 percent of them are dependent on rain to harvest their forthcoming crops. The reports predicting de cit in rainfall this year would add more worries to the farmers across the nation. In a conversation with ChiniMandi.com, Mr. Jatin Singh the Founder & Managing Director of India’s largest private sector weather forecasting, monitoring & agriculture risk Solutions Company Skymet Weather Services Pvt. Ltd which also experts in measuring, predicting & limiting climate risk shared his views on the monsoon conditions of 2019. He shared, “Skymet expects the upcoming Monsoon to be “below normal” to the tune of 93% (with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September. The Paci c Ocean has become strongly warmer than average. The model projections call for 80% chance of El Nino during March-May, dropping to 60% for June to August. This means, it is going to be a devolving El Nino year, though retaining threshold value all through the season. Thus, Monsoon 2019 is likely to be below normal. The onset month of June is going to be sluggish, and de cit rains are likely to spill into July. Second half of the season would see better rainfall wherein August is expected to be a shade better than September, and both the months would manage to see normal rains. El Nino also impacts distribution of rainfall. El Nino conditions mostly coincide with a period of weak Monsoon and rising temperatures and thus, the probability of drought occurrence surges during El Niño events disturbing crop production and water supply. Skymet expects that East India along with major portion of Central India would be at a higher risk of being rain de cient, especially during the
rst half of
the season. While de cient rains are expected over Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal along with Central parts of the country predominantly Vidarbha, Marathwada, southern parts of Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Gujarat. Odisha, Chhattisgarh and Coastal Andhra Pradesh are most likely to see normal rains throughout the season. With below normal Monsoons, the possibility of de cient and largely de cient rains is more than 40% in 66% districts of the country. The report o ers an in-depth analysis of the impact of predicted Monsoon on the major Kharif crops and the anticipated changes that could possibly occur on the production side. About half of the country’s food grain production comes from the Kharif output which stands around 140 million tons.” Speaking about sugarcane he said, I believe it is one of the important cash crops primarily cultivated in the areas where water for irrigation is available. Sugarcane is a leading crop in Western Uttar Pradesh, https://www.chinimandi.com/cane-cultivation-in-marathwada-will-be-the-most-affected-and-there-would-be-hardly-any-cane-for-mills-to-start-the-next-c…
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