BusinessMirror September 09, 2021

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Thursday, September 9, 2021 Vol. 16 No. 330

P.  |     | 7 DAYS A WEEK

CONFIDENCE—GROUPS A PROGRAM led by the Department of Labor and Employment (DOLE) to inoculate over 400,000 workers from the construction and manufacturing sectors kicks off on Wednesday (September 8, 2021), with the aim of boosting employment recovery under the “Reform, Rebound, Recover: One Million Jobs for 2021.” NONIE REYES

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B T J C. P

@Tyronepiad

HE last-minute decision to shift to a more restrictive quarantine measure in the National Capital Region (NCR) dented the business sector’s trust in the government’s Covid-19 response, a private sector leader said.

George T. Barcelon, LegislativeExecutive Development Advisory Council private sector representative, told the BM that the “sudden backtracking to MECQ [modified enhanced community quarantine] doesn’t reflect well on government authorities.” Metro Manila’s lockdown measure was supposed to be eased to general community quarantine (GCQ) with alert level scheme beginning Wednesday; the capital was also subject to pilot testing of granular lockdown measure. On Tuesday, however, the Covid-19 Inter-Agency Task Force (IATF) said the MECQ was instead

extended until September 15 for NCR, deferring the implementation of the previously announced measure. “Some sectors [that] were already in the process of preparation [workers and supplies] are disappointed,” he lamented. “Next time they will not trust [an] announcement until later.” The Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI) said that the government should be “prudent” in its pronouncement on quarantine protocols given its impact on the business and the public. S “MECQ,” A

Despite robust tax take, Bayanihan 3 funds hang B B D. N @BNicolasBM

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INANCE Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said the government’s “healthy” tax collections and inflows from dividends of state-run firms are still “insufficient” to fund a deficit-neutral P175-billion Bayanihan 3 or the third stimulus package. While they have yet to find counterpart funding for Bayanihan 3, Dominguez said having the third stimulus package is still “not C  A

DOMINGUEZ: “The problem that we have with additional expenditure at this time is that our expected fiscal deficit is already at 9.3 percent of GDP. That is extremely high.”

PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 49.9480

PHL’S NET JOB LOSS IN PANDEMIC NOW NEARLY A MILLION, SAYS NEDA

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EARLY a million Filipinos lost their jobs since the pandemic began, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). In a budget presentation at the Senate of the Philippines on Wednesday, Neda said after the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) released the latest employment numbers, it found that there was a decline of 3.4 million jobs between June and July. With that, the net job loss of the economy is 800,000. This means these were the jobs that were lost between January 2020 and July 2021. “Job creation is highly correlated with the level of quarantine and lately, the heightened risk due to the Delta variant,” Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said. “As a result, our net employment creation since the start of the pandemic is down by 800,000. Hopefully, as we manage the Delta variant, we can reverse this in the coming months,” he also said. Based on the presentation, when the country moved to lower quarantine restriction levels, there was job creation. The largest number of jobs created was recorded when the country moved from ECQ in April 2020 to GCQ in July 2020, reaching 7.5 million jobs. The largest decline in job creation was observed when the country moved toward higher restriction levels. The largest number of jobs lost was

recorded when the country locked down in April—when a total of 8.7 million jobs were lost. Chua also said there was a net job creation between January and June 2021: a positive 2.5 million jobs created. However, given the latest preliminary results of the Labor Force Survey (LFS) in July, the country lost the second highest number of jobs since April last year as the economy shed 3.4 million jobs. He traced the loss of jobs to the decline in farm employment, triggered by the rainy season, and concerns of workers about catching the Delta variant of the virus. “The imposition of the MECQ in high-risk areas including NCR since August 21, is actually our proactive response to balance the needs of the people, whether these be from Covid or non-Covid concerns, including their other sickness and hunger as we also manage the spread of the more contagious delta variant,” Chua said at the hearing.

Youth employment

IN the same Senate hearing, Finance Secretary Carlos G. Dominguez III said the economy’s recovery rests on the country’s young population. The average age of Filipinos is 25-year-old, the demographic sweet spot of the country. However, based on the latest data from the LFS, the number of youth Not in Employment, Education, and S “PHL’,” A

Infra blueprint focuses more projects on poorer regions B C U. O @caiordinario

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HE Duterte administration is drawing up a blueprint that will allow the next administration to roll out more infrastructure projects in poor regions, according to the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda). In the Philippine Economic Briefing on Tuesday, Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick T. Chua said the list of priorities is being drawn up together with efforts to address the Covid-19 pandemic and address present issues. The list includes more responsive infrastructure; innovation; Climate Change; and regional equity. The last priority aims to ensure that poor regions see more infrastructure investment under the next administration. “The National Economic and Development Authority has listed some top priorities which we are working on now, as foundations for the next administration,” Chua said. “For instance, on regional equity, we are working hard to improve the regional distribution of infrastructure.” Based on a chart Chua shared during his presentation, per capita spending under the three-year rolling infrastructure plan (TRIP) was not as responsive to the needs of poor regions. The chart showed that the Cordillera Administrative Region (CAR) received over P80,000 per capita worth of infrastructure even if the poverty rate there was only around 10 percent. However, the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (BARMM)—where poverty was around 60 percent—received infrastructure investments worth a little over P40,000 per capita. “This chart gives you the regions of the Philippines correlated with poverty incidents to determine

which parts of the Philippines would need further support in terms of infrastructure programs, which are our priorities,” Chua said.

Multiplier

THIS priority is crucial given the multiplier effect associated with construction: a multiplier effect of 2.3 for Output, and 3.9 for Employment, according to Chua. This means for every peso spent on construction, the country benefits P2.3. In terms of jobs, 3.9 jobs can be generated for every million peso spent in the sector. Chua said this is the key driver of the Philippine economy’s ability to generate jobs. Infrastructure, he said, has accounted for 1 to 2 percentage points of Philippine economic growth prior to the pandemic. He noted that in the latest Labor Force Survey, some 4.3 million jobs were recorded in Construction and this is one reason for the strong job creation despite the pandemic. “Build, Build, Build Program or our infrastructure program will help restimulate the economy and bring back jobs. One of the key drivers of our economy and job creation has been infrastructure given the strong multiplier effects,” Chua said. The government aims to spend around 5 percent of GDP on infrastructure in the medium term. On average, Chua expects the government to spend 5.3 percent of GDP on infrastructure between 2021 and 2024. Based on data Chua provided, the government targets to spend 5.8 percent of GDP for infrastructure in 2022; 5.3 percent in 2023; 5.1 percent in 2025.

Digital infra

APART from physical infrastrucS “I,” A

■ JAPAN 0.4530 ■ UK 68.8733 ■ HK 6.4244 ■ CHINA 7.7235 ■ SINGAPORE 37.1168 ■ AUSTRALIA 36.8966 ■ EU 59.1734 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.3180

Source: BSP (September 8, 2021)


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