BusinessMirror October 29, 2020.pdf

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Thursday, October 29, 2020 Vol. 16 No. 21

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P25.00 nationwide | 10 sections 52 pages |

PHL BANKS AT RISK FROM LOW ECONOMIC BOUNCE

NG to borrow ₧140B from local market in November

By Bianca Cuaresma

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@BcuaresmaBM

HE Philippine banking sector could potentially see a significant erosion of asset quality post-pandemic, as the country’s economic resilience to Covid-19-related shocks is now classified as a “very high risk” to the lending industry.

In S&P Global’s recent Asia-Pacific Financial Institutions Monitor for the fourth quarter, the international credit watcher said the economic risk trend of banks in the Philippines has turned negative. In its key banking sector risk assessment, the Philippines’s economic resilience is the biggest risk for banks in the coming years. The Philippines shares the same assessment with Asian countries like Bangladesh, Cambodia, Sri Lanka and Vietnam, whose economic resilience was also rated as a “very high risk” for their banking system. Also deemed “high-risk” threats to Philippine banks were credit risk in the economy and institutional framework. Competitive dynamics and system-wide funding carry intermediate risks while economic imbalances carry a low risk. S&P earlier said it expects the Philippines to post a 9.5-percent contraction this year. This is the biggest forecasted contraction in the Asia-Pacific region. As such, S&P said their overall assessment pointed to higher-thanexpected risk of credit losses for local banks, given their expectation of a poor economic performance. “In our opinion, weak economic activity and tough employment conditions will dilute the Philippine banking sector’s asset quality, earnings, and capitalization over the next two years,” S&P said. The S&P model shows credit cost—or the ratio of provisions for bad loans—will stay elevated at 1.5 to 2 percent for this year up until 2021.

By Bernadette D. Nicolas

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Police officers patrol the Himlayang Palanyag, a public cemetery in Parañaque City, where informal settlers share residence with the dead in “apartment-type” tombs. The government has ordered the closure of public and private cemeteries nationwide from October 29 to November 4, 2020, to prevent the spread of Covid-19. ROY DOMINGO

ONLY A THIRD OF OFWS HAD SAVINGS FROM REMITTANCES–PSA By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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NLY a third of overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) last year set aside savings from their remittances, according to the latest data released by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA). The 2019 Survey on Overseas Filipinos (SOF) showed that 32.8 percent of the 1.934 million OFWs had savings from the remittances they sent. This meant 67.2 percent did not have any savings.

This was lower than the 44.8 percent of the 2.039 million posted in the 2018 SOF data. In that year, some 55.2 percent were unable to set aside savings from cash remittances sent. “The SOF aims to provide data on overseas Filipinos particularly the overseas contract workers and their contribution to the economy,” PSA said. “Specifically, the survey has the following objectives: to obtain national estimates on the number of overseas Filipinos including overseas workers and their so-

cioeconomic characteristics and to provide estimates on the amount of cash and in-kind transfers received by the families and the modes of remittances.” PSA said regardless of the amount of the cash remittances sent, for every 10 OFWs whose families reported savings from cash remittances received, about seven or 55.3 percent were able to save less than 25 percent of the total amount received. Only two of 10 or 28.3 percent were able to save from 25 to 49 percent of it, and one in 10 or 16.4 per-

cent saved 50 percent or more. Data also showed that among those who set aside savings from remittances were 3.4 percent of the OFWs who were able to save less than P20,000; and 12.3 percent among those who sent anywhere between P20,000 to P39,999. PSA said the OFWs who were able to set aside savings were those who sent more. Around 39.8 percent who set aside savings sent P40,000 to P99,999; and 44.6 percent of these OFWs sent P100,000 and over. See “OFWs,” A2

HE Philippine government is set to borrow a total of P140 billion from the local debt market in November, the same amount that it programmed to borrow this month. Broken down, the Bureau of the Treasury will be auctioning off a total of P80 billion in Treasury bills (T-bills) and another P60 billion in Treasury bonds (T-bonds) next month. Based on the memorandum released by the Bureau of the Treasury on Wednesday, a total of P20 billion in T-bills consisting of 91day, 182-day and 364-day tenors is slated to be offered on November 3, November 9, November 16, and November 23. Meanwhile, P30 billion in 3-year T-bonds will also be offered on November 3; while another P30 billion in 5-year T-bonds will be up for sale on November 17. National Treasurer Rosalia V. de Leon told reporters the borrowing program was set “based on auction results with intermediate part of curve as sweet spot.” To recall, the Bureau of the Treasury no longer offered 10-year Tbonds this month as investors are now keener on shorter tenors. On top of T-bills and T-bonds, the Treasury earlier said it was targeting to raise P3 billion from oneyear Premyo bonds next month. According to de Leon, they are set to launch their second offering for Premyo bonds on November 11. Last year, the government generated P4.961 billion from the maiden sale of Premyo bonds.

See “PHL banks,” A2

PESO exchange rates n US 48.4360

@BNicolasBM

Continued on A2

n japan 0.4636 n UK 63.1799 n HK 6.2498 n CHINA 7.2244 n singapore 35.6042 n australia 34.5010 n EU 57.0964 n SAUDI arabia 12.9156

Source: BSP (October 28, 2020)


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