To: Interested Parties From: Ben Tulchin, Corey O’Neil, Corey Teter, Kelsey Bullis & Talia Stringfellow; Tulchin Research February 8, 2021 ▐ Recent Polling Finds San Mateo County Supervisor David Canepa Leading in California’s 15th Congressional District
Recent polling conducted by Tulchin Research among likely June 2022 primary voters in California’s 15th Congressional District reveals David Canepa leading the field of candidates vying for the open Congressional seat. These survey results, along with recent reporting showing Canepa leading in fundraising while being the only leading candidate who refuses to take contributions from corporate special interests, and receiving several endorsements including from AFSCME, indicates Canepa has the momentum in this race. In the primary horserace, Canepa currently attracts support from one-in-five voters (19%) while Kevin Mullin lags behind with just 17% of the vote despite the fact that his previous Assembly district comprises nearly two-thirds of the new Congressional district. Republican Gus Mattammal (13%), Emily Beach (7%), and Andrew Watters (2%) all trail further back while two out of five voters are undecided. CA-15 Primary Election Horserace In thinking about the June 2022 primary election for Congress, if the election were held today and the candidates were (RANDOMIZE): San Mateo County Supervisor David Canepa, a Democrat; State Assemblyman Kevin Mullin, a Democrat; Burlingame City Councilwoman Emily Beach, a Democrat; Attorney Andrew Watters, a Democrat; [AND] Businessman Gus Mattammal, a Republican; for whom would you vote?
David Canepa
19%
Kevin Mullin
17%
Gus Mattammal
13%
Emily Beach
7%
Andrew Watters
2%
Undecided
43%
In sum, David Canepa has the advantage in the race for California’s 15th Congressional seat as he is leading in polling and fundraising and clearly has the momentum as we head into the final few months of the primary campaign. Survey Methodology: From February 1-6, 2022, Tulchin Research conducted a multi-modal survey in both English and Spanish in California’s 15th Congressional District among 500 likely June 2022 primary election voters. Survey respondents were contacted by live telephone interviewers calling landlines and cell phones as well as contacting a portion of respondents online through e-mails and text messages from the voter file. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 4.4 percentage points.
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